Intergenerational Voter Preference Survey - Preliminary Results ...

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Figure 6: Party currently supported (PARTINT(Q2))PARTINT(Q2) by Demeny Eligibility is summarized in Table 3 and Figure 6.Min-nano Toh is the party with third largest support for both Demeny Eligible and not.Among Non-Demeny Eligible voters, support for Min-nano Toh is close to that of JDP.Figure 6: Party <strong>Preference</strong> by Demeny Eligibility12
PARTINT(Q2)NotEligibleDemenyEligibleTotalJapan Democratic Party 10.95 12.65 11.80Liberal Democratic Party 14.83 12.45 13.64Komei Toh 2.03 2.63 2.33Japan Communist Party 1.74 2.92 2.33Social Democratic Party 1.07 0.29 0.68Min-nanto Toh 10.17 7.39 8.79Kokumin Shin Toh 0.39 0.39 0.39Shin Toh Nippon 0.10 0.00 0.05Sin Toh Daichi 0.10 0.00 0.05Other 0.39 0.68 0.53None (does not suppor any party) 58.24 60.60 59.42Total 100.00 100.00 100.00Table 7: Party Supported (PARTINT(Q2) at Time of <strong>Survey</strong>, by Demeny EligibilityWe now turn to responses when we asked the group who are Demeny Eligible (i.e.have minors) who would actually be casting votes (proxy votes) on behalf of theirchildren, how they would vote on behalf of children (PARTINT_C (Q6)) and then howthey would vote themselves (PARTINT_O (Q7)). Reponses are summarized in Table 8and Figure 7.There are two things to be noted in Table 8. First, some parents cast their children’svote differently from their own (columns Child and Own). In addition, some parentschange their own choice once they are able to cast a vote for their child (column fromTable 7 and Own). This results in reduction of proportion of those supporting no party(None) declines from 60.7 % to 40.1%. Proportion of “None” for Child is even lower at38.9%. (Compare Figures 6 and 7). This suggests that the original lack of support for aparticular single party is due to lack of a “best fit” party, i.e. one that is sufficiently closeto the voter’s preference. However, with two votes, it becomes possible to combinetwo parties, in order to find a better fit.Due to reduction of None voters, share of all parties increase with Demeny voting. Thetwo major parties and Min-nano Toh have significantly larger shares with Demenyvoting. In particular Min-nano Toh’s Child vote share is larger than that of JapanDemocratic Party. Relationship between own and child vote is summarized in theAppendix and regressional analysis is in Section 7..13
Page 3 and 4: a further question regarding the ag
Page 5 and 6: Figure 1: Proportion of Demeny Elig
Page 7 and 8: Figure 4: Estimate Demeny Eligible
Page 9 and 10: Non- Eligible(no minors)Demeny Elig
Page 11: 5. Voter preference over PartyWe as
Page 15 and 16: Relationship between own vote and c
Page 17 and 18: Party Supported in LastElectionSurv
Page 19 and 20: Other 15 1.5 3 0.3None 313 30.5 233
Page 21 and 22: out rate among age groups. 6 Howeve
Page 23 and 24: Full time housewife -0.339 -0.9 -0.
Page 25 and 26: Energy 0.444 0.9 Energy 0.766 0.76F
Page 27 and 28: and childrearing support second mos
Page 29 and 30: The survey also asked their party p
Page 31 and 32: AppendixQuestionnaireAdministered D
Page 33 and 34: 5 Social Democratic6 Min-nanto Toh7
Page 35 and 36: 3 Parents decide who votes4 Each pa
Page 37: Table A2: Parent Second /Child Most

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