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、。“ ”paranormalbeliefs 1 the world religions。 “2007 ”2007 Empirical Survey of Valuesin China ESVIC。。、、 。、。。 Hines 19883Gray 199178 2ESP、 UFOs、 psychic phenomena、12religion beliefs。、 。 Rice 2003religious paranormalbeliefs classic paranormal beliefs。“”。、 、 、。Goode 200018。“ ”the New Age20 60 。。“New Age” UFOs、 、Dole 1993Bader et al. 2010chapter2。“ ”pseudo-science。。pseudo-science 。“ ”。179


Promotion and/or TenureLetter of Intent (for both tenure and promotion) and Application(form SL-30034-only for promotion) due to dean November 15, 2010Professional Development Reports - Article 22 & WSU Regulation 3-14: Tenured Faculty below Full and NTT (if not applying forpromotion); Progress Report years 1, 2, and 3 Recommended date: Dean's written response to Faculty November 16, 2010Professional Development Reports - Article 22 & WSU Regulation 3-14: Tenured Faculty below Full and NTT (if not applying forpromotion); Year 4 Full Report with documentation Recommended date: Dean's written response to Faculty November 16, 2010Professional Improvement Funds (IFO) Second Round - FY 2011: Deadline deans to VP November 16, 2010Admissions – Open House Saturday Campus Visit November 20, 2010Professional Improvement Funds (IFO) Second Round - FY 2011: Deadline VP to President November 23, 2010Sabbatical Leave Plan (IFO) Dean's Recommendation to VPAA November 29, 2010Professional Improvement Funds (ASF) First Round: Deadline to dean November 30, 2010December-10 Student Research Grants Application Deadline to Office of Grants December 1, 2010Admissions – Academic Preview Fall Academic Preview Day December 3, 2010Professional Development Reports - Article 22 & WSU Regulation 3-14: Faculty on Biennial Cycles - Tenured Full Professor 2008-2012Plan Recommended date: Dean's written response to Faculty December 5, 2010Professional Improvement Funds (IFO) Second Round - FY 2011: President deadline December 7, 2010Professional Improvement Funds (ASF) First Round: Deadline deans to VP December 8, 2010Professional Development Plans – Article 22: Tenured below FullProfessor and NTT (4 year plan) - includes faculty on sabbatical2009-2010 Recommended date: Dean's written response to Faculty December 8, 2010Graduation Fall 2010 Commencement Ceremony December 10, 2010Student Research Grants Decision for Applications Submitted by December 1 December 15, 2010Honorary Doctorate Degree Recommendation to Vice President December 15, 2010Professional Improvement Funds (ASF) First Round: Deadline VP to President December 18, 2010Recommended date: Chair forwards Faculty plan andProfessional Development Plans – Article 22: Probationary 1st Year departmental comments to dean December 21, 2010Sabbatical Leave Plan (ASF) Application and plan submitted to Supervisor December 27, 2010January-11 Honorary Doctorate Degree VP schedules Meet and Confers January, 2011Professional Improvement Funds (ASF) First Round: President Deadline January 8, 2011Professional Development Plans – Article 22: Probationary 1st Year Recommended date: Dean's written response to Faculty January 10, 2011Professional Development Reports - Article 22 & WSU Regulation 3-14: Faculty on Biennial Cycles - Tenured Full Professor 2006-2010Plan Recommended date: Dean's written response to Faculty January 10, 2011Sabbatical Leave Plan (ASF) Supervisor recommendation to Vice President January 10, 2011Arranged Class/Independent Study Application Deadlines to Dean - Spring 2011 January 14, 2011Drop/AddSpring Semester 2011 - Last day to drop on-campus classes withrefund January 14, 2011Drop/Add Spring Semester 2011 - Last day to add on-campus classes January 14, 2011Class Schedule Revisions for Summer 20111st Round course deletions, additions and faculty changes due toRegistrarTBD1st Round course deletions, additions and faculty changes due toClass Schedule Revisions for Fall 2011 and Spring 2012Class Schedule Revisions for Summer and Fall 2011 and Spring2012RegistrarTBD2nd Round course deletions, additions and faculty changes due toRegistrarTBD3


2011. 5Sparks 2001。 Orenstein 2002Mencken et al. 2008。。。Wuthnow 1978。。 Goode 2000 。 Orenstein 2002。 Tobacky & Milford 1983。。 McClenon 1988。 1 。McClenon 1990。 dejavu 。1986 N = 314 。Tam & Shiah2004 2 、 。 。 Orenstein 2002Rice 2003 12anomalous experiences deja vu、 ESP、 out-of-the-body experiences。 1993“ ”。。182


。、 、“2007 ”2007 EmpiricalSurvey of Values in China ESVIC。the multi-phase probability sampling。——— ——— ———。 1 - 2 1 - 2 KISH kish grid。7021 16 。1097 、 、 3 、 、 、 、 、 6 11 16 10 。 2007 5 7 。 2006 。1. 、= 1、 、 。、 。、 、 、 。、 。 。。。“ ”“ ”5 。5 “ ”“ ”5% 5 2 “”“”。” “ ”“ ”5 183


2011. 5 。 5 5% 2 “ ”“ ”。2. 。、 、 、 。“ ” 。“” 、 、 。。。the Transmission of ReligiousBelief Ozorak 1989Hyde 1990。。1。。“12 ”、、 、、、 。、0. 2% 。 5 1。mixed-effects multinomial logistic regressionmodeling。184


1 N = 1097 398 36. 28 1046 95. 35 699 63. 72 51 4. 65 251 22. 88 1 052 95. 90 799 72. 84 45 4. 10 47 4. 28 689 62. 81 162 14. 77 408 37. 19 324 29. 54 397 36. 19 258 23. 52 214 19. 51 839 76. 48 ± 40. 82 ± 13. 72 N =735 617 83. 96 118 16. 04 N = 735 N = 1097。1. multinomial dependent variables =1、 =2、 =3、 =4 =5。2. 。outcome measuresocial contexts 。level。hierarchically structured data /multilevel data 185


2011. 51N = 1097Hierarchical modeling / Multilevel modeling。 1 logit Multilevel Multinomial Logit ModelGeneralized Linear Latent and Mixed Models GL-LAMMs 2 1mixed GLM formulation。discrete choice models McFadden1973。Skrondal & Rabe-Hesketh 2003Hedeker 2003。mixed generalized linear model12logit Multinomial Logit Model。 Intraclass Correlation Coefficient ICC 23. 4% 5% Raudenbush & Bryk2001。 。5% logit 4 。 STATA “gllamm”http/ /www. gllamm. org /examples. html Rabe-Hesketh S. etc. 2004160。186


linear predictor 1multinomial logit link 2η mij = α m + β m' x ij + ξ mjPY ij= m | x ij ξ j δ ij =+ δ mijexp { η }m ij1 + Σ M l = 2 {exp η l i j }12m = 1 2 L M responsecategory j = 1 2 L J the cluster i = 1 2 Ln j j 。 Y ij multinomialdistribution conditional on the random effects 1 2 LM M = 1 random error 0Y ij = 1 1 / ( 1 + Σ M expl = 2 [ η ] )l Grilli & Rampichiniij2007。 1- 2 m l odds PY ij = m | x ij ξ j δ ij PY ij = l | x ij ξ j δ ij = expηm ij2。- η mij 3random effect modeling。 U mm = 1 2 L M M ijindividual utilities U mij > U lij l ≠ m Y ij m 。U mij= η mij + ε mij4 η mij ε mij Gumbel distributionindependent and identically distributed errorsMcFadden 1973Grilli & Rampichini 2007。m Intra-class Correlation CoefficientICC m =Varξ mj Varξ mj + Varδ mij + π 2 /35187


2011. 5homogeneity。 。、。10% 。14. 6% 、。 。、 、 。 、 、 、 。、。 “ ” 。。 2 、 LR testparsimony principles 3。 、 、、 、p < 0. 05 。。 、odds ratio 1. 52= e 0. 42 、1. 35= e 0. 30 1. 65= e 0. 51 。9. 4% = e 0. 09 - 1 、 50. 8%= 1 - e - 0. 71 、49. 3% = 1 - e - 0. 68 。 、 、81% = e - 0. 21 、188


189


2011. 5190


191


2011. 577. 9% = e - 0. 31 41. 9% = e - 0. 87 、。 1 、2% = e 0. 02 - 1。 、 1. 73= e 0. 55 、1. 99= e 0. 69 69. 8%= e - 0. 36 、84. 4% = e - 0. 17 。 。、1. 06 = e 0. 06 、1. 06 = e 0. 06 1. 09 =e 0. 09 。、 。。、 、。。 、 、。、 、。。5 。spiritual world。。1 2 。192


。。。。。 、。。 。。。。、。 Raudenbush & Bryk 2001Xie & Hannum 1996。 1 。。 。。“ ”1 Raudenbush & Bryk 2001。SES。193


2011. 5。。。。 。19 20 “ ” Magic Edward B. Tylor、James G. Frazer、 Emile Durkheim、Malinowski、Marcel Mauss。Wax & Wax1963。“”。Stark 2001。20 。“ ”New Age。 。“ ”。 Max Weber 。 “ ”。“ ”。。。、。Weber 1951。“ ”、 。。religious or sectarian societies cults194


、—ethicopoliticalcults。 。、 “”the highly eclectic nature of Chinesereligion。Yang 1961。“ ”“ ”。。。 。 。1993《 、》《 》3 。Bader C. D. F. C. Mencken & J. Baker 2010 Paranormal AmericaGhost EncountersUFOSightings Bigfoot Hunts and Other Curiosities in Religion and Culture. New York and LondonNew York University Press.Bainbridge W. S. & R. Stark 1980“SuperstitionsOld & New. ”Skeptical Inquirer 64.Bourque L. B. 1969“Social Correlates of Transcendental Experiences. ”Sociological Analysis 30.Daniels M. J. & C. Gatsonis 1997“Hierarchical Polytomous Regression Models with Applications toHealth Services Research. ”Statistics in Medicine 16.Dole A. A. 1993“Some Conceptions of the New Age. ”Journal of Religion and Health 324.Emmons C. F. & J. Sobal 1981“Paranormal BeliefsFunctional Alternatives to Mainstream Religion”Reviewof Religious Research 224.Fox J. W. 1992“The Structure Stability and Social Antecedents of Reported Paranormal Experiences.”Sociological Analysis 534.Glock C. Y. & R. Stark 1965 Religion and Society in Tension. Chicago ILRand McNally.Goldstein M. 1999Alternative Health CareMedicine Miracle or MiragePhiladelphia PATempleUniversity Press.Goode E. 2000 Paranormal BeliefsA Sociological Introduction Prospect Heights. IllinoisWavelandPress.Gray W. D. 1991 Thinking Critically About New Age Ideas. BelmontCAWadsworth.Greely A. W. 1975 The Sociology of the ParanormalA Reconnaissance. Beverly Hills CASage195


2011. 5Publications.GrilliL. & C. Rampichini 2007“A Multilevel Multinomial Logit Model for the Analysis of Graduates’Skills.”Statistical Methods and Applications 16.HedekerD. 2003“A Mixed-effects Multinomial Logistic Regression Model. ”Statistics in Medicine22.Hines T. 1988 Pseudoscience and the ParanormalA Critical Examination of Evidence. BuffaloNYBasil Blackwell.Hyde K. E. 1990 Religion in Childhood and AdolescenceA Comprehensive Review of the Research.Birmingham ALReligious Education Press.McClenon J. 1988“A Survey of Chinese Anomalous Experiences and Comparison with WesternRepresentative National Samples. ”Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion 273.——— 1990“Chinese and American Anomalous ExperiencesThe Role of Religiosity. ”SociologicalAnalysis 511.McFaddenD. 1973“Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior. ”In P. Zarembkaed. Frontiers in Econometrics. New YorkAcademic Press.McFadden D. & K. Train 2000“Mixed MLN Models for Discrete Choice. ”Journal of Applied E-conometrics 15.McLeod A. 2001 Multivariate Multilevel Regression.“In A. H. Leyland & H. Goldstein eds. Multilevel Modelling of Health Statistics. Chichester UKWiley.Mears D. P. & C. G. Ellison 2000“Who Buys New Age MaterialsExploring SociodemographicReligious Network and Contextual Correlates of New Age Consumption. ”Sociology of Religion613.Mencken F. C. C. D. Bader & R. Stark 2008“Conventional Christian Beliefs and ExperimentationWith the Paranormal. ”Review of Religious Research 502.Orenstein A. 2002“Religion and Paranormal Belief. ”Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion 412.Ozorak E. W. 1989“Social and Cognitive Influence on the Development of Religious Beliefs andCommitment in Adolescence. ”Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion 28.Rabe-HeskethS. A. Skrondal & A. Pickles 2004“Gllamm Manual. ”U. C. Berkeley Division ofBiostatistics Working Paper Series.Raudenbush. S. W. & A. S. Bryk 2001 Hierarchical Linear ModelsApplications and Data AnalysisMethods 2ed. . Thousand OaksCASage Publication.Rice T. W. 2003“Believe It or NotReligious and Other Paranormal Beliefs in the UnitedStates. ”Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion 421.SkrondalA. & S. Rabe-Hesketh 2003“Multilevel Logistic Regression for Polytomous Data andRankings. ”Psychometrika 68.Sparks G. G. 2001“The Relationship Between Paranormal Beliefs and Religious Beliefs. ”SkepticalInquirer 255.Stark R. 2001“Reconceptualizing Religion Magic and Science. ”Review of Religious Research 43196


2.Stark R. & W. S. Bainbridge 1987 A Theory of Religion. New York NYLang.Tam W. & Y. Shiah 2004“Paranormal Belief Religiosity and Cognitive Complexity. ”Paper presentedat the Parasychological Association Convention hosted by the Austrian Society for Perapsychologyin Vienna http/ /www. parapsych. org /papers /45. pdf.Tobacyk J. & G. . Milford 1983“Belief in Paranormal PhenomenaAssessment Instrument Developmentand Implications for Personality Functioning. ”Journal of Personality and Social Psychology445.Wardell D. W. & J. C. Engebretson 2006“Taxonomy of Spiritual Experiences. ”Journal of Religionand Health 452.Wax M. & R. Wax 1963“The Notion of Magic. ”Current Anthropology 45.Weaver A. K. Flannelly H. Stone & L. Dossey 2003“Spirituality Health and CAMCurrentControversies. ”Alternative Therapies in Health and Medicine 96.Weber M. 1951 Religion of China. New York NYFree Press.Wuthnow R. 1978 Experimentation in American Religion. Berkeley CAUniversity of CaliforniaPress.XieY. & E. Hannum 1996“Regional Variation in Earnings Inequality in Reform-era Urban China.”American Journal of Sociology 101 4.Yang C. K. 1961 Religion in Chinese SocietyA Study of Contemporary Functions of Religion andSome of Their Historical Factors. CAUniversity of California Press. 、 197


have better understanding for the relationship between social networks and labor marketoutcomes. In this paper the author identifies three types of job seekers accordingto the channels of getting their first jobs 1workers used formal non-networkchannels only Type I 2workers used both formal and network channels TypeII and 3worker used network channel only Type III. Analyzing data from the“Survey of Social Networks and Occupational Experiences in Chinese Cities in 2009”JSNET 2009 the author finds that these three types of workers differ greatly in socioeconomicstatusnetwork resourcesand labor market experiences.Fertility Decline and the Trend in Educational Gender Inequality in China……………………………………… Ye Hua & Wu Xiaogang 153AbstractThis paper examines the effects of sibship size and configurations on educationalgender inequality in the context of fertility decline in China since the late1970s. Fertility decline reduces sibship size and changes sibship configurations andthus bears important implications for family investment in education and educationalgender inequality. Analyses of the data from Chinese General Social Survey CGSS2006show thatin terms of years of schoolingwomen are more disadvantaged infamilies with more siblingsespecially when they have brothers. Educational genderinequality is less severe for younger cohorts than for older cohorts due to fertility declinein China. The research demonstrates that educational gender inequality is affectednot only by gender egalitarian policies but also influenced by policies designedto induce fertility decline.An Empirical Study on the Paranormal Beliefs in Contemporary ChinaExploring how to define Chinese religions …………………………………………………………… Xia Changqi & Wang Cuntong 178AbstractUsing the 2007 Empirical Survey of Values in China ESVICthe authorsconducted an empirical study on the paranormal beliefs in contemporary China. Theauthors find that the types of paranormal beliefs in China are variousbut not prevailing.Chinese paranormal beliefs are statistically significant correlated with variablessuch as agemarital statuseducation leveland health condition. Those who are oldermarriedless educatedand have self-rating bad health are more likely to practiceparanormal beliefsbut the social correlations are complicated. They are differentamong types of paranormal beliefs. In the relationship between paranormal beliefsand religious beliefsthe analysis shows that religious believers are more likely tohave some paranormal beliefs than non-believers. At the endthe authors exploredhow to define Chinese Religions.A Study of the Social Capital Differencial between the Self-employed and245

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