Middle East Security Report 24 | <strong>Iraq</strong>’s sunni <strong>in</strong>surgency | S<strong>in</strong>an Adnan with Aaron Reese | October 2014Shi‘a areas such as Najaf and Karbala prov<strong>in</strong>ces as “others”aim to do, an oblique reference to an official statementreleased by ISIS on June 11, 2014 that expressed the desire ofISIS to attack the Shi‘a sacred cities of Najaf and Karbala 101He did ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>, however, that the groups cooperate withunspecified other anti-government armed groups. Later, onJuly 7, 2014, Dabash stated that the Islamic Army did notand will not pledge allegiance to Baghdadi, but at the sametime ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed that it will not fight ISIS. 102 Unlike ISIS,Dabash <strong>in</strong>dicated that the Islamic Army is will<strong>in</strong>g to negotiatewith <strong>Iraq</strong>i Shi‘a leaders, specifically mention<strong>in</strong>g Ammar al-Hakim, the leader of the Islamic Supreme Council of <strong>Iraq</strong>(ISCI) and Moqtada al-Sadr, the leader of the Sadrist trend.Dabash has acknowledged that ISIS is the lead<strong>in</strong>g militaryactor on the ground <strong>in</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong>, but claimed that ISIS gunmendepart areas after expell<strong>in</strong>g the ISF and rel<strong>in</strong>quish controlto “other armed groups.” 103 This does not, however, appearto be true. The Islamic Army, similar to the GMCIR,demonstrates the balanc<strong>in</strong>g act that Dabash tries to achieve bydeny<strong>in</strong>g the relationship with ISIS <strong>in</strong> order to ga<strong>in</strong> credibilitywith potential partners for negotiations, while at the sametime acknowledg<strong>in</strong>g the role of ISIS <strong>in</strong> order to protect hisown safety and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> credibility with supporters of antigovernmentmovements. His acknowledgement of ISIS’s rolemay also seek to prevent potential retaliatory measures by theIslamic State. Nevertheless, the proximity of some IslamicArmy members to ISIS positions and their likely refusal topledge allegiance to ISIS leader Baghdadi resulted <strong>in</strong> clasheswith ISIS on July 14 near Sadia which resulted <strong>in</strong> the death of11 Islamic Army members and eight ISIS elements. 104Although language call<strong>in</strong>g for elections and reconciliatorystatements directed at <strong>Iraq</strong>’s Shi‘a population may seem likea positive <strong>in</strong>dicator, the Islamic Army of <strong>Iraq</strong> is likely notreconcilable with<strong>in</strong> the current political system. Dabash iswill<strong>in</strong>g to work with other parties <strong>in</strong> pursu<strong>in</strong>g his goal of selfgovernancefor <strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong>s, but, like the Ba‘ath party and itsassociated groups, his stated long-term goal is the reversionof <strong>Iraq</strong> to a pre-2003 state.The Jordan ConferenceThe positions of some of these groups were revealed <strong>in</strong> ananti-government conference that was held <strong>in</strong> Jordan <strong>in</strong> mid-July 2014. 105 The conference was attended by approximately300 anti-government <strong>Iraq</strong>i figures, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g major figuresfrom the <strong>Iraq</strong>i Ba‘ath Party, representatives from the AMSIassociated with 1920 Brigades, former members of the <strong>Iraq</strong>iArmy, <strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong> religious figures, and tribal figures. 106Although the government of Jordan did not comment onthe conference, the spokesperson for AMSI claimed thatit was held by “official <strong>in</strong>vitation” of and sponsored by theJordanian monarchy. 107 Confus<strong>in</strong>gly, the conference wasalso referenced by different names. While some report<strong>in</strong>greferred to it as the “Amman Conference for Support ofthe Revolution and Rescue of <strong>Iraq</strong>” and the “Conferenceof National <strong>Iraq</strong>i Powers,” the official f<strong>in</strong>al statement of theconference was titled “The Amman Preparatory Conferencefor <strong>Iraq</strong>’s Revolutionaries.” 108The <strong>Iraq</strong>i Ba‘ath Party faction of Izzat al-Duri summarizedits conditions for an end to hostilities <strong>in</strong> a statement given atthe conference by party leader Abdul-Sammad al-Ghrairi. 109Essentially, the party called for a “reset” of <strong>Iraq</strong> back to 2003by cancell<strong>in</strong>g the new constitution, dismantl<strong>in</strong>g the securityforces, annull<strong>in</strong>g anti-terrorism laws that were perceived totarget <strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong>s, and roll<strong>in</strong>g back the de-Ba‘athificationlaw that prevented many former high-rank<strong>in</strong>g officialsfrom hold<strong>in</strong>g government positions. The party also stressedthe need for “<strong>Iraq</strong>’s unity,” oppos<strong>in</strong>g the partition of thecountry <strong>in</strong>to <strong>in</strong>dependent regions. These demands, althoughexpla<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> a political frame, are based on the abolishmentof the current <strong>Iraq</strong>i state,The official spokesperson of JRTN stated <strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>terviewwith satellite channel Al-Mosul, uploaded to YouTube onJuly 17, 2014, that the conference was “successful” and that itrepresented all <strong>Iraq</strong>is regardless of their descent. 110 Althoughrepresentatives of other groups were present, JRTN was thehighest-profile group <strong>in</strong> attendance.Also present at the meet<strong>in</strong>g was the prom<strong>in</strong>ent <strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong>religious figure Abdul-Malik al-Saadi. Saadi played animportant role <strong>in</strong> mobiliz<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong>s aga<strong>in</strong>st thegovernment at the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the 2013 protest movement.In the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the Anbar crisis, Saadi gave a speech onDecember 30, 2013 call<strong>in</strong>g for Anbaris to defend themselvesand for the people of Fallujah to block the roads <strong>in</strong> order toprevent “Maliki’s troops” from advanc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Anbar. 111 Hiscall for mobilization gave the anti-government movement aperceived sense of legitimacy separate from ISIS, and served asone of the sparks that ignited an anti-government upris<strong>in</strong>g aftera year of sit-<strong>in</strong>s. 112 Although Saadi is not publicly affiliated withany armed groups, his presence is significant as an <strong>in</strong>dicator ofpopular support for anti-government movements.The clos<strong>in</strong>g statement of the conference was read by Ahmedal-Dabash of the Islamic Army, who appeared <strong>in</strong> the videorecord<strong>in</strong>g of the statement at the same table with Abdul-Malikal-Saadi; speaker of the AMSI Bashar al-Faidhi; representativeof the Ba‘ath Party Abdul-Sammad al-Ghrairi; and lawyer forSaddam Husse<strong>in</strong> Khalil al-Dulaimi. 113 The statement calledfor a unified <strong>Iraq</strong>, global and regional acknowledgement andsupport for the “revolutionaries,” and boycott of the <strong>Iraq</strong>igovernment, <strong>in</strong> addition to support for displaced persons.Interest<strong>in</strong>gly, this conference was not attended by Ali Hatemor Grand Mufti of <strong>Iraq</strong> Rafi al-Rafaie. The absence of the20 www.Understand<strong>in</strong>gwar.org
Middle East Security Report 24 | <strong>Iraq</strong>’s sunni <strong>in</strong>surgency | S<strong>in</strong>an Adnan with Aaron Reese | October 2014Mufti and his rejection of the meet<strong>in</strong>g were significant givenhis role <strong>in</strong> the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the Anbar crisis mobiliz<strong>in</strong>g<strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong>s by giv<strong>in</strong>g a statement on December 30, 2013support<strong>in</strong>g operations carried out by those he described as“revolutionaries” and “mujahid<strong>in</strong>” aga<strong>in</strong>st the “sectarian andhateful militias.” 114 Although Rafaie still supports what hedescribed on June 25, 2014 as the “revolution,” he criticizedthe conference. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to him, the attendees limitedtheir dialogue on criticiz<strong>in</strong>g Maliki rather than discuss<strong>in</strong>g the“problem of the constitution and the political system.” 115Ali Hatem rejected the conference for not represent<strong>in</strong>g the“<strong>Sunni</strong> revolutionaries.” 116 He added that such conferencesshould be held on “liberated <strong>Iraq</strong>i lands.” This represents adeparture from the perceived alliance between Hatem andthe Islamic Army s<strong>in</strong>ce Ahmed al-Dabash, the leader of theIslamic Army, was present at the meet<strong>in</strong>g. Indeed, Hatem maynot have been <strong>in</strong>vited to the conference; unlike Hatem, allother attendees are notable for their lack of participation <strong>in</strong>politics after 2003. 117Although not all anti-government <strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong> representationagreed on this meet<strong>in</strong>g, all of them are push<strong>in</strong>g to describethe current events as a revolution and are stronglym<strong>in</strong>imiz<strong>in</strong>g the role of ISIS. For example, Sheikh Abdul-Malik al-Saadi discounted the role of ISIS by stat<strong>in</strong>g thatthe organization controls a “simple” part of the terra<strong>in</strong>. Thefairly unified position of these prom<strong>in</strong>ent <strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong> figureslends legitimacy to the idea of an upris<strong>in</strong>g aga<strong>in</strong>st the <strong>Iraq</strong>iGovernment. Although the <strong>in</strong>dividuals and groups describedabove have taken different approaches, they agree that theanti-government movement constitutes a “revolution.” Thisviewpo<strong>in</strong>t will make it challeng<strong>in</strong>g for <strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong> politicianswho are participat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the political process to ga<strong>in</strong>credibility as authentic representatives of <strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong>s and tore-establish the legitimacy of the <strong>Iraq</strong>i central government asa government that is representative of all <strong>Iraq</strong>is.Jaysh al-Mujahid<strong>in</strong>Although like ISIS the group is anti-Shi‘a, it has not claimedor expressed desire to carry out attacks on Shi‘a civilianpopulations.JM has a media presence and posts visual report<strong>in</strong>g of theirmilitary operations, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the capture of ISF weapons andammunition, maneuver<strong>in</strong>g a tank, and captur<strong>in</strong>g IA soldiers.The group also released a 42-m<strong>in</strong>ute video on August 27,2014 that showed its gunmen launch<strong>in</strong>g attacks us<strong>in</strong>g directand <strong>in</strong>direct fire on an ISF position <strong>in</strong> what was claimed tobe Mishaniya <strong>in</strong> Garma district, northeast of Fallujah andthe area of Dhabitiya, northwest of Baghdad. 120 Operationsof the group ma<strong>in</strong>ly take place <strong>in</strong> Garma, near Fallujah, andtheir claimed attacks use <strong>in</strong>direct fire, primarily Grad rocketsand mortars <strong>in</strong> the northern belt of Baghdad. 121 It claims anoperational presence <strong>in</strong> Taji, Kirkuk, and Baiji, <strong>in</strong> additionto their notable presence <strong>in</strong> Garma. 122The group released an additional video on August 30, 2014that showed how goods were transported to and from Garma. 123Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the speaker and several other <strong>in</strong>dividuals shown<strong>in</strong> the video, the ISF blocked all roads to and from Garma<strong>in</strong> an effort retake the area. Therefore, Jaysh al-Mujahid<strong>in</strong>established a corridor on the Dhira Dijla canal, north of thedistrict. This corridor is used to supply Garma with goodscom<strong>in</strong>g from Samarra <strong>in</strong> addition to giv<strong>in</strong>g herdsmen <strong>in</strong>Garma access to a route they use to sell their cattle. This isnotable as an attempt to provide aid to local populations,beyond simply anti-government fight<strong>in</strong>g.Jaysh al-Mujahid<strong>in</strong> has claimed to work with other antigovernmentgroups, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g jo<strong>in</strong>t operations with Ansaral-Islam, which will be described later, <strong>in</strong> southwesternKirkuk, near Hawija, a tribal area known for be<strong>in</strong>g a hub for<strong>Iraq</strong>i <strong>Sunni</strong> anti-government armed groups. 124 The groupwas, however, quick to release a statement on July 17, 2014deny<strong>in</strong>g that it had participated <strong>in</strong> the Jordan meet<strong>in</strong>g withJRTN and other anti-government groups with politicalIn addition to the “revolutionary” groups described above,more extreme jihadist groups are also active <strong>in</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong> s<strong>in</strong>ceDecember 2013. Jaysh al-Mujahid<strong>in</strong> (JM) is active <strong>in</strong>launch<strong>in</strong>g attacks, primarily aga<strong>in</strong>st fixed targets us<strong>in</strong>g bothdirect and <strong>in</strong>direct fire. It does not appear to have a nationalcampaign, and generally works locally <strong>in</strong> parts of Anbar andKirkuk prov<strong>in</strong>ces.Compared to groups such as JRTN, JM is a more extreme<strong>Sunni</strong> group that does not believe <strong>in</strong> work<strong>in</strong>g through anysort of political process. Although it does not seek to conquerterritory like ISIS does, JM shares a jihadist orientation andma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>s, for example, a Shari‘a committee. 118 The groupis secretive about its leadership, but reports <strong>in</strong>dicate that themilitary leader of the group is Haqi Ismael al-Shortani. 119Members of JM allegedly assault<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>Iraq</strong>i Army headquarters <strong>in</strong> KirkukProv<strong>in</strong>ce.www.Understand<strong>in</strong>gwar.org21