Changes in extreme rainfall events and flood risk in ... - (IMD), Pune
Changes in extreme rainfall events and flood risk in ... - (IMD), Pune
Changes in extreme rainfall events and flood risk in ... - (IMD), Pune
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Executive Summary1 Document title <strong>Changes</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>extreme</strong> ra<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>events</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>flood</strong> <strong>risk</strong> <strong>in</strong> Indiadur<strong>in</strong>g the last century2 Document type Research Report3 Issue No. NCC Research Report No. 3/20104 Issue date 23 rd December, 20105 Security UnclassifiedClassification6 Control Status Unclassified7 No. of Pages 228 No. of Figures 129 No. of reference 1810 Distribution Unrestricted11 Language English12 Authors/ Editors P. Guhathakurta, Preetha Menon, A. B. Mazumdar <strong>and</strong>O. P. Sreejith13 Orig<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g National Climate Centre, Office of ADGM (R), IndiaDivision/Group14 Review<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong>Approv<strong>in</strong>gAuthorityMeteorological Department, <strong>Pune</strong>Additional Director General of Meteorology (Research),India Meteorological Department, <strong>Pune</strong>15 End users Disaster Managers, Hydrological planners <strong>and</strong>Researchers, Government Officials etc.16 Abstract The occurrences of some exceptionally very heavyra<strong>in</strong>fall dur<strong>in</strong>g the recent years <strong>and</strong> caus<strong>in</strong>g flash <strong>flood</strong>s<strong>in</strong> many areas forced to study the long term changes <strong>in</strong><strong>extreme</strong> ra<strong>in</strong>fall over India. The study <strong>in</strong>cludes theanalysis of the frequency of ra<strong>in</strong>y days, ra<strong>in</strong> days <strong>and</strong>heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall days as well as one-day <strong>extreme</strong> ra<strong>in</strong>fall<strong>and</strong> return period analysis <strong>in</strong> order to observe the impactof climate changes on Extreme weather <strong>events</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>flood</strong><strong>risk</strong> <strong>in</strong> India. The report will give some <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gswhich are very useful for hydrological plann<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong>disaster managements. It has been found that frequencyof heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>events</strong> are decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> major parts ofthe central <strong>and</strong> north India while <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> thepen<strong>in</strong>sular India, east <strong>and</strong> north east India. Extremera<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>and</strong> <strong>flood</strong> <strong>risk</strong> is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g significantlyparticularly <strong>in</strong> many regions of the country except someparts of central India.17 Key Words Extreme ra<strong>in</strong>fall, return period, climate change, <strong>flood</strong> <strong>risk</strong>2