24.11.2012 Views

Download - Zenith

Download - Zenith

Download - Zenith

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

BusinessReport<br />

Africa, Middle East and Central Asia<br />

Turkey‘s<br />

economy<br />

A new champion?<br />

EGYPT<br />

INVESTING<br />

AFTER MUBARAK<br />

issue 1/2011 euro 4,00


PROFIL<br />

Niedersachsen’s economic strengths<br />

Logistics<br />

• Nine seaports, plus JadeWeser<br />

Port – Germany’s only deepwater<br />

port – from 2012<br />

• Comprehensive network of<br />

logistics hubs: an excellent<br />

infrastructure for intermodal<br />

transport<br />

2 BusinessReport 1/2010<br />

Energy<br />

• A broad energy mix: natural<br />

gas and crude oil, biomass,<br />

wind power, offshore and<br />

solar energy<br />

• A leader in all sectors of<br />

renewable energies: intensive<br />

use and development of the<br />

technologies of the future<br />

– Trade & Invest<br />

Automotive<br />

• Volkswagen Group is one of<br />

the world’s biggest car manufacturers<br />

• Some 700 businesses in supply<br />

industry<br />

• High degree of research in the<br />

automotive sector<br />

For more – visit www.nglobal.com<br />

Niedersachsen.<br />

German for Business<br />

Niedersachsen, the logistics state, connects the world by sea,<br />

air, road and rail through its central location, where the continent´s<br />

north-south and east-west transportation routes intersect.<br />

It is the home of Volkswagen, Airbus, Salzgitter Stahl,<br />

Meyer Werft Shipyard, Continental and TUI, to name a few.<br />

Hannover is known of the world’s biggest trade fairs as CeBIT<br />

and Hannover Messe.<br />

• 8 millions inhabitants<br />

• Hannover, state capital,<br />

516,000 inhabitans.<br />

• centered airport in Hannover<br />

Food industry<br />

• Niedersachsens food industry<br />

chain: crops, livestock farming,<br />

food safety, and food processing<br />

• One in two chickens, one in two<br />

potatoes, one in five litres of milk<br />

produced in Germany come from<br />

Niedersachsen<br />

Niedersachsen Global, NGlobal, is the foreign trade and inward investment agency of the State of Niedersachsen. The organization advises foreign companies<br />

looking to expand their business activities in the German market. It provides information on foreign trade to Niedersachsen companies that seek to<br />

enter into foreign markets. For more information visit us online and get in touch with us at: www.nglobal.com<br />

Turkey and Germany – Two countries with persistently good economic relations. The Federal State of Niedersachsen with its capital Hannover<br />

is one of the leading regions in Germany. To support further growth between Turkey and Germany, we founded the Türk-Alman<br />

Business Center (taBC). Our mission is to support German-Turkish business relations. Here we offer “one-stop-shopping” for Turkish companies that wish<br />

to expand their business activities to Europe. For further details please visit: www.tabc-niedersachsen.com<br />

Save the date and meet us at: 8th Foreign Trade Day, Hannover<br />

5 th<br />

German for Business.<br />

Life Sciences<br />

• Niedersachsen is home of<br />

around 250 life science companies<br />

• More than 11,000 healthcare<br />

professionals, over 200 highgrade<br />

hospitals, clinics, rehabilitation<br />

facilities<br />

The Conference will focus on Turkey and will take place during HANNOVER MESSE (4 - 8. April 2011) on Tuesday,<br />

5th April at the NORD/LB Forum.


Foto: dge<br />

EDITORIAL<br />

»I see boom times ahead of us«, wrote Ahmed Sedky to zenith BusinessReport on 5<br />

February 2011 from his Blackberry in Cairo. Sedky, the entrepreneur son of a German<br />

mother and former Egyptian premier Atef Sedky, who served for nearly ten<br />

years under ex-President Hosni Mubarak, added that the process of moving towards a<br />

democracy would inject unprecedented power into the economy. When he wrote those<br />

lines, Mubarak was a long way from conceding defeat. Western media were worried<br />

about the Islamic threat – with many fearing the army would let their weapons do the<br />

talking. So where was Sedky’s optimism coming from?<br />

The revolutionary uprisings within the Arab world initially unnerved European investors,<br />

but they do offer opportunities. After all, in the corrupt dictatorial systems, only<br />

those who knew the right functionaries could achieve anything – and that principle applied<br />

equally to local entrepreneurs and foreign companies. Major conglomerates managed<br />

just fine on that basis, but small to medium-sized enterprises often had to wait at the<br />

back of the queue before entering any markets, despite their desired expertise. Organisations<br />

and business facilitators sold their »exclusive access« to dictators – and sometimes<br />

that was their only source of income.<br />

In the societies of the Arab world, there are partners who want to go achieve something<br />

and young, educated workers. They have long seen themselves as the losers of the globalisation<br />

trend – and that is all about to change. Rainer Herret, head of the German-Arab<br />

Chamber of Industry and Commerce in Cairo, joined the demonstrators in Tahrir Square<br />

and then wrote a column about it for zenith BusinessReport (page 10).<br />

For about five years, Qatar had clearly been working on rising to the rank of smallest<br />

world power of all time – as the diplomatic go-between, major investor and now host of<br />

the Football World Cup 2022. zenith reporter Nils Metzger investigated the strategies of<br />

the »Qatar Investment Authority«. In her interview, Qatar expert Carla Everhardt presents<br />

a checklist for entrepreneurs wanting to venture into the Qatar market.<br />

But the cover story of this issue is about Turkey, the economic power now flexing its<br />

muscles not only in Europe but also in the Middle East. For decades, the economic performance<br />

of this country has not kept pace with its political aspirations. Turkey had been<br />

accumulating debt and earning a reputation as a country of emigrants. But 50 years after<br />

the signing of the German labour recruitment agreement for Turkish guest workers, many<br />

German-Turks are thinking about returning – and not out of homesickness, but for<br />

economic reasons.<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 03


PubLIShED by<br />

Deutscher Levante Verlag GmbH<br />

Linienstrasse 106<br />

D-10115 Berlin<br />

EDITOR-IN-CHIEF:<br />

Daniel Gerlach<br />

MANAGING EDITOR:<br />

Marcus Mohr<br />

EDITORS:<br />

Moritz Behrendt, Robert Chatterjee,<br />

Nils Metzger<br />

AUTHORS:<br />

Alexander von Hahn, Rainer Herret,<br />

Kamila Klepacki, Simona Pfister,<br />

Helen Staude, Özgür Uludag<br />

ART DIRECTOR:<br />

Lesprenger, Berlin<br />

PRINTED BY:<br />

GCC GmbH & Co. KG<br />

ADVERTISEMENT AND DISTRIBUTION:<br />

info@levante-verlag.de<br />

ADVERTISEMEN RATES:<br />

No 1, 1 August 2010<br />

COPYRIGHT:<br />

All rights reserved. Neither this<br />

publication nor any part of it may<br />

be reproduced or transmitted in any<br />

form or by any means without prior<br />

permission. Named articles present<br />

their author‘s views, not necessarily<br />

the editors‘ opinion.<br />

04 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

CONTENTS<br />

PROFILE<br />

06 banker and saviour<br />

Anvar Saidenov sails Kazakhstan‘s largest<br />

credit bank through the crisis<br />

uPDATES<br />

08 Billionaires and safaris<br />

MONEy AND POwER<br />

10 when performance really pays off<br />

Why Egypt‘s revolution is good for German<br />

business<br />

12 Pharao‘s last legacy<br />

A technology park lures IT giants nilewards<br />

TuRkEy<br />

14 Turkey wants to know<br />

Is the new economic power merely a<br />

challenger having a tilt at the title?<br />

16 Great Game in Anatolia<br />

The future of the Nabucco project<br />

18 underwater artery<br />

Istanbul digs deep for its traffic<br />

20 »Capital inflow is good,<br />

but dangerous«<br />

An interview with Sumru Altug<br />

about the rich man of the Bosporus<br />

22 Not yet on Cloud Seven<br />

At CeBIT Turkey‘s IT industry shows<br />

it heads into the right direction<br />

24 business lunch with a bosporus view<br />

Don‘t stay too short in Istanbul


picture: dge<br />

GCC REPORT<br />

26 Club of visionaries<br />

Qatar‘s Investment Authority silently<br />

went into ever bigger deals<br />

30 »Staying put is what Qataris want«<br />

Barrister Carla Everhardt about market entries<br />

in the soccer emirate<br />

32 Short news<br />

Kuwait, UAE and Saudi-Arabia<br />

PERSONAL ASSISTANT<br />

33 Diary entries and latest news<br />

from the cigars‘ bar<br />

BusinessReport 2/2011 05


PROFILE<br />

Banker and saviour<br />

When the Soviet Union collapsed,<br />

Kazakhstan appeared on the world stage<br />

and became a global resource supplier –<br />

until the 2008 financial crisis. Anvar Saidenov<br />

was called to rescue the country‘s biggest<br />

credit bank. Successfully, it seems so far<br />

by Alexander von Hahn<br />

In 2009, in the wake of the world financial<br />

crisis, Anvar Saidenov was appointed<br />

CEO of the BTA Bank, Kazakhstan’s<br />

biggest private banking institution, which<br />

collapsed under the USD 12.2 billion debt<br />

burden. The bank’s subsequent nationalization<br />

and successful debt restructuring –<br />

the biggest yet seen in emerging markets –<br />

makes Saidenov a rising star of international<br />

finance and one of the key figures of the<br />

Kazakh political elite.<br />

He is one of the youngest, yet most experienced<br />

of Kazakh bankers. Born in 1960 in<br />

Moscow and a Moscow State University<br />

graduate Saidenov earned his MSE in London<br />

at the School of Oriental and African<br />

Studies. Deputy Governor of the National<br />

Bank of Kazakhstan since 1996 he was appointed<br />

head of the National Investment<br />

Agency in 1998 and, in 2004, became<br />

Governor of the National Bank of Kazakhstan.<br />

There, he has been in charge of<br />

overseeing national monetary policy of one<br />

of the dynamic emerging markets of the<br />

former Soviet Union.<br />

»Our country has one of the richest and<br />

most diverse deposits of mineral resources<br />

in the world. It is also an important transport<br />

corridor. But we entered the 20th cen-<br />

06 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

tury as agricultural region, with practically<br />

no industrial sector worth talking about,«<br />

observes Saidenov, who grew up in a family<br />

of Kazakh intelligentsia. The Soviet period<br />

in Kazakh history was a time of spectacular<br />

social and economic transformation.<br />

»90 years ago Kazakhstan had little in<br />

common with what it is today,« says Saidenov.<br />

»We have an extensive mining industry,<br />

a modern oil and gas exploration sector,<br />

developed infrastructure and booming telecommunications.«<br />

Saidenov’s grandparents still remember<br />

the endless expanse of virgin steppe. A few<br />

decades of industrial development have<br />

transformed our millennia old landscape.<br />

Compare 4.1 million hectares of agricultural<br />

land in 1914 with more than 21 million in<br />

2009 and you understand what an impact<br />

technological progress has had on traditional<br />

lifestyle. »Costs are enormous,« reminds Saidenov,<br />

»we have serious problems with industrial<br />

pollution, poisoned rivers. The dying<br />

Aral Sea – one of the most graphic examples<br />

of a man maid ecological disaster. Also, the<br />

human cost: Kazakhs of the early 20th century<br />

were nomads. Now the majority lives in<br />

urban centres,« says Saidenov, reluctantly<br />

admitting horse riding is not his forte.<br />

Major industrial centres cluster around gigantic<br />

mining and processing complexes.<br />

Monuments of uncompromising drive to<br />

modernity, these were often built by hundreds<br />

of thousands of GULAG prisoners.<br />

One of the Soviet biggest concentration<br />

camps, »KARLAG«, with a territory of more<br />

than two million hectares and almost<br />

70,000 prisoners was established in 1930<br />

and operated continuously for almost thirty<br />

years. It laid the foundation of Kazakhstan’s<br />

mining industry by developing one<br />

of the world largest coal and copper deposits:<br />

Karaganda coal mines, as well as Jezkazgan<br />

and Lake Balkhash copper mines.<br />

Mineral extraction and mining account for<br />

almost 60 percent of this nation’s industrial<br />

output.<br />

Stalin‘s prisoners<br />

founded Kazakhstan<br />

wealth<br />

With a territory of almost three million<br />

square kilometres Kazakhstan is the ninth<br />

largest country in the world. However, with<br />

only 16.5 million inhabitants, the labour<br />

force shortage rapidly becomes its main<br />

problem. »Statistically, we have just six people<br />

per square kilometre. Compared to<br />

Russia’s eight it doesn’t look too bad, but if<br />

you look at neighbouring Uzbekistan with<br />

its 61 you realize the seriousness of the situation,«<br />

says Saidenov. A massive exodus in<br />

the early 1990s fuelled by economic shortages<br />

and radical Kazakh nationalism deprived<br />

the country of its most educated and<br />

skilled workforce. With the population declining<br />

– down 17 million in 1993 to 14.8 million<br />

2002 – the only way forward was to attract<br />

the migrants from the neighbouring<br />

countries. But this policy doesn’t come cheap:<br />

when in 2009 President Nazarbayev proposed<br />

to lease one million hectares of Kazakh<br />

land to Chinese farmers to cultivate<br />

soya and rape pro-western Kazakh politicians<br />

protested strongly. »Then 15 million<br />

people would be immigrating from China.


picture: BTA Bank<br />

A child of the communist era Anvar Saidenov had to study again at the age of thirty.<br />

Twenty years later he is Kazakhstan‘s most prominent banker.<br />

If one of those 15 people were to give birth<br />

each year ... in 50 years, there would be 50<br />

million Chinese in Kazakhstan,« declared<br />

Bolat Abilov of the opposition United Social<br />

Democratic Party. The idea was quietly<br />

abandoned in favour of less drastic »gradual<br />

increase of immigration quotas form neighbouring<br />

CIS countries«.<br />

Another major problem is the shortage of<br />

water – not only for irrigation, but also for<br />

communal use. »Most of the water we need<br />

for the South Kazakhstan province, where<br />

60 percent of the population is concentrated,<br />

is received from our neighbours – from<br />

rivers, flowing out of the glaciers of Kyrgyzstan,<br />

Uzbekistan, and China. That dependence<br />

is not always mutually beneficial,«<br />

says Saidenov, referring to the failed negotiations<br />

between China and Kazakhstan over<br />

the preservation of the third largest freshwater<br />

lake on earth – Lake Balkhash. China,<br />

determined to develop the agricultural sector<br />

of its easternmost Xinjiang region, spurned<br />

Kazakhstan’s offer of heavily subsidized<br />

food for ten years in exchange for a commitment<br />

to allow an unimpeded flow of river<br />

water into the lake. »Regional cooperation is<br />

not only desirable, but vital for our future,«<br />

describes Saidenov, »short-term political<br />

gains wouldn’t change the underlying reality<br />

of our geographical location and climate.<br />

Isolationism may be an easy choice, but not<br />

necessarily the right one.«<br />

Kazakhstan has its own story of a delicate<br />

fabric of trade and economic cooperation<br />

being destroyed by politics. The collapse of<br />

the communist centralized planning system<br />

in the early 1990s brought galloping<br />

inflation, mass unemployment, and social<br />

unrest. »We had very difficult times: peoples<br />

fighting to survive, prove their independence,<br />

asserting their existence by all means<br />

available. We quickly realized, however, that<br />

the only way forward was a strict stabilization<br />

programme and structural economic<br />

reforms. Our aim was to create a new stability<br />

based on new rules«, says Saidenov. Favourable<br />

international commodity prices<br />

and world economic growth of the early<br />

2000s allowed Kazakhstan to improve its<br />

balance of payments and accumulate substantial<br />

capital reserves.<br />

Fuelled by expansionary monetary policies<br />

and rising domestic demand, Kazakh<br />

PROFILE<br />

economy was hit hard by the global financial<br />

crisis, which also caused significant difficulties<br />

in the banking system. »We still have problems,«<br />

says Saidenov, who, after resigning<br />

his position as a chairman of the National<br />

Bank became a COB of the BTA Bank,<br />

Kazakhstan’s biggest lender, nationalized in<br />

February 2009. »I am convinced, we couldn’t<br />

afford to allow the bank go bankrupt. That<br />

would’ve been destructive for our economy,<br />

as well as our creditworthiness. These efforts<br />

were welcomed by the international financial<br />

community, which accepted the bank’s debt<br />

restructuring package worth USD 4.2 billion,<br />

proposed in September 2010.«<br />

Due to »ample resources and low public<br />

debt, the authorities were able to respond<br />

swiftly to the crisis and helped stabilize<br />

banks with a large-scale policy package,«<br />

stated the recent IMF country report, praising<br />

Kazakhstan’s government response to<br />

the worsening economic situation, as well as<br />

its willingness to save the troubled private<br />

sector. »We take our standing with our creditors<br />

very seriously. You see, banks can be<br />

bought and sold. But trust is priceless,« says<br />

Saidenov with a broad smile.<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 07


uPDATES<br />

Millionaire rascal<br />

With American contacts, plenty of money and street smarts,<br />

entrepreneur Bashar al-Masri is playing politics for Palestine.<br />

His latest project is the Siraj investment fund<br />

Sooner rather than later, anyone looking<br />

for economic growth in Palestine<br />

will come across the name Masri.<br />

The family patriarch and philanthropist<br />

Munib al-Masri is head of the PADICO investment<br />

company and Paltel telecommunications<br />

group, amongst other things, and<br />

his nephew Bashar al-Masri appears to be<br />

no less of a go-getter. In early February the<br />

owner and CEO of the Massar construction<br />

group announced the establishment of<br />

the first investment fund in West Jordan.<br />

The »Siraj Fund Management Company«,<br />

according to its own figures, hit the ground<br />

running on 3 February 2011 with over USD<br />

60 million.<br />

Siraj is a private equity fund. Investors<br />

are primarily being driven by a certain political<br />

agenda. George Soros, with his »Soros<br />

Development Fund« and »Overseas<br />

Private Investment Corporation« (OPIC),<br />

a US development agency, put up the majority<br />

of the capital. Masri hopes that private<br />

investors are to stump up another USD 20<br />

million for the Sirjai fund, which was his<br />

brainchild. The aim is to support small<br />

companies in Palestine with the funds. »Siraj«<br />

means »oil lamp«, which in Masri’s<br />

words »will light our way into the future«.<br />

It is intended to create a broader basis for<br />

the Palestinian economy, where the boom<br />

in cities like Ramallah has so far been<br />

based on mega-projects and foreign help.<br />

At 15 percent, Siraj offers a comparatively<br />

low, but certainly not bad, return on capital<br />

– given the inherent security risks of the<br />

Palestinian economy.<br />

08 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

Bashar al-Masri, 50 is making waves<br />

in the Israeli property market by giving<br />

Palestinian start-ups a helping hand.<br />

George Soros,<br />

the Qataris and a<br />

friend of Sharon<br />

»We are no charity organisation,« stressed<br />

Masri in the financial journal Globes, »but<br />

we do seek a balance between social responsibility<br />

and the prospective returns for<br />

our investors.« A few days before the launch<br />

of Siraj, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin<br />

Netanyahu claimed that he wanted to support<br />

the Palestinian economy, which was<br />

described by a spokesman of the autonomous<br />

government as a diversionary tactic<br />

to draw attention away from the settlement<br />

debate. Irrespective of that, the intention is<br />

for Siraj to create growth markets in Palestine.<br />

In the first year, 30 percent of investments<br />

will be devoted to hi-tech companies.<br />

A location for this is currently being<br />

developed by Masri’s construction company<br />

Massar near Ramallah, where a purpose-built<br />

city known as »Rawabi« is being<br />

financed with money from Qatar. Arab<br />

media criticised Masri for accepting a<br />

rather symbolic donation of 3,000 tree<br />

seedlings from the Jewish National Fund.<br />

Others see Masri as a fox who is playing<br />

politics for Palestine with his millions. A<br />

few weeks ago, Masri tried to take over the<br />

properties and debts of bankrupt Israeli<br />

property developer Digal via his Cyprusregistered<br />

Techsal company – the projects<br />

also included a Jewish settlement in the<br />

Arab quarter of East Jerusalem. The prospective<br />

creditors declined when they discovered<br />

a Palestinian was behind the deal.<br />

The lawyer submitting the take-over offer<br />

on behalf of Techsal was Dov Weisglass,<br />

a former friend and advisor of Israel’s ex-<br />

Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. Whether<br />

Weisglass knew who was behind his client<br />

is uncertain, and it is equally unclear whether<br />

Masri put the offer forward purely as a<br />

ruse, before allowing details of it to leak out<br />

to put the heat on the Israeli government<br />

and the settlement lobby. chat<br />

picture: Siraj


picture: UNEP<br />

South Sudan<br />

Safari<br />

The world‘s youngest nation is<br />

looking for alternative tourism<br />

expertise<br />

With almost no fully-formed roads, and<br />

just a few hotels, tourism infrastructure is<br />

as good as non-existent in South Sudan.<br />

Yet tourism is meant to be an economic<br />

pillar of the country that, to all intents and<br />

purposes, seems likely to declare its independence<br />

this July. The most important<br />

source of income for the region now and in<br />

the future is oil extraction – although there<br />

are ongoing disputes with the North<br />

about fair distribution of the proceeds. It<br />

is another good reason for wanting to expand<br />

tourism. In the first instance, this<br />

means promoting the National Parks.<br />

According to the government in Juba,<br />

around USD 140 million will be required<br />

over the next five years to achieve this –<br />

with South Sudan looking for support<br />

from abroad, and from private investors in<br />

particular. According to experts from the<br />

US Wildlife Conservation Society that is<br />

active in South Sudan, the country’s wildlife<br />

can certainly compete with that of the<br />

National Parks of Tanzania and Kenya.<br />

However, land mines, militia and poachers<br />

have severely decimated the animal<br />

population. While there were over 100,000<br />

elephants in South Sudan in the 1960s, only<br />

about 5,000 to 15,000 remain there today.<br />

Due to the lack of infrastructure,<br />

mass tourism in South Sudan is unlikely<br />

to happen anytime soon. But that is precisely<br />

what might make it appeal to individual<br />

travellers.<br />

Hold those jets,<br />

we’re hungry<br />

Full bellies more important<br />

to Iraqis than protecting their<br />

airspace<br />

Since the 2003 war, Iraq no longer has<br />

any fighter planes to speak of and cannot<br />

safeguard its airspace without outside<br />

help. For this reason, the Iraqi air<br />

force chief Anwar Ahmed is hoping to<br />

acquire 96 of the American Lockheed<br />

F-16 jets known as »Fighting Falcons«<br />

by 2020. If he has his way, in just under<br />

two years, the first Iraqi pilots will be<br />

patrolling their own airspace with 18<br />

such aircraft – which is also the prerequisite<br />

for all US troops actually pulling<br />

out of the country.<br />

In September 2010, the Pentagon approved<br />

the delivery of the first batch of 18 jets,<br />

Battle over<br />

underwear<br />

The Tunisian revolution<br />

reaches all the way to<br />

the lingerie sector<br />

Morocco and Tunisia, both well-known<br />

for their high-quality textiles, are competing<br />

for the contracts of European underwear<br />

manufacturers. The Moroccan textile<br />

association wants to create around<br />

20,000 new jobs. Production sites in the<br />

Mediterranean have it over their competition<br />

in China, with shorter delivery routes<br />

and freight times to Europe, and also<br />

more flexibility over the number of items<br />

supplied.<br />

Tunisian manufacturers, meanwhile,<br />

fear European companies will punish<br />

them for the political courage of their<br />

compatriots and increasingly turn to<br />

Morocco as a result of the unrest. »Clients<br />

won’t be pulling out of Tunisia but<br />

they are diversifying their sources of<br />

uPDATES<br />

including maintenance and training facilities,<br />

at an estimated cost of up to USD 4.2<br />

billion. After months of delays in the protracted<br />

process of forming a government<br />

in Baghdad in the wake of the last elections,<br />

Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, in<br />

his second role as Minister of Defence, received<br />

the approval of his cabinet on 26<br />

January to negotiate with the Americans<br />

over an initial instalment for the purchase.<br />

But on 14 February, the Iraqi government<br />

suddenly announced it would be<br />

postponing its purchase of the F-16s.<br />

Instead it planned to use the budgeted<br />

purchase price of USD 900 million to increase<br />

the subsidies on food rations for the<br />

population. Al-Maliki’s cabinet was forced<br />

to bow to street pressure. Ever since late<br />

January, mounting discontent with the<br />

lack of government action and lack of basic<br />

food supplies was voiced in demonstrations<br />

inspired by the recent protests in Tunisia<br />

and Egypt.<br />

supply«, was the Moroccan textile<br />

association’s attempt at reassurance.<br />

After all, Tunisia had now earned itself<br />

a certain »sympathy capital«. The Tunisian<br />

export agency CEPEX plans to leverage<br />

this capital. It has announced a<br />

special programme in Milan and Bologna<br />

at the end of March to showcase the<br />

strengths of Tunisian lingerie and<br />

swimwear fashion. Around 30 percent<br />

of Tunisia’s textile exports go to Italy.<br />

European underwear brands have been<br />

having their garments produced in Tunisia<br />

for years now, by such manufacturers<br />

as Mahdco in the harbour city of Mahdia.<br />

The company is particularly proud of its<br />

measures to counter youth unemployment.<br />

The average age of its 250 employees<br />

is just 26. The luxury brand Aubade, part<br />

of the Calida label, also outsources its production<br />

to Tunisia. In 2010, according to<br />

the latest Swiss sharemarket reports, Calida<br />

posted its best year since it went public<br />

in 2007, thanks to the success of the<br />

Aubade brand.<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 09


MONEy AND POwER<br />

When real performance<br />

pays off<br />

Few Egyptians benefited from the upswing of the past few years.<br />

In their desperation, most of them did not feel responsible for<br />

their country. Mubarak‘s downfall offers some new chances –<br />

for German entrepreneurs too<br />

by Rainer Herret<br />

They demonstrated for 18 days.<br />

Hundreds of them were brutally<br />

killed, run over or shot to death.<br />

Now there is hope of a new, democratic<br />

Egypt. The army has agreed to make this<br />

wish come true. The young Facebook revolutionaries<br />

want far more than the resignation<br />

of their President. They are calling<br />

for a new system, an end to the old-boys<br />

network that stood for corruption and misuse<br />

of power, and an economic policy that<br />

ensures humane working conditions and<br />

appropriate remuneration. That list of demands<br />

earned the young protestors the<br />

support of the middle classes and eventually<br />

that of the working class and [peasant]<br />

farmers. Whoever governs on the Nile in<br />

future will have to face up to the challenges<br />

the old regime failed to address.<br />

Egypt was praised by the World Bank as<br />

the most reform-hungry land in the world.<br />

Entrepreneurial expertise within the government<br />

and a bold policy of liberalisation triggered<br />

growth rates of seven percent and attracted<br />

direct foreign investment. The reforms<br />

were designed to stimulate competition.<br />

The social goal of combining economic performance<br />

with social progress, however, was<br />

quite simply – or perhaps deliberately – forgotten.<br />

What emerged was predatory capitalism<br />

instead of a social market economy. The<br />

fruits of the reforms were reaped by a few<br />

entrepreneurs and politicians.<br />

Inflation of 14 percent is now decimating<br />

the purchasing power of the population. Over<br />

80 percent of the around two million unemployed<br />

are under 29 years of age and the number<br />

of people working under miserable condi-<br />

10 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

tions has steadily increased over the past few<br />

years. So it comes as no surprise that nobody<br />

felt responsible for the country. Dirt and decay<br />

dominated the streetscape. Now young<br />

people are beginning to clean up Tahrir<br />

Square. It was already apparent that rubbish<br />

was being collected during the demonstra-<br />

tions. The people have won back their country.<br />

Doing away with corruption and rewarding<br />

people for effort will strengthen democratic<br />

conditions, productivity and efficiency.<br />

Motivated young entrepreneurs now have the<br />

chance to prove themselves under fair market<br />

conditions.<br />

The agricultural industry in particular<br />

needs to be completely restructured and modernised.<br />

That would benefit some 40 percent<br />

of the population who have to survive on two<br />

dollars a day or less, and can be achieved wit-<br />

hout undue effort. Better cultivation methods<br />

to boost crop yields and modernisation of the<br />

hydraulic infrastructure offer a host of potential<br />

areas for German companies to become<br />

involved.<br />

Apart from stemming the mass migration<br />

to the cities, this strategy would also lower the<br />

current need for subsidies on imported foodstuffs<br />

of around USD 1.6 billion. Modernisation<br />

of industrial production facilities will<br />

generate an increased demand for energy-<br />

efficient technologies.<br />

If the outcome of the elections in September<br />

is a moderate, religiously tolerant government,<br />

the state of the economy will improve<br />

considerably from the fourth quarter of the<br />

year onward, because there is still plenty of<br />

growth potential. Mechanical engineering,<br />

the automotive sector, medical technology,<br />

ICT, the chemical industry, the electrical en-<br />

Dr. Rainer Herret<br />

is CEO of the German-Arab Chamber of Industry and Commerce in Cairo and<br />

witnessed the revolution that took place in Egypt in the month of February. Here<br />

seen standing left of a tank after joining the demonstrators in Tahrir Square.<br />

gineering and electronics industry as well as<br />

environmental technology are the growth<br />

sectors of the country. The position of the<br />

German government during the revolution<br />

was welcomed by the people of Egypt, and<br />

German companies can now benefit from<br />

that goodwill. Visitors to the country over the<br />

next few months can not only count on increased<br />

interest from their Egyptian business<br />

partners and customers – they can also demonstrate<br />

a sense of solidarity in this new<br />

beginning.<br />

picture: private


Success without borders!<br />

> Interdisciplinary<br />

> International<br />

> Competence integrated in a single source<br />

You are the main focus: we are one of the leading<br />

internationally operating consulting and accounting fi rms of<br />

German origin and support businesses from German speaking<br />

countries in their worldwide engagements.<br />

We are active in all the leading industrial nations with more<br />

than 3,000 professionals globally and provide customized<br />

solutions through interdisciplinary cooperation.<br />

We provide interdisciplinary and international services in the<br />

areas of:<br />

> Audit<br />

> Accounting<br />

> Tax<br />

> Legal<br />

PROFIL<br />

Certifi ed Public Accountants · Tax Consultants · Attorneys-at-Law · Business Consultants<br />

Foreign direct investment and international projects are the<br />

main focus of our activities in the Middle East. Our long<br />

established company philosophy prescribes that we treat<br />

each individual client as our peer and that advice is provided<br />

in the manner of entrepreneur to entrepreneur.<br />

Besides our locations in Abu Dhabi and Dubai we are<br />

represented through offi ces in Sharjah, Cairo, Manama,<br />

Doha, Kuwait-City and Jeddah.<br />

Your contact for UAE:<br />

Markus Schlüter<br />

Tel.: + 49 (9 11) 91 93 – 31 23<br />

E-Mail: markus.schlueter@roedl.pro<br />

Joerg Gulden<br />

Tel.: + 49 (9 11) 91 93 – 30 50<br />

E-Mail: joerg.gulden@roedl.pro<br />

www.roedl.com<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 11


MONEy AND POwER<br />

Pharaoh‘s<br />

legacy<br />

Mubarak promoted the<br />

very IT sector that<br />

ultimately proved his<br />

undoing. The Smart<br />

Village in Gizeh was all<br />

part of the master plan:<br />

plenty of IT specialists, a<br />

good location and low<br />

wage costs. Only now are<br />

we about to find out if it<br />

really works by Simona Pfister<br />

The Intifada on the Nile would have<br />

struggled to cope without internet<br />

platforms to rally support. And the<br />

fact that the country – particularly in the<br />

Northern cities – now has a relatively high<br />

level of connectivity is something for<br />

which the old government only has itself<br />

to blame. While it paid next to no attention<br />

to the needs of the poor, it spent all<br />

the more time focusing on the local branch<br />

of the information and telecommunications<br />

industry (ICT). One thing is clear<br />

12 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

about the »Smart Village«, the first fully<br />

equipped technology park in Egypt, that<br />

both international and local firms have<br />

found it to be a prime location.<br />

Just a few metres past the turn-off to the<br />

pyramids of Gizeh is the entranceway to the<br />

business park. The dirty concrete deserts<br />

and din of Cairo, along with the demonstrations<br />

and political uncertainties, are soon<br />

forgotten here. You feel as though you are in<br />

a high-tech biotope reminiscent more of<br />

Dubai or Abu Dhabi than Egypt. While the<br />

Smart Village Company – the operator of<br />

the park – put up extra security guards during<br />

the weeks of protest, on the surface at<br />

least, it looked as though the company was<br />

not overly concerned by it.<br />

In the past few years, Egypt has managed<br />

to post steady economic growth – despite<br />

the world financial crisis – of 5.9 per cent in<br />

the first half of 2010. One dynamic branch of<br />

industry is the ICT and outsourcing sector,<br />

which has set up camp in the Smart Village.<br />

According to the government’s own figures,<br />

the sector grew over the past year by 12 percent<br />

and the number of ICT firms rose by an<br />

impressive 16 percent. Today the sector only<br />

contributes a comparatively modest 4 percent<br />

to gross domestic product – putting it<br />

well behind leading nations like India. The<br />

Mubarak government had planned to expand<br />

its share of the economy on a grand<br />

scale; but it is not yet clear how things will<br />

pan out. The aim was for the annual profit of<br />

the industry to climb from USD 1.1 billion to<br />

USD 10 billion by 2020, as Tarek Kamel, who<br />

was Minister of Information Technology<br />

and Telecommunications at the time, announced<br />

in the spring of 2010.<br />

International observers have also become<br />

more aware of Egypt since it won the coveted<br />

European award of »Offshoring Destination<br />

of the Year« in July last year. Cairo was<br />

ranked seventh in 2008 on the list of outsourcing<br />

cities compiled by consultancy<br />

firm Tholons. In July 2010 the London School<br />

of Economics found Egypt to be the most<br />

promising offshore candidate after Brazil,<br />

China, Russia and India.<br />

When you look around the Smart Village,<br />

it soon becomes apparent that international<br />

companies have become convinced of this<br />

too. »After Microsoft acquired a business<br />

premises in a prominent position, the other<br />

companies wanted to follow suit«, explains<br />

the PR spokeswomen for the Smart Village.<br />

pictures: dge


Ericsson, Hewlett Packard and IBM were all<br />

quick to open their own offices. Local ICT<br />

companies, frequently offering business<br />

process outsourcing (BPO) services, also<br />

moved into the Smart Village. One example<br />

of the trend would be Xceed, the Call Centre<br />

arm of Telecom Egypt.<br />

But what exactly drove the company to<br />

outsource its business processes to Egypt?<br />

»For one thing, Egypt is located in a favourable<br />

time zone, which is particularly useful<br />

for Call Centre services«, explains Rabah<br />

Khoury of Xceed, »We can serve the needs<br />

of European customers in one shift and<br />

American or Asian customers in the other.<br />

Another bonus is that it is only a quick flight<br />

away from many different locations.« The<br />

fibre-optic cables connecting Africa, Europe,<br />

Asia and even Australia, also run<br />

through Egypt.<br />

The Mubarak government invested heavily<br />

in the industry following the launch of<br />

its master plan for telecommunications in<br />

the year 2000, with the result that it is now<br />

based on fibre-optic cables that can be connected<br />

to the international ones. It was an<br />

investment that came back to haunt the regime.<br />

Egypt’s high-quality connectivity was<br />

what helped the protest movement grow, so<br />

in desperation the government then put a<br />

stranglehold on almost all internet traffic.<br />

Apart from the assurance of the Smart<br />

Village owners that they can guarantee<br />

normal operating conditions under any<br />

circumstances, the low running costs make<br />

Egypt an attractive business location.<br />

According to a study by the World Economic<br />

Forum, this outsourcing destination<br />

with average operating costs of USD 14,700<br />

per year is cheaper than either the Philippines<br />

or India.<br />

In 2004 the »Information Technology Industry<br />

Development Agency« was created<br />

within the Ministry for Telecommunications.<br />

This agency not only ensured that ICT<br />

companies benefited from discounted land<br />

prices and tax breaks, but also initiated some<br />

new laws, including the »e-signature<br />

law«, making transactions possible with just<br />

electronic signatures.<br />

One of the things that drove the young people<br />

onto the streets is also of huge benefit to<br />

the ICT business – the fact that highly qualified<br />

employees are cheap to employ here<br />

due to the oversupply of trained IT specialists.<br />

More than half of the Egyptian population<br />

is under 25 years of age. Every year<br />

some 330,000 young students graduate<br />

from its universities – including over 90,000<br />

majoring in subjects relevant to the ICT sector.<br />

The official unemployment rate is 9.4<br />

percent.<br />

A programmer earns an average of USD<br />

157,000 a year, which makes Egypt more<br />

cost-effective than all of the Eastern European<br />

ICT destinations; only India is cheaper,<br />

and the same principle applies to Call<br />

Centre services.<br />

The president‘s son<br />

played big business<br />

Many young Egyptians have strong ties to<br />

Europe and learn various European languages<br />

from an early age. While in India many<br />

people can only speak English as their<br />

foreign language, Egyptians often have a<br />

working knowledge of Spanish, French,<br />

Italian or German. Furthermore, Egyptian<br />

Arabic is the dominant language of films,<br />

music and television in the entire Arab region<br />

and is therefore understood everywhere.<br />

Xceed sends its Call Centre agents<br />

on special training courses to ensure they<br />

speak European languages with no foreign<br />

accent. »Customers in Europe should not<br />

be able to tell they are talking to an Egyptian«,<br />

is the company policy.<br />

After numerous national and international<br />

banks acquired office space in the Smart<br />

Village, a small financial district has emerged<br />

within a garden landscape. »There are<br />

green spaces and lakes here that can also be<br />

used as water reservoirs to put out any fires«,<br />

explains the woman giving investors a guided<br />

tour of the village. »You forget the fact<br />

that the entire complex is basically located<br />

in the middle of the desert, with all this<br />

MONEy AND POwER<br />

green around you.« Although the Smart<br />

Village Company claims it wants to demonstrate<br />

its care of the environment, visitors<br />

cannot see much evidence of that yet.<br />

The overthrown Mubarak and his son Gamal,<br />

who stood for the big business policies<br />

of Egypt, also used to enjoy taking visitors<br />

on guided tours of the complex.<br />

The government wanted to ensure even<br />

more local firms thrived in the ICT domain,<br />

by offering them special incentive programmes.<br />

It had signed agreements with international<br />

ICT firms like Nortel, Atos Origin and<br />

Siemens to transfer their technologies to<br />

Egypt and, in return, benefit from modern<br />

infrastructure at a discounted price. The<br />

long-term goal behind this was to diversify<br />

the country’s sources of foreign exchange.<br />

The other measures taken to promote the<br />

ICT sector can also be seen in this context.<br />

Egypt has a negative balance of trade, and<br />

a large proportion of its foreign exchange<br />

comes from the volatile business of oil and<br />

gas. And the main sources of income for<br />

foreign currencies so far – tourism and the<br />

Suez Canal – are highly susceptible to global<br />

fluctuations.<br />

The economy under Mubarak was to be<br />

liberalised within the framework of a fiveyear<br />

plan, which included the removal of<br />

various taxes and customs duties. It was<br />

hoped this would encourage direct foreign<br />

investment and more exports. Apparently<br />

the government saw the ICT sector as a<br />

particularly profitable branch of industry,<br />

for the subsidies certainly flowed freely.<br />

But it was only the already privileged Egyptians<br />

who profited from the boom: the<br />

small upper class, opportunistic businessmen<br />

and the apologists of the regime. Many<br />

of the companies represented in the<br />

Smart Village, who also invested in it, belong<br />

in whole or in part to Gamal Mubarak<br />

himself, or to his relatives and close friends<br />

or entourage – including Gamal Sadat, the<br />

son of Murabak’s predecessor Anwar al-<br />

Sadat, who was murdered in 1981. What<br />

will become of those shares in companies<br />

located in the Smart Village is still a long<br />

way from being decided.<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 13


TüRkEI<br />

EcoNoMIc STAMINA<br />

Turkey<br />

wants to<br />

know<br />

Is the new economic power<br />

already a champion?<br />

Or merely a challenger<br />

having a tilt at the title?<br />

by Daniel Gerlach<br />

Sometimes it seems as if the Turkish<br />

economy is so muscle-bound it can<br />

hardly walk. Analysts are predicting it<br />

to have the fastest growth worldwide over<br />

the next few years. Its national debt of less<br />

than 50 percent has reached a level many<br />

European countries can only dream of. Yet<br />

Turkish economists can well remember a<br />

time when their country regularly went cap<br />

in hand to the International Monetary<br />

Fund (IMF). Ali Babacan, Deputy Prime<br />

Minister will gladly tell you now that not<br />

one of the IMF programmes for restructuring<br />

the budget has ever been fully implemented.<br />

Self-control has proved its worth.<br />

14 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

National debt, inflation, dependence on<br />

borrowing and imports have been the recurrent<br />

nightmares of Turkish financial<br />

policy since the dying days of the Ottoman<br />

Empire. Historians have traced the origins<br />

of this decline to the year 1838, when the<br />

vizier signed a free trade agreement with<br />

the British – by way of thanks for military<br />

assistance. Products from the newly industrialised<br />

United Kingdom forced Turkish<br />

craftsmen to engage in a fatal price war,<br />

and European steamship travel fundamentally<br />

ruined the Asian trade of the Ottomans<br />

– while the sultans spent millions<br />

buying weapons and trains from Europe.<br />

The French and English were happy to extend<br />

the necessary credit and promptly<br />

keep half of the outstanding amount in interest.<br />

There would be no further benefit to looking<br />

back on the 19th and early 20th centuries,<br />

if Turkish economists could not see<br />

the parallels with current trends in their<br />

country: »If we ask ourselves why states<br />

like the German Empire or the USA caught<br />

up with the UK as an industrial nation in<br />

the early 20th century while Turkey came<br />

nowhere close to it, we cannot help but<br />

notice it was only the state putting up the<br />

growth capital«. This is the conclusion


illustration: Lesprenger<br />

reached by Sumru Altug, an economist at<br />

Koc University in Istanbul.<br />

The Turkish republic also suffered for a<br />

long time from the discrepancy between its<br />

political aspirations and economic performance.<br />

Now the tables are turning – the<br />

Turkish industry is producing household<br />

and kitchen appliances for export. Turkey<br />

has long been the world leader in bathroom<br />

ceramics, but now Turkish televisions are<br />

turning up in German electronics stores –<br />

and at the recent CeBIT computer show in<br />

Hanover, Turkey tried to steal some limelight.<br />

Laptops are even being produced in<br />

the Izmir region these days. Even though<br />

they are yet to find their way into the offices<br />

of German companies, they are proving<br />

popular in the Middle East and Central<br />

Asia – where the price means more than<br />

the brand name.<br />

For a long time, the world East of Gaziantep<br />

was merely a dark smudge on the<br />

consumer map. Even the economic policy<br />

makers of Turkey, most of whom had<br />

studied economics in Europe and America,<br />

looked to the European market for<br />

inspiration.<br />

This focus went hand-in-hand with the<br />

political desire to become a strategic partner<br />

of the USA and an equally valued member<br />

of the European Union. Europe still<br />

takes over 40 percent of Turkey’s exports<br />

– at least on a balance-sheet basis. Yet exports<br />

to Armenia, long considered to be the<br />

arch-enemy of Turkey, rose in 2010 to<br />

around USD 211 million.<br />

The volume of trade between Turkey and<br />

Iran is currently worth USD 10 billion.<br />

This figure is naturally attributable to its<br />

natural gas imports from Iran, but one<br />

glance at the reservation lists of mid-range<br />

hotels in Istanbul is enough to confirm that<br />

Iranian businesspeople, who can enter<br />

Turkey without a visa, are certainly regular<br />

visitors to the country. The cost of flights<br />

from Teheran to Istanbul is quite stiff – yet<br />

the planes are often booked out. For that<br />

reason alone, it is small wonder that Turkey<br />

has no time for sanctions against Iran. And<br />

many Turks wonder how well they would<br />

be doing if they had already gained entry<br />

into the EU. Its lucrative business with Iran<br />

would be threatened, and in the end they<br />

would be helping to prop up the debt umbrella<br />

over Greece.<br />

Exactly where Turkish companies had<br />

their fingers in the pie became clear in the<br />

recent Libyan crisis. Some 25,000 Turkish<br />

citizens, most of whom were stationed in<br />

Gaddafi’s oil empire as employees of construction<br />

companies, had to be flown out of<br />

the country. The mass exodus of »ex-pats«<br />

might serve as a reminder that the Turks<br />

did not flinch during Libya’s first liberation<br />

struggle against Italy in 1911, but stayed to<br />

fight with the rebels. Kemal Pascha, later<br />

known by the name of Atatürk, stood his<br />

ground there as a young officer of the military<br />

secret service.<br />

Where to with so<br />

much cash?<br />

However, Turkish foreign trade is not limited<br />

to the former provinces of the Ottoman<br />

Empire. Between Turkey and Angola, the<br />

El Dorado of South-west Africa, turnover<br />

of around USD 200 million was generated<br />

in 2010, in the mining and energy industry<br />

in particular. Steel production helped<br />

Turkey’s trade with Chile rise by almost 65<br />

percent year-on-year in 2010. USD 393<br />

million convinced both governments of<br />

the merits of a free trade agreement – this<br />

time to the benefit of the Turks.<br />

Such success stories make it seem almost<br />

surprising that, in 2010, Turkey posted a<br />

deficit of 5.9 percent in its current account<br />

– which was twice as high as in 2009. But<br />

importing energy and raw materials to service<br />

a growing economy always means<br />

spending some foreign currency. The weak<br />

euro over the past few months has made the<br />

lira, and consequently Turkish products,<br />

expensive for Europe. The central bank has<br />

had to devalue the currency, while simultaneously<br />

guarding against the risk of fuelling<br />

the inherent inflation tendencies.<br />

»The behaviour of the central bank here<br />

sometimes seems contradictory to outsiders,«<br />

says Marc Landau, CEO of the German-Turkish<br />

Chamber of Industry and<br />

Commerce in Istanbul. Turkish econo-<br />

TuRkEy<br />

mists talk of »unconventional methods« in<br />

the country’s monetary policy. On the one<br />

hand, key interest rates fell as a means of<br />

weakening the lira, while minimum reserve<br />

ratios rose in early 2010 from 6 to 10 percent.<br />

As a result, the commercial banks had<br />

to store money with the central bank,<br />

which reduced their liquidity. At the same<br />

time, the rate of the European Central<br />

Bank was about 2 percent.<br />

The flow of foreign capital onto the Turkish<br />

market made monetary authorities<br />

nervous. Where to with the capital that was<br />

coming partly from funds and partly from<br />

being loaned in Europe at low interest rates?<br />

Between January and November 2010,<br />

around USD 4.1 billion worth of investment<br />

money flowed onto the Turkish market<br />

– as opposed to 6.2 billion of foreign<br />

direct investment (FDI).<br />

The major stock corporations are currently<br />

paying respectable dividends. Over<br />

the past five years, the Turkcell mobile phone<br />

company has distributed a total of EUR<br />

3.7 billion to shareholders. Petrogiant<br />

Tüpras paid out EUR 2.9 billion and Akbank<br />

some EUR 2.4 billion. But not all sectors<br />

are booming by any means. High-end<br />

department stores and the imported sedans<br />

that are the vehicle of choice in the<br />

major metropolitan centres, are also a reminder<br />

of the flip side of development.<br />

When an economy imports more than it<br />

exports, it has to borrow to pay the bills.<br />

The regional differences in the trend are<br />

typical of fast-emerging nations like Turkey<br />

– and they tend to be extreme in nature.<br />

The average income in the greater Istanbul<br />

region is four times as high as in the East<br />

Anatolian province of Van, and not just because<br />

several hundred millionaires on the<br />

Bosporus tend to distort the statistics. The<br />

greater Istanbul area is followed by the Kocaeli<br />

Province in the Marmara region.<br />

Kayseri in Central Turkey likes to think<br />

of itself as the »Anatolian Tiger« but even it<br />

has only half the purchasing power of Istanbul.<br />

Prime Minister Erdogan comes<br />

from Istanbul; Kayseri is the birth place of<br />

President Gül and is seen as the Islamic<br />

conservative stronghold of the ruling party,<br />

AKP.<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 15<br />

>>


picture: dge<br />

TuRkEy<br />

Critics accuse the AKP leadership of favouritism<br />

towards its own cities. But the political<br />

map is not always synonymous with<br />

the economic one. Izmir, the traditional<br />

stronghold of the socialist, secular Kemalist<br />

party CHP, is punching above its<br />

weight. Renewables and other hi-tech sectors<br />

are creating growth there.<br />

Risky media market<br />

The car and commercial vehicle sector is<br />

on a real growth spurt. The French Megane<br />

model of Renault is almost entirely<br />

manufactured in Anatolian production<br />

plants these days. Erdogan, driven by political<br />

ambition, wanted a Turkish car<br />

brand that would be famous all over the<br />

world, and asked the Koc Holding to get<br />

in behind the idea. Koc refused to be<br />

swayed by such patriotism and gave Erdogan<br />

the cold shoulder.<br />

Renault also has its electric vehicles manufactured<br />

in a factory near Bursa now.<br />

Politicians are currently debating how<br />

such environmentally friendly products<br />

should be taxed.<br />

These sectors are predestined for German<br />

direct investment. But another type of<br />

16 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

business is currently whetting the appetite<br />

of major German conglomerates. »The insurance<br />

industry is particularly appealing<br />

at the moment«, says Orkan Falay, who advises<br />

German investors in Turkey on behalf<br />

of the Ernst & Young Group. »Turkey<br />

has a very young population, and many<br />

private customers still don’t have any insurance<br />

at all.«<br />

The Turks are 28 years old, statistically<br />

speaking. The new economic power has by<br />

no means managed to curb youth unemployment.<br />

But young people are renown for<br />

being keen consumers and very receptive<br />

to advertising messages. Analysts are predicting<br />

annual growth in advertising revenue<br />

of up to 23 percent by 2014. This is<br />

mouth-watering news to European media<br />

groups and publishing companies currently<br />

disappointed with their earnings in Eastern<br />

Europe.<br />

For months, a rumour has been doing<br />

the rounds that the German Axel Springer<br />

AG wants to take over the media arm<br />

of Dogan Holding. The high-circulation<br />

daily newspaper Hürriyet is also part of<br />

the Dogan stables. Time Warner is currently<br />

showing interest in the TV division<br />

of media group Dogan Yayin, which includes<br />

news channel CNN Türk amongst<br />

other things. Since 2010, foreign companies<br />

have been allowed to hold majority<br />

shares in Turkish television companies.<br />

Whether anything will come of the deal<br />

is still unclear. Earlier in the year, it<br />

looked as though Dogan would have to<br />

divest itself of the otherwise profitable<br />

division, when the authorities imposed a<br />

tax penalty on the Group that ran into<br />

billions of liras. Media market observers<br />

saw it as an attempt by the AKP leadership<br />

to punish the Dogan media for their<br />

critical to aggressive attitude. The Supreme<br />

Court allowed an appeal by Dogan<br />

against the penalty. But this might well be<br />

viewed as a warning to foreign investors<br />

– in a country known not only for its<br />

growth but also for its litigious politicians<br />

and certain gaps in areas like freedom<br />

of the press, media business may well<br />

come with good returns but also with certain<br />

risks.<br />

RESoURcES<br />

Great Game<br />

in Anatolia<br />

Nabucco is supposed to<br />

remove Europe’s dependency<br />

on Russian gas.<br />

But negotiations have been<br />

stalled for months now<br />

Before its inaugural meeting in October<br />

2002 in Vienna, the founders of the<br />

European gas pipeline project »Nabucco«<br />

listened to Verdi’s opera by the same<br />

name. Since then, plans have taken on more<br />

Wagnerian proportions.<br />

Three ventures are competing in this<br />

»great game« between giants. The »Trans-<br />

Adria Pipeline« (TAP), the »Interconnection<br />

of Turkey, Greece and Italy« (ITGI)<br />

and Nabucco have all set themselves the<br />

goal of diversifying Europe’s energy supply<br />

and all have their sights on the gas fields of<br />

Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Iraq. They<br />

would have liked to have included the Iranians<br />

as well, but ever since the European<br />

Council imposed sanctions on Iran in October<br />

2010, that option has been a no-go<br />

area. »Iran may later come back into question<br />

as a supplier«, says Gabriele Egartner<br />

from the Nabucco planning office in Vienna,<br />

adding that 2015 is still the target year<br />

for commissioning the pipeline. But more<br />

and more doubt is arising about that very<br />

prospect. Even EU Energy Commissioner<br />

Günther Oettinger, one of the most proactive<br />

supporters of Nabucco, now predicts<br />

the pipeline will be commissioned »by 2018<br />

at the earliest«. The governments concerned<br />

have still not managed to reach agreement<br />

with the gas producers. Everyone<br />

wants a piece of the pie. Russia is putting<br />

constant pressure on its neighbours in an<br />

effort to make its own »South Stream« project<br />

seem more attractive. Even when exploiting<br />

the Azerbaijan gas field, Shah Deniz<br />

II, the EU was afraid it would fall behind<br />

China and Russia. In the future, up to 80


illion cubic metres annually will be sourced<br />

from the Caspian Sea by each of those<br />

two nations, points out Central Asian researcher<br />

and energy expert, Roland Götz.<br />

That would mean the Europeans will be left<br />

with »just 10 to 20 billion cubic metres« –<br />

yet the plan was for ITGI, TAP and Nabucco<br />

to have a total capacity of around 62<br />

billion cubic metres. That will now have to<br />

come from other sources. Another partnership<br />

is also proving more difficult than<br />

expected. In late November, when Iran<br />

opened up a new supply route, it doubled its<br />

gas imports from Turkmenistan. Like Turkey,<br />

Iran is trying to expand its pipeline<br />

network, despite the on-going sanctions,<br />

and promote itself as an attractive transit<br />

nation.<br />

»Turkmenistan is still a key partner for<br />

the EU«, says Nicole Bockstaller, spokeswoman<br />

for the Energy Commissioner’s<br />

Office in Brussels, in an attempt at reassurance,<br />

adding that they fully expect to get<br />

that supply. But criticism is already being<br />

YOUR KEY<br />

TO BAVARIA<br />

aired. Bulgaria’s Minister of Economics,<br />

Traicho Traikov, told the Viennese Standard<br />

that Nabucco would fail if the Commission<br />

did not do more to support it.<br />

Botas wants to be<br />

another Gazprom<br />

It is a bonus for the politicians that all of<br />

these pipeline projects will be operated by<br />

private enterprises. If one operator does<br />

not manage to secure the necessary contracts,<br />

the relevant line will be relinquished.<br />

The first such indications started coming<br />

last September from the operator of<br />

the ITGI, the Italian electricity giant Edison.<br />

They were not ruling out the idea of a<br />

tie-in with the Turkish section of Nabucco,<br />

as it would »make economic sense,« according<br />

to one company representative. Nabucco<br />

headquarters denied ever having<br />

such discussions with the competition<br />

when questioned by zenith, although »eco-<br />

EASY ACCESS TO ECONOMIC PARTNERS IN BAVARIA<br />

TuRkEy<br />

nomic factors will ultimately define the<br />

route of the pipeline network«, according<br />

to Gabriele Egartner. The EU Commission<br />

claims to support all three ventures equally.<br />

The Turkish state-owned enterprise Botas,<br />

which wants to invest billions in both Nabucco<br />

and ITGI, is at the heart of the negotiations,<br />

in Roland Götz’s view. »Botas will<br />

probably not be content with being a natural<br />

gas transporter, as it would rather play<br />

the role of gas distributor.« In the past, Turkey<br />

has shown an interest in having up to<br />

15 percent of the pipeline gas – an option<br />

firmly rejected by Europe to date. »The Nabucco<br />

Consortium has been unable to make<br />

the Turks an acceptable offer,« according<br />

to Götz. But he thinks a »southern gas<br />

transmission corridor« in the form of a<br />

pipeline network via Turkey would be a<br />

possibility. In that case, Botas would play a<br />

central role in the supply of gas and be able<br />

to show the door to the Russian Gazprom<br />

group, from which Europe has long been<br />

wanting to extricate itself. metz<br />

Exclusively available at Bayern International, the publication „Key Technologies in Bavaria“ comes free of charge and offers valuable insights into<br />

more than 12.000 industries and companies.<br />

Visit www.key-technologies-in-bavaria.com to obtain the regularly updated information of all 20 industries online and make use of the various<br />

search functions provided for your convenience. Tap the potential of Bavaria‘s industries of the future and order your free CD online now.<br />

KeyTech Hotline: +49 (0)180 5 949260<br />

(14 cents per min. for calls from Germany; fees for international calls subject to your local provider)<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 17<br />

WWW.BAYERN-INTERNATIONAL.COM<br />

>>


TuRkEy<br />

18 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

INFRASTRUcTURE<br />

Underwater artery<br />

To ward off fatal congestion, Istanbul is building an<br />

underground traffic network. The risk of earthquakes,<br />

fast-moving currents, legal disputes, and archaeological<br />

discoveries are all delaying the project – but in May a<br />

decision will be made on a new tender process<br />

by Özgür Uludag<br />

The two Bosporus bridges were actually supposed<br />

to resolve the problem but ultimately<br />

only made it worse, because the people of Istanbul<br />

have become far too used to driving into the<br />

city by car – from Asia to Europe or vice versa. A<br />

shortage of car parks, chronic congestion and considerable<br />

environmental pollution all stem from that<br />

huge volume of traffic. The first bridge was opened<br />

in 1973 and the second in 1988. By the year 2014 a<br />

project should be completed that will really change<br />

things – and make the technical feats of the bridge<br />

builders pale into insignificance. A tunnel system<br />

known as the »Marmaray Project« has been a source<br />

of admiration for months now but also the subject of<br />

major debate.<br />

The new traffic artery will run 76.3 kilometres parallel<br />

to the coast of the Marmara Sea and cross<br />

through it at the bottleneck in the city centre of Istanbul.<br />

Between Üsküdar on the Asiatic side and Sirkeci<br />

on the European side, a 1,300-metre-long tunnel has


pictures: Özgür Uludag<br />

already been submerged. This is not without its<br />

risks, as Istanbul is only 20 kilometres away from<br />

the North Anatolian faultline. For this reason, the<br />

tunnel has been designed to withstand an earthquake<br />

measuring 7.5 on the Richter Scale, explains<br />

the Chief Project Manager, Hüseyin Belkaya: »If an<br />

earthquake happens in Istanbul, the tunnel will be<br />

the safest place to be.« To make doubly sure, some<br />

seismic measuring stations are being installed inside<br />

the tunnel itself to alert the authorities or hospitals<br />

to any imminent earthquake. This would allow<br />

the gas pipelines to be shut down in time. There<br />

is no risk of any inrush of water, says Belkaya.<br />

The worst that could happen would be »that the<br />

railway tracks buckle a bit.« You see, this tunnel<br />

will only be used by trains, for the idea is that commuters<br />

will leave their cars at home.<br />

Back in 1860, the Sultan of the Ottoman Empire at<br />

that time, Abdülmecid, wanted to have a tunnel built<br />

in the same place as this one. Sultan Abdülhamid II<br />

revived the plan in 1902 – before abandoning it again.<br />

Apart from passenger transport, freight trains will<br />

also roll beneath the Bosporus by night. If a fire<br />

should occur down there, thermal energy of up to 100<br />

megawatts could be generated. To ensure the concrete<br />

does not crack in such an event, researchers at the<br />

Istanbul Technical University worked with chemical<br />

giant BASF to develop a special building compound.<br />

If a passenger train should catch fire, there will be<br />

escape routes every 200 metres in the drilling tunnel<br />

and every 100 metres in the submerged tunnel.<br />

But the challenges are not just of a technical nature.<br />

Three years ago the AMD consortium, comprising<br />

the French company Alstom, the Japanese Group<br />

Marubeni and the Turkish construction company<br />

Dogan won the tender for the project. The job included<br />

laying, renewing and expanding the rail network<br />

along with 37 above-ground and three underground<br />

stations, as well as the computer-controlled signal<br />

systems. Alstom planned to bring its transport experience<br />

to bear on the project, while Marubeni would<br />

develop the rail network. But in 2007 the consortium<br />

fell apart, when a Byzantium harbour was discovered<br />

near Üsküdar and old graves were uncovered on the<br />

European side near Yenikapi. In order to secure these<br />

archaeological treasures, construction work was suspended<br />

until 35 wooden boats from the 7th and 10th<br />

centuries, and skeletons thought to be about 8,000<br />

years old could be safely removed from the site. The<br />

finds extended Istanbul’s settlement history by about<br />

6,000 years, but apparently also led to a cost blow-out<br />

of more than EUR 500 million and a delay of five ye-<br />

ars. AMD retreated. Hüseyin Baykal is critical of the<br />

behaviour of AMD: »They had been there for about<br />

three years, but hadn’t built anything and obviously<br />

didn’t want to either«.<br />

In May 2011, a new tender will be awarded so that<br />

a new consortium can pick up the work again in July.<br />

Peter Hettich from Kalsruhe is simply continuing<br />

working there until then. He is responsible for the<br />

design and planning of the electromechanical systems.<br />

»Somehow the work has to go ahead, or we will<br />

lose even more time, and I am of the opinion that we<br />

can now meet the deadline« says a confident Hettich.<br />

The TGN consortium, made up of the<br />

Japanese construction company Taisei<br />

and Turkish companies GAMA and Nurol,<br />

is responsible for the drilling tunnel.<br />

In the Turkish city of Sakarya, the South<br />

Korean firm Hyundai Rotem is making<br />

440 rail vehicles. The 135-metre-long<br />

submerged elements of the tunnel were<br />

produced at a dry dock near Ismit, submerged<br />

by a computer control system to<br />

a depth of 58 metres in Bosporus and welded under<br />

water. As the Bosporus is one of the busiest waterways<br />

of the world, construction work of this kind is<br />

not without its dangers. Constant ferry traffic is also<br />

an obstacle to the »Ecem Sultan«, the special ship<br />

transporting and submerging the tunnel parts. In<br />

addition, there are opposing cross-currents in the<br />

Bosporus Strait that make submerging the components<br />

more difficult.<br />

Drilling on the mainland, however, led to damage<br />

to buildings above the tunnel. So far, Taisei has<br />

had to pay USD 330,000 by way of compensation.<br />

Construction of the tunnel – initially budgeted to<br />

cost EUR 3 billion and wind up in 2009 – is becoming<br />

more and more expensive and taking longer<br />

and longer to complete. Now the Japan Bank for<br />

International Cooperation and European Investment<br />

Bank, who are putting up the capital for it,<br />

estimate it will cost more than EUR 4 billion and be<br />

ready in three years at the earliest. But that price is<br />

probably not too high it means fatal traffic congestion<br />

can be averted. Up to 150,000 people per hour<br />

could commute between Asia and Europe thanks<br />

to the Marmaray Project. Another mammoth and<br />

long-famous building project in the metropolis of<br />

Istanbul offers a glimmer of hope. Sceptics also<br />

shook their heads over building plans for the Hagia<br />

Sophia dome – until the church was finally consecrated<br />

on Christmas Eve in the year 562 following a<br />

30-year construction period.<br />

TuRkEy<br />

»If there is an<br />

earthquake, down<br />

here will be the<br />

safe place to be!«<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 19


TuRkEy<br />

FINANcE<br />

»Capital inflow is good,<br />

but dangerous«<br />

Economics professor Sumru Altug about<br />

Turkey‘s business miracle, consumption<br />

by credit and South East Asian role models<br />

zenith: Professor Altug, how sustainable<br />

is Turkey‘s rise to world‘s leading economic<br />

powers?<br />

Sumru Altug: I don‘t want to appear a<br />

sceptic. Turkey could really take its place<br />

among the economic giants in the wold. Or<br />

at least alongside the so called BRIC states<br />

– the emerging economic powers Brazil,<br />

Russia, India and China. But Turkey has<br />

not completed its structural transformation<br />

– in part it still is a rural country.<br />

Isn‘t Turkey‘s successs story mainly a result<br />

of good PR?<br />

I think there is a lot of good PR involved, but<br />

Turkish companies really perform well and<br />

expand into other markets. A major factor<br />

in this business boom is the inflow of foreign<br />

capital into Turkey.<br />

Where is all the money coming from?<br />

It is difficult to trace back the flow of capital<br />

because a lot of it may go through financial<br />

markets like London or New York. But I<br />

think a lot is coming from the Gulf states<br />

and Arabian sovereign funds. But there is<br />

some FDI from the Middle East in Turkey,<br />

too. Due to the wave of privatisation. Turkish<br />

Telecom, for example, was bought by<br />

the Lebanese investor Hariri.<br />

Can‘t the inflow of cash be a risk as well?<br />

Yes, and the Turkish Central Bank seems to<br />

be aware of the fact that this inflow can<br />

create market bubbles. Capital inflow is<br />

good, but it is also dangerous, mostly because<br />

of the inflation risk. I am not sure if<br />

20 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

the banks really pay enough attention on<br />

whether the loans can be paid back.<br />

Do Turkish consumers buy too much<br />

on credit?<br />

Everybody can get a credit card now, which<br />

was unthinkable some 10 or 15 years ago.<br />

And people use their credit cards – even if<br />

most pay their bills wisely by the end of the<br />

month, there will be credit defaults. Another<br />

problem is the rise of credit card and<br />

cheque delinquency.<br />

A lot of attention is now focused on<br />

the so called Anatolian tiger cities<br />

becoming richer and more visible businesswise.<br />

Is Turkey still an economically<br />

divided country with a wealthy West<br />

and a poor East?<br />

Very much so. Even if some growth has arrived<br />

to parts of South Eastern Anatolia,<br />

the division between East and West is quite<br />

evident. There are still severe problems:<br />

The economy is not creating the right jobs,<br />

even if branches like the construction or<br />

the import business are booming. The current<br />

transformation is not enough technology<br />

oriented, and a growing automotive<br />

industry is not getting us there. If you look<br />

at South East Asia, you see that there is a lot<br />

of FDI in hightech branches. Turkey needs<br />

more of that. Episodes of high growth<br />

which Turkey has experienced are fine, but<br />

the target, which is wealth, is a moving target.<br />

You have to re-adjust your strategies as<br />

everybody else grows with you.<br />

Sumru Guler Altug studied economics in<br />

Pittsburgh. Since 2002 she teaches at the<br />

College for Economy and Management of<br />

Istanbul‘s Koc University.<br />

Is Turkey redirecting its trade focus away<br />

from Europe and towards the Middle East?<br />

Let‘s not dream about this. Europe is still<br />

the biggest market for Turkey – half of<br />

Turkey’s exports still go to the EU while the<br />

share of exports to the Middle Eastern<br />

neighbours is less than a quarter. The<br />

Middle Eastern societies have huge problems<br />

and a very low purchasing power.<br />

The average wages in Eastern Anatolia<br />

are very low, too ...<br />

True, Turkey has been unable to attract<br />

FDI to most of Eastern Anatolia. The cost<br />

of labour there is low, but there are infrastructure<br />

problems and high costs of<br />

transportation, it is also not easy to find<br />

skilled employees.<br />

So what needs to be done in rural areas<br />

to improve the social situation?<br />

Education is extremely important, not only<br />

academic but also vocational education. There<br />

are private initiatives to train unskilled<br />

people from the countryside who come to a<br />

big city like Istanbul. Moreover, Kemal<br />

Kılıçdaroğlu, leader of the main opposition<br />

party CHP has proposed a program to create<br />

a minimal safety net and wants to pay, for example,<br />

a minimum of 600 Turkish Lira to<br />

each woman running a household.<br />

Can Turkey afford this? Or would this<br />

mean increasing taxes?<br />

Turkey can. We simply have to cut our defense<br />

budget: Greece, Armenia, and Russia<br />

are no longer our enemies.<br />

picture: private


XXXXXX<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 21


TuRkEy<br />

Not yet on Cloud Seven<br />

As this year’s CeBIT Partner Country, Turkey wanted to showcase itself<br />

as the IT land of the future. The innovations were not convincing in every<br />

sector, but the country is heading in the right direction<br />

by Nils Metzger<br />

22 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

picture: Deutsche Messe Hannover


Not innovative enough, not open<br />

enough, not specific enough, not<br />

sensational enough – CeBIT attracts<br />

a critical public, spoilt by the rapid<br />

technological progress of recent years into<br />

smiling somewhat condescendingly at<br />

Turkey’s efforts to promote itself. The announcement<br />

by Turkish Prime Minister<br />

Erdogan that »in a very short time« one<br />

fifth of its exports will come from the IT<br />

sector, was not enough to make many<br />

trade visitors drop their mask of nerdy,<br />

professional coolness and lethargy.<br />

Yet the Turkish stand did offer some<br />

surprises and plenty of evidence of the<br />

country’s impressive rise up the ranks as<br />

an IT nation. A total of 81 Turkish companies<br />

presented an enormously diverse<br />

image of the local electronics industry.<br />

Exhibitors at the 4,300-square-metre<br />

stand showed that worthwhile differences<br />

lie in the detail. For instance, the East of<br />

Turkey does not have a very good network<br />

of specialist electronics stores – a disadvantage<br />

that the region is counteracting<br />

by achieving enormous growth in the ecommerce<br />

sector, according to Efe Aras,<br />

manager of Istanbul applications developer<br />

Visilabs. »A large number of online<br />

sales platforms for second-hand goods<br />

supply these outlying areas.« Turkish portals<br />

like hepsiburada.com and sahibinden.com<br />

are opting, like global player<br />

Amazon, for personalised advertising and<br />

deals tailored to individual customers.<br />

The software for this is being developed in<br />

Turkey – with companies like Visilabs only<br />

now starting to forge contacts with foreign<br />

companies. »Particularly in Central<br />

Asia, we are hoping for some enormous<br />

growth rates«, reports Aras.<br />

KocSistem, the technology arm of industrial<br />

giant Koc, showcased some RFID<br />

systems that simplify the process of tracing<br />

individual freight deliveries in the<br />

major trade centres of the world. Company<br />

representative Resat Helvaci sees the<br />

Middle East as having plenty of catching<br />

up to do in terms of technology. »Dispatch<br />

processes for freight containers in many<br />

areas are still not effective enough compared<br />

to those in Europe. RFID technology<br />

prevents goods from being lost and speeds<br />

up the loading and unloading process.«<br />

The planned privatisation of Turkish<br />

ports in the second half of 2011 is being<br />

seen as a good marketing opportunity: »It<br />

will attract investors to the country and<br />

increase our volume of trade with Western<br />

Europe.«<br />

Building a bridge<br />

to Germany<br />

If you were expecting the Turkish stands<br />

to have some their own developments on<br />

this year’s keynote theme of »Cloud Computing«<br />

(access to data and programs via<br />

an internet server without having to store<br />

it all locally), you would have come away<br />

empty-handed. Both Turkey and the<br />

Middle East are still developing countries<br />

in this regard. »We have our hands full<br />

distributing the technology in Germany. I<br />

am not aware of any enquiries from the<br />

Islamic region«, says Mark Clark of Siemens<br />

Communications – a surprising situation,<br />

given that Turkey, unlike many of<br />

its neighbouring countries, already has a<br />

well-developed broadband network.<br />

While this technology is already successfully<br />

cutting costs in IT departments<br />

all over Europe IT, its use in Turkey is still<br />

limited to insider get-togethers like the<br />

CloudCamp held in September 2010 for<br />

the first time in Istanbul, which attracted<br />

some 160 participants. But there were no<br />

business people congregating there – only<br />

TuRkEy<br />

representatives from an avant-garde network.<br />

When asked about their experience<br />

with Turkey, CeBIT press spokespeople<br />

from IBM and Microsoft to Cisco, who were<br />

all focusing on Cloud technologies, reacted<br />

as though they had been caught short:<br />

»Please leave us your contact details and we<br />

will get in touch with you in the next few<br />

days«, was the standard response.<br />

There was positive evidence, however,<br />

of some close interaction between German<br />

and Turkish companies. Mobile phone<br />

company Turkcell is opening its European<br />

group headquarters in Cologne in<br />

April. The company wants to secure millions<br />

of customers by offering them particularly<br />

good connections to Turkey. However,<br />

none of the Turkcell staff could tell<br />

zenith how much growth they were targeting<br />

in the first few months, nor provide<br />

any information about how they planned<br />

to differentiate themselves from established<br />

competitors in the market.<br />

Turkey undoubtedly has a long way to<br />

go as an IT nation before it can live up to<br />

the expectations of its Prime Minister. But<br />

developments are certainly happening<br />

and in Germany too attempts are being<br />

made to set the right course and help German<br />

companies tap into the market. Albeit<br />

on a small scale, the »Türk-Alman<br />

Business Center«, the brainchild of Lower<br />

Saxony promotional organisations, NGlobal<br />

and Hannoverimpuls, is the first port<br />

of call for German business people wanting<br />

to make contact with the Turkish IT<br />

scene. The North German state is attempting<br />

to target Turkish companies and promote<br />

itself as an attractive investment location<br />

– the only such initiative in Germany<br />

so far. It will also be accompanying the<br />

up-coming Lower Saxony Foreign Trade<br />

Forum in April 2011 – with Turkey once<br />

again in the spotlight as the Partner<br />

Country for this event.<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 23


TuRkEy<br />

Hakan Aldogan<br />

»I left Istanbul shortly after I finished<br />

university – heading first to Denmark,<br />

then Australia and France. I feel at<br />

home here, but somehow also like a visitor,<br />

and always curious to have another look at<br />

the city. A good weekend and a business<br />

meeting with foreign visitors would not be<br />

complete without a midday meal in the Turkish<br />

Restaurant ›Pandeli‹. If you come from<br />

the direction of the Eminönü jetty, look for<br />

the entrance as you come into the ›Egyptian<br />

Bazaar‹. The door is right there on your left<br />

and easy to miss. Then you go from there up<br />

to the first floor. I know you think Turkish<br />

desserts are too sweet and overly rich – but<br />

forget all that. You have never tried any of<br />

these things. One of them is made from chicken<br />

meat! Various presidents and prime<br />

ministers have dined at Pandeli on the pub-<br />

24 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

MY ISTANBUl<br />

Business lunch<br />

with Bosporus view<br />

Do you have a business appointment or a trade fair to<br />

attend in Istanbul? Does your company plan to book you<br />

into a soul-destroying hotel bunker on the outskirts<br />

of town? To prevent this happening, take the following<br />

recommendations to heart – and stay a little longer<br />

Hakan Aldogan,<br />

architect with Ateliers Jean Nouvel.<br />

lic purse, which you would never know to<br />

look at the prices. Cafés and restaurants have<br />

all become expensive in the city anyway.<br />

Luxury hotels always have been of course.<br />

But if you want to experience a taste of the<br />

Ottoman Empire, and your company is<br />

paying for the trip anyway, stay at the ›Ciragan<br />

Kempinski‹. Sultan Abdülaziz had the<br />

palace built in the 1860s right on the Bosporus<br />

Strait. After a major fire, the site was deserted,<br />

and for decades it was just a place for<br />

footballers of Besiktas to kick a ball around.<br />

There is hardly anything left of that these<br />

days. If you would rather stay on the historic<br />

peninsula in the Sultanahmet Quarter, I recommend<br />

the Four Seasons. If your business<br />

takes you to Taksim or Beyoglu, stay at<br />

the ›Pera Palace‹. It is one of the oldest and<br />

best European hotels in Turkey.«<br />

pandeli.com.tr<br />

kempinski.com/istanbul<br />

fourseasons.com/de/istanbul<br />

perapalace.com


picutures: dge, private<br />

Marc Landau,<br />

CEO of the German-Turkish Chamber of<br />

Industry and Commerce in Istanbul<br />

Marc Landau<br />

»When I have business friends and acquaintances<br />

over from Germany I can<br />

always take them to see the Hagia Sophia.<br />

But occasionally I prefer to show<br />

them something different, so I take my visitors<br />

to a shopping mall like the ›Kanyon‹<br />

in the financial district of Levant. I believe<br />

many Germans don’t realise the variety<br />

and quality of products available in Turkey.<br />

You won’t find anything like it back home,<br />

that’s for sure. You can also learn something<br />

about the Turkish economy there<br />

– many German business people still have a<br />

clichéd image of the Middle East from their<br />

reading of Karl May novels. For a business<br />

meal, I recommend the restaurant ›Mikla‹,<br />

located on the Penthouse level of the ‘Marmara<br />

Pera’ hotel. The chef describes his<br />

creations as authentic ›Turkish-Scandinavian<br />

cuisine‹. You can really eat well there<br />

and still hold a discrete business conversation<br />

at the same time. In the Besiktas part<br />

of town, I recommend the ›Vogue‹. Just<br />

north of the big Bosporus bridge, which is<br />

not far from us and the offices of the German-Turkish<br />

Chamber of Industry and<br />

Commerce, is the Ulus Park, where you<br />

will find the ›Sunset Grill & Bar‹ high up on<br />

the hill – with a panoramic view of the Bosporus,<br />

which makes it a particularly nice<br />

place to be in the summer. As far as accommodation<br />

options for business people go, it<br />

much depends on which part of town you<br />

will be spending the most time. I could of<br />

course mention the big luxury palaces, but<br />

for small to medium-sized enterprises<br />

wanting good value for money, I recommend<br />

the ›Richmond Hotel‹, right in the<br />

centre of Beyoglu in the Istiklal shopping<br />

mile. If your diary is not too full, or you feel<br />

like spending a few extra days of R & R and<br />

enjoy a certain amount of comfort, I would<br />

naturally recommend the ›Splendid‹ on the<br />

Princes’ Island of Büyükada. There are no<br />

cars allowed on the island – only pushbikes<br />

and historic, horse-drawn carriages.«<br />

kanyon.com.tr<br />

miklarestaurant.com<br />

voguerestaurant.com<br />

sunsetgrillbar.com<br />

richmondhotels.com.tr<br />

splendidhotel.net<br />

Özlem Bekiroglu<br />

»Of course it’s not easy to recommend<br />

a hotel in Istanbul when you live in<br />

the city yourself. But for visitors I recommend<br />

the ›Pera Rose‹, a boutique hotel<br />

in Pera – not far from Taksim Square,<br />

with a view of the Golden Horn. If you<br />

want to stay in the city a bit longer and<br />

feel slightly more at home, the best thing<br />

to do is rent an apartment at ›Manzara Istanbul‹.<br />

They have nicely furnished, spacious<br />

apartments in several central locations<br />

around the city. For business meals,<br />

I like peace and quiet and a good view of<br />

Özlem Bekiroglu,<br />

PR manager for the agency Grup7<br />

the Bosporus, so I would recommend the<br />

Restaurant Müzedechanga. It is located<br />

in the Sakip Sabanci Museum in Emirgan,<br />

the name of one of the oldest settlements<br />

on the Bosporus. The ›Müzedechanga‹<br />

serves traditional Turkish cuisine<br />

but it is presented in such a<br />

contemporary and original way that you<br />

can hardly tell. After the meal you can<br />

stroll through the art collection of the<br />

museum. The same combination of food<br />

and culture is something offered by another<br />

great place in the inner city precinct:<br />

the ›X Restaurant‹ on the top floor of the<br />

Istanbul Foundation for Culture and<br />

Arts. Otherwise I would recommend a<br />

classic eating house called ›Topaz‹, also<br />

with a view of the Bosporus. They have<br />

Mediterranean and Turkish cuisine there<br />

– and it’s very good, if a little bit pricey.«<br />

changa-istanbul.com<br />

iksv.org<br />

topazistanbul.com<br />

perarose.com<br />

manzara-istanbul.com<br />

TuRkEy<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 25


GCC REPORT<br />

26 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

INVESTMENT<br />

Club of visionaries<br />

Without much fanfare, the Qatari Investment Authority<br />

is becoming one of the world’s most influential investment<br />

companies. In Europe it is actively promoting the image<br />

of the country – the big money is going elsewhere<br />

by Nils Metzger<br />

Qatar could be held up as a business simulation<br />

game for economics students. Take an<br />

insignificant state by world political standards,<br />

in a part of the world that has no real industry<br />

to speak of, give it USD 100 billion and the goal of<br />

becoming »the leading economy in the region«.<br />

Since the »Qatar Investment Authority« (QIA) was<br />

founded in 2005, the Gulf state of Qatar has been rapidly<br />

promoting the global distribution of its foreign<br />

currency. Its founder and CEO Sheikh Hamad bin<br />

Jassim Al Thani – who has now moved up the ranks<br />

to Prime Minister – is the top economist of the country.<br />

Via the wide-ranging network of the Al Thani<br />

family – where numerous relatives administer the<br />

sub-funds of the QIA – Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim<br />

controls the earnings from the oil and gas business<br />

that still makes up around 85 percent of the country’s<br />

export business and 70 percent of the national budget.<br />

The Emirate buys up shares in companies all<br />

over the world via various funds and subsidiary<br />

companies.<br />

The QIA puts its faith in established market players<br />

and – unlike the United Arab Emirates, which has<br />

long been famous for it worldwide – it has not yet<br />

made the headlines due to the failure of any highly<br />

speculative prestige projects. The motto of the Qataris<br />

is to avoid major risks, which is why names like the<br />

Swiss bank Crédit Suisse and German carmakers<br />

Porsche and VW have piqued the aspirations of the<br />

fuel billionaires. Ever since the QIA supported the<br />

construction company Hochtief in late 2010, when it<br />

was threatened by a hostile takeover, it has attracted<br />

wider public attention. Because the Qatar Holding, a<br />

wholly-owned subsidiary of the QIA, boosted its


designs: Albert Speer & Partner / visualization: HH Vision<br />

share of Hochtief to 9.1 percent – not as a foreign locust<br />

but more as a ‘white knight’ and at the Germans’<br />

own request – its first public appearance in Germany<br />

met with a positive response. The Dubai port operator<br />

DP World 2006 learnt the hard way how important<br />

a company’s public image can be, when its attempt<br />

to take over several US ports failed due to opposition<br />

from the Bush government. For months, media<br />

commentators had argued against the idea of letting<br />

such strategic lifelines fall into Arab hands. Spanish<br />

construction group ACS could still win the takeover<br />

battle – and Qatar has so far shown no signs of wanting<br />

to boost its share of 9.1 to over 25 percent of<br />

Hochtief, in order to become a minority shareholder<br />

and stymie the Spaniard’s chances of any takeover.<br />

However, Florentino Perez, the CEO of ACS, will<br />

be in for some frequent stoushes with the Qataris<br />

over the next few months, for very different reasons.<br />

Perez is President of the now second-ranked football<br />

club, Real Madrid, while Qatar entered the fray in<br />

December by becoming the jersey sponsor of top-ofthe-table<br />

FC Barcelona. The Qatar Foundation, nominally<br />

independent of the QIA but closely allied to<br />

it nevertheless, will be paying EUR 170 million for<br />

the privilege. On 14 March QIA announced to invest<br />

EUR 2.2 billion into Spanish energy supplier Iberdrola.<br />

Major shareholder ACS‘s stake was accordingly<br />

reduced by this transaction. In doing so the Qataris<br />

tried to boost their Latin American business: in October<br />

2010 they already bought 5 per cent share of<br />

Brazilian Banco Santander.<br />

It would appear that the emirate likes to conceal<br />

subtle message in its investments. USD five billion for<br />

the stricken Greek economy indicate that Qatar is a<br />

reliable friend of the Europeans, even – or especially<br />

– when the euro is under fire. And in the entertainment<br />

domain as well, the Qataris want to show that<br />

they are not as inhibited as is often presumed, and in<br />

fact enjoy watching films by Quentin Tarantino and<br />

the Coen brothers.<br />

In December 2010 a sub-fund of the QIA, in a joint<br />

venture with the Weinstein brothers, bought film<br />

production company Miramax for the equivalent of<br />

around EUR 500 million – the Disney Group that<br />

Miramax belonged to at the time was planning to<br />

close the studios down. This means that even Katie<br />

Holmes, who features in the horror re-<br />

make »Don‘t be afraid of the dark« currently<br />

being produced by Miramax, is<br />

now working for the Qataris. Globally<br />

speaking, these deals made by the QIA<br />

fund with first division clubs and Hollywood<br />

studios are good for their image,<br />

but peanuts in the overall scheme of<br />

things. The majority of the almost USD<br />

22 billion that Qatar invested abroad in<br />

2010 went to emerging countries. For instance,<br />

the QIA supported the somewhat<br />

sluggish IPO of the Agricultural Bank of China to the<br />

tune of USD 6 billion. The over 300 million private<br />

clients of the state-owned enterprise are allowing Qatar<br />

to participate long-term in the economic rise of<br />

the Chinese – or so the logic goes. »We are planning<br />

to invest more and more in Asia over the next few<br />

years. Compared to our activities in Europe, we have<br />

neglected this economic region for far too long«,<br />

Kenneth Shen, who is responsible at QIA for strategic<br />

planning, tells zenith.<br />

The small number of in-house personnel has so far<br />

restricted it to investing in companies that can be re-<br />

2.8 billion euros<br />

for a bank in<br />

China: Hochtief<br />

and Hollywood<br />

are peanuts<br />

>><br />

GCC REPORT<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 27


GCC REPORT<br />

lied upon to prosper without cons-<br />

A mere 110 tant monitoring from Doha, says<br />

financial experts Shen. At the moment only 110 finance<br />

experts are employed by<br />

allocate the QIA to manage the distribution of<br />

its billions.<br />

billions – and Observers following the invest-<br />

speculation is ment policies of Qatar see the Emirate<br />

and China as having even more<br />

frowned upon common interests – including investment<br />

in Africa. Qatar Airways<br />

now offers flights via Doha between<br />

many Chinese and African cities. In December 2010,<br />

Air China announced it would be expanding the<br />

Doha hub in a joint venture with Qatar Airways. The<br />

QIA‘S INVESTMENTS SINcE 2010<br />

28 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

planned investment, which includes a new terminal<br />

exclusively reserved for Chinese airlines, is said to<br />

run to about USD 1 billion. In the Sudan, according<br />

to market observers, Chinese oil firms are also relying<br />

heavily on the help of the Qataris, who have considerable<br />

political influence in Khartoum and often<br />

act as the intermediaries between former civil war<br />

factions.<br />

The QIA is also toying with the idea of becoming<br />

more involved in Germany over the next few years,<br />

Finance Minister Youssef Hussein Kamal recently<br />

told the Financial Times Deutschland. Baden-based<br />

software developer SAP was currently top of its wishlist.<br />

They were interested in sectors that »would also<br />

have a direct impact on the Qatar economy«. This<br />

indirectly included Hochtief. After Qatari’s successful<br />

bid to host the Football World Cup 2022, the<br />

government in Doha is now looking for strategic<br />

partners to build several stadiums and other major<br />

projects in an effort to prepare the country for the<br />

influx of tens of thousands of football fans. Ahmed<br />

Mohammed al-Sayed, CEO of Qatar Holding, would<br />

like to involve Hochtief as a »key partner« in the 2022<br />

World Cup. The games venues are nothing more than<br />

computer-generated sand castles at the moment – in<br />

the case of the 86,000-capacity stadium for the finals,<br />

the actual city hosting the venue is yet to be built.<br />

Named after the historic term for the region north of<br />

Doha, »Lusail« is set to become the home of 200,000<br />

people, if the Qatari government has its way. The developer<br />

of this purpose-built city is once again the<br />

QIA via its subsidiary company, Qatari Diar Real<br />

DATE coMPANY coUNTRY BRANcHE SHARE IN PER cENT VolUME IN BIllIoN USD<br />

March 2010 Bulgarian Qatar Company Bulgaria investment 100 0,4<br />

May 2010 Qatar Holding Indonesia Indonesia investment 85 1,0<br />

May 2010 Malaysia Development Board Malaysia investment 80 5,0<br />

May 2010 Harrods United Kingdom retail 100 2,3<br />

August 2010 Agricultural Bank of China China finance n.a. 6,0<br />

September 2010 Qatar Holding Greece Greece investment 100 5,0<br />

October 2010 Banco Santander Brasil Brasil finance 5 2,7<br />

December 2010 Hochtief Germany construction 9 0,4<br />

December 2010 Filmyard Holdings USA movie production n.a. < 0,7<br />

February 2011 Credit Suisse Switzerland finance enlarged to 9 > 6,0<br />

sources: QIA, Reuters, taighde.com


Estate. Hochtief has played a key role in the billion<br />

dollar project from the very beginning. Ever since<br />

2008, the Germans have been involved in the planning.<br />

»The first sections of the city will be completed<br />

in the course of 2011«, reports Magdy Youssef, the<br />

project manager responsible for the work. Overall,<br />

however, construction work will proceed until 2020.<br />

In Frankfurt-Sachsenhausen, meanwhile, journalists<br />

are already sharpening their pencils. The architectural<br />

practice of Albert Speer & Partner will<br />

design eight of the twelve planned World Cup stadiums<br />

– but the »Lusail Iconic Stadium«, has nonetheless<br />

managed to land the design services of its highprofile<br />

competitor, Norman Foster. The property<br />

fund Qatari Diar, as the project principal and owner,<br />

will also be involved in building new stadiums, accommodation<br />

and training facilities for 2022, in conjunction<br />

with the Qatari Football Association. Despite<br />

all of this, Lusail does offer billions worth of<br />

business for German companies. The QIA is already<br />

promoting itself as having ICE fast trains in its glossy<br />

brochures – Lusail will one day be linked to the EUR<br />

17 billion railway network that German Rail (Deut-<br />

The Global Charter Broker<br />

Your wish is our passion<br />

www.lhcharter.com<br />

GCC REPORT<br />

sche Bahn) has been commissioned to Katie Holmes<br />

build on behalf of Qatari Diar.<br />

Unlike the prestige project of Masdar now acts<br />

City in Abu Dhabi, however, Qatar is not<br />

angling for world press coverage of its for the Qataris<br />

promised innovations. Though the aim is<br />

for Lusail to rely on an energy mix with a<br />

certain proportion of renewables, there are no exact<br />

figures for this yet. So far the energy concept seems<br />

much less green and ambitious than in the case of<br />

Masdar. And should something go wrong with the<br />

master plan of the QIA through to 2022, the Emirate<br />

still has Al Jazeera in its back pocket. The media mogul<br />

in Doha is also picking up market share outside the<br />

Arab world – with its English language service. The<br />

reporting principle is the same as ever: free and critical<br />

– with the exception of issues that affect Qatar. Whether<br />

these internal rules also apply to QIA projects is<br />

not yet clear. One thing is certain, however, that the<br />

funds company is not involved in the Qatar Media<br />

Corporation run by Al Jazeera. But Hamad bin Thamer<br />

al-Thani, CEO of the corporation, is not only the<br />

namesake of the Emir but also his blood relative.<br />

“Any time you need,<br />

we fly it.”<br />

������������������������������������������������ �������������������


GCC REPORT<br />

TAx lAw<br />

»Staying put is<br />

what Qataris want«<br />

Carla Everhardt, lawyer and Gulf States expert, offers<br />

her take on Qatar as an investment land, the problems<br />

encountered by German companies with tenders<br />

and the question of whether an unmarried couple can<br />

live in Doha<br />

zenith: Ms Everhardt, can Germans<br />

soon expect a double taxation agreement<br />

with Qatar?<br />

Carla Everhardt: Avoiding double taxation<br />

is always a big issue. But no agreement has<br />

yet been reached and negotiations have<br />

only been conducted in a very sporadic way<br />

to this point. You see, the German government<br />

is always very wary of tax-free and<br />

low-tax countries – we saw that in negotiations<br />

over the DTA with the United Arab<br />

Emirates. That was a real thriller.<br />

What is at stake here?<br />

For German investors in Qatar, there is quite<br />

a bit at stake – for instance, when it comes to<br />

income tax. Managers working in Qatar for a<br />

German company, who still have a family and<br />

a home in Germany, have to declare their Qatar<br />

income in Germany. Though they could<br />

get a rebate for any income tax paid in Qatar,<br />

since Qatar doesn’t tax the income of salaried<br />

employees, that would be a zero percent rebate.<br />

So it is hard for German companies to post<br />

good employees to Qatar, or rather they have<br />

to top up their salaries accordingly.<br />

Over the past few years, private individuals<br />

and companies have invested in the<br />

Emirates property market and lost a lot<br />

of money during the financial crisis.<br />

What is the state of the property market<br />

in Qatar?<br />

30 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

It is currently far too expensive to be attractive<br />

to »consumers« as an investment. Qataris<br />

themselves are buying offices and living<br />

space and then renting them out. The<br />

good thing is that there will probably be no<br />

bubble there that bursts sometime in the<br />

future.<br />

2022 is predicted to be the big year for<br />

German companies in Qatar.<br />

Will those companies stay there after<br />

that or take off again?<br />

Naturally staying put is what the Qataris<br />

and the Germans both want. Entry into any<br />

market, we are inclined to say, takes on average<br />

two to three years. In the case of the<br />

Gulf States, I would tend to add a further<br />

two years to that figure. The costs are not<br />

exactly low, so people need to think long<br />

term. What’s more, the Qataris do not do<br />

business with companies or phone numbers,<br />

but only with people – and personal<br />

trust counts.<br />

Can I set up my own company in Qatar<br />

as an entrepreneur, or do I still need a<br />

partner?<br />

As a general rule, 51 per cent of every company<br />

in Qatar must belong to a local, but<br />

since last year there have been sectors where<br />

foreigners are allowed to be the sole<br />

shareholder – for instance IT, logistics, entertainment<br />

and sport. In addition, special<br />

investment projects considered vital to the<br />

Qatari economy may be given approval for<br />

complete foreign ownership in exceptional<br />

cases. However, it should be noted that any<br />

profits or profit share of Qatari companies<br />

that is payable to foreign interests incurs a<br />

10 percent corporation tax; Qataris do not<br />

have to pay that.<br />

Sports – that sounds as if the Qataris are<br />

looking ahead to the World Cup.<br />

Well, the Qataris have missed the boat in<br />

recent years, as far as positioning themselves<br />

is concerned. Somehow Qatar was seen<br />

as neither fish nor fowl. Bahrain stands for<br />

finance, and the Emirates for trade, media<br />

and air traffic. So now sport has become the<br />

quest of the Qataris.<br />

What other sectors are currently showing<br />

the most interest in Qatar? Only cement,<br />

steel, bricks and mortar?<br />

Qatar is of course very attractive to construction<br />

companies and everything to do<br />

with that industry. But service providers<br />

and consultants are also active in the market<br />

now: IT, pricing policy, market strategy<br />

and specialists in project management.<br />

Naturally many companies want to get<br />

their hands on public contracts. How<br />

transparent are the tenders issued by<br />

Qatari authorities for such projects?<br />

Actually the process is clear and works well.<br />

There is a long tradition of this in Qatar – the<br />

so-called »Tender Law« first came in force<br />

back in 1976, and was last revised in 1990.<br />

You can have the documents sent to you – for<br />

a cost – and prior registration is required for<br />

complex projects. When submitting a tender,<br />

it is also a requirement to include a »tender<br />

bond«, usually in the form of a bank<br />

guarantee. Any problems tend to lie less<br />

with the Qataris and more with the German<br />

companies who do not take the regulations<br />

seriously enough and think they can always<br />

submit one or other of the required documents<br />

at a later date.<br />

And what about the practice of private<br />

companies awarding contracts?<br />

picture: private


carla Everhardt is a lawyer who has been<br />

working with Rödl & Partner since 2006,<br />

specialising in the Gulf States. She<br />

completed her legal studies in various<br />

cities, including Passau, Würzburg,<br />

Cologne, Dubai and Abu Dhabi. In<br />

addition, she is co-author of the latest<br />

German »Qatar Business Guide«<br />

published by Ghorfa, the German-Arab<br />

Chamber of Commerce and Industry.<br />

Sometimes what happens is that private<br />

companies »call for tenders« in line with the<br />

conditions imposed by public authorities,<br />

which is not the correct procedure and often<br />

far too complicated. When problems arise<br />

during the working relationship, it is often<br />

not the legislation that is at fault but poorly<br />

worded contracts. And Qatari legal firms<br />

are not infrequently out of their depth when<br />

they attempt to resolve such uncertainties.<br />

There are still too few court rulings to be<br />

able to plug any gaps in legal or contractual<br />

arrangements. We notice that English and<br />

American companies are better able to cope<br />

with the legal culture in Qatar, because they<br />

tend to formulate very detailed contracts<br />

that cover every eventuality of a working<br />

relationship. Our legal culture is quite different<br />

in that respect. Should any problem<br />

arise where the method of resolution is not<br />

explicitly mentioned in the contract, Germans<br />

tend to rely on laws and court rulings.<br />

But it is precisely that attitude that causes<br />

problems in the comparatively young and<br />

less experienced legal culture of Qatar.<br />

Supposing I come to Qatar as an employee,<br />

in which case my residence permit<br />

would depend on my employer or<br />

so-called sponsor. I have to wait for 2<br />

years before I can change jobs and can<br />

only do that if my employer does not go<br />

to the authorities and oppose the move.<br />

Do you think that will ever change?<br />

The only country in the Gulf that has abolished<br />

that system so far is Bahrain. In Qatar<br />

the subject keeps coming up for discussion<br />

but I get the impression that things are<br />

not about to change.<br />

Many managers working abroad are<br />

unmarried and want to bring their<br />

partners with them. Would an unmarried<br />

couple be able find an apartment to rent<br />

in Qatar?<br />

I personally would not go into the matter of<br />

whether the person helping me look for an<br />

apartment is my »husband« or my »boyfriend«.<br />

Qatar is not as conservative as it<br />

may first appear, but it does still feel obliged<br />

to maintain Muslim rules of decorum. Incidentally<br />

it can even happen in the otherwise<br />

liberal Dubai, that the police will burst<br />

into a flat and ask to see the marriage certificates<br />

of any flatmates. Generally speaking,<br />

there is a willingness to turn a blind<br />

eye to ex-pats, but you cannot insist on special<br />

treatment – and an amendment to the<br />

law is not about to happen. People going to<br />

Qatar for the long haul, who also see a future<br />

in their relationship, should probably<br />

think about getting married.<br />

And what about booking a double room<br />

during the Football World Cup?<br />

Get married first?<br />

I think the practice of tolerance to foreigners<br />

will probably increase during the<br />

World Cup. The same could also apply to<br />

beer consumption, by the way, which is<br />

only allowed in hotels at the moment. Although<br />

Qataris can be quite pragmatic<br />

about such things, the Football World Cup<br />

in Qatar is unlikely to turn into the kind of<br />

beer-fuelled frenzy we tend to associate<br />

with other host countries.<br />

Your<br />

Challenge:<br />

our area of<br />

SpeCialization<br />

for over<br />

15 YearS<br />

Supporting<br />

international<br />

aSSignmentS<br />

with unmatChed<br />

profeSSional<br />

ServiCeS<br />

We knoW the issues<br />

and provide<br />

tailored solutions<br />

for smooth and<br />

seamless management<br />

of expatriates<br />

the<br />

Bdae group<br />

we Support You<br />

with our<br />

Knowledge and<br />

experienCe<br />

l BDAE GRUPPE l<br />

KÜHNEHÖFE 3<br />

22761 HAMBURG<br />

FON +49-40-306874-0<br />

FAX +49-40-306874-90<br />

info@bdae.de<br />

www.bdae.com


KUwAIT, UAE AND SAUDI-ARABIA<br />

Gulfinvest on its knees?<br />

The Kuwait shareholding company Gulfinvest<br />

International has a tough time ahead of<br />

it. In late February, the Kuwait government<br />

ordered the company to make arrangements<br />

to service its debt, including liquidating<br />

some of its assets. Gulfinvest, which<br />

launched funds like the Islamic Al-Huda<br />

fund, was badly hit by the impact of the financial<br />

crisis on the Gulf region – in 2008<br />

alone, the value of Al-Huda shares temporarily<br />

plummeted by 50 percent. The<br />

Defence heads home<br />

A trend was revealed at the defence exhibition<br />

IDEX 2011 in Abu Dhabi in February.<br />

Thanks to some international collaboration,<br />

the UAE is spending a growing proportion<br />

of its current defence budget of around<br />

USD 15.5 billion in its own country. A contract<br />

worth USD 242 million was awarded<br />

to C4 Advanced Solutions in Abu Dhabi to<br />

expand the communications infrastructure<br />

of the armed forces. The company is a<br />

joint venture between the European EADS<br />

Group and Emirates Advanced Investments.<br />

At the same trade fair, agreement was also<br />

Riad‘s atomic planet<br />

The intriguing acronym KA-CARE stands for<br />

the Saudi urban development project: »King<br />

Abdullah City for Atomic and Renewable<br />

Energy«. Plans for this settlement in the desert,<br />

devoted to the production and exploration of<br />

non-fossil-fuel energy sources, are starting to<br />

take shape. The design and planning firms, including<br />

SOM, Norman Foster and Snohetta<br />

from Oslo, all submitted their proposals in November<br />

2010. Snohetta, which received the nod<br />

for the »King Abdullah Center for Knowledge<br />

and Culture« in the East Saudi city of Dhahran<br />

back in 2007, is one of the more promising candidates.<br />

Budget estimates so far put the cost of<br />

the urban development at around EUR 30 bil-<br />

GCC REPORT<br />

Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank granted credit<br />

to the fund management company,<br />

which has primarily invested in the Gulf<br />

states, to the tune of about EUR 40 million.<br />

So far Gulfinvest has been unable to pay<br />

it back, although the loan fell due in 2010.<br />

As recently as early February, Kuwait’s financial<br />

supervision officials had given the<br />

nod to the company’s restructuring plan.<br />

But now the authorities are demanding a<br />

special meeting of investors to decide on<br />

the liquidation of assets. Otherwise the<br />

matter will go before the court.<br />

reached on collaboration between EADS<br />

subsidiary Cassidian with the »Khalifa<br />

University of Science, Technology and Research«<br />

in the field of cyber security. That<br />

contract has a price tag of USD 550 million.<br />

The Emirates are also expanding their<br />

naval shipbuilding. While the first corvette<br />

of the new »Baynunah« class was launched<br />

in France last year, the next five vessels<br />

through to 2015 will all be finished in Abu<br />

Dhabi. This was reason enough for the organisers<br />

of the IDEX exhibition to start<br />

planning an inaugural naval trade fair this<br />

year to run parallel with the biennial defence<br />

show.<br />

lion. KA-CARE is being developed about half<br />

an hour’s drive away from Riad. Saudi-Arabia<br />

is anticipating a three-fold increase in electricity<br />

demand by 2032. The country’s precious<br />

oil, which is currently bringing in around USD<br />

120 a barrel on the global market, will not be<br />

wasted on the project. In late February, Hashim<br />

Yamani, the Chief Planner for KA-<br />

CARE, signed a collaborative agreement with<br />

France. The French nuclear power company<br />

Areva is planning a joint venture with the Saudi<br />

Binladin Group to build the reactors. How<br />

serious these urban planners are about renewables<br />

is not yet clear. The city is to be built at<br />

the foot of a steep rock formation – and the<br />

shadows thrown by the cliff face will reportedly<br />

help with air conditioning in KA-CARE.<br />

PROFIL<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 33


PERSONAL ASSISTANT<br />

central Asia Business Forum<br />

24 March, Hanover Chamber<br />

of Commerce<br />

The on-going commodity boom in the<br />

republics of Central Asia is pouring<br />

billions into the state coffers of these<br />

developing countries. The Hanover<br />

Chamber of Commerce aims to steer<br />

intrepid German entrepreneurs safely<br />

through the corruption minefield.<br />

A delegation is also planning a trip to<br />

Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan in June<br />

2011.<br />

www.hannover.ihk.de<br />

8th lower Saxony Foreign Trade<br />

Forum with Turkey as the special<br />

guest<br />

5 April, Hanover Fair, Nord/LB Forum<br />

After huge criticism in the past few<br />

months by Turkish business associations<br />

outraged at the German visa policy,<br />

the leader of Lower Saxony, David<br />

McAllister, is more than likely to strike a<br />

conciliatory note in Hanover. The Türk-<br />

Alman Business Center project will also<br />

be launched at the fair. The centre is designed<br />

to encourage Turkish companies<br />

to choose the northern German state<br />

as the exclusive location of their German<br />

branch offices.<br />

www.nglobal.de<br />

34 BusinessReport 1/2011<br />

DAG delegation to the Gulf<br />

7 to 13 April<br />

»The times are long gone when Gulf<br />

business heavyweights saw Europe<br />

through English eyes only«, writes Harald<br />

M. Bock, General Secretary of the<br />

German-Arab Association (DAG) in his<br />

invitation to German businesses to join<br />

the delegation. The trip will include Qatar<br />

and the UAE. One of the key issues<br />

for the group will be education exports.<br />

For, contrary to popular misconceptions<br />

about the children of oil sheikhs,<br />

young Emiratis now have to stand on<br />

their own two feet in the labour market.<br />

www.d-a-g.org<br />

International building show,<br />

Turkeybuild in Istanbul 2011<br />

27 April to 1 May in Istanbul<br />

With more than 800 exhibitors and over<br />

100,000 visitors, Turkeybuild is the leading<br />

construction trade fair in the region.<br />

One Austrian company is attempting to<br />

tap into the market, not by landing major<br />

14th German-Arab Business Forum<br />

11 to 13 May, Ritz Carlton in Berlin<br />

As always, the annual get-together of<br />

the German-Arab Chamber of Industry<br />

and Commerce Ghorfa will be a magnet<br />

for hundreds of high-ranking representatives<br />

of the German-Arab business<br />

world. This year Lebanon has been<br />

selected as the Partner Country<br />

– which is not a bad decision, given<br />

the rapid growth of the Beirut property<br />

industry. But, a word to the wise – analysts<br />

are already warning of a speculation<br />

bubble. Will the boom last until the<br />

15th forum?<br />

www.ghorfa.de<br />

Numov – First Near and<br />

Middle East Ports conference<br />

15 June in Hamburg<br />

In actual fact, the Near and Middle<br />

East Association (Numov) turned its<br />

back on the City of Hamburg long ago<br />

– and, so say informed sources, not<br />

much importance is attached to Hanseatic<br />

customs these days, either. But<br />

Numov plans to use the occasion of<br />

the international »Ports Conference«,<br />

to report on the latest port projects in<br />

the Near East. Weatherproof clothing<br />

recommended.<br />

www.numov.org<br />

SToP PRESS<br />

The taste of success<br />

Exciting times for the largest pan-Arab television station<br />

– while Western media regret having progressively<br />

pruned their network of foreign correspondents<br />

over the past few years, the satellite broadcaster Al<br />

Jazeera from Qatar has 24/7 access to local experts.<br />

Many journalists had no choice during the protests in<br />

North Africa but to turn on the live stream of the Al<br />

Jazeera English-language programme. <strong>Download</strong>s<br />

via the online stream have increased since the start of<br />

the demonstrations by more than 2,500 percent. Particularly<br />

in the USA, there appears to be a huge demand<br />

for such news– almost 60 percent of its viewers<br />

came from the land of Uncle Sam.<br />

picture: Al nassma<br />

in our upcoming issue<br />

Camelicious<br />

Security first<br />

government contracts but through its<br />

German and Austrian chocola-<br />

DIY stores. The bauMax building supply<br />

te expertise and fine, slightly<br />

Billion-dollar deals with danger chain will be opening six branches there<br />

salty camel milk are the secret<br />

by 2012 – although, according to CEO<br />

Martin Essel, the Turkish DIY tradition<br />

to the success of Al nassma. The<br />

leaves a lot to be desired.<br />

Dubai company has recently started selling its chocola-<br />

AGENDA<br />

www.yapifuari.com.tr<br />

te camel milk in Japan and the USA too. The company<br />

has been selling its products in selected stores all over<br />

the Emirates region for two years now. So far, European<br />

gourmets can only get these pralines, chocolate camels<br />

and blocks of chocolate in »Date« or spicy »Arab« flavour<br />

by placing a special order. Such treats naturally<br />

come at a price: a block of milk chocolate costs the equivalent<br />

of EUR 5 and a camel caravan in an elegant wooden<br />

slipcase around EUR 32.<br />

How to park a billion?<br />

Analysts are warning of an oil price shock, and<br />

governments on the Gulf are watching the protests in<br />

their neighbourhood with growing unease. Business<br />

people tend to prefer peace as a rule too, but the dictator<br />

domino effect is not worrying everyone – especially<br />

not the property sector in the UAE. While Europe<br />

is busy freezing the accounts of the Ben Alis and<br />

Mubaraks, the Emirates remains an attractive place<br />

to park capital. »The exiled elite will simply take their<br />

money to Dubai and buy property with it there,« say<br />

insiders. Apparently it will do the sector good after<br />

the hammering it took from the financial crisis.<br />

While the authorities are supposed to check the origins<br />

of large sums of money, in practice, »almost<br />

anything goes«.<br />

picture: Nicolas Salcido/US Army


PROFIL<br />

BusinessReport 1/2011 35

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!