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Prepared Direct Testimony of Robert McCullough on Behalf of the ...

Prepared Direct Testimony of Robert McCullough on Behalf of the ...

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Page 74 <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 76SEATAC-400shifted to <strong>the</strong> right.Figure 699ISupply and Demand at <strong>the</strong> Callfomh Power Exchange May 22,2000 12:OOI(--Supply- erna and Supply ~ i qDo we know what price Enr<strong>on</strong> and o<strong>the</strong>rs would have bid into <strong>the</strong> PX?No. This analysis assumes that <strong>the</strong>y would have moved <strong>the</strong> entire curve right. For this hour, anybid at less than $85/MWh would have been sufficient to reduce <strong>the</strong> PX price.What was <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> shifting <strong>the</strong> supply curve 3,470 megawatts to <strong>the</strong> left at thishour?The shift raised <strong>the</strong> price where <strong>the</strong> demand and supply curves crossed by $35 --<strong>the</strong> differencebetween <strong>the</strong> actual PX unc<strong>on</strong>strained price <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $120 and <strong>the</strong> $85 that would have occurred if <strong>the</strong>Fat Boys would have been included in <strong>the</strong> energy supply.

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