Tablets seen as a saviourTablet devices like the iPad have beenhailed as a saviour of the publishingindustry as they introduce the potentialfor subscription-based applications(apps). The New Zealand Heraldlaunched the first iPad news app in thecountry in 2010 and reported that bythe end of the year 10,000 iPadowners were using it each week. 29The application was awarded officialhonouree status at the <strong>2011</strong> WebbyAwards, warranting special mentionalthough it wasn’t in the top fiveclassified nominees. 30 Commentatorshave pointed out, however, that forpublishers, the key will be comingup with an iPad application that issuperior to most free news websites. 31Tablet devices and e-readers are alsoseen as game-changing for the bookpublishing market, although industryviews vary on what impact e-readerswill have on physical books sales, andhow soon. Since the iPad’s arrival anda reported enthusiastic take-up of theKobo e-reader, publishers have beenproducing more electronic content.New products are also being developedfor smartphones and the iPod Touch.Total circulation and advertising spending by segment (NZ$ millions)Historical dataForecast dataNZ$ 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2012 2013 2014 <strong>2015</strong><strong>2011</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>CAGRTotal publishing market 1,836 1,867 1,806 1,625 1,593 1,542 1,604 1,672 1,715 1,760 2.0%Total magazinecirculation spendTotal newspapercirculation spendTotal magazineadvertising spendTotal newspaperadvertising spend263 258 251 229 215 207 213 214 218 222 0.6%247 249 253 250 251 251 261 269 278 286 2.6%188 196 192 168 172 165 175 189 199 207 3.7%818 839 779 643 611 574 608 653 674 697 2.7%Total book spend 321 325 331 335 344 345 346 347 347 347 0.2%* NegligibleSources: Magazine Publishers Association, Newspaper Publishers Association, Book Publishers Association, APN, Fairfax, <strong>PwC</strong> New Zealand, Wilkofsky Gruen AssociatesPrint and digital circulation spending (NZ$ millions)Historical dataForecast dataNZ$ 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2012 2013 2014 <strong>2015</strong><strong>2011</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>CAGRTotal magazine circulation 263 258 251 229 215 207 213 214 218 222 0.6%Magazine print 263 258 251 229 215 207 211 213 213 211 -0.4%Magazine digital n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a * 1 1 6 11 n/aTotal newspaper 247 249 253 250 251 251 261 269 278 286 2.6%Newspaper print 247 249 253 250 251 251 260 268 275 281 2.2%Newspaper digital n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a * 1 1 3 6 n/aTotal book spend 321 325 331 335 344 345 346 347 347 347 0.2%Consumer andeducational book printConsumer and educationalbook digital321 325 331 335 343 342 342 342 340 339 -0.2%n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 3 4 6 7 8 51.6%* NegligibleSources: Magazine Publishers Association, Newspaper Publishers Association, Book Publishers Association, APN, Fairfax, <strong>PwC</strong> New Zealand, Wilkofsky Gruen Associates29 ‘On the up ... Herald readership soars’, The New Zealand Herald, 15 February 2010.30 ‘NZ Herald iPad app honoured at Webbys’, NZ Herald staff, 14 April <strong>2011</strong>.31 ‘Feature is for book’, Karyn Scherer, The New Zealand Herald, 2 July 2010.26 <strong>Outlook</strong> | New Zealand <strong>Entertainment</strong> and <strong>Media</strong> <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>
Newspaper circulation (thousands)Historical dataForecast data2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2012 2013 2014 <strong>2015</strong><strong>2011</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>CAGRDaily print circulation 705 700 696 667 645 620 620 615 610 605 -1.3%Daily digital circulation n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 4 9 22 40 n/aSources: Audit Bureau of Circulations, <strong>PwC</strong> New Zealand, Wilkofsky Gruen AssociatesDemand for visual content is increasingin the digital world and publishingmust adapt. Video is expected to makeup most traffic on the Government’sUFB network. 32 APN’s Chief Executive,Brett Chenoweth, sees video contentas key to attracting an audience. Hepredicts video traffic will increase overthe forecast period and ultimatelymedia companies, including traditionalprint media, will need to make theirown. He does not however see APNdirectly competing with broadcasters.Rather, they will provide: “moreniche broadcasting and richerreporting of the news.” 33Publishers are becoming ambivalentabout the medium through whichthey deliver content as the boundariesbetween media blur. <strong>Media</strong>web publisherToni Myers says: “We don’t considerwe deliver consumer magazines to anaudience or readership; we deliver acommunity of interest to anyone whowants to engage with that community inwhatever forum – print, online, belowthe line or in social media.” 34“Social media is great for buildinga following or targeting a specificaudience but you need a wayof driving your audience fromsocial media platforms back toyour mobile/online platform.”APN’s Chief Executive, Brett Chenoweth32 ‘ISPs at risk of being left out in the cold’, Hamish Fletcher, The New Zealand Herald, 9 April <strong>2011</strong>.33 Brett Chenoweth, APN, to <strong>PwC</strong>, 18 April <strong>2011</strong>.34 ‘Magazine showcase: primed & loaded’, Patricia Moore, Admedia, 1 November 2010.New Zealand <strong>Entertainment</strong> and <strong>Media</strong> <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> | <strong>Outlook</strong> 27