Jean Abraham - Shadac

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Model Comparison: Population and Employment DataCBOGMSIM(Gruber)RANDCOMPAREHBSM(LEWIN)HIPSM(URBAN)PopulationSurvey Data2002 SIPP 2005 Feb/MarchCPS2008 SIPP 2002-2005MEPS2009/2010 CPSEmploymentDataBLS NationalCompensationSurveyBLS NationalCompensationSurveyKFF EmployerSurvey;Statistics of U.S.BusinessesKFF EmployerSurvey & 1997RWJF EmployerSurveyStatistics of U.S.BusinessesCalibrationRe-weighted toreflect U.S.populationprojections2008-2017Re-weighted to2008 March CPSRe-weighted toreflect 2010and beyondage-sex-racedistributionRe-weighted to2009 MarchCPS onpopulationattributes andcoverageRe-weightedand adjusted toalign withcoverage,income,expenditures,and firmdistribution asof 2009
Data Infrastructure: PremiumsKey Data Sources:•Medical Expenditure Panel Survey-Household Component•Medical Expenditure Panel Survey-Insurance Component•Kaiser Family Foundation/HRET Employer Health BenefitsSurvey
Page 1 and 2: Developing Projections for HealthRe
Page 3 and 4: Welcome and Introductions• Lynn B
Page 5 and 6: Featured SpeakerDanielle HolahanPro
Page 7 and 8: Predicting the Effects of PPACA:A C
Page 9: Questions Addressed Today• What a
Page 12 and 13: Methodology• Conducted a comprehe
Page 14 and 15: Data Infrastructure: Individuals an
Page 18 and 19: Data Infrastructure: PremiumsESI Pr
Page 20 and 21: Non-Group Premium Data and Construc
Page 22 and 23: How are Policies Simulated?Establis
Page 24 and 25: Simple Example: Elasticity• Avail
Page 26 and 27: Approaches to Modeling Behavior•
Page 28 and 29: Behavior of FirmsCBOGMSIM(Gruber)RA
Page 30 and 31: Comparing Estimates from Various Mo
Page 32 and 33: Potential Questions to Ask• Polic
Page 34 and 35: Concluding Remarks• Microsimulati
Page 36 and 37: New York State Exchange Planning:Us
Page 38 and 39: New York’s Use of Simulation Mode

Jean Abraham - Shadac

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