S<strong>in</strong>ce 2005, <strong>the</strong> State sector has seen rapid wage growth. However, <strong>in</strong> 2007-08, rais<strong>in</strong>gc<strong>on</strong>sumer price <strong>in</strong>flati<strong>on</strong> has led to higher wage demands elsewhere, with nom<strong>in</strong>al wagegrowth reach<strong>in</strong>g 36% <strong>in</strong> June 2008. Recorded wages rema<strong>in</strong> low, but many supplement<strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>comes with remittances sent from relatives work<strong>in</strong>g abroad, and with <strong>in</strong>comes earned<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> large shadow ec<strong>on</strong>omy.Year January May December2,5572,8084,4042006(US$62) (US$69) (US$114)Average gross m<strong>on</strong>thly wage3,1453,7695,6572007(Som/US$)(US$82) (US$99) (US$162)4,3355,146 482008-(US$121) (US$141)Kyrgyzstan Country Report August 2008 - The Ec<strong>on</strong>omist Intelligence UnitExamples of m<strong>on</strong>thly salariesActivityAverage m<strong>on</strong>thly salaryDoctor (2004)1126 Som/m<strong>on</strong>th (US$31)Teacher, highly qualified, high workload compared to 1380 Som/m<strong>on</strong>th (~US$38)standards (2004)Young graduate of higher educati<strong>on</strong>al <strong>in</strong>stituti<strong>on</strong>s 400-500 Som/m<strong>on</strong>th (~US$11-14)Child mentor <strong>in</strong> orphanage or board<strong>in</strong>g school (2004) 800 Som/m<strong>on</strong>th (~US$22)Forester (2005)600-800 Som/m<strong>on</strong>th (~US$15-22)Public Expenditure Review <strong>on</strong> Social Sector <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Kyrgyz Republic – UNICEF, 2006Ensur<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able of Forests and Livelihoods through Improved Governance and C<strong>on</strong>trol of IllegalLogg<strong>in</strong>g for Ec<strong>on</strong>omies <strong>in</strong> Transiti<strong>on</strong> - Work<strong>in</strong>g document, Kyrgyz Republic for <strong>the</strong> World Bank, 2005Migrants and remittances Rural areas, because of low <strong>in</strong>come levels and lack of diverse job opportunities, are <strong>the</strong>major source of <strong>in</strong>ternal and external migrants <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Kyrgyz Republic. Internal migrati<strong>on</strong> seems to have reached a peak <strong>in</strong> 1994-98, with some 100,000 migrantsper year, but fell between 1999 and 2003, with some 50,000 people (1% of <strong>the</strong> populati<strong>on</strong>),chang<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir place of residence each year 49 . Only Bishkek city and <strong>the</strong> Chui oblast <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>north saw <strong>in</strong>-migrati<strong>on</strong>, and all o<strong>the</strong>r oblasts had negative balances. This shows cleardirecti<strong>on</strong> of labour from mostly rural peripherals <strong>in</strong>to ec<strong>on</strong>omically developed capital city andrelatively land abundant Chui oblast. These are <str<strong>on</strong>g>data</str<strong>on</strong>g> based <strong>on</strong> adm<strong>in</strong>istrative records, and <strong>the</strong> number of <strong>in</strong>ternal migrants islikely to be c<strong>on</strong>siderably higher. New established settlements around capital city (‘novostroiki’) are ma<strong>in</strong>ly occupied with<strong>in</strong>ternal migrants with most of <strong>the</strong> residents not be<strong>in</strong>g registered. As of 2007, <strong>the</strong>re were 26such settlements around Bishkek, with an estimated 200,000 people, but <strong>the</strong> real number ishigher due to lack of residence permissi<strong>on</strong> for a large porti<strong>on</strong> of residents. Internal migrati<strong>on</strong> is putt<strong>in</strong>g pressure <strong>on</strong> urban labour markets. It <strong>in</strong>creases demand forpublic services, puts pressure <strong>on</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g prices, and creates tensi<strong>on</strong>s <strong>in</strong> urban labourmarkets. With regard to external migrati<strong>on</strong>, s<strong>in</strong>ce 2000, remittances played a significant role <strong>in</strong>rais<strong>in</strong>g welfare and reduc<strong>in</strong>g poverty both directly and <strong>in</strong>directly. Yet, <strong>the</strong>se remittances aremostly used to <strong>in</strong>crease private c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> and <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> of hous<strong>in</strong>g ra<strong>the</strong>r than<strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy. The <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> m<strong>on</strong>ey from abroad led to an expansi<strong>on</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>demand for services locally and an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> imports.48 At an exchange rate of 36.4 Som for 1 US$49 Kyrgyz Republic Poverty Assessment. Volume 1: Growth, Employment and Poverty - World BankReport No.40864, September 200725
Many young Kyrgyz workers f<strong>in</strong>d it more lucrative to work abroad <strong>in</strong> menial jobs than to takelow-paid employment at home – for which <strong>the</strong>y often lack sufficient qualificati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>in</strong> anycase. Estimates of <strong>the</strong> number of Kyrgyz labour migrants work<strong>in</strong>g abroad vary widely. Someput it at 1 milli<strong>on</strong> 50 , while o<strong>the</strong>rs menti<strong>on</strong>ed about half this number 51 . The majority of <strong>the</strong>migrants are from <strong>the</strong> rural south, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Osh, Jalal-Abad and Batken oblasts. Migrati<strong>on</strong> significantly mitigates <strong>the</strong> problem of unemployment <strong>in</strong>side <strong>the</strong> country and servesas an important source of foreign exchange <strong>in</strong>flow. However, <strong>the</strong> majority of migrants whowork <strong>in</strong> Russia and Kazakhstan have nei<strong>the</strong>r proper registrati<strong>on</strong> nor employment permits,which makes <strong>the</strong>m legally and socially very vulnerable (no legal protecti<strong>on</strong> and access tobasic social services). Also, <strong>in</strong>efficient and costly channels for remittances decrease <strong>the</strong>ir ec<strong>on</strong>omic value,especially <strong>in</strong> poor and rural areas for which <strong>the</strong>y represent a crucial source of <strong>in</strong>come. The poverty profil<strong>in</strong>g exercise c<strong>on</strong>ducted <strong>in</strong> 2003 <strong>in</strong>dicated that private transfers tended tobe more important am<strong>on</strong>g poor households. However (as <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> case with pensi<strong>on</strong>s), <strong>the</strong>average size of <strong>the</strong> transfers received by <strong>the</strong> richest qu<strong>in</strong>tile was almost twice higher thanthat of <strong>the</strong> poorest qu<strong>in</strong>tile 52 . Early 2007, <strong>the</strong> Asian Development Bank (ADB) undertook a regi<strong>on</strong>al study <strong>on</strong> remittancesand poverty which covered Armenia, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. In Kyrgyzstan, about4,200 households were randomly selected throughout <strong>the</strong> country and <strong>in</strong> Bishkek city.Results 53 showed that:ooooooAbout 20% of households had at least 1 migrant member. Of <strong>the</strong>se, 72% had just <strong>on</strong>emigrant (15% of all households) and 20% had 2 migrants. Households with more than1 migrant were mostly found <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r urban areas and rural areas, than <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> capital.About 79% of <strong>the</strong> migrants did send back remittances, hence some 16% ofhouseholds received remittances from migrants abroad.Average remittances per household amounted to US$1,400 per year <strong>in</strong> cash,represent<strong>in</strong>g about half of <strong>the</strong> recipient household’s total <strong>in</strong>come. The equivalentof almost US$300 was sent <strong>in</strong>-k<strong>in</strong>d.Some 44% of <strong>the</strong> remittance beneficiaries <strong>in</strong>dicated that <strong>the</strong> level of remittancesreceived <strong>in</strong> 2006 was <strong>the</strong> same as <strong>in</strong> 2005 and 44% said that it <strong>in</strong>creased. About 32%c<strong>on</strong>firmed an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> share of remittances <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir total <strong>in</strong>come.Almost 78% of migrants used bank or m<strong>on</strong>ey transfer office services to send <strong>the</strong>irremittances. However, <strong>the</strong> balance of migrants used o<strong>the</strong>r transfer channels <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>gdelivery by <strong>the</strong> migrants <strong>the</strong>mselves as well as by relatives, friends and o<strong>the</strong>r private<strong>in</strong>dividuals. The amount of funds transferred through <strong>the</strong>se <strong>in</strong>formal channelsrepresented 22% of <strong>the</strong> total volume of remittances. Households <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> poorestqu<strong>in</strong>tile were less likely to use banks and m<strong>on</strong>ey transfer offices (68%).An earlier survey c<strong>on</strong>ducted <strong>in</strong> 2005 54 had found a much lower proporti<strong>on</strong> of migrantsus<strong>in</strong>g banks or m<strong>on</strong>ey transfer offices (34%) and a larger proporti<strong>on</strong> deliver<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>remittances directly (61%). The reas<strong>on</strong>s for rapid changes of procedures are not clearand may also be due to different survey procedures.50 Kyrgyzstan Country Report August 2008 – The Ec<strong>on</strong>omist Intelligence Unit51 Kyrgyzstan at a New Stage of Development – UNDP and Government of <strong>the</strong> Kyrgyz Republic,Bishkek, 200552 Kyrgyz Republic Poverty Update. Profile of Liv<strong>in</strong>g Standards <strong>in</strong> 2003 – World Bank Report No.36602,August 200553 A Study <strong>on</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al Migrants’ Remittances <strong>in</strong> Central Asia and South Caucasus. Country Report<strong>on</strong> Remittances of Internati<strong>on</strong>al Migrants and Poverty <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Kyrgyz Republic – Draft for discussi<strong>on</strong> at<strong>the</strong> Country Sem<strong>in</strong>ar <strong>in</strong> Bishkek, November 2007 – S. Ibragimova, T. Burzhubaev, A. Temirov, Centerfor Social and Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Research (SocEc<strong>on</strong>ic), November 2007.54 Study c<strong>on</strong>ducted by <strong>the</strong> “Bishkek C<strong>on</strong>sensus” Institute of Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Policy, 200526