REID: AN OCEANOGRAPHER’S PERSPECTIVE<strong>CalCOFI</strong> Rep., <strong>Vol</strong>. XXIII, <strong>1982</strong>Nansen in 1909. They had gone to sea making traditionalhydrographic casts, measuring what they could,and when they analyzed their data, they found notlarge-scale smooth fields but rather wobbly ones.There would be a station-to-station variation of thedepth of various isotherms. Of course, they didn’t getto sea very often, and they couldn’t repeat their measurementsas much as they liked, but they at leastthought about them and wrote about the patterns. Theydidn’t know whether the patterns represented meanflows on a smaller scale than people had supposed, orwere waves of some kind, huge solitary waves, orwere little anticyclonic and cyclonic gyres. They wereable to repeat a few of their lines here and there andfound that things changed in time as well as in space.Their work was limited by the facilities at hand, butthey did say such things as, “Gee, it looks differentfrom time to time. We really should try to augment ourwork and repeat lines whenever we can, make ourobservations as close together as possible to avoidaliasing, and whenever possible, stay in one place fora while, repeating the observation to get some feelingfor the time variation.” That was 1909. Now, thatwould have been a perfect prospectus for the AtlanticMODE operation if anyone in the MODE group hadever read the paper, but I don’t think they had.That was the background in which we were working.Some notions of the general circulation were athand in 1948 when the cruises were planned, but wehad little feeling for the kind of spacing required todefine the field of flow and patterns of the othercharacteristics, and at what intervals we would have tooccupy these stations to follow their time-fluctuations.Cruise I of MLR and <strong>CalCOFI</strong> went out in March of1949, and I was on the Horizon (the old Horizon, notthe New Horizon). We also had in that early periodsuch ships as the Paolina-T and the Crest. May I havea show of hands of people in this group who were everat sea on the Paolina-T? Bravo. Well, I don’t have totell you what she was like. She was a perfectly seaworthyvessel. She would never sink-though we kepthoping! She just didn’t care which end was up.You remember perhaps what our 1949 pattern waslike. We had about twelve lines spaced 120 miles apartgoing offshore from the west coast of North America,and the stations were spaced about forty to sixty milesapart along each line. We found out from the first fewcruises that we hadn’t done it quite right. We discoveredby our own examination, not from anyone else’ssage advice, that we would have to tighten this line ofstations and spacing in order to get what we wereafter. I think I’m talking mostly about the physicaloceanographic aspects of it, but it certainly proved tobe true, and perhaps might have been noticed evenearlier, in the egg and larva work. I’m not going tocriticize the biologists at this stage; I am sure there areenough of them to do it for each other.But this was a primitive period of physical oceanography.Out in the <strong>California</strong> Current we foundstrange shapes that did not fit any of the concepts wehad in mind. There were unexpected loops and whorlsin the temperature field on various scales. We calculatedthat the topography of this sea surface had undulationson a scale that we hadn’t anticipated. And whatwere these?At that time, someone decided they must be internalwaves of a semidiurnal period, and we invited a verydistinguished Austrian oceanographer, Albert Defant,to come and work on it. He came for a year or so andtried to make some accounting in terms of the conceptof semidiurnal internal waves, but that wasn’t the rightanswer. In fact, when he left, I was assigned to carryout, on the later cruises, the same kind of calculationsthat he had made for the earlier ones. But it seemedobvious to me that this was wrong, and I was able bythat time-believe it or not, with Frances’s encouragementand Roger Revelle’s education-to approachpeople in the right way and say that we should not dothis sort of smoothing any more.The program, of course, was not just physicaloceanography, but was intended to include biologyand chemistry as well. Warren Wooster was a chemicaloceanographer in those days before he moved moreinto the physical end. We did try to measure oxygen,which we did successfully. We were not so successfulwith nutrients at that time. We tried in the first year orso, in fact, to measure chlorophyll, but our primitivetechniques were not good enough. Finally, thechlorophyll program was dropped and only recentlyreinstituted.We did, on the basis of, say, the first ten years ofdata, begin to find some reasonable patterns relatingsome variables to others. As you recall from readingthe proceedings of the 1958 Rancho Santa Fe Symposium(CalCOFZ <strong>Reports</strong>, <strong>Vol</strong>. VZZ), people such asJohn Radovich had even then been able to establishrelations between some patterns of fish distributionsand the sea surface temperature anomalies. There wererelations between those two and various kinds of fishthat were taken both commercially and by the sportsfishermen; that is, there were nonseasonal northwardand southward movements of various species that tiedin rather well with variations in the physical characteristicsof the ocean.Also, even at that period, the data showed an inverserelation between the temperature and the zooplanktonvolume. With only seven or eight years ofdata, the statistics were not as convincing as one40
REID: AN OCEANOGRAPHER’S PERSPECTIVE<strong>CalCOFI</strong> Rep., <strong>Vol</strong>. XXIII, <strong>1982</strong>would like, but I think both of those conjectures havebeen borne out by the following twenty years of data,as shown in the recent studies by Bernal and Chelton.So we have accomplished some things and establishedsome relations and patterns, but we haven’t learnedeverything. We certainly have not yet learned enoughabout the system to make a firm prediction about thesuccess of each year class of the major fisheries.Now, does that make us unique in studying theocean? I don’t know. We’ve done a number of thingsin the <strong>California</strong> Current domain, including work withdrogues and direct measurements of flow with GEK’s.We’ve studied such things as inertial rotation andupwelling; I won’t try to list all of the things thebiologists have done in this program.But in general, what have the <strong>CalCOFI</strong> meetingsachieved? What has been discussed or, to put itanother way, what has not been discussed at thesemeetings in the thirty years that I have been attendingthem? I remember that, at the time, the earlier conferencesseemed to be dominated by minutely detailedpresentations of successions of year classes of variousspecies beginning from before the time of the Flood.After all, I suppose Noah was the first oceanographer.(I mean Noah the biblical character, not the governmentalbody. But I think the record shows that afteronly one major cruise he left the field and took upgrowing grapes.) But as a newcomer to the field, Ifound some of those presentations as dreadful a boreas some of my discussions of the GEK must haveseemed to Dick Croker and to Ahlie and others.After all, I expected that the physical oceanographerswould have the whole problem solved within ayear or two. (I was very young.) But after a while itbegan to appear that the problem was a great deal morecomplicated, difficult, and in fact much more interestingthan I had imagined. The sum of all of thosecharts on long, long sheets of butcher paper (audiovisualaids were rather primitive at that time) began totake some kind of effect.The term ecology was not used so frequently or solightly in those days, but is that what we were up to,even then, whether we recognized it or not? The topicsdiscussed covered everything-winds, currents, temperatures,eggs and larvae, salinities, nutrients, chlorophyll,oxygen, food webs, internal waves, diurnalmigration, inshore and offshore populations, eddies ,spawning seasons, upwelling, narrow- and widerangingspecies, larval survival, catch per unit effort,competition among species, chlorophyll maximum,and light penetration. I know I’ve left out a number ofitems, but we can’t go on all day with this.How many times have you heard someone in thisfield suggest that there should be a meeting involvingpeople in all of the disciplines appropriate to fisheries,or to ocean circulation, or to the nutrient distributions,or to ocean productivity? Anyone who has attended<strong>CalCOFI</strong> meetings for any length of time and listenedcarefully would have learned that no one of theseproblems can be attacked separately. We must takebits of information from all of these fields and putthem together. Each contributes to the understandingof the others. They are simply different aspects of thesame problem.At CalCOFJ we have for years maintained a breadthof view and assembled a range of disciplines andinterests that is outstanding among the meetings I attend.Indeed, so many scientific meetings are becomingmore and more narrowly focused. This may beproper in some cases, of course, but we should at leastsee that some meetings are broad enough to encouragepeople from wide ranges of disciplines to attend andexchange information and ideas.At last year’s meeting, we had an excellent, concisepresentation on the state of the fisheries, with somehistorical review. Later John Hunter stated, amongother things, that the anchovy population off southern<strong>California</strong> eats about thirty million tons of copepodseach year. Now, it’s not the first time 1 had heard that,or analogous information, but somehow the context inwhich his facts were put really got to me. All of asudden, I realized that what we have done in Cal-COFI’s history is to assemble the world’s greatest andmost nearly complete set of background informationbearing upon an ecosystem of this scale. Of coursewe’ve not done enough. The word ecology has beenused much too lightly by many people, and we arenot yet ready to say that we understand thisecosystem-that is, that of the waters off the<strong>California</strong>s-but are we not in a much better positionthan most such groups?This may be what the creators of this program hadin mind, or they might have, more than thirty yearsago, expected easier and narrower solutions. I don’tknow, but in any case, I think they have built verywell. It is our turn now to continue putting these manypieces of information together to try to understand thesystem. I think the burden is on us for two reasons.One is that we owe it to the people who created andsupported the program. The other is that we may alreadybe closer to understanding our system than anyother group is for its own particular part of the ocean.It would be dreadful if we fell behind.I would like to mention a little more about thepeople who have spoken today. As I said, in her presentationFrances did not talk very much about thescience she did. She made very little reference to herscience, though she has done a great deal. Instead, she41
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130' 125. I200 I 15' 11001 I I I 1