Foresight Vehicle Technology Roadmap - Institute for Manufacturing

2002 2007 2012 2017 2022SocietyEconomyEnvironmentTechnologyGrowing demand for mobilityCongestion and pressure on infrastructureSocial attitudes towards transport and the environmentChanging working and living patternsAgeing populationIncreased mobile and home workingMore single person householdsContinued growth of cities and townsContinued growth of South EastConsumer demand for greater variety, quality and performance of products and servicesIncreasing concern for health, safety and securityGrowth in economy and consumptionFiscal and monetary policyMore trade and transport of goodsCongestion and pressure on infrastructurePublic vs. private finance£65bn of public and £56bn of private investment needed by 2010Impact of evolving European UnionEnergy costs rise 2-3% per yearUK productivity lags competitorsOpportunities for high value products and servicesIT and financial markets stimulate increasingly networked global economyNew entrant vehicle manufacturersIncreasing gap between wealthy and poorImpact of environment and social opinion on economy and policyIncreasing global population and associated economic developmentImpact of global warmingIncreasing energy consumption and greenhouse gasesHow long will oil and gas supplies lastIncreasing burden of transport on environmentReducing emissions as engines become more efficient and cleanerSocial attitudes to environment andimpact on business and government policyPressure to utilise material and energy more efficientlyOpportunities for alternative energy sources and power systemsOpportunities for improved materials and processing technologyHow far can the internal combustion engine goOpportunities for innovations in fuel, engine and power systemsWhich energy / power solutions will succeed in the long termIncreasing performance of information & communications technology (speed, cost, size, functionality)Moore’s law continuesOpportunities for innovations in sensors, electronics, communications and control systems (vehicle & infrastructure)Opportunities for innovations in materials (weight, strength, processing, intelligence)Disruptive technologiesOpportunities for high value design, manufacturing and engineering servicesCheap, safe,convenient,comfortable,clean,secure andequitable roadtransportSuccessful andsustainableroad transportindustryEnvironmentallysustainableroad transportsystemEffective andappropriatetechnologicalinnovationfor roadtransportPolicyGovernment initiatives, including ten year transport planStreamlined planning processUK, European, National and Industrial policy, standards and legislationHarmonisation of policy, standards and legislationCO 2, energy, emissions, recycling and carbon legislationImpact of geopolitical trends and disruptionsRole of UK in evolving and enlarging European UnionSocial expectations for public services, transport system, environment, housing, etc.Effective,integrated,consistent andsustainableroad transportpolicyInfrastructureIncreasing demand on transport system (passenger and freight)Development and harmonisation of standardsLarge investment required to maintain and develop road and other transport infrastructureRole of public and private sectorsDevelopment of physical road and transport infrastructureDevelopment of information and communications infrastructureDevelopment of alternative energy distribution infrastructureImpact of social, political and technology developmentsEffective,integrated andsustainableroad transportsystemFig. 4 – Industry and market trends and drivers10