Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital

EQUITY | F&O | DP | COMMODITIES | MUTUAL FUNDS | INSURANCE | DEBT | IPOs | PMS | WMS | LAS
Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital
Date: Dec 20, 2012
Market Update
Indices Close % Chg % YTD
Indian Markets
Sensex 19,476.00 0.57% 26.02%
Nifty 5,929.60 0.56% 28.23%
Global Markets
DJIA 13,251.97 (0.74%) 8.47%
Nasdaq 3,044.37 (0.33%) 16.86%
FTSE 5,961.59 0.43% 6.99%
Emerging Markets
HangSeng 22,623.37 0.57% 22.72%
Nikkei 10,160.40 2.39% 20.17%
BSE Sectoral
Indices
Latest % Chg % YTD
Auto 11494.88 1.84% 41.15%
Banks 14374.79 0.37% 57.04%
Capital Goods 10996.06 (0.62%) 36.30%
Comm & Teck 3393.74 1.05% 0.40%
Con. Durables 7799.71 (0.05%) 47.60%
FMCG 5941.64 (0.38%) 47.24%
Healthcare 8198.62 1.58% 39.66%
IT 5623.19 1.33% (2.24%)
Metals 11109.32 1.49% 19.54%
Oil & Gas 8492.88 1.30% 12.80%
Power 1992.52 0.46% 10.95%
Realty 2133.13 0.59% 55.06%
Midcap 7116.56 0.55% 38.59%
Smallcap 7463.51 0.44% 34.47%
Bulk Deals (BSE)
Date Scrip Name Client Name Buy/Sell Quantity Price
Corporate News
• RIL plans to invest $10 bn on 4G network of its subsidiary Infotel
Broadband.
• Eros Worldwide, promotor group of Eros International Media Ltd
will sell off 2.8% of the equity share by promoter through OFS on
December 20, 2012 with floor price of Rs200/share
• Hatsun Agro lines up Rs1.6 bn expansion plan to set up two new
plants and other related expansion activities over the next one year
• Welspun India to merge Welspun Global Brands with the company
in the exchange ratio of 1:1
• DLF signed an agreement to sell luxury hotel chain Aman Resorts to
Adrian Zecha for about $300 mn.
• Abbott launches BVS in India which to be used for the treatment of
coronary artery disease
• Reliance Power stake sale of 5.42% fully covered at indicative bid of
Rs.95.27 a share.
• Lupin gets USFDA approval for oral contraceptive tablets with current
approval it's the 7 th for Lupin in the oral contraceptive space.
• Jayashree Chemicals is on verge of shutdown due to serious financial
crisis weighed on by escalating input costs & hike in power tariff
• L&T Construction has secured new orders worth Rs10.09 mn. in the
month of November and December so far.
• Oil Ministry may seek opinion of Solicitor General of India, whether
RIL and Cairn India can be permitted to drill exploration wells in
already producing oil and gas fields.
• Indiabulls Real Estate bought back 5mn equity shares from the
shareholders through the open market for about Rs2.73 bn.
• Natco Pharma received USFDA approval to market anti-ulcer drug,
Lansoprazole delayed release capsules, in the American market.
Economy News
19-Dec-12
Vakrangee Software
Newtree Trading
Company Pvt. Ltd.
Sell 2,600,000 60.25
• Telcos to install around 30,000 more 3G base station in 2 years to
610 districts to be covered by 3G services in the country.
19-Dec-12
Birla Pacific
Medspa
Credo India Thematic
Fund
Sell 1,172,732 2.86
• Internet’s contribution to India’s GDP could treble to $100 bn by 2015
versus $30 bn in 2011.
Bulk Deals (NSE)
Date Scrip Name Client Name Buy/Sell Quantity Price
19-Dec-12 Bajaj Finance El Dorado Holdings II
Ltd.
19-Dec-12
Persistent Systems
Ltd.
Norwest Venture
Partners FVCI
Mauritius
Sell 500,000 1,300
Sell 1,120,000 490.00
Fund Flows (`bn) Latest MTD YTD
Flls 11.68 160.93 1,541.55
MFs 17.47 318.25 4,247.29
• Kaushik Basu has warned of inflation shadow on direct cash transfer.
Global News
• S&P upgrades Greece's rating from selective default; raises sovereign
credit rating to B-minus with a stable outlook.
• New Zealand’s GDP rose 0.2% in Q3CY12 versus consensus estimates
of a 0.4% growth.
• The ECB re-opened the path to cheap financing for Greek banks,
allowing the country's sovereign debt to be used as collateral in
ECB funding operations in a big confidence boost for markets.
GEPL Capital Pvt Ltd

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Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital
Date: December 20, 2012
Debt Market Snapshot
Market Turnover ` bn % Chg
BSE 25.19 (17.84)
NSE 141.25 1.07
Derivatives (NSE) 1222.08 (36.56)
Market Breadth Adv Dec A/D
BSE 1651 1310 1.26
NSE 869 645 1.35
Forex Rates Latest % Chg % YTD
Rs / US$ 54.47 (0.70) 2.13
Euro / US $ 0.76 0.17 (2.22)
Yen / US$ 84.21 (0.09) 8.63
Particulars Latest Previous Chg(bps)
5 Year GOI Bond 8.11% 8.10% (0.01)
10 Year GOI Bond 8.15% 8.15% -
15-Year GOI Bond 8.33% 8.32% (0.01)
Government Security Market:
• The Inter-bank call money rate traded in the range of 7.95% - 8.15% on Wednesday,
ended at 8.13%.
• Total Borrowings From RBI's Repo with banks Taking Rs.164615 mn on Wednesday
Vs. Rs.151770 mn on Tuesday.
• The benchmark 8.15% GOI 2022 Closed at 8.1540% on Wednesday Vs 8.1476% on
Tuesday.
• Global Debt Market:
US.Treasury rose for the first time in three days before a report tomorrow forecast to show
the world’s largest economy isn’t growing fast enough to stop the Federal Reserve from
boosting monetary stimulus.
10 Year Benchmark Technical View:
10 year yield likely to move in the range of 8.13% - 8.15% level on Thursday.
Bonds in Primary Market :
Coupon Maturity Min Quantum (in Rs.)
Call Money (WAR) 8.11% 8.10% (0.01)
CBLO (WAR) 8.12% 8.08% (0.04)
PFCTax Free
Bonds
7.69% & 7.86%
(For Retail)
10 & 15 Year 5 bond( Face Value 1000)
(Issue Opens on 14th December)
US 10 Year 1.80% 1.77% (0.03)
Crude Oil (in $/bl) 87.93 87.20 (0.73)
IIfcl Tax Free 7.69%,7.86% & 7.90
(For Retail)
10,15 & 20 Year 5 bond( Face Value 1000)
(Issue Opens on 26th December
Inflation (Monthly) 7.24% 7.24% -
For Further Bond Details Please Contact GEPL Debt Desk
Derivatives Snapshot
Nifty Spot
Nifty Futures
Nifty Futures
Prem. / Disc
Nifty Futures
Basis
Nifty Futures
Change in OI
Nifty Futures
Volume (` in
cr.)
Total Market F&O Open
Interest (` in bn)
Nifty Open Interest
(OI) PCR
Nifty Volume
PCR
NSE VIX
Current 5929.60
5946.90 17.30 39.50 23309700 4242.90
1.20 0.98 14.17
Previous 5896.80
5928.90 32.10 37.60 23227900 8788.62
1.19 0.86 14.44
change 32.80
18.00 (14.80) 1.90 81800 (4545.72)
0.01 0.12 (0.27)
% Change 0.56 0.30 0.35 (51.72)
(1.87)
Snapshot
• From the options data, 5900 put has added more than 2lakh shares suggesting that level of 5850 is likely to act as positional support for Nifty futures.
• The open interest put call ratio for Nifty futures stood at 1.20 vs. 1.19 levels.
• The IV’s stood in between 12% to 18% with NSE VIX index ending 1.87% lower at 14.17 levels.
• Long positions were witnessed in stocks like GSPL, MARUTI, SUNPHARMA, BAJAJ-AUTO.
• Short positions were witnessed in stocks like HDIL, ITC, HDFC, AXISBANK.
FII Derivatives Statistics
Buy (` in Cr.) Sell (` in Cr.) Open Interest at the end of the
day (` in Cr.)
Open Interest as on 10-fEB-
2011 (` in Cr.)
Change in open
Interest (` in Cr.)
Net Buy / Sell (`in Cr.)
INDEX FUTURES 724.71 891.18 12914.90 12711.43 203.47 (166.47)
INDEX OPTIONS 12355.27 11910.22 47616.73 47281.79 334.94 445.05
STOCK FUTURES 3153.68 3105.91 35921.53 34895.30 1026.23 47.77
STOCK OPTIONS 1508.81 1548.18 2245.09 2145.20 99.89 (39.37)
GEPL Capital Pvt Ltd

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Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital
Date: Dec 20, 2012
Technical Snapshot
Immediate Support for Nifty Futures at 5900
Key Highlights
• Nifty Futures closed at 5947 which is 18 points higher than its previous
close of 5929.
• Nifty Futures moved in just 25 points range testing 5960 keeping the
hope of uptrend continuation.
• Above 5960, the next target for Nifty Futures is placed at 6000.
• If any corrective trend is seen, then the immediate support is placed at
5900 from where uptrend is likely to resume again.
• Nifty Futures can be bought in the range of 5920 – 5900 with the stop
loss of 5840 and initial target of 6000 levels.
• The level of 5840 is a crucial support and can be treated as stop loss
for all trading long positions.
• As long as Nifty Futures trades above 5600, the current intermediate
trend will be positive.
• The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5960 & 6000
whereas the intraday support levels are placed at 5910 & 5870 respectively.
Trading Calls for the day
Stock Buy / Sell Segment Lot Size
Type of Call Reco. Price Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2
GSPL Buy Futures 4000
One day 78 76 80 -
ITC Sell Futures 1000
One day 292 300 286 -
Technical Calls for Retail Desk
Sr. No Date Action Company Reco. Price Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 CMP Remarks
1 10-Feb-12 Buy (P) Dredging Corp Cash 317.5 287.5 347.5 377.5 230.7
2 14-Dec-12 Buy (ST) Tech Mahindra Cash 939.5 895 1035 944.45 Exit called at 952, call closed
3 17-Dec-12 Buy (ST) Sterlite Cash 115.9 112 123 119.9 Profit booked at 120.60
4 19-Dec-12 Buy (ST) Hindalco Cash 129.75 115 149 129.65
5 3-Dec-12 Buy (ST) Jain Irrigation cash 71.7 64.5 83 77.2 Profit booked at 77
6 16-Nov-12 Buy(ST) IGL Cash 265.5 248 300 258.85
7 21-Nov-12 Buy (ST) TV18 Broadcast 31.8 27 39 34
8 5-Dec-12 Buy (ST) Moser Baer 6.95 5.25 11 6.75
9 7-Dec-12 Buy (P) Educomp 158.5 145 180 148.7
10 12-Dec-12 Buy (ST) Timbor 41.7 35 51 39.15
11 13-Dec-12 Buy (ST) Pantaloon Cash 240.5 220 270 240.45
12 18-Dec-12 Buy (OD) NMDC Fut. 164.5 161.5 172 163 Exit called at 163.70
13 17-Dec-12 Sell (P) Cairn India Fut.(Jan) 327.75 338 310 329
14 19-Dec-12 Buy (OD) Reliance Fut. 843 829 860 842.05
15 14-Dec-12 Buy Tata Mot. Bull Spread 4.1 0 12 15 3.2 Profit booked at 9
16 10-Dec-12 Buy DLF Bull Spread 2.5 0 7 9 1.7
17 12-Dec-12 Buy Wipro 360 PE 2.75 0 8 0.9
18 18-Dec-12 Buy Nifty 6000 CE 22 0 50 4.4
19 18-Dec-12 Buy Sesa Goa 200 CE 3.35 1 6 21.8
20 19-Dec-12 Buy ONGC 260 CE 2.9 1 6 3.45
Open Positions Buy 17 & Sell 0
*- Revised Stop Loss
GEPL Capital Pvt Ltd

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Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital
Date: Dec 20, 2012
Commodities Snapshot
Commodity Month Trend Support 1 Support 2 Resistance 1 Resistance 2 Trading calls for the day
Gold Feb Bearish 30800 30700 31000 31100 -
Silver Mar Bearish 59500 59000 60250 60800 -
Crude Oil JAN Bullish 4905 4880 4960 4985 -
Natural Gas Dec SIDEWAYS 181 179 185 187 -
Copper Feb BEARISH 437 435 441 443.50
Nickel Jan SIDEWAYS 960 950 990 1010 -
Aluminium Dec SIDEWAYS 112.50 111 114 115 -
Lead Dec Bullish 125.60 124 127 128 -
Zinc Dec Bullish 111.90 110 113.50 115 -
Gold $ Spot bearish 1660 1630 1682 1695 -
Silver $ Spot bearish 31.55 31 32 32.25 -
*Figures in INR unless indicated otherwise
Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by the Research Desk of M/s GEPL Capital Pvt. Ltd. and is meant for use of the recipient only and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported
or copied or made available to others. It should not be considered to be taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to support any security. The information contained herein is obtained and collated
from sources believed reliable and we do not represent it as accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. The opinion expressed or estimates made are as per the best judgment as
applicable at that point of time and are subject to change without any notice. GEPL Capital Pvt. Ltd. along with its associated companies/ officers/employees may or may not, have positions in, or support
and sell securities referred to herein.
GEPL Capital Pvt Ltd