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Linear Algebra

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270 Chapter Three. Maps Between SpacesThe temperature that day was forecast to be 31 ◦ F.(a) NASA based the decision to launch partially on a chart showing only theflights that had at least one O-ring failure. Find the line that best fits theseseven flights. On the basis of this data, predict the number of O-ring failureswhen the temperature is 31, and when the number of failures will exceed four.(b) Find the line that best fits all 24 flights. On the basis of this extra data,predict the number of O-ring failures when the temperature is 31, and when thenumber of failures will exceed four.Which do you think is the more accurate method of predicting? (An excellentdiscussion is in [Dalal, et. al.].)8 This table lists the average distance from the sun to each of the first seven planets,using Earth’s average as a unit.Mercury Venus Earth Mars Jupiter Saturn Uranus0.39 0.72 1.00 1.52 5.20 9.54 19.2(a) Plot the number of the planet (Mercury is 1, etc.) versus the distance. Notethat it does not look like a line, and so finding the line of best fit is not fruitful.(b) It does, however look like an exponential curve. Therefore, plot the numberof the planet versus the logarithm of the distance. Does this look like a line?(c) The asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter is what is left of a planet thatbroke apart. Renumber so that Jupiter is 6, Saturn is 7, and Uranus is 8, andplot against the log again. Does this look better?(d) Use least squares on that data to predict the location of Neptune.(e) Repeat to predict where Pluto is.(f) Is the formula accurate for Neptune and Pluto?This method was used to help discover Neptune (although the second item ismisleading about the history; actually, the discovery of Neptune in position 9prompted people to look for the “missing planet” in position 5). See [Gardner, 1970]

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