FeatureCIL may hike prices in 2011Coal Insights BureauAfter a year-long gap, <strong>coal</strong> prices in India are on therise. Days after the successful float of its initial publicoffering, Coal India Ltd (CIL) announced a rise in theprices of higher grade <strong>coal</strong> to be charged from select users. Thisincrease would bring parity with import prices of Indonesian<strong>coal</strong>, and perhaps help restrict the demand for those gradesin the domestic market. For other grades too, the tremendousappetite for <strong>coal</strong> in the economy is sure to lead to an increasein prices, sometime next year.Along with demand growth, the revision of wages andCIL’s plan to increase the share of washery grade <strong>coal</strong> in totaldespatch would put pressure on its margins, thus necessitatingan increase in prices.Yet another major factor would be the introductionof the provision for profit sharing by <strong>coal</strong> companieswith project-affected communities. The distribution of 26percent of profits earned from new projects to the localpopulace will be compelling enough for CIL to seek a pricerevision.Coal minister Sriprakash Jaiswal has hinted just as much,and CIL sources indicated that a price increase could precedeor follow the retirement of chairman, P.S. Bhattacharyya,scheduled for early 2011. In such a scenario, the recent surge ininternational <strong>coal</strong> prices might look tempting enough to forcean early decision.Import parity priceIn late October, CIL decided to charge import parity price forsupplying higher grade (Grade A and B) <strong>coal</strong> from specificconsumers with immediate effect.Industry sources said they have received a communicationin this respect from Western Coalfields Ltd (WCL). Thecommunication from WCL stated that the board of its parentcompany, CIL, has directed all the subsidiaries to supplyGrade A and B <strong>coal</strong> to specified consumers under the MoU ata special price.This special price would be determined on import paritybasis in respect of <strong>coal</strong> imported from Indonesia as per themethodology suggested by the <strong>coal</strong> ministry. The special pricewill be reset and re-fixed every six months based on the latestprice of imported <strong>coal</strong> from Indonesia.The <strong>coal</strong> ministry has further directed to sell high qualitynon-coking <strong>coal</strong> at export parity price as determined by importprice at the nearest port minus 15 percent.To start with, the revised price will be in effect for somecement sector consumers of Western Coalfields Ltd (WCL),a subsidiary of CIL. These cement companies have beendirected to execute MoU with WCL for supply of Grade B<strong>coal</strong> at this special rate. These consumers have further beendirected to send their responses to the proposal within afortnight.However, if these companies decline the offer, this <strong>coal</strong>will be offered to other consumers having requirement forthe same. The revision in prices is likely to impact spongeiron and cement manufacturers in particular, the sourcessaid.A price revision in 2011?CIL is also likely to increase the prices of various grades of<strong>coal</strong> from April-May of 2011, Coal Secretary C. Balakrishnansaid. “CIL may have to increase prices after revision of wagesof its workers sometime in February-March 2011. Once that(wage revision) is done, it may pitch for upward revision in<strong>coal</strong> prices in April-May. The chairman has already givenindications about this,” he said.Balakrishnan, however, did not elaborate on the likelyrange of the increase. CIL had last revised prices by around10 percent on an average in October 2009, after a two-yeargap.Meanwhile, Jaiswal has cited the profit-sharingproposal under the Mines and Mineral (Development andRegulation) Amendment Bill as a trigger for a possibleprice increase.“There may be a price rise,” he said, but insisted that theministry will go ahead with the proposal anyway. The draftbill, which proposes that mining companies must share26 percent of profit or 10 percent of royalty, whichever ishigher, with the displaced people, is likely to come intoforce soon.The CIL chairman, however, has cited yet another ground– increased share of washed <strong>coal</strong> - for an increase in <strong>coal</strong> pricesin India, though on a longer term.“We have already started work on setting up 20 washerieswith a combined capacity to wash 111.3 million tons of <strong>coal</strong> andall these washeries will be in place by 2017. In addition, we aresetting up linked washeries for all the existing and upcomingprojects with annually capacity of 2 mtpa,” Bhattacharyyasaid.He further said the increased supply of washed <strong>coal</strong> willenable the company to charge a premium over and above thenotified price of ROM <strong>coal</strong> and that will immensely benefit thecompany’s bottomline.“If quality <strong>coal</strong> is offered to consumers, we have to sell itat a premium, but certainly at a discount over imported <strong>coal</strong>COAL INSIGHTS 24 November 2010
Featureprice so that the cost of generation of power remains low,” hesaid.Surge in international pricesMeanwhile, <strong>coal</strong> prices across South Africa, Australia andother places continued to surge in November on the back ofhigher demand from Asian countries, traders said.The price of AP1 grade South African <strong>coal</strong> was quoted atabout $102.50 per ton on November 11, up $1.65 comparedwith $100.85 quoted on November 10. In Australia, the pricessurged by around $1.75 per ton to $108.00 from $106.25 per tonon November 10.Firmness was also seen in Indonesian and Columbianmarkets, traders said, but exact details were not available.Though details of thermal <strong>coal</strong> export from Australia toAsian countries is not available, the data available with ICMWsuggests that South Africa’s <strong>coal</strong> export to Asian countriessurged 28 percent month-on-month in October.The total export to Asian countries form RBCT in Octoberrose to 4.25 million tons (mt) from 3.32 mt in September. Forthe 10 months ended October 2010, total imports by Asiancountries exceeded 36.04 mt, about a 13 percent increase over31.79 mt posted till September.The spurt in international <strong>coal</strong> prices, particularly ofSouth African origin, has forced a large number of Indianconsumers, especially those in the cement sector, to go slowon finalising deals for imported thermal <strong>coal</strong>, an industrysource said.“Not only have prices become slightly unattractive at over$100 per ton fob for South African <strong>coal</strong>, for a majority of Indianconsumers, higher stocks with stock-in-trade dealers is alsoleading to lower enquiries from Indian suppliers,” the sourcesaid.“There had been a moderate increase in import of thermal<strong>coal</strong> by a number of traders in the last two months. They hadstocked the material and are now looking at opportunities tosell at higher price after the recent jump in international prices.However, most of the consumers have not yet made up theirminds to make purchases at over $100 per ton fob and theyare awaiting prices to soften before making any commitment,”said a consumer.“Very few deals have been struck by Indian buyers forSouth African <strong>coal</strong> in recent times,” he added.Coal prices started rising sharply from middle of Octoberbacked by huge demand from China and according to forecastby leading brokerage/analyst firms, are likely to go up furtherby 15 percent in 2011.COAL INSIGHTS 25 November 2010