Foresight Vehicle Technology Roadmap - Institute for Manufacturing

Market / industry trends and driversPolitical2002 2007 2012 2017 2022 VisionUK energypolicy reviewUK DTIAutomotiveInnovation andGrowth Team(AIGT) initiativeto establish avision for afutureautomotiveindustry inBritain 3,43,44Legislation:• Freedom ofinformation• Data protection• Human rightsChina joins WTONGO and electoratepressure forenvironmentalchange2000-2005: Delivery of UKDelivery of UKWhere next ?Integrated,DTLR Transport Direct,10 yearconsistentproviding intermodal transporttransport plan 30transportinformation and bookingpolicyservices 53• £64.7bn public investmentRail: £49bn; strategic roads: £16.2bn;Roads:Rail:London:• £56.3bn private investmentLondon: £17.9bn; local transport: £28.3bn• Reduction in congestion• 60% of trunk road network given• 50% increase in passenger• Improved capacity and quality of service• £58.6bn public resource/revenue• Widening of 360 miles oflower noise surfacesmileson Underground• Total spending: £179.7bnstrategic network• Elimination of maintenance backlog• 80% increase in rail freight• Improved capacity and quality of bus(75% increase in real terms over past 10• 80 major trunk roadfor roads, bridges & lighting• Installation of new train safetyservicesyears)schemes• Smarter management of trunksystems• New tram / guided bus systems• 100 new bypassesroad network• Improvements in service quality• Improved rail and road connectionsStrategy requires new approach based on integrated transport,• 130 other major local road• Improved information, booking &• Modernisation of trains andLocally across England:public and private partnership, and new projectsimprovement schemesticketing systemsinfrastructure• New rapid transit lines in cities, doubling• Completion of Highway• 40% reduction in the number of• Improvements to West & Eastlight rail useAgency Targetedpeople killed / seriously injuredCoast main lines• New bus systems - 10% increase inProgramme of Improvements• Accelerated take-up of cleaner• High speed Channel Tunnelpassenger journeys• HGV lanes on congestedvehicles to reduce pollution & CO 2Rail Link• More park and ride schemes; safer cyclingstrategic routesemissions• Improved commuter services& walking routes• Improved integration with other• Support for rural communities, elderly andtransport modesdisabled peopleEnlargement of European2010: EU target ofWhat willCommunity, leading to12% energy fromfollow on fromsignificant increase in size ofrenewable sources (inKyoto ?Union car fleet 481997 renewablesCarbonaccounted for 0.5% oftrading ?UK consumption) 40European safetyUK air qualityShift in focusGlobal emissionsagreementsstrategyfrom emissionslegislation harmonised(ACEA)to CO 2 ?European Parliamentlegislates for openingStandardisation andUK electionup rail freight marketharmonisation of legislation andcompletely by 2008 48systems in Europe ?Need for partnerships between government, local authorities,police, voluntary groups, manufactures, etc.StreamlinedImprovedUSA environmental,European andGlobalisation vs.Governmentplanningdeployment ofdomestic and foreignUK legislation ?localisation ?policy ?process ?policy ?policy ?Key:Transport Energy & CO 2 Health & safetyPolitical systemMarket / industry trends and driversInfrastructural2002 2007 2012 2017 2022 VisionBritain’s roadsand bridges are intheir worstcondition sinceformal monitoringbegan in 1977 41Highways AgencyQuieten RoadsProgrammeThe averageEuropean citydevotes 25-33% ofits surface area tocar parking and roadspace, compared toalmost 75% in LosAngeles 74The density ofBritain’s railwaynetwork is thelowest in Europein relation to thesize of itspopulation 103BirminghamQuality ofEfforts to2010: 60% ofnorth reliefinfrastructurereduce weartrunk roadroad (toll)- standardisationon roadsnetwork givenIncreasing pressureand restrictions onlower-noisesurfaces 30,43land use 34High density carparkingBroadbandcommunicationsNational RoadsTelecommsCCTV networkSystem (NRTS)extendedActive trafficmanagement systems- congestion charging- highway accessWhat will the dominantGPS technology /standard be ?Battery charging2010:points more widelyInfrastructure toavailablesupply andmaintain highLPG widely available in Europecapacitybatteries 19Increasing measures toreduce number of short carjourneysEU ‘Marco Polo’ initiative to supportintermodal initiatives: 30 millioneuros over 4 years 37Architecture forPublic / privatephysical andinvestment levelsinformationin infrastructure ?infrastructure ?Infrastructure-vehicleinterface increasinglyimportant (integratedsystem)The road network couldcope with 10-15% moretraffic through advancedtraffic engineering andmanagement 103New hightechnology roadsurfacesdeveloped- road train control- noise reductionRoads continue tobe dominantmeans for traveland transport 342015: Infrastructure to supplyand maintain gaseous fuel,liquid bio-fuels and fuel cellsystems 19What will the future roadtransport fuel be?- gas, liquid, electricity ?Capability andGovernmentstate ofstrategy forinfrastructure ?integratedtransport ?2010: 28% increase in congestion outside2031: Journeyurban areas; 22% overall traffic growth 30times double2010: Congestion 5% below 2000on urbanlevels, due to major investment in UKmotorways 40road infrastructure 30FullyintegratedtransportsystemKey:Physical infrastructure Information infrastructure Energy infrastructureIntegrated system Performance of system46