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BusinessReport<br />
Africa, Middle East and Central Asia<br />
Turkey‘s<br />
economy<br />
A new champion?<br />
EGYPT<br />
INVESTING<br />
AFTER MUBARAK<br />
issue 1/2011 euro 4,00
PROFIL<br />
Niedersachsen’s economic strengths<br />
Logistics<br />
• Nine seaports, plus JadeWeser<br />
Port – Germany’s only deepwater<br />
port – from 2012<br />
• Comprehensive network of<br />
logistics hubs: an excellent<br />
infrastructure for intermodal<br />
transport<br />
2 BusinessReport 1/2010<br />
Energy<br />
• A broad energy mix: natural<br />
gas and crude oil, biomass,<br />
wind power, offshore and<br />
solar energy<br />
• A leader in all sectors of<br />
renewable energies: intensive<br />
use and development of the<br />
technologies of the future<br />
– Trade & Invest<br />
Automotive<br />
• Volkswagen Group is one of<br />
the world’s biggest car manufacturers<br />
• Some 700 businesses in supply<br />
industry<br />
• High degree of research in the<br />
automotive sector<br />
For more – visit www.nglobal.com<br />
Niedersachsen.<br />
German for Business<br />
Niedersachsen, the logistics state, connects the world by sea,<br />
air, road and rail through its central location, where the continent´s<br />
north-south and east-west transportation routes intersect.<br />
It is the home of Volkswagen, Airbus, Salzgitter Stahl,<br />
Meyer Werft Shipyard, Continental and TUI, to name a few.<br />
Hannover is known of the world’s biggest trade fairs as CeBIT<br />
and Hannover Messe.<br />
• 8 millions inhabitants<br />
• Hannover, state capital,<br />
516,000 inhabitans.<br />
• centered airport in Hannover<br />
Food industry<br />
• Niedersachsens food industry<br />
chain: crops, livestock farming,<br />
food safety, and food processing<br />
• One in two chickens, one in two<br />
potatoes, one in five litres of milk<br />
produced in Germany come from<br />
Niedersachsen<br />
Niedersachsen Global, NGlobal, is the foreign trade and inward investment agency of the State of Niedersachsen. The organization advises foreign companies<br />
looking to expand their business activities in the German market. It provides information on foreign trade to Niedersachsen companies that seek to<br />
enter into foreign markets. For more information visit us online and get in touch with us at: www.nglobal.com<br />
Turkey and Germany – Two countries with persistently good economic relations. The Federal State of Niedersachsen with its capital Hannover<br />
is one of the leading regions in Germany. To support further growth between Turkey and Germany, we founded the Türk-Alman<br />
Business Center (taBC). Our mission is to support German-Turkish business relations. Here we offer “one-stop-shopping” for Turkish companies that wish<br />
to expand their business activities to Europe. For further details please visit: www.tabc-niedersachsen.com<br />
Save the date and meet us at: 8th Foreign Trade Day, Hannover<br />
5 th<br />
German for Business.<br />
Life Sciences<br />
• Niedersachsen is home of<br />
around 250 life science companies<br />
• More than 11,000 healthcare<br />
professionals, over 200 highgrade<br />
hospitals, clinics, rehabilitation<br />
facilities<br />
The Conference will focus on Turkey and will take place during HANNOVER MESSE (4 - 8. April 2011) on Tuesday,<br />
5th April at the NORD/LB Forum.
Foto: dge<br />
EDITORIAL<br />
»I see boom times ahead of us«, wrote Ahmed Sedky to zenith BusinessReport on 5<br />
February 2011 from his Blackberry in Cairo. Sedky, the entrepreneur son of a German<br />
mother and former Egyptian premier Atef Sedky, who served for nearly ten<br />
years under ex-President Hosni Mubarak, added that the process of moving towards a<br />
democracy would inject unprecedented power into the economy. When he wrote those<br />
lines, Mubarak was a long way from conceding defeat. Western media were worried<br />
about the Islamic threat – with many fearing the army would let their weapons do the<br />
talking. So where was Sedky’s optimism coming from?<br />
The revolutionary uprisings within the Arab world initially unnerved European investors,<br />
but they do offer opportunities. After all, in the corrupt dictatorial systems, only<br />
those who knew the right functionaries could achieve anything – and that principle applied<br />
equally to local entrepreneurs and foreign companies. Major conglomerates managed<br />
just fine on that basis, but small to medium-sized enterprises often had to wait at the<br />
back of the queue before entering any markets, despite their desired expertise. Organisations<br />
and business facilitators sold their »exclusive access« to dictators – and sometimes<br />
that was their only source of income.<br />
In the societies of the Arab world, there are partners who want to go achieve something<br />
and young, educated workers. They have long seen themselves as the losers of the globalisation<br />
trend – and that is all about to change. Rainer Herret, head of the German-Arab<br />
Chamber of Industry and Commerce in Cairo, joined the demonstrators in Tahrir Square<br />
and then wrote a column about it for zenith BusinessReport (page 10).<br />
For about five years, Qatar had clearly been working on rising to the rank of smallest<br />
world power of all time – as the diplomatic go-between, major investor and now host of<br />
the Football World Cup 2022. zenith reporter Nils Metzger investigated the strategies of<br />
the »Qatar Investment Authority«. In her interview, Qatar expert Carla Everhardt presents<br />
a checklist for entrepreneurs wanting to venture into the Qatar market.<br />
But the cover story of this issue is about Turkey, the economic power now flexing its<br />
muscles not only in Europe but also in the Middle East. For decades, the economic performance<br />
of this country has not kept pace with its political aspirations. Turkey had been<br />
accumulating debt and earning a reputation as a country of emigrants. But 50 years after<br />
the signing of the German labour recruitment agreement for Turkish guest workers, many<br />
German-Turks are thinking about returning – and not out of homesickness, but for<br />
economic reasons.<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 03
PubLIShED by<br />
Deutscher Levante Verlag GmbH<br />
Linienstrasse 106<br />
D-10115 Berlin<br />
EDITOR-IN-CHIEF:<br />
Daniel Gerlach<br />
MANAGING EDITOR:<br />
Marcus Mohr<br />
EDITORS:<br />
Moritz Behrendt, Robert Chatterjee,<br />
Nils Metzger<br />
AUTHORS:<br />
Alexander von Hahn, Rainer Herret,<br />
Kamila Klepacki, Simona Pfister,<br />
Helen Staude, Özgür Uludag<br />
ART DIRECTOR:<br />
Lesprenger, Berlin<br />
PRINTED BY:<br />
GCC GmbH & Co. KG<br />
ADVERTISEMENT AND DISTRIBUTION:<br />
info@levante-verlag.de<br />
ADVERTISEMEN RATES:<br />
No 1, 1 August 2010<br />
COPYRIGHT:<br />
All rights reserved. Neither this<br />
publication nor any part of it may<br />
be reproduced or transmitted in any<br />
form or by any means without prior<br />
permission. Named articles present<br />
their author‘s views, not necessarily<br />
the editors‘ opinion.<br />
04 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
CONTENTS<br />
PROFILE<br />
06 banker and saviour<br />
Anvar Saidenov sails Kazakhstan‘s largest<br />
credit bank through the crisis<br />
uPDATES<br />
08 Billionaires and safaris<br />
MONEy AND POwER<br />
10 when performance really pays off<br />
Why Egypt‘s revolution is good for German<br />
business<br />
12 Pharao‘s last legacy<br />
A technology park lures IT giants nilewards<br />
TuRkEy<br />
14 Turkey wants to know<br />
Is the new economic power merely a<br />
challenger having a tilt at the title?<br />
16 Great Game in Anatolia<br />
The future of the Nabucco project<br />
18 underwater artery<br />
Istanbul digs deep for its traffic<br />
20 »Capital inflow is good,<br />
but dangerous«<br />
An interview with Sumru Altug<br />
about the rich man of the Bosporus<br />
22 Not yet on Cloud Seven<br />
At CeBIT Turkey‘s IT industry shows<br />
it heads into the right direction<br />
24 business lunch with a bosporus view<br />
Don‘t stay too short in Istanbul
picture: dge<br />
GCC REPORT<br />
26 Club of visionaries<br />
Qatar‘s Investment Authority silently<br />
went into ever bigger deals<br />
30 »Staying put is what Qataris want«<br />
Barrister Carla Everhardt about market entries<br />
in the soccer emirate<br />
32 Short news<br />
Kuwait, UAE and Saudi-Arabia<br />
PERSONAL ASSISTANT<br />
33 Diary entries and latest news<br />
from the cigars‘ bar<br />
BusinessReport 2/2011 05
PROFILE<br />
Banker and saviour<br />
When the Soviet Union collapsed,<br />
Kazakhstan appeared on the world stage<br />
and became a global resource supplier –<br />
until the 2008 financial crisis. Anvar Saidenov<br />
was called to rescue the country‘s biggest<br />
credit bank. Successfully, it seems so far<br />
by Alexander von Hahn<br />
In 2009, in the wake of the world financial<br />
crisis, Anvar Saidenov was appointed<br />
CEO of the BTA Bank, Kazakhstan’s<br />
biggest private banking institution, which<br />
collapsed under the USD 12.2 billion debt<br />
burden. The bank’s subsequent nationalization<br />
and successful debt restructuring –<br />
the biggest yet seen in emerging markets –<br />
makes Saidenov a rising star of international<br />
finance and one of the key figures of the<br />
Kazakh political elite.<br />
He is one of the youngest, yet most experienced<br />
of Kazakh bankers. Born in 1960 in<br />
Moscow and a Moscow State University<br />
graduate Saidenov earned his MSE in London<br />
at the School of Oriental and African<br />
Studies. Deputy Governor of the National<br />
Bank of Kazakhstan since 1996 he was appointed<br />
head of the National Investment<br />
Agency in 1998 and, in 2004, became<br />
Governor of the National Bank of Kazakhstan.<br />
There, he has been in charge of<br />
overseeing national monetary policy of one<br />
of the dynamic emerging markets of the<br />
former Soviet Union.<br />
»Our country has one of the richest and<br />
most diverse deposits of mineral resources<br />
in the world. It is also an important transport<br />
corridor. But we entered the 20th cen-<br />
06 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
tury as agricultural region, with practically<br />
no industrial sector worth talking about,«<br />
observes Saidenov, who grew up in a family<br />
of Kazakh intelligentsia. The Soviet period<br />
in Kazakh history was a time of spectacular<br />
social and economic transformation.<br />
»90 years ago Kazakhstan had little in<br />
common with what it is today,« says Saidenov.<br />
»We have an extensive mining industry,<br />
a modern oil and gas exploration sector,<br />
developed infrastructure and booming telecommunications.«<br />
Saidenov’s grandparents still remember<br />
the endless expanse of virgin steppe. A few<br />
decades of industrial development have<br />
transformed our millennia old landscape.<br />
Compare 4.1 million hectares of agricultural<br />
land in 1914 with more than 21 million in<br />
2009 and you understand what an impact<br />
technological progress has had on traditional<br />
lifestyle. »Costs are enormous,« reminds Saidenov,<br />
»we have serious problems with industrial<br />
pollution, poisoned rivers. The dying<br />
Aral Sea – one of the most graphic examples<br />
of a man maid ecological disaster. Also, the<br />
human cost: Kazakhs of the early 20th century<br />
were nomads. Now the majority lives in<br />
urban centres,« says Saidenov, reluctantly<br />
admitting horse riding is not his forte.<br />
Major industrial centres cluster around gigantic<br />
mining and processing complexes.<br />
Monuments of uncompromising drive to<br />
modernity, these were often built by hundreds<br />
of thousands of GULAG prisoners.<br />
One of the Soviet biggest concentration<br />
camps, »KARLAG«, with a territory of more<br />
than two million hectares and almost<br />
70,000 prisoners was established in 1930<br />
and operated continuously for almost thirty<br />
years. It laid the foundation of Kazakhstan’s<br />
mining industry by developing one<br />
of the world largest coal and copper deposits:<br />
Karaganda coal mines, as well as Jezkazgan<br />
and Lake Balkhash copper mines.<br />
Mineral extraction and mining account for<br />
almost 60 percent of this nation’s industrial<br />
output.<br />
Stalin‘s prisoners<br />
founded Kazakhstan<br />
wealth<br />
With a territory of almost three million<br />
square kilometres Kazakhstan is the ninth<br />
largest country in the world. However, with<br />
only 16.5 million inhabitants, the labour<br />
force shortage rapidly becomes its main<br />
problem. »Statistically, we have just six people<br />
per square kilometre. Compared to<br />
Russia’s eight it doesn’t look too bad, but if<br />
you look at neighbouring Uzbekistan with<br />
its 61 you realize the seriousness of the situation,«<br />
says Saidenov. A massive exodus in<br />
the early 1990s fuelled by economic shortages<br />
and radical Kazakh nationalism deprived<br />
the country of its most educated and<br />
skilled workforce. With the population declining<br />
– down 17 million in 1993 to 14.8 million<br />
2002 – the only way forward was to attract<br />
the migrants from the neighbouring<br />
countries. But this policy doesn’t come cheap:<br />
when in 2009 President Nazarbayev proposed<br />
to lease one million hectares of Kazakh<br />
land to Chinese farmers to cultivate<br />
soya and rape pro-western Kazakh politicians<br />
protested strongly. »Then 15 million<br />
people would be immigrating from China.
picture: BTA Bank<br />
A child of the communist era Anvar Saidenov had to study again at the age of thirty.<br />
Twenty years later he is Kazakhstan‘s most prominent banker.<br />
If one of those 15 people were to give birth<br />
each year ... in 50 years, there would be 50<br />
million Chinese in Kazakhstan,« declared<br />
Bolat Abilov of the opposition United Social<br />
Democratic Party. The idea was quietly<br />
abandoned in favour of less drastic »gradual<br />
increase of immigration quotas form neighbouring<br />
CIS countries«.<br />
Another major problem is the shortage of<br />
water – not only for irrigation, but also for<br />
communal use. »Most of the water we need<br />
for the South Kazakhstan province, where<br />
60 percent of the population is concentrated,<br />
is received from our neighbours – from<br />
rivers, flowing out of the glaciers of Kyrgyzstan,<br />
Uzbekistan, and China. That dependence<br />
is not always mutually beneficial,«<br />
says Saidenov, referring to the failed negotiations<br />
between China and Kazakhstan over<br />
the preservation of the third largest freshwater<br />
lake on earth – Lake Balkhash. China,<br />
determined to develop the agricultural sector<br />
of its easternmost Xinjiang region, spurned<br />
Kazakhstan’s offer of heavily subsidized<br />
food for ten years in exchange for a commitment<br />
to allow an unimpeded flow of river<br />
water into the lake. »Regional cooperation is<br />
not only desirable, but vital for our future,«<br />
describes Saidenov, »short-term political<br />
gains wouldn’t change the underlying reality<br />
of our geographical location and climate.<br />
Isolationism may be an easy choice, but not<br />
necessarily the right one.«<br />
Kazakhstan has its own story of a delicate<br />
fabric of trade and economic cooperation<br />
being destroyed by politics. The collapse of<br />
the communist centralized planning system<br />
in the early 1990s brought galloping<br />
inflation, mass unemployment, and social<br />
unrest. »We had very difficult times: peoples<br />
fighting to survive, prove their independence,<br />
asserting their existence by all means<br />
available. We quickly realized, however, that<br />
the only way forward was a strict stabilization<br />
programme and structural economic<br />
reforms. Our aim was to create a new stability<br />
based on new rules«, says Saidenov. Favourable<br />
international commodity prices<br />
and world economic growth of the early<br />
2000s allowed Kazakhstan to improve its<br />
balance of payments and accumulate substantial<br />
capital reserves.<br />
Fuelled by expansionary monetary policies<br />
and rising domestic demand, Kazakh<br />
PROFILE<br />
economy was hit hard by the global financial<br />
crisis, which also caused significant difficulties<br />
in the banking system. »We still have problems,«<br />
says Saidenov, who, after resigning<br />
his position as a chairman of the National<br />
Bank became a COB of the BTA Bank,<br />
Kazakhstan’s biggest lender, nationalized in<br />
February 2009. »I am convinced, we couldn’t<br />
afford to allow the bank go bankrupt. That<br />
would’ve been destructive for our economy,<br />
as well as our creditworthiness. These efforts<br />
were welcomed by the international financial<br />
community, which accepted the bank’s debt<br />
restructuring package worth USD 4.2 billion,<br />
proposed in September 2010.«<br />
Due to »ample resources and low public<br />
debt, the authorities were able to respond<br />
swiftly to the crisis and helped stabilize<br />
banks with a large-scale policy package,«<br />
stated the recent IMF country report, praising<br />
Kazakhstan’s government response to<br />
the worsening economic situation, as well as<br />
its willingness to save the troubled private<br />
sector. »We take our standing with our creditors<br />
very seriously. You see, banks can be<br />
bought and sold. But trust is priceless,« says<br />
Saidenov with a broad smile.<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 07
uPDATES<br />
Millionaire rascal<br />
With American contacts, plenty of money and street smarts,<br />
entrepreneur Bashar al-Masri is playing politics for Palestine.<br />
His latest project is the Siraj investment fund<br />
Sooner rather than later, anyone looking<br />
for economic growth in Palestine<br />
will come across the name Masri.<br />
The family patriarch and philanthropist<br />
Munib al-Masri is head of the PADICO investment<br />
company and Paltel telecommunications<br />
group, amongst other things, and<br />
his nephew Bashar al-Masri appears to be<br />
no less of a go-getter. In early February the<br />
owner and CEO of the Massar construction<br />
group announced the establishment of<br />
the first investment fund in West Jordan.<br />
The »Siraj Fund Management Company«,<br />
according to its own figures, hit the ground<br />
running on 3 February 2011 with over USD<br />
60 million.<br />
Siraj is a private equity fund. Investors<br />
are primarily being driven by a certain political<br />
agenda. George Soros, with his »Soros<br />
Development Fund« and »Overseas<br />
Private Investment Corporation« (OPIC),<br />
a US development agency, put up the majority<br />
of the capital. Masri hopes that private<br />
investors are to stump up another USD 20<br />
million for the Sirjai fund, which was his<br />
brainchild. The aim is to support small<br />
companies in Palestine with the funds. »Siraj«<br />
means »oil lamp«, which in Masri’s<br />
words »will light our way into the future«.<br />
It is intended to create a broader basis for<br />
the Palestinian economy, where the boom<br />
in cities like Ramallah has so far been<br />
based on mega-projects and foreign help.<br />
At 15 percent, Siraj offers a comparatively<br />
low, but certainly not bad, return on capital<br />
– given the inherent security risks of the<br />
Palestinian economy.<br />
08 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
Bashar al-Masri, 50 is making waves<br />
in the Israeli property market by giving<br />
Palestinian start-ups a helping hand.<br />
George Soros,<br />
the Qataris and a<br />
friend of Sharon<br />
»We are no charity organisation,« stressed<br />
Masri in the financial journal Globes, »but<br />
we do seek a balance between social responsibility<br />
and the prospective returns for<br />
our investors.« A few days before the launch<br />
of Siraj, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin<br />
Netanyahu claimed that he wanted to support<br />
the Palestinian economy, which was<br />
described by a spokesman of the autonomous<br />
government as a diversionary tactic<br />
to draw attention away from the settlement<br />
debate. Irrespective of that, the intention is<br />
for Siraj to create growth markets in Palestine.<br />
In the first year, 30 percent of investments<br />
will be devoted to hi-tech companies.<br />
A location for this is currently being<br />
developed by Masri’s construction company<br />
Massar near Ramallah, where a purpose-built<br />
city known as »Rawabi« is being<br />
financed with money from Qatar. Arab<br />
media criticised Masri for accepting a<br />
rather symbolic donation of 3,000 tree<br />
seedlings from the Jewish National Fund.<br />
Others see Masri as a fox who is playing<br />
politics for Palestine with his millions. A<br />
few weeks ago, Masri tried to take over the<br />
properties and debts of bankrupt Israeli<br />
property developer Digal via his Cyprusregistered<br />
Techsal company – the projects<br />
also included a Jewish settlement in the<br />
Arab quarter of East Jerusalem. The prospective<br />
creditors declined when they discovered<br />
a Palestinian was behind the deal.<br />
The lawyer submitting the take-over offer<br />
on behalf of Techsal was Dov Weisglass,<br />
a former friend and advisor of Israel’s ex-<br />
Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. Whether<br />
Weisglass knew who was behind his client<br />
is uncertain, and it is equally unclear whether<br />
Masri put the offer forward purely as a<br />
ruse, before allowing details of it to leak out<br />
to put the heat on the Israeli government<br />
and the settlement lobby. chat<br />
picture: Siraj
picture: UNEP<br />
South Sudan<br />
Safari<br />
The world‘s youngest nation is<br />
looking for alternative tourism<br />
expertise<br />
With almost no fully-formed roads, and<br />
just a few hotels, tourism infrastructure is<br />
as good as non-existent in South Sudan.<br />
Yet tourism is meant to be an economic<br />
pillar of the country that, to all intents and<br />
purposes, seems likely to declare its independence<br />
this July. The most important<br />
source of income for the region now and in<br />
the future is oil extraction – although there<br />
are ongoing disputes with the North<br />
about fair distribution of the proceeds. It<br />
is another good reason for wanting to expand<br />
tourism. In the first instance, this<br />
means promoting the National Parks.<br />
According to the government in Juba,<br />
around USD 140 million will be required<br />
over the next five years to achieve this –<br />
with South Sudan looking for support<br />
from abroad, and from private investors in<br />
particular. According to experts from the<br />
US Wildlife Conservation Society that is<br />
active in South Sudan, the country’s wildlife<br />
can certainly compete with that of the<br />
National Parks of Tanzania and Kenya.<br />
However, land mines, militia and poachers<br />
have severely decimated the animal<br />
population. While there were over 100,000<br />
elephants in South Sudan in the 1960s, only<br />
about 5,000 to 15,000 remain there today.<br />
Due to the lack of infrastructure,<br />
mass tourism in South Sudan is unlikely<br />
to happen anytime soon. But that is precisely<br />
what might make it appeal to individual<br />
travellers.<br />
Hold those jets,<br />
we’re hungry<br />
Full bellies more important<br />
to Iraqis than protecting their<br />
airspace<br />
Since the 2003 war, Iraq no longer has<br />
any fighter planes to speak of and cannot<br />
safeguard its airspace without outside<br />
help. For this reason, the Iraqi air<br />
force chief Anwar Ahmed is hoping to<br />
acquire 96 of the American Lockheed<br />
F-16 jets known as »Fighting Falcons«<br />
by 2020. If he has his way, in just under<br />
two years, the first Iraqi pilots will be<br />
patrolling their own airspace with 18<br />
such aircraft – which is also the prerequisite<br />
for all US troops actually pulling<br />
out of the country.<br />
In September 2010, the Pentagon approved<br />
the delivery of the first batch of 18 jets,<br />
Battle over<br />
underwear<br />
The Tunisian revolution<br />
reaches all the way to<br />
the lingerie sector<br />
Morocco and Tunisia, both well-known<br />
for their high-quality textiles, are competing<br />
for the contracts of European underwear<br />
manufacturers. The Moroccan textile<br />
association wants to create around<br />
20,000 new jobs. Production sites in the<br />
Mediterranean have it over their competition<br />
in China, with shorter delivery routes<br />
and freight times to Europe, and also<br />
more flexibility over the number of items<br />
supplied.<br />
Tunisian manufacturers, meanwhile,<br />
fear European companies will punish<br />
them for the political courage of their<br />
compatriots and increasingly turn to<br />
Morocco as a result of the unrest. »Clients<br />
won’t be pulling out of Tunisia but<br />
they are diversifying their sources of<br />
uPDATES<br />
including maintenance and training facilities,<br />
at an estimated cost of up to USD 4.2<br />
billion. After months of delays in the protracted<br />
process of forming a government<br />
in Baghdad in the wake of the last elections,<br />
Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, in<br />
his second role as Minister of Defence, received<br />
the approval of his cabinet on 26<br />
January to negotiate with the Americans<br />
over an initial instalment for the purchase.<br />
But on 14 February, the Iraqi government<br />
suddenly announced it would be<br />
postponing its purchase of the F-16s.<br />
Instead it planned to use the budgeted<br />
purchase price of USD 900 million to increase<br />
the subsidies on food rations for the<br />
population. Al-Maliki’s cabinet was forced<br />
to bow to street pressure. Ever since late<br />
January, mounting discontent with the<br />
lack of government action and lack of basic<br />
food supplies was voiced in demonstrations<br />
inspired by the recent protests in Tunisia<br />
and Egypt.<br />
supply«, was the Moroccan textile<br />
association’s attempt at reassurance.<br />
After all, Tunisia had now earned itself<br />
a certain »sympathy capital«. The Tunisian<br />
export agency CEPEX plans to leverage<br />
this capital. It has announced a<br />
special programme in Milan and Bologna<br />
at the end of March to showcase the<br />
strengths of Tunisian lingerie and<br />
swimwear fashion. Around 30 percent<br />
of Tunisia’s textile exports go to Italy.<br />
European underwear brands have been<br />
having their garments produced in Tunisia<br />
for years now, by such manufacturers<br />
as Mahdco in the harbour city of Mahdia.<br />
The company is particularly proud of its<br />
measures to counter youth unemployment.<br />
The average age of its 250 employees<br />
is just 26. The luxury brand Aubade, part<br />
of the Calida label, also outsources its production<br />
to Tunisia. In 2010, according to<br />
the latest Swiss sharemarket reports, Calida<br />
posted its best year since it went public<br />
in 2007, thanks to the success of the<br />
Aubade brand.<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 09
MONEy AND POwER<br />
When real performance<br />
pays off<br />
Few Egyptians benefited from the upswing of the past few years.<br />
In their desperation, most of them did not feel responsible for<br />
their country. Mubarak‘s downfall offers some new chances –<br />
for German entrepreneurs too<br />
by Rainer Herret<br />
They demonstrated for 18 days.<br />
Hundreds of them were brutally<br />
killed, run over or shot to death.<br />
Now there is hope of a new, democratic<br />
Egypt. The army has agreed to make this<br />
wish come true. The young Facebook revolutionaries<br />
want far more than the resignation<br />
of their President. They are calling<br />
for a new system, an end to the old-boys<br />
network that stood for corruption and misuse<br />
of power, and an economic policy that<br />
ensures humane working conditions and<br />
appropriate remuneration. That list of demands<br />
earned the young protestors the<br />
support of the middle classes and eventually<br />
that of the working class and [peasant]<br />
farmers. Whoever governs on the Nile in<br />
future will have to face up to the challenges<br />
the old regime failed to address.<br />
Egypt was praised by the World Bank as<br />
the most reform-hungry land in the world.<br />
Entrepreneurial expertise within the government<br />
and a bold policy of liberalisation triggered<br />
growth rates of seven percent and attracted<br />
direct foreign investment. The reforms<br />
were designed to stimulate competition.<br />
The social goal of combining economic performance<br />
with social progress, however, was<br />
quite simply – or perhaps deliberately – forgotten.<br />
What emerged was predatory capitalism<br />
instead of a social market economy. The<br />
fruits of the reforms were reaped by a few<br />
entrepreneurs and politicians.<br />
Inflation of 14 percent is now decimating<br />
the purchasing power of the population. Over<br />
80 percent of the around two million unemployed<br />
are under 29 years of age and the number<br />
of people working under miserable condi-<br />
10 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
tions has steadily increased over the past few<br />
years. So it comes as no surprise that nobody<br />
felt responsible for the country. Dirt and decay<br />
dominated the streetscape. Now young<br />
people are beginning to clean up Tahrir<br />
Square. It was already apparent that rubbish<br />
was being collected during the demonstra-<br />
tions. The people have won back their country.<br />
Doing away with corruption and rewarding<br />
people for effort will strengthen democratic<br />
conditions, productivity and efficiency.<br />
Motivated young entrepreneurs now have the<br />
chance to prove themselves under fair market<br />
conditions.<br />
The agricultural industry in particular<br />
needs to be completely restructured and modernised.<br />
That would benefit some 40 percent<br />
of the population who have to survive on two<br />
dollars a day or less, and can be achieved wit-<br />
hout undue effort. Better cultivation methods<br />
to boost crop yields and modernisation of the<br />
hydraulic infrastructure offer a host of potential<br />
areas for German companies to become<br />
involved.<br />
Apart from stemming the mass migration<br />
to the cities, this strategy would also lower the<br />
current need for subsidies on imported foodstuffs<br />
of around USD 1.6 billion. Modernisation<br />
of industrial production facilities will<br />
generate an increased demand for energy-<br />
efficient technologies.<br />
If the outcome of the elections in September<br />
is a moderate, religiously tolerant government,<br />
the state of the economy will improve<br />
considerably from the fourth quarter of the<br />
year onward, because there is still plenty of<br />
growth potential. Mechanical engineering,<br />
the automotive sector, medical technology,<br />
ICT, the chemical industry, the electrical en-<br />
Dr. Rainer Herret<br />
is CEO of the German-Arab Chamber of Industry and Commerce in Cairo and<br />
witnessed the revolution that took place in Egypt in the month of February. Here<br />
seen standing left of a tank after joining the demonstrators in Tahrir Square.<br />
gineering and electronics industry as well as<br />
environmental technology are the growth<br />
sectors of the country. The position of the<br />
German government during the revolution<br />
was welcomed by the people of Egypt, and<br />
German companies can now benefit from<br />
that goodwill. Visitors to the country over the<br />
next few months can not only count on increased<br />
interest from their Egyptian business<br />
partners and customers – they can also demonstrate<br />
a sense of solidarity in this new<br />
beginning.<br />
picture: private
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BusinessReport 1/2011 11
MONEy AND POwER<br />
Pharaoh‘s<br />
legacy<br />
Mubarak promoted the<br />
very IT sector that<br />
ultimately proved his<br />
undoing. The Smart<br />
Village in Gizeh was all<br />
part of the master plan:<br />
plenty of IT specialists, a<br />
good location and low<br />
wage costs. Only now are<br />
we about to find out if it<br />
really works by Simona Pfister<br />
The Intifada on the Nile would have<br />
struggled to cope without internet<br />
platforms to rally support. And the<br />
fact that the country – particularly in the<br />
Northern cities – now has a relatively high<br />
level of connectivity is something for<br />
which the old government only has itself<br />
to blame. While it paid next to no attention<br />
to the needs of the poor, it spent all<br />
the more time focusing on the local branch<br />
of the information and telecommunications<br />
industry (ICT). One thing is clear<br />
12 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
about the »Smart Village«, the first fully<br />
equipped technology park in Egypt, that<br />
both international and local firms have<br />
found it to be a prime location.<br />
Just a few metres past the turn-off to the<br />
pyramids of Gizeh is the entranceway to the<br />
business park. The dirty concrete deserts<br />
and din of Cairo, along with the demonstrations<br />
and political uncertainties, are soon<br />
forgotten here. You feel as though you are in<br />
a high-tech biotope reminiscent more of<br />
Dubai or Abu Dhabi than Egypt. While the<br />
Smart Village Company – the operator of<br />
the park – put up extra security guards during<br />
the weeks of protest, on the surface at<br />
least, it looked as though the company was<br />
not overly concerned by it.<br />
In the past few years, Egypt has managed<br />
to post steady economic growth – despite<br />
the world financial crisis – of 5.9 per cent in<br />
the first half of 2010. One dynamic branch of<br />
industry is the ICT and outsourcing sector,<br />
which has set up camp in the Smart Village.<br />
According to the government’s own figures,<br />
the sector grew over the past year by 12 percent<br />
and the number of ICT firms rose by an<br />
impressive 16 percent. Today the sector only<br />
contributes a comparatively modest 4 percent<br />
to gross domestic product – putting it<br />
well behind leading nations like India. The<br />
Mubarak government had planned to expand<br />
its share of the economy on a grand<br />
scale; but it is not yet clear how things will<br />
pan out. The aim was for the annual profit of<br />
the industry to climb from USD 1.1 billion to<br />
USD 10 billion by 2020, as Tarek Kamel, who<br />
was Minister of Information Technology<br />
and Telecommunications at the time, announced<br />
in the spring of 2010.<br />
International observers have also become<br />
more aware of Egypt since it won the coveted<br />
European award of »Offshoring Destination<br />
of the Year« in July last year. Cairo was<br />
ranked seventh in 2008 on the list of outsourcing<br />
cities compiled by consultancy<br />
firm Tholons. In July 2010 the London School<br />
of Economics found Egypt to be the most<br />
promising offshore candidate after Brazil,<br />
China, Russia and India.<br />
When you look around the Smart Village,<br />
it soon becomes apparent that international<br />
companies have become convinced of this<br />
too. »After Microsoft acquired a business<br />
premises in a prominent position, the other<br />
companies wanted to follow suit«, explains<br />
the PR spokeswomen for the Smart Village.<br />
pictures: dge
Ericsson, Hewlett Packard and IBM were all<br />
quick to open their own offices. Local ICT<br />
companies, frequently offering business<br />
process outsourcing (BPO) services, also<br />
moved into the Smart Village. One example<br />
of the trend would be Xceed, the Call Centre<br />
arm of Telecom Egypt.<br />
But what exactly drove the company to<br />
outsource its business processes to Egypt?<br />
»For one thing, Egypt is located in a favourable<br />
time zone, which is particularly useful<br />
for Call Centre services«, explains Rabah<br />
Khoury of Xceed, »We can serve the needs<br />
of European customers in one shift and<br />
American or Asian customers in the other.<br />
Another bonus is that it is only a quick flight<br />
away from many different locations.« The<br />
fibre-optic cables connecting Africa, Europe,<br />
Asia and even Australia, also run<br />
through Egypt.<br />
The Mubarak government invested heavily<br />
in the industry following the launch of<br />
its master plan for telecommunications in<br />
the year 2000, with the result that it is now<br />
based on fibre-optic cables that can be connected<br />
to the international ones. It was an<br />
investment that came back to haunt the regime.<br />
Egypt’s high-quality connectivity was<br />
what helped the protest movement grow, so<br />
in desperation the government then put a<br />
stranglehold on almost all internet traffic.<br />
Apart from the assurance of the Smart<br />
Village owners that they can guarantee<br />
normal operating conditions under any<br />
circumstances, the low running costs make<br />
Egypt an attractive business location.<br />
According to a study by the World Economic<br />
Forum, this outsourcing destination<br />
with average operating costs of USD 14,700<br />
per year is cheaper than either the Philippines<br />
or India.<br />
In 2004 the »Information Technology Industry<br />
Development Agency« was created<br />
within the Ministry for Telecommunications.<br />
This agency not only ensured that ICT<br />
companies benefited from discounted land<br />
prices and tax breaks, but also initiated some<br />
new laws, including the »e-signature<br />
law«, making transactions possible with just<br />
electronic signatures.<br />
One of the things that drove the young people<br />
onto the streets is also of huge benefit to<br />
the ICT business – the fact that highly qualified<br />
employees are cheap to employ here<br />
due to the oversupply of trained IT specialists.<br />
More than half of the Egyptian population<br />
is under 25 years of age. Every year<br />
some 330,000 young students graduate<br />
from its universities – including over 90,000<br />
majoring in subjects relevant to the ICT sector.<br />
The official unemployment rate is 9.4<br />
percent.<br />
A programmer earns an average of USD<br />
157,000 a year, which makes Egypt more<br />
cost-effective than all of the Eastern European<br />
ICT destinations; only India is cheaper,<br />
and the same principle applies to Call<br />
Centre services.<br />
The president‘s son<br />
played big business<br />
Many young Egyptians have strong ties to<br />
Europe and learn various European languages<br />
from an early age. While in India many<br />
people can only speak English as their<br />
foreign language, Egyptians often have a<br />
working knowledge of Spanish, French,<br />
Italian or German. Furthermore, Egyptian<br />
Arabic is the dominant language of films,<br />
music and television in the entire Arab region<br />
and is therefore understood everywhere.<br />
Xceed sends its Call Centre agents<br />
on special training courses to ensure they<br />
speak European languages with no foreign<br />
accent. »Customers in Europe should not<br />
be able to tell they are talking to an Egyptian«,<br />
is the company policy.<br />
After numerous national and international<br />
banks acquired office space in the Smart<br />
Village, a small financial district has emerged<br />
within a garden landscape. »There are<br />
green spaces and lakes here that can also be<br />
used as water reservoirs to put out any fires«,<br />
explains the woman giving investors a guided<br />
tour of the village. »You forget the fact<br />
that the entire complex is basically located<br />
in the middle of the desert, with all this<br />
MONEy AND POwER<br />
green around you.« Although the Smart<br />
Village Company claims it wants to demonstrate<br />
its care of the environment, visitors<br />
cannot see much evidence of that yet.<br />
The overthrown Mubarak and his son Gamal,<br />
who stood for the big business policies<br />
of Egypt, also used to enjoy taking visitors<br />
on guided tours of the complex.<br />
The government wanted to ensure even<br />
more local firms thrived in the ICT domain,<br />
by offering them special incentive programmes.<br />
It had signed agreements with international<br />
ICT firms like Nortel, Atos Origin and<br />
Siemens to transfer their technologies to<br />
Egypt and, in return, benefit from modern<br />
infrastructure at a discounted price. The<br />
long-term goal behind this was to diversify<br />
the country’s sources of foreign exchange.<br />
The other measures taken to promote the<br />
ICT sector can also be seen in this context.<br />
Egypt has a negative balance of trade, and<br />
a large proportion of its foreign exchange<br />
comes from the volatile business of oil and<br />
gas. And the main sources of income for<br />
foreign currencies so far – tourism and the<br />
Suez Canal – are highly susceptible to global<br />
fluctuations.<br />
The economy under Mubarak was to be<br />
liberalised within the framework of a fiveyear<br />
plan, which included the removal of<br />
various taxes and customs duties. It was<br />
hoped this would encourage direct foreign<br />
investment and more exports. Apparently<br />
the government saw the ICT sector as a<br />
particularly profitable branch of industry,<br />
for the subsidies certainly flowed freely.<br />
But it was only the already privileged Egyptians<br />
who profited from the boom: the<br />
small upper class, opportunistic businessmen<br />
and the apologists of the regime. Many<br />
of the companies represented in the<br />
Smart Village, who also invested in it, belong<br />
in whole or in part to Gamal Mubarak<br />
himself, or to his relatives and close friends<br />
or entourage – including Gamal Sadat, the<br />
son of Murabak’s predecessor Anwar al-<br />
Sadat, who was murdered in 1981. What<br />
will become of those shares in companies<br />
located in the Smart Village is still a long<br />
way from being decided.<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 13
TüRkEI<br />
EcoNoMIc STAMINA<br />
Turkey<br />
wants to<br />
know<br />
Is the new economic power<br />
already a champion?<br />
Or merely a challenger<br />
having a tilt at the title?<br />
by Daniel Gerlach<br />
Sometimes it seems as if the Turkish<br />
economy is so muscle-bound it can<br />
hardly walk. Analysts are predicting it<br />
to have the fastest growth worldwide over<br />
the next few years. Its national debt of less<br />
than 50 percent has reached a level many<br />
European countries can only dream of. Yet<br />
Turkish economists can well remember a<br />
time when their country regularly went cap<br />
in hand to the International Monetary<br />
Fund (IMF). Ali Babacan, Deputy Prime<br />
Minister will gladly tell you now that not<br />
one of the IMF programmes for restructuring<br />
the budget has ever been fully implemented.<br />
Self-control has proved its worth.<br />
14 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
National debt, inflation, dependence on<br />
borrowing and imports have been the recurrent<br />
nightmares of Turkish financial<br />
policy since the dying days of the Ottoman<br />
Empire. Historians have traced the origins<br />
of this decline to the year 1838, when the<br />
vizier signed a free trade agreement with<br />
the British – by way of thanks for military<br />
assistance. Products from the newly industrialised<br />
United Kingdom forced Turkish<br />
craftsmen to engage in a fatal price war,<br />
and European steamship travel fundamentally<br />
ruined the Asian trade of the Ottomans<br />
– while the sultans spent millions<br />
buying weapons and trains from Europe.<br />
The French and English were happy to extend<br />
the necessary credit and promptly<br />
keep half of the outstanding amount in interest.<br />
There would be no further benefit to looking<br />
back on the 19th and early 20th centuries,<br />
if Turkish economists could not see<br />
the parallels with current trends in their<br />
country: »If we ask ourselves why states<br />
like the German Empire or the USA caught<br />
up with the UK as an industrial nation in<br />
the early 20th century while Turkey came<br />
nowhere close to it, we cannot help but<br />
notice it was only the state putting up the<br />
growth capital«. This is the conclusion
illustration: Lesprenger<br />
reached by Sumru Altug, an economist at<br />
Koc University in Istanbul.<br />
The Turkish republic also suffered for a<br />
long time from the discrepancy between its<br />
political aspirations and economic performance.<br />
Now the tables are turning – the<br />
Turkish industry is producing household<br />
and kitchen appliances for export. Turkey<br />
has long been the world leader in bathroom<br />
ceramics, but now Turkish televisions are<br />
turning up in German electronics stores –<br />
and at the recent CeBIT computer show in<br />
Hanover, Turkey tried to steal some limelight.<br />
Laptops are even being produced in<br />
the Izmir region these days. Even though<br />
they are yet to find their way into the offices<br />
of German companies, they are proving<br />
popular in the Middle East and Central<br />
Asia – where the price means more than<br />
the brand name.<br />
For a long time, the world East of Gaziantep<br />
was merely a dark smudge on the<br />
consumer map. Even the economic policy<br />
makers of Turkey, most of whom had<br />
studied economics in Europe and America,<br />
looked to the European market for<br />
inspiration.<br />
This focus went hand-in-hand with the<br />
political desire to become a strategic partner<br />
of the USA and an equally valued member<br />
of the European Union. Europe still<br />
takes over 40 percent of Turkey’s exports<br />
– at least on a balance-sheet basis. Yet exports<br />
to Armenia, long considered to be the<br />
arch-enemy of Turkey, rose in 2010 to<br />
around USD 211 million.<br />
The volume of trade between Turkey and<br />
Iran is currently worth USD 10 billion.<br />
This figure is naturally attributable to its<br />
natural gas imports from Iran, but one<br />
glance at the reservation lists of mid-range<br />
hotels in Istanbul is enough to confirm that<br />
Iranian businesspeople, who can enter<br />
Turkey without a visa, are certainly regular<br />
visitors to the country. The cost of flights<br />
from Teheran to Istanbul is quite stiff – yet<br />
the planes are often booked out. For that<br />
reason alone, it is small wonder that Turkey<br />
has no time for sanctions against Iran. And<br />
many Turks wonder how well they would<br />
be doing if they had already gained entry<br />
into the EU. Its lucrative business with Iran<br />
would be threatened, and in the end they<br />
would be helping to prop up the debt umbrella<br />
over Greece.<br />
Exactly where Turkish companies had<br />
their fingers in the pie became clear in the<br />
recent Libyan crisis. Some 25,000 Turkish<br />
citizens, most of whom were stationed in<br />
Gaddafi’s oil empire as employees of construction<br />
companies, had to be flown out of<br />
the country. The mass exodus of »ex-pats«<br />
might serve as a reminder that the Turks<br />
did not flinch during Libya’s first liberation<br />
struggle against Italy in 1911, but stayed to<br />
fight with the rebels. Kemal Pascha, later<br />
known by the name of Atatürk, stood his<br />
ground there as a young officer of the military<br />
secret service.<br />
Where to with so<br />
much cash?<br />
However, Turkish foreign trade is not limited<br />
to the former provinces of the Ottoman<br />
Empire. Between Turkey and Angola, the<br />
El Dorado of South-west Africa, turnover<br />
of around USD 200 million was generated<br />
in 2010, in the mining and energy industry<br />
in particular. Steel production helped<br />
Turkey’s trade with Chile rise by almost 65<br />
percent year-on-year in 2010. USD 393<br />
million convinced both governments of<br />
the merits of a free trade agreement – this<br />
time to the benefit of the Turks.<br />
Such success stories make it seem almost<br />
surprising that, in 2010, Turkey posted a<br />
deficit of 5.9 percent in its current account<br />
– which was twice as high as in 2009. But<br />
importing energy and raw materials to service<br />
a growing economy always means<br />
spending some foreign currency. The weak<br />
euro over the past few months has made the<br />
lira, and consequently Turkish products,<br />
expensive for Europe. The central bank has<br />
had to devalue the currency, while simultaneously<br />
guarding against the risk of fuelling<br />
the inherent inflation tendencies.<br />
»The behaviour of the central bank here<br />
sometimes seems contradictory to outsiders,«<br />
says Marc Landau, CEO of the German-Turkish<br />
Chamber of Industry and<br />
Commerce in Istanbul. Turkish econo-<br />
TuRkEy<br />
mists talk of »unconventional methods« in<br />
the country’s monetary policy. On the one<br />
hand, key interest rates fell as a means of<br />
weakening the lira, while minimum reserve<br />
ratios rose in early 2010 from 6 to 10 percent.<br />
As a result, the commercial banks had<br />
to store money with the central bank,<br />
which reduced their liquidity. At the same<br />
time, the rate of the European Central<br />
Bank was about 2 percent.<br />
The flow of foreign capital onto the Turkish<br />
market made monetary authorities<br />
nervous. Where to with the capital that was<br />
coming partly from funds and partly from<br />
being loaned in Europe at low interest rates?<br />
Between January and November 2010,<br />
around USD 4.1 billion worth of investment<br />
money flowed onto the Turkish market<br />
– as opposed to 6.2 billion of foreign<br />
direct investment (FDI).<br />
The major stock corporations are currently<br />
paying respectable dividends. Over<br />
the past five years, the Turkcell mobile phone<br />
company has distributed a total of EUR<br />
3.7 billion to shareholders. Petrogiant<br />
Tüpras paid out EUR 2.9 billion and Akbank<br />
some EUR 2.4 billion. But not all sectors<br />
are booming by any means. High-end<br />
department stores and the imported sedans<br />
that are the vehicle of choice in the<br />
major metropolitan centres, are also a reminder<br />
of the flip side of development.<br />
When an economy imports more than it<br />
exports, it has to borrow to pay the bills.<br />
The regional differences in the trend are<br />
typical of fast-emerging nations like Turkey<br />
– and they tend to be extreme in nature.<br />
The average income in the greater Istanbul<br />
region is four times as high as in the East<br />
Anatolian province of Van, and not just because<br />
several hundred millionaires on the<br />
Bosporus tend to distort the statistics. The<br />
greater Istanbul area is followed by the Kocaeli<br />
Province in the Marmara region.<br />
Kayseri in Central Turkey likes to think<br />
of itself as the »Anatolian Tiger« but even it<br />
has only half the purchasing power of Istanbul.<br />
Prime Minister Erdogan comes<br />
from Istanbul; Kayseri is the birth place of<br />
President Gül and is seen as the Islamic<br />
conservative stronghold of the ruling party,<br />
AKP.<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 15<br />
>>
picture: dge<br />
TuRkEy<br />
Critics accuse the AKP leadership of favouritism<br />
towards its own cities. But the political<br />
map is not always synonymous with<br />
the economic one. Izmir, the traditional<br />
stronghold of the socialist, secular Kemalist<br />
party CHP, is punching above its<br />
weight. Renewables and other hi-tech sectors<br />
are creating growth there.<br />
Risky media market<br />
The car and commercial vehicle sector is<br />
on a real growth spurt. The French Megane<br />
model of Renault is almost entirely<br />
manufactured in Anatolian production<br />
plants these days. Erdogan, driven by political<br />
ambition, wanted a Turkish car<br />
brand that would be famous all over the<br />
world, and asked the Koc Holding to get<br />
in behind the idea. Koc refused to be<br />
swayed by such patriotism and gave Erdogan<br />
the cold shoulder.<br />
Renault also has its electric vehicles manufactured<br />
in a factory near Bursa now.<br />
Politicians are currently debating how<br />
such environmentally friendly products<br />
should be taxed.<br />
These sectors are predestined for German<br />
direct investment. But another type of<br />
16 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
business is currently whetting the appetite<br />
of major German conglomerates. »The insurance<br />
industry is particularly appealing<br />
at the moment«, says Orkan Falay, who advises<br />
German investors in Turkey on behalf<br />
of the Ernst & Young Group. »Turkey<br />
has a very young population, and many<br />
private customers still don’t have any insurance<br />
at all.«<br />
The Turks are 28 years old, statistically<br />
speaking. The new economic power has by<br />
no means managed to curb youth unemployment.<br />
But young people are renown for<br />
being keen consumers and very receptive<br />
to advertising messages. Analysts are predicting<br />
annual growth in advertising revenue<br />
of up to 23 percent by 2014. This is<br />
mouth-watering news to European media<br />
groups and publishing companies currently<br />
disappointed with their earnings in Eastern<br />
Europe.<br />
For months, a rumour has been doing<br />
the rounds that the German Axel Springer<br />
AG wants to take over the media arm<br />
of Dogan Holding. The high-circulation<br />
daily newspaper Hürriyet is also part of<br />
the Dogan stables. Time Warner is currently<br />
showing interest in the TV division<br />
of media group Dogan Yayin, which includes<br />
news channel CNN Türk amongst<br />
other things. Since 2010, foreign companies<br />
have been allowed to hold majority<br />
shares in Turkish television companies.<br />
Whether anything will come of the deal<br />
is still unclear. Earlier in the year, it<br />
looked as though Dogan would have to<br />
divest itself of the otherwise profitable<br />
division, when the authorities imposed a<br />
tax penalty on the Group that ran into<br />
billions of liras. Media market observers<br />
saw it as an attempt by the AKP leadership<br />
to punish the Dogan media for their<br />
critical to aggressive attitude. The Supreme<br />
Court allowed an appeal by Dogan<br />
against the penalty. But this might well be<br />
viewed as a warning to foreign investors<br />
– in a country known not only for its<br />
growth but also for its litigious politicians<br />
and certain gaps in areas like freedom<br />
of the press, media business may well<br />
come with good returns but also with certain<br />
risks.<br />
RESoURcES<br />
Great Game<br />
in Anatolia<br />
Nabucco is supposed to<br />
remove Europe’s dependency<br />
on Russian gas.<br />
But negotiations have been<br />
stalled for months now<br />
Before its inaugural meeting in October<br />
2002 in Vienna, the founders of the<br />
European gas pipeline project »Nabucco«<br />
listened to Verdi’s opera by the same<br />
name. Since then, plans have taken on more<br />
Wagnerian proportions.<br />
Three ventures are competing in this<br />
»great game« between giants. The »Trans-<br />
Adria Pipeline« (TAP), the »Interconnection<br />
of Turkey, Greece and Italy« (ITGI)<br />
and Nabucco have all set themselves the<br />
goal of diversifying Europe’s energy supply<br />
and all have their sights on the gas fields of<br />
Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Iraq. They<br />
would have liked to have included the Iranians<br />
as well, but ever since the European<br />
Council imposed sanctions on Iran in October<br />
2010, that option has been a no-go<br />
area. »Iran may later come back into question<br />
as a supplier«, says Gabriele Egartner<br />
from the Nabucco planning office in Vienna,<br />
adding that 2015 is still the target year<br />
for commissioning the pipeline. But more<br />
and more doubt is arising about that very<br />
prospect. Even EU Energy Commissioner<br />
Günther Oettinger, one of the most proactive<br />
supporters of Nabucco, now predicts<br />
the pipeline will be commissioned »by 2018<br />
at the earliest«. The governments concerned<br />
have still not managed to reach agreement<br />
with the gas producers. Everyone<br />
wants a piece of the pie. Russia is putting<br />
constant pressure on its neighbours in an<br />
effort to make its own »South Stream« project<br />
seem more attractive. Even when exploiting<br />
the Azerbaijan gas field, Shah Deniz<br />
II, the EU was afraid it would fall behind<br />
China and Russia. In the future, up to 80
illion cubic metres annually will be sourced<br />
from the Caspian Sea by each of those<br />
two nations, points out Central Asian researcher<br />
and energy expert, Roland Götz.<br />
That would mean the Europeans will be left<br />
with »just 10 to 20 billion cubic metres« –<br />
yet the plan was for ITGI, TAP and Nabucco<br />
to have a total capacity of around 62<br />
billion cubic metres. That will now have to<br />
come from other sources. Another partnership<br />
is also proving more difficult than<br />
expected. In late November, when Iran<br />
opened up a new supply route, it doubled its<br />
gas imports from Turkmenistan. Like Turkey,<br />
Iran is trying to expand its pipeline<br />
network, despite the on-going sanctions,<br />
and promote itself as an attractive transit<br />
nation.<br />
»Turkmenistan is still a key partner for<br />
the EU«, says Nicole Bockstaller, spokeswoman<br />
for the Energy Commissioner’s<br />
Office in Brussels, in an attempt at reassurance,<br />
adding that they fully expect to get<br />
that supply. But criticism is already being<br />
YOUR KEY<br />
TO BAVARIA<br />
aired. Bulgaria’s Minister of Economics,<br />
Traicho Traikov, told the Viennese Standard<br />
that Nabucco would fail if the Commission<br />
did not do more to support it.<br />
Botas wants to be<br />
another Gazprom<br />
It is a bonus for the politicians that all of<br />
these pipeline projects will be operated by<br />
private enterprises. If one operator does<br />
not manage to secure the necessary contracts,<br />
the relevant line will be relinquished.<br />
The first such indications started coming<br />
last September from the operator of<br />
the ITGI, the Italian electricity giant Edison.<br />
They were not ruling out the idea of a<br />
tie-in with the Turkish section of Nabucco,<br />
as it would »make economic sense,« according<br />
to one company representative. Nabucco<br />
headquarters denied ever having<br />
such discussions with the competition<br />
when questioned by zenith, although »eco-<br />
EASY ACCESS TO ECONOMIC PARTNERS IN BAVARIA<br />
TuRkEy<br />
nomic factors will ultimately define the<br />
route of the pipeline network«, according<br />
to Gabriele Egartner. The EU Commission<br />
claims to support all three ventures equally.<br />
The Turkish state-owned enterprise Botas,<br />
which wants to invest billions in both Nabucco<br />
and ITGI, is at the heart of the negotiations,<br />
in Roland Götz’s view. »Botas will<br />
probably not be content with being a natural<br />
gas transporter, as it would rather play<br />
the role of gas distributor.« In the past, Turkey<br />
has shown an interest in having up to<br />
15 percent of the pipeline gas – an option<br />
firmly rejected by Europe to date. »The Nabucco<br />
Consortium has been unable to make<br />
the Turks an acceptable offer,« according<br />
to Götz. But he thinks a »southern gas<br />
transmission corridor« in the form of a<br />
pipeline network via Turkey would be a<br />
possibility. In that case, Botas would play a<br />
central role in the supply of gas and be able<br />
to show the door to the Russian Gazprom<br />
group, from which Europe has long been<br />
wanting to extricate itself. metz<br />
Exclusively available at Bayern International, the publication „Key Technologies in Bavaria“ comes free of charge and offers valuable insights into<br />
more than 12.000 industries and companies.<br />
Visit www.key-technologies-in-bavaria.com to obtain the regularly updated information of all 20 industries online and make use of the various<br />
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KeyTech Hotline: +49 (0)180 5 949260<br />
(14 cents per min. for calls from Germany; fees for international calls subject to your local provider)<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 17<br />
WWW.BAYERN-INTERNATIONAL.COM<br />
>>
TuRkEy<br />
18 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
INFRASTRUcTURE<br />
Underwater artery<br />
To ward off fatal congestion, Istanbul is building an<br />
underground traffic network. The risk of earthquakes,<br />
fast-moving currents, legal disputes, and archaeological<br />
discoveries are all delaying the project – but in May a<br />
decision will be made on a new tender process<br />
by Özgür Uludag<br />
The two Bosporus bridges were actually supposed<br />
to resolve the problem but ultimately<br />
only made it worse, because the people of Istanbul<br />
have become far too used to driving into the<br />
city by car – from Asia to Europe or vice versa. A<br />
shortage of car parks, chronic congestion and considerable<br />
environmental pollution all stem from that<br />
huge volume of traffic. The first bridge was opened<br />
in 1973 and the second in 1988. By the year 2014 a<br />
project should be completed that will really change<br />
things – and make the technical feats of the bridge<br />
builders pale into insignificance. A tunnel system<br />
known as the »Marmaray Project« has been a source<br />
of admiration for months now but also the subject of<br />
major debate.<br />
The new traffic artery will run 76.3 kilometres parallel<br />
to the coast of the Marmara Sea and cross<br />
through it at the bottleneck in the city centre of Istanbul.<br />
Between Üsküdar on the Asiatic side and Sirkeci<br />
on the European side, a 1,300-metre-long tunnel has
pictures: Özgür Uludag<br />
already been submerged. This is not without its<br />
risks, as Istanbul is only 20 kilometres away from<br />
the North Anatolian faultline. For this reason, the<br />
tunnel has been designed to withstand an earthquake<br />
measuring 7.5 on the Richter Scale, explains<br />
the Chief Project Manager, Hüseyin Belkaya: »If an<br />
earthquake happens in Istanbul, the tunnel will be<br />
the safest place to be.« To make doubly sure, some<br />
seismic measuring stations are being installed inside<br />
the tunnel itself to alert the authorities or hospitals<br />
to any imminent earthquake. This would allow<br />
the gas pipelines to be shut down in time. There<br />
is no risk of any inrush of water, says Belkaya.<br />
The worst that could happen would be »that the<br />
railway tracks buckle a bit.« You see, this tunnel<br />
will only be used by trains, for the idea is that commuters<br />
will leave their cars at home.<br />
Back in 1860, the Sultan of the Ottoman Empire at<br />
that time, Abdülmecid, wanted to have a tunnel built<br />
in the same place as this one. Sultan Abdülhamid II<br />
revived the plan in 1902 – before abandoning it again.<br />
Apart from passenger transport, freight trains will<br />
also roll beneath the Bosporus by night. If a fire<br />
should occur down there, thermal energy of up to 100<br />
megawatts could be generated. To ensure the concrete<br />
does not crack in such an event, researchers at the<br />
Istanbul Technical University worked with chemical<br />
giant BASF to develop a special building compound.<br />
If a passenger train should catch fire, there will be<br />
escape routes every 200 metres in the drilling tunnel<br />
and every 100 metres in the submerged tunnel.<br />
But the challenges are not just of a technical nature.<br />
Three years ago the AMD consortium, comprising<br />
the French company Alstom, the Japanese Group<br />
Marubeni and the Turkish construction company<br />
Dogan won the tender for the project. The job included<br />
laying, renewing and expanding the rail network<br />
along with 37 above-ground and three underground<br />
stations, as well as the computer-controlled signal<br />
systems. Alstom planned to bring its transport experience<br />
to bear on the project, while Marubeni would<br />
develop the rail network. But in 2007 the consortium<br />
fell apart, when a Byzantium harbour was discovered<br />
near Üsküdar and old graves were uncovered on the<br />
European side near Yenikapi. In order to secure these<br />
archaeological treasures, construction work was suspended<br />
until 35 wooden boats from the 7th and 10th<br />
centuries, and skeletons thought to be about 8,000<br />
years old could be safely removed from the site. The<br />
finds extended Istanbul’s settlement history by about<br />
6,000 years, but apparently also led to a cost blow-out<br />
of more than EUR 500 million and a delay of five ye-<br />
ars. AMD retreated. Hüseyin Baykal is critical of the<br />
behaviour of AMD: »They had been there for about<br />
three years, but hadn’t built anything and obviously<br />
didn’t want to either«.<br />
In May 2011, a new tender will be awarded so that<br />
a new consortium can pick up the work again in July.<br />
Peter Hettich from Kalsruhe is simply continuing<br />
working there until then. He is responsible for the<br />
design and planning of the electromechanical systems.<br />
»Somehow the work has to go ahead, or we will<br />
lose even more time, and I am of the opinion that we<br />
can now meet the deadline« says a confident Hettich.<br />
The TGN consortium, made up of the<br />
Japanese construction company Taisei<br />
and Turkish companies GAMA and Nurol,<br />
is responsible for the drilling tunnel.<br />
In the Turkish city of Sakarya, the South<br />
Korean firm Hyundai Rotem is making<br />
440 rail vehicles. The 135-metre-long<br />
submerged elements of the tunnel were<br />
produced at a dry dock near Ismit, submerged<br />
by a computer control system to<br />
a depth of 58 metres in Bosporus and welded under<br />
water. As the Bosporus is one of the busiest waterways<br />
of the world, construction work of this kind is<br />
not without its dangers. Constant ferry traffic is also<br />
an obstacle to the »Ecem Sultan«, the special ship<br />
transporting and submerging the tunnel parts. In<br />
addition, there are opposing cross-currents in the<br />
Bosporus Strait that make submerging the components<br />
more difficult.<br />
Drilling on the mainland, however, led to damage<br />
to buildings above the tunnel. So far, Taisei has<br />
had to pay USD 330,000 by way of compensation.<br />
Construction of the tunnel – initially budgeted to<br />
cost EUR 3 billion and wind up in 2009 – is becoming<br />
more and more expensive and taking longer<br />
and longer to complete. Now the Japan Bank for<br />
International Cooperation and European Investment<br />
Bank, who are putting up the capital for it,<br />
estimate it will cost more than EUR 4 billion and be<br />
ready in three years at the earliest. But that price is<br />
probably not too high it means fatal traffic congestion<br />
can be averted. Up to 150,000 people per hour<br />
could commute between Asia and Europe thanks<br />
to the Marmaray Project. Another mammoth and<br />
long-famous building project in the metropolis of<br />
Istanbul offers a glimmer of hope. Sceptics also<br />
shook their heads over building plans for the Hagia<br />
Sophia dome – until the church was finally consecrated<br />
on Christmas Eve in the year 562 following a<br />
30-year construction period.<br />
TuRkEy<br />
»If there is an<br />
earthquake, down<br />
here will be the<br />
safe place to be!«<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 19
TuRkEy<br />
FINANcE<br />
»Capital inflow is good,<br />
but dangerous«<br />
Economics professor Sumru Altug about<br />
Turkey‘s business miracle, consumption<br />
by credit and South East Asian role models<br />
zenith: Professor Altug, how sustainable<br />
is Turkey‘s rise to world‘s leading economic<br />
powers?<br />
Sumru Altug: I don‘t want to appear a<br />
sceptic. Turkey could really take its place<br />
among the economic giants in the wold. Or<br />
at least alongside the so called BRIC states<br />
– the emerging economic powers Brazil,<br />
Russia, India and China. But Turkey has<br />
not completed its structural transformation<br />
– in part it still is a rural country.<br />
Isn‘t Turkey‘s successs story mainly a result<br />
of good PR?<br />
I think there is a lot of good PR involved, but<br />
Turkish companies really perform well and<br />
expand into other markets. A major factor<br />
in this business boom is the inflow of foreign<br />
capital into Turkey.<br />
Where is all the money coming from?<br />
It is difficult to trace back the flow of capital<br />
because a lot of it may go through financial<br />
markets like London or New York. But I<br />
think a lot is coming from the Gulf states<br />
and Arabian sovereign funds. But there is<br />
some FDI from the Middle East in Turkey,<br />
too. Due to the wave of privatisation. Turkish<br />
Telecom, for example, was bought by<br />
the Lebanese investor Hariri.<br />
Can‘t the inflow of cash be a risk as well?<br />
Yes, and the Turkish Central Bank seems to<br />
be aware of the fact that this inflow can<br />
create market bubbles. Capital inflow is<br />
good, but it is also dangerous, mostly because<br />
of the inflation risk. I am not sure if<br />
20 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
the banks really pay enough attention on<br />
whether the loans can be paid back.<br />
Do Turkish consumers buy too much<br />
on credit?<br />
Everybody can get a credit card now, which<br />
was unthinkable some 10 or 15 years ago.<br />
And people use their credit cards – even if<br />
most pay their bills wisely by the end of the<br />
month, there will be credit defaults. Another<br />
problem is the rise of credit card and<br />
cheque delinquency.<br />
A lot of attention is now focused on<br />
the so called Anatolian tiger cities<br />
becoming richer and more visible businesswise.<br />
Is Turkey still an economically<br />
divided country with a wealthy West<br />
and a poor East?<br />
Very much so. Even if some growth has arrived<br />
to parts of South Eastern Anatolia,<br />
the division between East and West is quite<br />
evident. There are still severe problems:<br />
The economy is not creating the right jobs,<br />
even if branches like the construction or<br />
the import business are booming. The current<br />
transformation is not enough technology<br />
oriented, and a growing automotive<br />
industry is not getting us there. If you look<br />
at South East Asia, you see that there is a lot<br />
of FDI in hightech branches. Turkey needs<br />
more of that. Episodes of high growth<br />
which Turkey has experienced are fine, but<br />
the target, which is wealth, is a moving target.<br />
You have to re-adjust your strategies as<br />
everybody else grows with you.<br />
Sumru Guler Altug studied economics in<br />
Pittsburgh. Since 2002 she teaches at the<br />
College for Economy and Management of<br />
Istanbul‘s Koc University.<br />
Is Turkey redirecting its trade focus away<br />
from Europe and towards the Middle East?<br />
Let‘s not dream about this. Europe is still<br />
the biggest market for Turkey – half of<br />
Turkey’s exports still go to the EU while the<br />
share of exports to the Middle Eastern<br />
neighbours is less than a quarter. The<br />
Middle Eastern societies have huge problems<br />
and a very low purchasing power.<br />
The average wages in Eastern Anatolia<br />
are very low, too ...<br />
True, Turkey has been unable to attract<br />
FDI to most of Eastern Anatolia. The cost<br />
of labour there is low, but there are infrastructure<br />
problems and high costs of<br />
transportation, it is also not easy to find<br />
skilled employees.<br />
So what needs to be done in rural areas<br />
to improve the social situation?<br />
Education is extremely important, not only<br />
academic but also vocational education. There<br />
are private initiatives to train unskilled<br />
people from the countryside who come to a<br />
big city like Istanbul. Moreover, Kemal<br />
Kılıçdaroğlu, leader of the main opposition<br />
party CHP has proposed a program to create<br />
a minimal safety net and wants to pay, for example,<br />
a minimum of 600 Turkish Lira to<br />
each woman running a household.<br />
Can Turkey afford this? Or would this<br />
mean increasing taxes?<br />
Turkey can. We simply have to cut our defense<br />
budget: Greece, Armenia, and Russia<br />
are no longer our enemies.<br />
picture: private
XXXXXX<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 21
TuRkEy<br />
Not yet on Cloud Seven<br />
As this year’s CeBIT Partner Country, Turkey wanted to showcase itself<br />
as the IT land of the future. The innovations were not convincing in every<br />
sector, but the country is heading in the right direction<br />
by Nils Metzger<br />
22 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
picture: Deutsche Messe Hannover
Not innovative enough, not open<br />
enough, not specific enough, not<br />
sensational enough – CeBIT attracts<br />
a critical public, spoilt by the rapid<br />
technological progress of recent years into<br />
smiling somewhat condescendingly at<br />
Turkey’s efforts to promote itself. The announcement<br />
by Turkish Prime Minister<br />
Erdogan that »in a very short time« one<br />
fifth of its exports will come from the IT<br />
sector, was not enough to make many<br />
trade visitors drop their mask of nerdy,<br />
professional coolness and lethargy.<br />
Yet the Turkish stand did offer some<br />
surprises and plenty of evidence of the<br />
country’s impressive rise up the ranks as<br />
an IT nation. A total of 81 Turkish companies<br />
presented an enormously diverse<br />
image of the local electronics industry.<br />
Exhibitors at the 4,300-square-metre<br />
stand showed that worthwhile differences<br />
lie in the detail. For instance, the East of<br />
Turkey does not have a very good network<br />
of specialist electronics stores – a disadvantage<br />
that the region is counteracting<br />
by achieving enormous growth in the ecommerce<br />
sector, according to Efe Aras,<br />
manager of Istanbul applications developer<br />
Visilabs. »A large number of online<br />
sales platforms for second-hand goods<br />
supply these outlying areas.« Turkish portals<br />
like hepsiburada.com and sahibinden.com<br />
are opting, like global player<br />
Amazon, for personalised advertising and<br />
deals tailored to individual customers.<br />
The software for this is being developed in<br />
Turkey – with companies like Visilabs only<br />
now starting to forge contacts with foreign<br />
companies. »Particularly in Central<br />
Asia, we are hoping for some enormous<br />
growth rates«, reports Aras.<br />
KocSistem, the technology arm of industrial<br />
giant Koc, showcased some RFID<br />
systems that simplify the process of tracing<br />
individual freight deliveries in the<br />
major trade centres of the world. Company<br />
representative Resat Helvaci sees the<br />
Middle East as having plenty of catching<br />
up to do in terms of technology. »Dispatch<br />
processes for freight containers in many<br />
areas are still not effective enough compared<br />
to those in Europe. RFID technology<br />
prevents goods from being lost and speeds<br />
up the loading and unloading process.«<br />
The planned privatisation of Turkish<br />
ports in the second half of 2011 is being<br />
seen as a good marketing opportunity: »It<br />
will attract investors to the country and<br />
increase our volume of trade with Western<br />
Europe.«<br />
Building a bridge<br />
to Germany<br />
If you were expecting the Turkish stands<br />
to have some their own developments on<br />
this year’s keynote theme of »Cloud Computing«<br />
(access to data and programs via<br />
an internet server without having to store<br />
it all locally), you would have come away<br />
empty-handed. Both Turkey and the<br />
Middle East are still developing countries<br />
in this regard. »We have our hands full<br />
distributing the technology in Germany. I<br />
am not aware of any enquiries from the<br />
Islamic region«, says Mark Clark of Siemens<br />
Communications – a surprising situation,<br />
given that Turkey, unlike many of<br />
its neighbouring countries, already has a<br />
well-developed broadband network.<br />
While this technology is already successfully<br />
cutting costs in IT departments<br />
all over Europe IT, its use in Turkey is still<br />
limited to insider get-togethers like the<br />
CloudCamp held in September 2010 for<br />
the first time in Istanbul, which attracted<br />
some 160 participants. But there were no<br />
business people congregating there – only<br />
TuRkEy<br />
representatives from an avant-garde network.<br />
When asked about their experience<br />
with Turkey, CeBIT press spokespeople<br />
from IBM and Microsoft to Cisco, who were<br />
all focusing on Cloud technologies, reacted<br />
as though they had been caught short:<br />
»Please leave us your contact details and we<br />
will get in touch with you in the next few<br />
days«, was the standard response.<br />
There was positive evidence, however,<br />
of some close interaction between German<br />
and Turkish companies. Mobile phone<br />
company Turkcell is opening its European<br />
group headquarters in Cologne in<br />
April. The company wants to secure millions<br />
of customers by offering them particularly<br />
good connections to Turkey. However,<br />
none of the Turkcell staff could tell<br />
zenith how much growth they were targeting<br />
in the first few months, nor provide<br />
any information about how they planned<br />
to differentiate themselves from established<br />
competitors in the market.<br />
Turkey undoubtedly has a long way to<br />
go as an IT nation before it can live up to<br />
the expectations of its Prime Minister. But<br />
developments are certainly happening<br />
and in Germany too attempts are being<br />
made to set the right course and help German<br />
companies tap into the market. Albeit<br />
on a small scale, the »Türk-Alman<br />
Business Center«, the brainchild of Lower<br />
Saxony promotional organisations, NGlobal<br />
and Hannoverimpuls, is the first port<br />
of call for German business people wanting<br />
to make contact with the Turkish IT<br />
scene. The North German state is attempting<br />
to target Turkish companies and promote<br />
itself as an attractive investment location<br />
– the only such initiative in Germany<br />
so far. It will also be accompanying the<br />
up-coming Lower Saxony Foreign Trade<br />
Forum in April 2011 – with Turkey once<br />
again in the spotlight as the Partner<br />
Country for this event.<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 23
TuRkEy<br />
Hakan Aldogan<br />
»I left Istanbul shortly after I finished<br />
university – heading first to Denmark,<br />
then Australia and France. I feel at<br />
home here, but somehow also like a visitor,<br />
and always curious to have another look at<br />
the city. A good weekend and a business<br />
meeting with foreign visitors would not be<br />
complete without a midday meal in the Turkish<br />
Restaurant ›Pandeli‹. If you come from<br />
the direction of the Eminönü jetty, look for<br />
the entrance as you come into the ›Egyptian<br />
Bazaar‹. The door is right there on your left<br />
and easy to miss. Then you go from there up<br />
to the first floor. I know you think Turkish<br />
desserts are too sweet and overly rich – but<br />
forget all that. You have never tried any of<br />
these things. One of them is made from chicken<br />
meat! Various presidents and prime<br />
ministers have dined at Pandeli on the pub-<br />
24 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
MY ISTANBUl<br />
Business lunch<br />
with Bosporus view<br />
Do you have a business appointment or a trade fair to<br />
attend in Istanbul? Does your company plan to book you<br />
into a soul-destroying hotel bunker on the outskirts<br />
of town? To prevent this happening, take the following<br />
recommendations to heart – and stay a little longer<br />
Hakan Aldogan,<br />
architect with Ateliers Jean Nouvel.<br />
lic purse, which you would never know to<br />
look at the prices. Cafés and restaurants have<br />
all become expensive in the city anyway.<br />
Luxury hotels always have been of course.<br />
But if you want to experience a taste of the<br />
Ottoman Empire, and your company is<br />
paying for the trip anyway, stay at the ›Ciragan<br />
Kempinski‹. Sultan Abdülaziz had the<br />
palace built in the 1860s right on the Bosporus<br />
Strait. After a major fire, the site was deserted,<br />
and for decades it was just a place for<br />
footballers of Besiktas to kick a ball around.<br />
There is hardly anything left of that these<br />
days. If you would rather stay on the historic<br />
peninsula in the Sultanahmet Quarter, I recommend<br />
the Four Seasons. If your business<br />
takes you to Taksim or Beyoglu, stay at<br />
the ›Pera Palace‹. It is one of the oldest and<br />
best European hotels in Turkey.«<br />
pandeli.com.tr<br />
kempinski.com/istanbul<br />
fourseasons.com/de/istanbul<br />
perapalace.com
picutures: dge, private<br />
Marc Landau,<br />
CEO of the German-Turkish Chamber of<br />
Industry and Commerce in Istanbul<br />
Marc Landau<br />
»When I have business friends and acquaintances<br />
over from Germany I can<br />
always take them to see the Hagia Sophia.<br />
But occasionally I prefer to show<br />
them something different, so I take my visitors<br />
to a shopping mall like the ›Kanyon‹<br />
in the financial district of Levant. I believe<br />
many Germans don’t realise the variety<br />
and quality of products available in Turkey.<br />
You won’t find anything like it back home,<br />
that’s for sure. You can also learn something<br />
about the Turkish economy there<br />
– many German business people still have a<br />
clichéd image of the Middle East from their<br />
reading of Karl May novels. For a business<br />
meal, I recommend the restaurant ›Mikla‹,<br />
located on the Penthouse level of the ‘Marmara<br />
Pera’ hotel. The chef describes his<br />
creations as authentic ›Turkish-Scandinavian<br />
cuisine‹. You can really eat well there<br />
and still hold a discrete business conversation<br />
at the same time. In the Besiktas part<br />
of town, I recommend the ›Vogue‹. Just<br />
north of the big Bosporus bridge, which is<br />
not far from us and the offices of the German-Turkish<br />
Chamber of Industry and<br />
Commerce, is the Ulus Park, where you<br />
will find the ›Sunset Grill & Bar‹ high up on<br />
the hill – with a panoramic view of the Bosporus,<br />
which makes it a particularly nice<br />
place to be in the summer. As far as accommodation<br />
options for business people go, it<br />
much depends on which part of town you<br />
will be spending the most time. I could of<br />
course mention the big luxury palaces, but<br />
for small to medium-sized enterprises<br />
wanting good value for money, I recommend<br />
the ›Richmond Hotel‹, right in the<br />
centre of Beyoglu in the Istiklal shopping<br />
mile. If your diary is not too full, or you feel<br />
like spending a few extra days of R & R and<br />
enjoy a certain amount of comfort, I would<br />
naturally recommend the ›Splendid‹ on the<br />
Princes’ Island of Büyükada. There are no<br />
cars allowed on the island – only pushbikes<br />
and historic, horse-drawn carriages.«<br />
kanyon.com.tr<br />
miklarestaurant.com<br />
voguerestaurant.com<br />
sunsetgrillbar.com<br />
richmondhotels.com.tr<br />
splendidhotel.net<br />
Özlem Bekiroglu<br />
»Of course it’s not easy to recommend<br />
a hotel in Istanbul when you live in<br />
the city yourself. But for visitors I recommend<br />
the ›Pera Rose‹, a boutique hotel<br />
in Pera – not far from Taksim Square,<br />
with a view of the Golden Horn. If you<br />
want to stay in the city a bit longer and<br />
feel slightly more at home, the best thing<br />
to do is rent an apartment at ›Manzara Istanbul‹.<br />
They have nicely furnished, spacious<br />
apartments in several central locations<br />
around the city. For business meals,<br />
I like peace and quiet and a good view of<br />
Özlem Bekiroglu,<br />
PR manager for the agency Grup7<br />
the Bosporus, so I would recommend the<br />
Restaurant Müzedechanga. It is located<br />
in the Sakip Sabanci Museum in Emirgan,<br />
the name of one of the oldest settlements<br />
on the Bosporus. The ›Müzedechanga‹<br />
serves traditional Turkish cuisine<br />
but it is presented in such a<br />
contemporary and original way that you<br />
can hardly tell. After the meal you can<br />
stroll through the art collection of the<br />
museum. The same combination of food<br />
and culture is something offered by another<br />
great place in the inner city precinct:<br />
the ›X Restaurant‹ on the top floor of the<br />
Istanbul Foundation for Culture and<br />
Arts. Otherwise I would recommend a<br />
classic eating house called ›Topaz‹, also<br />
with a view of the Bosporus. They have<br />
Mediterranean and Turkish cuisine there<br />
– and it’s very good, if a little bit pricey.«<br />
changa-istanbul.com<br />
iksv.org<br />
topazistanbul.com<br />
perarose.com<br />
manzara-istanbul.com<br />
TuRkEy<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 25
GCC REPORT<br />
26 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
INVESTMENT<br />
Club of visionaries<br />
Without much fanfare, the Qatari Investment Authority<br />
is becoming one of the world’s most influential investment<br />
companies. In Europe it is actively promoting the image<br />
of the country – the big money is going elsewhere<br />
by Nils Metzger<br />
Qatar could be held up as a business simulation<br />
game for economics students. Take an<br />
insignificant state by world political standards,<br />
in a part of the world that has no real industry<br />
to speak of, give it USD 100 billion and the goal of<br />
becoming »the leading economy in the region«.<br />
Since the »Qatar Investment Authority« (QIA) was<br />
founded in 2005, the Gulf state of Qatar has been rapidly<br />
promoting the global distribution of its foreign<br />
currency. Its founder and CEO Sheikh Hamad bin<br />
Jassim Al Thani – who has now moved up the ranks<br />
to Prime Minister – is the top economist of the country.<br />
Via the wide-ranging network of the Al Thani<br />
family – where numerous relatives administer the<br />
sub-funds of the QIA – Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim<br />
controls the earnings from the oil and gas business<br />
that still makes up around 85 percent of the country’s<br />
export business and 70 percent of the national budget.<br />
The Emirate buys up shares in companies all<br />
over the world via various funds and subsidiary<br />
companies.<br />
The QIA puts its faith in established market players<br />
and – unlike the United Arab Emirates, which has<br />
long been famous for it worldwide – it has not yet<br />
made the headlines due to the failure of any highly<br />
speculative prestige projects. The motto of the Qataris<br />
is to avoid major risks, which is why names like the<br />
Swiss bank Crédit Suisse and German carmakers<br />
Porsche and VW have piqued the aspirations of the<br />
fuel billionaires. Ever since the QIA supported the<br />
construction company Hochtief in late 2010, when it<br />
was threatened by a hostile takeover, it has attracted<br />
wider public attention. Because the Qatar Holding, a<br />
wholly-owned subsidiary of the QIA, boosted its
designs: Albert Speer & Partner / visualization: HH Vision<br />
share of Hochtief to 9.1 percent – not as a foreign locust<br />
but more as a ‘white knight’ and at the Germans’<br />
own request – its first public appearance in Germany<br />
met with a positive response. The Dubai port operator<br />
DP World 2006 learnt the hard way how important<br />
a company’s public image can be, when its attempt<br />
to take over several US ports failed due to opposition<br />
from the Bush government. For months, media<br />
commentators had argued against the idea of letting<br />
such strategic lifelines fall into Arab hands. Spanish<br />
construction group ACS could still win the takeover<br />
battle – and Qatar has so far shown no signs of wanting<br />
to boost its share of 9.1 to over 25 percent of<br />
Hochtief, in order to become a minority shareholder<br />
and stymie the Spaniard’s chances of any takeover.<br />
However, Florentino Perez, the CEO of ACS, will<br />
be in for some frequent stoushes with the Qataris<br />
over the next few months, for very different reasons.<br />
Perez is President of the now second-ranked football<br />
club, Real Madrid, while Qatar entered the fray in<br />
December by becoming the jersey sponsor of top-ofthe-table<br />
FC Barcelona. The Qatar Foundation, nominally<br />
independent of the QIA but closely allied to<br />
it nevertheless, will be paying EUR 170 million for<br />
the privilege. On 14 March QIA announced to invest<br />
EUR 2.2 billion into Spanish energy supplier Iberdrola.<br />
Major shareholder ACS‘s stake was accordingly<br />
reduced by this transaction. In doing so the Qataris<br />
tried to boost their Latin American business: in October<br />
2010 they already bought 5 per cent share of<br />
Brazilian Banco Santander.<br />
It would appear that the emirate likes to conceal<br />
subtle message in its investments. USD five billion for<br />
the stricken Greek economy indicate that Qatar is a<br />
reliable friend of the Europeans, even – or especially<br />
– when the euro is under fire. And in the entertainment<br />
domain as well, the Qataris want to show that<br />
they are not as inhibited as is often presumed, and in<br />
fact enjoy watching films by Quentin Tarantino and<br />
the Coen brothers.<br />
In December 2010 a sub-fund of the QIA, in a joint<br />
venture with the Weinstein brothers, bought film<br />
production company Miramax for the equivalent of<br />
around EUR 500 million – the Disney Group that<br />
Miramax belonged to at the time was planning to<br />
close the studios down. This means that even Katie<br />
Holmes, who features in the horror re-<br />
make »Don‘t be afraid of the dark« currently<br />
being produced by Miramax, is<br />
now working for the Qataris. Globally<br />
speaking, these deals made by the QIA<br />
fund with first division clubs and Hollywood<br />
studios are good for their image,<br />
but peanuts in the overall scheme of<br />
things. The majority of the almost USD<br />
22 billion that Qatar invested abroad in<br />
2010 went to emerging countries. For instance,<br />
the QIA supported the somewhat<br />
sluggish IPO of the Agricultural Bank of China to the<br />
tune of USD 6 billion. The over 300 million private<br />
clients of the state-owned enterprise are allowing Qatar<br />
to participate long-term in the economic rise of<br />
the Chinese – or so the logic goes. »We are planning<br />
to invest more and more in Asia over the next few<br />
years. Compared to our activities in Europe, we have<br />
neglected this economic region for far too long«,<br />
Kenneth Shen, who is responsible at QIA for strategic<br />
planning, tells zenith.<br />
The small number of in-house personnel has so far<br />
restricted it to investing in companies that can be re-<br />
2.8 billion euros<br />
for a bank in<br />
China: Hochtief<br />
and Hollywood<br />
are peanuts<br />
>><br />
GCC REPORT<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 27
GCC REPORT<br />
lied upon to prosper without cons-<br />
A mere 110 tant monitoring from Doha, says<br />
financial experts Shen. At the moment only 110 finance<br />
experts are employed by<br />
allocate the QIA to manage the distribution of<br />
its billions.<br />
billions – and Observers following the invest-<br />
speculation is ment policies of Qatar see the Emirate<br />
and China as having even more<br />
frowned upon common interests – including investment<br />
in Africa. Qatar Airways<br />
now offers flights via Doha between<br />
many Chinese and African cities. In December 2010,<br />
Air China announced it would be expanding the<br />
Doha hub in a joint venture with Qatar Airways. The<br />
QIA‘S INVESTMENTS SINcE 2010<br />
28 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
planned investment, which includes a new terminal<br />
exclusively reserved for Chinese airlines, is said to<br />
run to about USD 1 billion. In the Sudan, according<br />
to market observers, Chinese oil firms are also relying<br />
heavily on the help of the Qataris, who have considerable<br />
political influence in Khartoum and often<br />
act as the intermediaries between former civil war<br />
factions.<br />
The QIA is also toying with the idea of becoming<br />
more involved in Germany over the next few years,<br />
Finance Minister Youssef Hussein Kamal recently<br />
told the Financial Times Deutschland. Baden-based<br />
software developer SAP was currently top of its wishlist.<br />
They were interested in sectors that »would also<br />
have a direct impact on the Qatar economy«. This<br />
indirectly included Hochtief. After Qatari’s successful<br />
bid to host the Football World Cup 2022, the<br />
government in Doha is now looking for strategic<br />
partners to build several stadiums and other major<br />
projects in an effort to prepare the country for the<br />
influx of tens of thousands of football fans. Ahmed<br />
Mohammed al-Sayed, CEO of Qatar Holding, would<br />
like to involve Hochtief as a »key partner« in the 2022<br />
World Cup. The games venues are nothing more than<br />
computer-generated sand castles at the moment – in<br />
the case of the 86,000-capacity stadium for the finals,<br />
the actual city hosting the venue is yet to be built.<br />
Named after the historic term for the region north of<br />
Doha, »Lusail« is set to become the home of 200,000<br />
people, if the Qatari government has its way. The developer<br />
of this purpose-built city is once again the<br />
QIA via its subsidiary company, Qatari Diar Real<br />
DATE coMPANY coUNTRY BRANcHE SHARE IN PER cENT VolUME IN BIllIoN USD<br />
March 2010 Bulgarian Qatar Company Bulgaria investment 100 0,4<br />
May 2010 Qatar Holding Indonesia Indonesia investment 85 1,0<br />
May 2010 Malaysia Development Board Malaysia investment 80 5,0<br />
May 2010 Harrods United Kingdom retail 100 2,3<br />
August 2010 Agricultural Bank of China China finance n.a. 6,0<br />
September 2010 Qatar Holding Greece Greece investment 100 5,0<br />
October 2010 Banco Santander Brasil Brasil finance 5 2,7<br />
December 2010 Hochtief Germany construction 9 0,4<br />
December 2010 Filmyard Holdings USA movie production n.a. < 0,7<br />
February 2011 Credit Suisse Switzerland finance enlarged to 9 > 6,0<br />
sources: QIA, Reuters, taighde.com
Estate. Hochtief has played a key role in the billion<br />
dollar project from the very beginning. Ever since<br />
2008, the Germans have been involved in the planning.<br />
»The first sections of the city will be completed<br />
in the course of 2011«, reports Magdy Youssef, the<br />
project manager responsible for the work. Overall,<br />
however, construction work will proceed until 2020.<br />
In Frankfurt-Sachsenhausen, meanwhile, journalists<br />
are already sharpening their pencils. The architectural<br />
practice of Albert Speer & Partner will<br />
design eight of the twelve planned World Cup stadiums<br />
– but the »Lusail Iconic Stadium«, has nonetheless<br />
managed to land the design services of its highprofile<br />
competitor, Norman Foster. The property<br />
fund Qatari Diar, as the project principal and owner,<br />
will also be involved in building new stadiums, accommodation<br />
and training facilities for 2022, in conjunction<br />
with the Qatari Football Association. Despite<br />
all of this, Lusail does offer billions worth of<br />
business for German companies. The QIA is already<br />
promoting itself as having ICE fast trains in its glossy<br />
brochures – Lusail will one day be linked to the EUR<br />
17 billion railway network that German Rail (Deut-<br />
The Global Charter Broker<br />
Your wish is our passion<br />
www.lhcharter.com<br />
GCC REPORT<br />
sche Bahn) has been commissioned to Katie Holmes<br />
build on behalf of Qatari Diar.<br />
Unlike the prestige project of Masdar now acts<br />
City in Abu Dhabi, however, Qatar is not<br />
angling for world press coverage of its for the Qataris<br />
promised innovations. Though the aim is<br />
for Lusail to rely on an energy mix with a<br />
certain proportion of renewables, there are no exact<br />
figures for this yet. So far the energy concept seems<br />
much less green and ambitious than in the case of<br />
Masdar. And should something go wrong with the<br />
master plan of the QIA through to 2022, the Emirate<br />
still has Al Jazeera in its back pocket. The media mogul<br />
in Doha is also picking up market share outside the<br />
Arab world – with its English language service. The<br />
reporting principle is the same as ever: free and critical<br />
– with the exception of issues that affect Qatar. Whether<br />
these internal rules also apply to QIA projects is<br />
not yet clear. One thing is certain, however, that the<br />
funds company is not involved in the Qatar Media<br />
Corporation run by Al Jazeera. But Hamad bin Thamer<br />
al-Thani, CEO of the corporation, is not only the<br />
namesake of the Emir but also his blood relative.<br />
“Any time you need,<br />
we fly it.”<br />
������������������������������������������������ �������������������
GCC REPORT<br />
TAx lAw<br />
»Staying put is<br />
what Qataris want«<br />
Carla Everhardt, lawyer and Gulf States expert, offers<br />
her take on Qatar as an investment land, the problems<br />
encountered by German companies with tenders<br />
and the question of whether an unmarried couple can<br />
live in Doha<br />
zenith: Ms Everhardt, can Germans<br />
soon expect a double taxation agreement<br />
with Qatar?<br />
Carla Everhardt: Avoiding double taxation<br />
is always a big issue. But no agreement has<br />
yet been reached and negotiations have<br />
only been conducted in a very sporadic way<br />
to this point. You see, the German government<br />
is always very wary of tax-free and<br />
low-tax countries – we saw that in negotiations<br />
over the DTA with the United Arab<br />
Emirates. That was a real thriller.<br />
What is at stake here?<br />
For German investors in Qatar, there is quite<br />
a bit at stake – for instance, when it comes to<br />
income tax. Managers working in Qatar for a<br />
German company, who still have a family and<br />
a home in Germany, have to declare their Qatar<br />
income in Germany. Though they could<br />
get a rebate for any income tax paid in Qatar,<br />
since Qatar doesn’t tax the income of salaried<br />
employees, that would be a zero percent rebate.<br />
So it is hard for German companies to post<br />
good employees to Qatar, or rather they have<br />
to top up their salaries accordingly.<br />
Over the past few years, private individuals<br />
and companies have invested in the<br />
Emirates property market and lost a lot<br />
of money during the financial crisis.<br />
What is the state of the property market<br />
in Qatar?<br />
30 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
It is currently far too expensive to be attractive<br />
to »consumers« as an investment. Qataris<br />
themselves are buying offices and living<br />
space and then renting them out. The<br />
good thing is that there will probably be no<br />
bubble there that bursts sometime in the<br />
future.<br />
2022 is predicted to be the big year for<br />
German companies in Qatar.<br />
Will those companies stay there after<br />
that or take off again?<br />
Naturally staying put is what the Qataris<br />
and the Germans both want. Entry into any<br />
market, we are inclined to say, takes on average<br />
two to three years. In the case of the<br />
Gulf States, I would tend to add a further<br />
two years to that figure. The costs are not<br />
exactly low, so people need to think long<br />
term. What’s more, the Qataris do not do<br />
business with companies or phone numbers,<br />
but only with people – and personal<br />
trust counts.<br />
Can I set up my own company in Qatar<br />
as an entrepreneur, or do I still need a<br />
partner?<br />
As a general rule, 51 per cent of every company<br />
in Qatar must belong to a local, but<br />
since last year there have been sectors where<br />
foreigners are allowed to be the sole<br />
shareholder – for instance IT, logistics, entertainment<br />
and sport. In addition, special<br />
investment projects considered vital to the<br />
Qatari economy may be given approval for<br />
complete foreign ownership in exceptional<br />
cases. However, it should be noted that any<br />
profits or profit share of Qatari companies<br />
that is payable to foreign interests incurs a<br />
10 percent corporation tax; Qataris do not<br />
have to pay that.<br />
Sports – that sounds as if the Qataris are<br />
looking ahead to the World Cup.<br />
Well, the Qataris have missed the boat in<br />
recent years, as far as positioning themselves<br />
is concerned. Somehow Qatar was seen<br />
as neither fish nor fowl. Bahrain stands for<br />
finance, and the Emirates for trade, media<br />
and air traffic. So now sport has become the<br />
quest of the Qataris.<br />
What other sectors are currently showing<br />
the most interest in Qatar? Only cement,<br />
steel, bricks and mortar?<br />
Qatar is of course very attractive to construction<br />
companies and everything to do<br />
with that industry. But service providers<br />
and consultants are also active in the market<br />
now: IT, pricing policy, market strategy<br />
and specialists in project management.<br />
Naturally many companies want to get<br />
their hands on public contracts. How<br />
transparent are the tenders issued by<br />
Qatari authorities for such projects?<br />
Actually the process is clear and works well.<br />
There is a long tradition of this in Qatar – the<br />
so-called »Tender Law« first came in force<br />
back in 1976, and was last revised in 1990.<br />
You can have the documents sent to you – for<br />
a cost – and prior registration is required for<br />
complex projects. When submitting a tender,<br />
it is also a requirement to include a »tender<br />
bond«, usually in the form of a bank<br />
guarantee. Any problems tend to lie less<br />
with the Qataris and more with the German<br />
companies who do not take the regulations<br />
seriously enough and think they can always<br />
submit one or other of the required documents<br />
at a later date.<br />
And what about the practice of private<br />
companies awarding contracts?<br />
picture: private
carla Everhardt is a lawyer who has been<br />
working with Rödl & Partner since 2006,<br />
specialising in the Gulf States. She<br />
completed her legal studies in various<br />
cities, including Passau, Würzburg,<br />
Cologne, Dubai and Abu Dhabi. In<br />
addition, she is co-author of the latest<br />
German »Qatar Business Guide«<br />
published by Ghorfa, the German-Arab<br />
Chamber of Commerce and Industry.<br />
Sometimes what happens is that private<br />
companies »call for tenders« in line with the<br />
conditions imposed by public authorities,<br />
which is not the correct procedure and often<br />
far too complicated. When problems arise<br />
during the working relationship, it is often<br />
not the legislation that is at fault but poorly<br />
worded contracts. And Qatari legal firms<br />
are not infrequently out of their depth when<br />
they attempt to resolve such uncertainties.<br />
There are still too few court rulings to be<br />
able to plug any gaps in legal or contractual<br />
arrangements. We notice that English and<br />
American companies are better able to cope<br />
with the legal culture in Qatar, because they<br />
tend to formulate very detailed contracts<br />
that cover every eventuality of a working<br />
relationship. Our legal culture is quite different<br />
in that respect. Should any problem<br />
arise where the method of resolution is not<br />
explicitly mentioned in the contract, Germans<br />
tend to rely on laws and court rulings.<br />
But it is precisely that attitude that causes<br />
problems in the comparatively young and<br />
less experienced legal culture of Qatar.<br />
Supposing I come to Qatar as an employee,<br />
in which case my residence permit<br />
would depend on my employer or<br />
so-called sponsor. I have to wait for 2<br />
years before I can change jobs and can<br />
only do that if my employer does not go<br />
to the authorities and oppose the move.<br />
Do you think that will ever change?<br />
The only country in the Gulf that has abolished<br />
that system so far is Bahrain. In Qatar<br />
the subject keeps coming up for discussion<br />
but I get the impression that things are<br />
not about to change.<br />
Many managers working abroad are<br />
unmarried and want to bring their<br />
partners with them. Would an unmarried<br />
couple be able find an apartment to rent<br />
in Qatar?<br />
I personally would not go into the matter of<br />
whether the person helping me look for an<br />
apartment is my »husband« or my »boyfriend«.<br />
Qatar is not as conservative as it<br />
may first appear, but it does still feel obliged<br />
to maintain Muslim rules of decorum. Incidentally<br />
it can even happen in the otherwise<br />
liberal Dubai, that the police will burst<br />
into a flat and ask to see the marriage certificates<br />
of any flatmates. Generally speaking,<br />
there is a willingness to turn a blind<br />
eye to ex-pats, but you cannot insist on special<br />
treatment – and an amendment to the<br />
law is not about to happen. People going to<br />
Qatar for the long haul, who also see a future<br />
in their relationship, should probably<br />
think about getting married.<br />
And what about booking a double room<br />
during the Football World Cup?<br />
Get married first?<br />
I think the practice of tolerance to foreigners<br />
will probably increase during the<br />
World Cup. The same could also apply to<br />
beer consumption, by the way, which is<br />
only allowed in hotels at the moment. Although<br />
Qataris can be quite pragmatic<br />
about such things, the Football World Cup<br />
in Qatar is unlikely to turn into the kind of<br />
beer-fuelled frenzy we tend to associate<br />
with other host countries.<br />
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KUwAIT, UAE AND SAUDI-ARABIA<br />
Gulfinvest on its knees?<br />
The Kuwait shareholding company Gulfinvest<br />
International has a tough time ahead of<br />
it. In late February, the Kuwait government<br />
ordered the company to make arrangements<br />
to service its debt, including liquidating<br />
some of its assets. Gulfinvest, which<br />
launched funds like the Islamic Al-Huda<br />
fund, was badly hit by the impact of the financial<br />
crisis on the Gulf region – in 2008<br />
alone, the value of Al-Huda shares temporarily<br />
plummeted by 50 percent. The<br />
Defence heads home<br />
A trend was revealed at the defence exhibition<br />
IDEX 2011 in Abu Dhabi in February.<br />
Thanks to some international collaboration,<br />
the UAE is spending a growing proportion<br />
of its current defence budget of around<br />
USD 15.5 billion in its own country. A contract<br />
worth USD 242 million was awarded<br />
to C4 Advanced Solutions in Abu Dhabi to<br />
expand the communications infrastructure<br />
of the armed forces. The company is a<br />
joint venture between the European EADS<br />
Group and Emirates Advanced Investments.<br />
At the same trade fair, agreement was also<br />
Riad‘s atomic planet<br />
The intriguing acronym KA-CARE stands for<br />
the Saudi urban development project: »King<br />
Abdullah City for Atomic and Renewable<br />
Energy«. Plans for this settlement in the desert,<br />
devoted to the production and exploration of<br />
non-fossil-fuel energy sources, are starting to<br />
take shape. The design and planning firms, including<br />
SOM, Norman Foster and Snohetta<br />
from Oslo, all submitted their proposals in November<br />
2010. Snohetta, which received the nod<br />
for the »King Abdullah Center for Knowledge<br />
and Culture« in the East Saudi city of Dhahran<br />
back in 2007, is one of the more promising candidates.<br />
Budget estimates so far put the cost of<br />
the urban development at around EUR 30 bil-<br />
GCC REPORT<br />
Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank granted credit<br />
to the fund management company,<br />
which has primarily invested in the Gulf<br />
states, to the tune of about EUR 40 million.<br />
So far Gulfinvest has been unable to pay<br />
it back, although the loan fell due in 2010.<br />
As recently as early February, Kuwait’s financial<br />
supervision officials had given the<br />
nod to the company’s restructuring plan.<br />
But now the authorities are demanding a<br />
special meeting of investors to decide on<br />
the liquidation of assets. Otherwise the<br />
matter will go before the court.<br />
reached on collaboration between EADS<br />
subsidiary Cassidian with the »Khalifa<br />
University of Science, Technology and Research«<br />
in the field of cyber security. That<br />
contract has a price tag of USD 550 million.<br />
The Emirates are also expanding their<br />
naval shipbuilding. While the first corvette<br />
of the new »Baynunah« class was launched<br />
in France last year, the next five vessels<br />
through to 2015 will all be finished in Abu<br />
Dhabi. This was reason enough for the organisers<br />
of the IDEX exhibition to start<br />
planning an inaugural naval trade fair this<br />
year to run parallel with the biennial defence<br />
show.<br />
lion. KA-CARE is being developed about half<br />
an hour’s drive away from Riad. Saudi-Arabia<br />
is anticipating a three-fold increase in electricity<br />
demand by 2032. The country’s precious<br />
oil, which is currently bringing in around USD<br />
120 a barrel on the global market, will not be<br />
wasted on the project. In late February, Hashim<br />
Yamani, the Chief Planner for KA-<br />
CARE, signed a collaborative agreement with<br />
France. The French nuclear power company<br />
Areva is planning a joint venture with the Saudi<br />
Binladin Group to build the reactors. How<br />
serious these urban planners are about renewables<br />
is not yet clear. The city is to be built at<br />
the foot of a steep rock formation – and the<br />
shadows thrown by the cliff face will reportedly<br />
help with air conditioning in KA-CARE.<br />
PROFIL<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 33
PERSONAL ASSISTANT<br />
central Asia Business Forum<br />
24 March, Hanover Chamber<br />
of Commerce<br />
The on-going commodity boom in the<br />
republics of Central Asia is pouring<br />
billions into the state coffers of these<br />
developing countries. The Hanover<br />
Chamber of Commerce aims to steer<br />
intrepid German entrepreneurs safely<br />
through the corruption minefield.<br />
A delegation is also planning a trip to<br />
Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan in June<br />
2011.<br />
www.hannover.ihk.de<br />
8th lower Saxony Foreign Trade<br />
Forum with Turkey as the special<br />
guest<br />
5 April, Hanover Fair, Nord/LB Forum<br />
After huge criticism in the past few<br />
months by Turkish business associations<br />
outraged at the German visa policy,<br />
the leader of Lower Saxony, David<br />
McAllister, is more than likely to strike a<br />
conciliatory note in Hanover. The Türk-<br />
Alman Business Center project will also<br />
be launched at the fair. The centre is designed<br />
to encourage Turkish companies<br />
to choose the northern German state<br />
as the exclusive location of their German<br />
branch offices.<br />
www.nglobal.de<br />
34 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />
DAG delegation to the Gulf<br />
7 to 13 April<br />
»The times are long gone when Gulf<br />
business heavyweights saw Europe<br />
through English eyes only«, writes Harald<br />
M. Bock, General Secretary of the<br />
German-Arab Association (DAG) in his<br />
invitation to German businesses to join<br />
the delegation. The trip will include Qatar<br />
and the UAE. One of the key issues<br />
for the group will be education exports.<br />
For, contrary to popular misconceptions<br />
about the children of oil sheikhs,<br />
young Emiratis now have to stand on<br />
their own two feet in the labour market.<br />
www.d-a-g.org<br />
International building show,<br />
Turkeybuild in Istanbul 2011<br />
27 April to 1 May in Istanbul<br />
With more than 800 exhibitors and over<br />
100,000 visitors, Turkeybuild is the leading<br />
construction trade fair in the region.<br />
One Austrian company is attempting to<br />
tap into the market, not by landing major<br />
14th German-Arab Business Forum<br />
11 to 13 May, Ritz Carlton in Berlin<br />
As always, the annual get-together of<br />
the German-Arab Chamber of Industry<br />
and Commerce Ghorfa will be a magnet<br />
for hundreds of high-ranking representatives<br />
of the German-Arab business<br />
world. This year Lebanon has been<br />
selected as the Partner Country<br />
– which is not a bad decision, given<br />
the rapid growth of the Beirut property<br />
industry. But, a word to the wise – analysts<br />
are already warning of a speculation<br />
bubble. Will the boom last until the<br />
15th forum?<br />
www.ghorfa.de<br />
Numov – First Near and<br />
Middle East Ports conference<br />
15 June in Hamburg<br />
In actual fact, the Near and Middle<br />
East Association (Numov) turned its<br />
back on the City of Hamburg long ago<br />
– and, so say informed sources, not<br />
much importance is attached to Hanseatic<br />
customs these days, either. But<br />
Numov plans to use the occasion of<br />
the international »Ports Conference«,<br />
to report on the latest port projects in<br />
the Near East. Weatherproof clothing<br />
recommended.<br />
www.numov.org<br />
SToP PRESS<br />
The taste of success<br />
Exciting times for the largest pan-Arab television station<br />
– while Western media regret having progressively<br />
pruned their network of foreign correspondents<br />
over the past few years, the satellite broadcaster Al<br />
Jazeera from Qatar has 24/7 access to local experts.<br />
Many journalists had no choice during the protests in<br />
North Africa but to turn on the live stream of the Al<br />
Jazeera English-language programme. <strong>Download</strong>s<br />
via the online stream have increased since the start of<br />
the demonstrations by more than 2,500 percent. Particularly<br />
in the USA, there appears to be a huge demand<br />
for such news– almost 60 percent of its viewers<br />
came from the land of Uncle Sam.<br />
picture: Al nassma<br />
in our upcoming issue<br />
Camelicious<br />
Security first<br />
government contracts but through its<br />
German and Austrian chocola-<br />
DIY stores. The bauMax building supply<br />
te expertise and fine, slightly<br />
Billion-dollar deals with danger chain will be opening six branches there<br />
salty camel milk are the secret<br />
by 2012 – although, according to CEO<br />
Martin Essel, the Turkish DIY tradition<br />
to the success of Al nassma. The<br />
leaves a lot to be desired.<br />
Dubai company has recently started selling its chocola-<br />
AGENDA<br />
www.yapifuari.com.tr<br />
te camel milk in Japan and the USA too. The company<br />
has been selling its products in selected stores all over<br />
the Emirates region for two years now. So far, European<br />
gourmets can only get these pralines, chocolate camels<br />
and blocks of chocolate in »Date« or spicy »Arab« flavour<br />
by placing a special order. Such treats naturally<br />
come at a price: a block of milk chocolate costs the equivalent<br />
of EUR 5 and a camel caravan in an elegant wooden<br />
slipcase around EUR 32.<br />
How to park a billion?<br />
Analysts are warning of an oil price shock, and<br />
governments on the Gulf are watching the protests in<br />
their neighbourhood with growing unease. Business<br />
people tend to prefer peace as a rule too, but the dictator<br />
domino effect is not worrying everyone – especially<br />
not the property sector in the UAE. While Europe<br />
is busy freezing the accounts of the Ben Alis and<br />
Mubaraks, the Emirates remains an attractive place<br />
to park capital. »The exiled elite will simply take their<br />
money to Dubai and buy property with it there,« say<br />
insiders. Apparently it will do the sector good after<br />
the hammering it took from the financial crisis.<br />
While the authorities are supposed to check the origins<br />
of large sums of money, in practice, »almost<br />
anything goes«.<br />
picture: Nicolas Salcido/US Army
PROFIL<br />
BusinessReport 1/2011 35