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12<br />

SHAREWATCH<br />

Are you a fan of windfarms?<br />

Is windpower truly the saviour of world energy economies? WIP’s respected economics<br />

expert, Christopher Hopkins, looks at some of the cost issues behind the green power.<br />

According to current estimates,<br />

worldwide the nameplate capacity<br />

of wind-powered generators is<br />

thought to be about 159.2GW.<br />

Compare that with energy production -<br />

put at 340 TWh - and it represents about<br />

2% of worldwide electricity usage.<br />

Worldwide, several countries have<br />

achieved relatively high levels of wind<br />

power penetration - largely thanks to<br />

hefty governmental subsidies).<br />

For example, broadly speaking around<br />

19% of stationary electricity production in<br />

Denmark is subsidised, 13% in Spain and<br />

Portugal, and 7% in Germany and the<br />

Republic of Ireland. This is out of about<br />

86 countries around the world using wind<br />

power on a commercial basis.<br />

Large-scale wind farms are connected to<br />

the electric power transmission network;<br />

smaller facilities are used to provide<br />

electricity to isolated locations. Utility<br />

companies increasingly buy back surplus<br />

electricity produced by small domestic<br />

turbines.<br />

Wind turbines have grown larger and<br />

taller. Turbines in the 1.5 to 2.5 MW range<br />

have more than doubled their share of the<br />

global market. Not surprisingly, turbine<br />

efficiency has increased and a mixture of<br />

taller turbines, improved components and<br />

better siting has resulted in an overall<br />

efficiency increase of 2 - 3% annually over<br />

the last 15 years.<br />

Investment costs, too, have decreased.<br />

The average cost per kW of installed wind<br />

power capacity currently varies <strong>from</strong> 900<br />

€/kW to 1,150 €/kW. The turbine itself<br />

comprises about 80% of this total cost.<br />

The remainder is contributed by three<br />

main items - foundations, electrical<br />

installation, grid connection – and then<br />

other costs are land, road construction,<br />

consultancy and financing costs.<br />

The other principal cost element in<br />

generating electricity <strong>from</strong> wind power is<br />

operation and maintenance. Obviously,<br />

Company<br />

(Currency)<br />

Monthly<br />

share price<br />

52 week<br />

high/low<br />

ABB (CHF) 18.58 15.96/<br />

24.08<br />

Ansaldo (EUR) 13.19 11.77/<br />

15.48<br />

Atlas Copco (SEK) 100.30 63.00/<br />

113.90<br />

Caterpillar (USD) 59.97 30.01/<br />

72.83<br />

Chloride (GBX) 371.50 128.75/<br />

390.50<br />

Cummins (USD) 64.82 31.32/<br />

77.10<br />

Doosan Heavy<br />

Industries (KRW)<br />

Foster Wheeler<br />

(USD)<br />

73900 54100/<br />

97000<br />

20.94 18.33/<br />

35.82<br />

GE (USD) 14.12 10.50/<br />

19.70<br />

John Deere (EUR) 1360 999.00/<br />

1500<br />

Kirloskar (INR) 398.75 240.00/<br />

973.75<br />

MAN (EUR) 68.19 40.22/<br />

73.90<br />

Mitsubishi (JPY) 1826 1552/<br />

2542<br />

MTU Detroit<br />

Diesel (EUR)<br />

44.14 24.67/<br />

50.20<br />

Rolls-Royce (GBX) 551.50 346.50/<br />

631.50<br />

Siemens (EUR) 73.04 45.77/<br />

79.65<br />

Volvo Penta (SEK) 85.35 44.10/<br />

97.40<br />

Wärtsilä (EUR) 37.10 21.20/<br />

39.70<br />

there are no fuel costs.For a new<br />

machine, O&M costs might have an<br />

average share over the lifetime of the<br />

turbine of about 20-25% of total levellised<br />

cost per kWh produced.Wind energy, as an<br />

alternative to fossil fuels, is plentiful,<br />

JULY 2010 • WORLDWIDE I NDEPENDENT P OWER<br />

Change over<br />

month<br />

Monthly figures taken at the end of June 2010<br />

Change<br />

over year<br />

Change since<br />

Jan. 2008<br />

-6.11% +6.60% -33.41%<br />

+8.20% -0.90% +52.66%<br />

-0.39% +42.18% +14.79%<br />

-1.46% +88.94% -16.43%<br />

+32.68% +142.02% +109.59%<br />

-7.11% +89.26% +38.09%<br />

+4.08% +14.93%<br />

-13.04% -4.77% -70.84%<br />

-13.64% +23.21% -60.95%<br />

0.00% -9.33% +10.12%<br />

-54.25% -3.92%<br />

-1.17% +52.52% -16.57%<br />

-6.55% +3.93% -32.87%<br />

-0.65% +67.32% +31.37%<br />

-6.21% +49.46% -13.42%<br />

-1.31% +45.56% -18.29%<br />

+3.20% +73.48% -4.90%<br />

+7.47% +59.16% -14.28%<br />

renewable, widely distributed, clean, and<br />

produces no greenhouse gas emissions<br />

during operation. However - visually - the<br />

construction of windfarms is not<br />

universally welcomed. Perhaps it is<br />

a price worth paying though? WIP

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