O-4 CONDITIONAL ESTIMATION IN AN EXPONENTIAL MODELSmail Mahdi<strong>Department</strong> <strong>of</strong> Computer Science, Mathematics <strong>and</strong> Physics, Cave HillPreliminary test procedure is <strong>of</strong>ten used in statistical inference to fit appropriate models for data sets.In analysis <strong>of</strong> variance, the procedure is used to test whether interactions <strong>of</strong> higher order aresignificant before doing the final inference. In this paper, we present an overview <strong>of</strong> this procedure<strong>and</strong> apply it to estimate the parameters <strong>of</strong> an exponential population. We also present a study on theaccuracy <strong>of</strong> the proposed estimator.O-5 MONGOOSE PREDATION ON ISLAND FAUNA:AN EXPERIMENTAL TEST IN A JAMAICAN DRY FORESTByron S. Wilson <strong>and</strong> Peter Vogel<strong>Department</strong> <strong>of</strong> Life Sciences, MonaAn overriding theme in the extinction <strong>of</strong> isl<strong>and</strong> reptiles is the introduction (by man) <strong>of</strong> potentmammalian predators such as dogs, cats, rats, <strong>and</strong> most notoriously, the Indian mongoose, Herpestesauropunctatus (Pimm, 1986, Case <strong>and</strong> Bolger 1991). Although the evidence for the role <strong>of</strong> themongoose in causing reptile extinctions is largely correlative, it is nevertheless overwhelming(Barbour 1930, Case <strong>and</strong> Bolger 1991). Isl<strong>and</strong> extinctions following the introduction <strong>of</strong> themongoose have been reported frequently, especially in the Caribbean (Case <strong>and</strong> Bolger 1991,Schwartz <strong>and</strong> Henderson 1991, Corke 1992). Besides man, no exotic predator has ever beenimplicated in so many isl<strong>and</strong> extinctions. In Jamaica alone, the mongoose has been associated withthe extinction or near extinction <strong>of</strong> at least two endemic birds <strong>and</strong> four endemic reptiles.Unfortunately, little experimental research effort has been directed at the mongoose issue.Here we describe research aimed at determining the efficacy <strong>of</strong> using mongoose control as a longtermmanagement strategy for preserving biodiversity. Specifically, we outline an experimentalstudy that seeks to determine the community-wide consequences <strong>of</strong> mongoose removal. We haveestablished experimental (=mongoose removal) <strong>and</strong> control (no mongoose removal) plots in theinterior <strong>of</strong> the Hellshire Hills, <strong>and</strong> are currently employing a variety <strong>of</strong> census techniques to study theresponse <strong>of</strong> selected prey species <strong>of</strong> the mongoose. In particular, we are using an extensive series <strong>of</strong>pitfall traps to index the abundance <strong>of</strong> terrestrial species such as lizards, snakes, <strong>and</strong> largearthropods (e.g., arachnids,insects). In addition, we are using survey techniques to estimate the relative abundance <strong>of</strong> theCaribbean ground dove, <strong>and</strong> have established mark-recapture plots to examine the demographicresponse <strong>of</strong> Anolis lizards. Hence, our efforts focus on elucidating the demographic response <strong>of</strong>diverse taxa to the experimental removal <strong>of</strong> a potent exotic predator.In this presentation we will document the effectiveness <strong>of</strong> our mongoose removal program, <strong>and</strong>present some preliminary results concerning the demographic responses <strong>of</strong> targeted species. We alsoreport on some exciting results from our on-going efforts to document biodiversity in the HellshireHills. Specifically, we describe the discovery <strong>of</strong> a population <strong>of</strong> the rare <strong>and</strong> beautiful Jamaicanlizard, the Blue-tailed galliwasp -- known to science from only two specimens -- both collected over50 years ago at Portl<strong>and</strong> Ridge in Clarendon.24
We thus not only document that the species still exists, but also delineate a major range extension forthe species. In addition, we highlight the recent collection <strong>of</strong> two endemic snake species notpreviously recorded from the Hellshire Hills -- the Jamaican boa (or "yellow snake"), <strong>and</strong> a form <strong>of</strong>West Indian dwarf boa (unresolved taxonomically at the time <strong>of</strong> this writing).ReferencesBarbour, T. (1930). Some faunistic changes in the Lesser Antilles. Proc. New Engl<strong>and</strong> Zool. Club.11:73-85.Case, T. J. & D. T. Bolger (1991). <strong>The</strong> role <strong>of</strong> introduced species in shaping the distribution <strong>and</strong>abundance <strong>of</strong> isl<strong>and</strong> reptiles. Evolutionary Ecology 5:272-290.Corke, D. (1992). <strong>The</strong> status <strong>and</strong> conservation needs <strong>of</strong> the terrestrial herpet<strong>of</strong>auna <strong>of</strong> theWindward Isl<strong>and</strong>s (West Indies). Biological Conservation 62:47-58.Pimm, S. L. (1986). Community stability <strong>and</strong> structure. Pages 309-329 in M. E. Soule, editor.Conservation biology: the science <strong>of</strong> scarcity <strong>and</strong> diversity. Sinauer Associates, Inc.Sunderl<strong>and</strong>, Massachusetts, USA.Schwartz, A. & R. W. Henderson (1991). Amphibians <strong>and</strong> reptiles <strong>of</strong> the West Indies:descriptions, distributions, <strong>and</strong> natural history. University <strong>of</strong> Florida Press, Gainesville,Florida, USA.O-6 THE ABUNDANCE AND DISTRIBUTION OF EPIBENTHICBRYOZOANS ON THE ROOTS OF RHIZOPHORA MANGLE INAND AROUND KINGSTON HARBOUR, JAMAICAMarcia Marilyn Chevannes CrearyCentre for Marine Sciences, Mona<strong>The</strong> abundance <strong>and</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> the bryozoan species on the prop roots <strong>of</strong> the red mangrove,Rhizophore mangle, at diverse locations around Kingston Harbour are described. Specificenvironmental parameters were examined to investigate their relative effects on the pattern <strong>of</strong>abundance <strong>and</strong> distribution observed. <strong>The</strong> study was carried out in four mangrove areas (PortRoyal, Great Salt Pond, Dawkins Pond <strong>and</strong> Hunt's Bay) over a 15 month period between September1994 <strong>and</strong> December 1995 <strong>and</strong> included a total <strong>of</strong> 12 stations.<strong>The</strong> submerged roots <strong>of</strong> some mangrove tree species provide a natural substrate for the attachment<strong>of</strong> a variety <strong>of</strong> sessile organisms including bryozoans. <strong>The</strong> phylum bryozoa is characterized byhaving lophophores <strong>and</strong> are mainly marine colonial organisms forming encrustations or tufts on anassortment <strong>of</strong> substrates. <strong>The</strong>y are found in a variety <strong>of</strong> habitats around Kingston Harbour whichexhibit differing degrees <strong>of</strong> exposure to pollution.This study identified 18 species <strong>of</strong> bryozoa inhabiting the rhizophore community. Diversity wasfound to be highest in Port Royal with 16 species while Hunt's Bay had the lowest diversity havingonly 3 species. Great Salt Pond <strong>and</strong> Dawkins Pond had 8 <strong>and</strong> 3 species respectively.25
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ReferencesClarke-Harris, D.O. (1998
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Todd G. A., Daniels M. J. and Callo
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