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Risk Assessment – History and Future

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Margin of exposure (MOE)<br />

• DNA-reactive genotoxic carcinogens <strong>–</strong> assume no threshold<br />

• Linear, low-dose extrapolation is very uncertain<br />

• As an alternative, derive margin of exposure (MOE)<br />

• POD/Human exposure (measured or predicted)<br />

• Usually, POD = BMDL10 for animal data, BMDL1 or less for<br />

human data<br />

• MOE of >10,000 based on animal data <strong>–</strong> of low concern<br />

• Enables ranking <strong>and</strong> prioritisation of risks; assessment of<br />

outcome of different risk management options;<br />

communication of level of concern<br />

• NB: MOE concept is applicable to threshold toxicants<br />

• Interpretation of MOE

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