Jean Abraham - Shadac

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Potential Questions to Ask• Policy Scenarios– To what extent can a model incorporate decisions aboutstate-based Exchange functions or other decisions to bemade by state policymakers that would affect premiumsand coverage decisions (e.g., pooling individual and smallgroups)?– How easily can certain provisions be relaxed in order togauge their importance?
• OutputPotential Questions to Ask– To what extent can a model generate information aboutdistributional effects (e.g., attributes of the newlyinsured)?– How might the model results be used to assess the impactof the policy from an economic standpoint?– What value does the model have after 2014? How can itbe used longer-term regarding implementation?
Page 1 and 2: Developing Projections for HealthRe
Page 3 and 4: Welcome and Introductions• Lynn B
Page 5 and 6: Featured SpeakerDanielle HolahanPro
Page 7 and 8: Predicting the Effects of PPACA:A C
Page 9: Questions Addressed Today• What a
Page 12 and 13: Methodology• Conducted a comprehe
Page 14 and 15: Data Infrastructure: Individuals an
Page 16 and 17: Model Comparison: Population and Em
Page 18 and 19: Data Infrastructure: PremiumsESI Pr
Page 20 and 21: Non-Group Premium Data and Construc
Page 22 and 23: How are Policies Simulated?Establis
Page 24 and 25: Simple Example: Elasticity• Avail
Page 26 and 27: Approaches to Modeling Behavior•
Page 28 and 29: Behavior of FirmsCBOGMSIM(Gruber)RA
Page 30 and 31: Comparing Estimates from Various Mo
Page 34 and 35: Concluding Remarks• Microsimulati
Page 36 and 37: New York State Exchange Planning:Us
Page 38 and 39: New York’s Use of Simulation Mode

Jean Abraham - Shadac

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