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On the Use of Offensive Cyber Capabilities - Belfer Center for ...

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effectively disabled uranium enrichment until it was detected five months later. 9In one generation, <strong>the</strong> “weapons” <strong>of</strong> cyberspace developed at a pace orders <strong>of</strong>magnitude faster than <strong>for</strong> any o<strong>the</strong>r battlespace in history.This evolution also corresponds with a staggering growth in connectivity.In 1981, Arpanet boasted 213 hosts. 10 By 2010, <strong>the</strong> Internet linked almost 1billion. 11 And although airspace covers <strong>the</strong> entire globe, even an aircraft usingscramjet technology would require over an hour to travel halfway around <strong>the</strong>world. 12 Network communications, including those required <strong>for</strong> cyberoperations, can make <strong>the</strong> same trip in under a second. 13 Not only has <strong>the</strong> cyberdomain expanded at astronomical rates, it has done so while creating atechnological framework whose speed has no equivalent in <strong>the</strong> physical realm.For many <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se reasons, cyber policy is struggling to keep pace.Governments have recognized <strong>the</strong> potentially significant vulnerabilities in (andopportunities <strong>of</strong>) cyberspace, and <strong>the</strong>y have rushed to understand <strong>the</strong> nature <strong>of</strong>this new, man-made battlespace – a battlespace, one should not <strong>for</strong>get, that isalso a market, a ga<strong>the</strong>ring place, a social club, a business tool, and much more.While <strong>the</strong> particular technology comprising <strong>the</strong> cyber domain may change, itseems likely that interconnected and interoperable communications technologieswill persist and conflicts will take place within this domain <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>eseeablefuture.9 (Zetter, 2011)10 (History <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Internet)11 (Internet Systems Consortium, 2012)12 This figure <strong>of</strong> course assumes <strong>the</strong> existence <strong>of</strong> a tactical scramjet aircraft, instantaneousacceleration to max speed, instantaneous deceleration and no external limitations (such as fuel).For in<strong>for</strong>mation on scramjet technology, see (Scramjet)13 This figure is derived from <strong>the</strong> transmission speed <strong>of</strong> fiber optic cables <strong>of</strong> approximately124,000 miles per second.9

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