Intergenerational Voter Preference Survey - Preliminary Results ...

More documents

Recommendations

Info

proportion of “Other” votes in Demeny Voting Block. We asked the respondents towrite what “Other” and they mostly wrote “Osaka Ishin no Toh”.The survey took placein December, after that Osaka double election.Last General ElectionNow we turn to PARTLAST(Q9), how the survey respondents had voted in the lastgeneral election. This is summarized in Figure 10. In Table 9, we also present the actualbreakdown of party votes in the last election. This suggests that the respondents arenot representative in terms of party preference. Most notably, interpreting only thosethat chose a party went to vote and those that answered None did no, The actual resultsof Proportional Representation in the last general election were JDP 42.41% and LDP26.73%. The survey respondents voted more pro-JDP than the general voterpopulation. Min-nano Toh which had the third largest number of votes among surveyrespondents only had 4.27% among all the voters in the election. This was only the 6 thlargest share. Komei Toh had the third largest share in the general election had thethird largest share in the last election.Figure 10: Vote in last general election (PARTLAST (Q9))16
Party Supported in LastElection<strong>Survey</strong>PARTLAST (Q9):PARTLAST (Q9)without NoneActual ElectorateJapan Democratic Party 45.73 60.11 42.41Liberal Democratic Party 17.14 22.53 26.73Komei Toh 2.62 3.44 11.45Japan Communist Party 3.3 4.34 7.03Social Democratic Party 1.07 1.41 4.27Min-nano Toh 5.49 7.22 4.27Kokumin Shin Toh 0.15 0.2 1.73Shin Toh Nippon 0.19 0.25 0.75Sin Toh Daichi 0.05 0.07 0.62Other 0.34 0.45 0.74None (does not support anyparty)23.92 0 0Table 9: <strong>Survey</strong> Respondents Votes and Actual Electoral Outcome in Last GeneralElectionTable 10 shows difference in party support according to three groups, at least one childunder 19, only children over 20, and no children. The last two groups are aggregatedinto non Demeny Eligible voters in Table 11.Under 19 Over 20 NoneJapan Democratic Party 499 48.6 274 53.3 168 32.6Liberal Democratic Party 171 16.7 87 16.9 95 18.4Komei Toh 32 3.1 12 2.3 10 1.9Japan Communist 34 3.3 14 2.7 20 3.9Social Democratic 5 0.5 10 1.9 7 1.4Min-nano Toh 48 4.7 29 5.6 35 6.8Kokumin Shin Toh 0 0.0 1 0.2 2 0.4Shin Toh Nippon 2 0.2 1 0.2 1 0.2Sin Toh Daichi 0 0.0 0 0.0 1 0.2Other 3 0.3 1 0.2 2 0.4None 233 22.7 85 16.5 174 33.8Total 1027 100.0 514 100.0 515 100.0Table 10: Vote in Last General Election (PARTLAST (Q9)) by GroupsThere is significant difference between Table 6 and Table 9. Table 6 is current17
Page 3 and 4: a further question regarding the ag
Page 5 and 6: Figure 1: Proportion of Demeny Elig
Page 7 and 8: Figure 4: Estimate Demeny Eligible
Page 9 and 10: Non- Eligible(no minors)Demeny Elig
Page 11 and 12: 5. Voter preference over PartyWe as
Page 13 and 14: PARTINT(Q2)NotEligibleDemenyEligibl
Page 15: Relationship between own vote and c
Page 19 and 20: Other 15 1.5 3 0.3None 313 30.5 233
Page 21 and 22: out rate among age groups. 6 Howeve
Page 23 and 24: Full time housewife -0.339 -0.9 -0.
Page 25 and 26: Energy 0.444 0.9 Energy 0.766 0.76F
Page 27 and 28: and childrearing support second mos
Page 29 and 30: The survey also asked their party p
Page 31 and 32: AppendixQuestionnaireAdministered D
Page 33 and 34: 5 Social Democratic6 Min-nanto Toh7
Page 35 and 36: 3 Parents decide who votes4 Each pa
Page 37: Table A2: Parent Second /Child Most

Intergenerational Voter Preference Survey - Preliminary Results ...

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

Delete template?

Save as template?