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UNCTAD's Debt Management and Financial Analysis System (DMFAS

UNCTAD's Debt Management and Financial Analysis System (DMFAS

UNCTAD's Debt Management and Financial Analysis System (DMFAS

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E. Analytical function1. Projections based on outst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> present value calculationsThe analysis module has been specifically designed to calculate projections based on outst<strong>and</strong>ing, <strong>and</strong> thepresent value amount using CIRRs as the rates of discount, of a debt portfolio.Because debt indicators based on the nominal value of a debt are static, they may not exactly reflect acountry’s underlying solvency. Unlike nominal value, present value takes into account the terms <strong>and</strong> theconcessionality of a debt portfolio while reflecting the costs of servicing it in “today’s money”. <strong>Debt</strong>indicators based on present value are a more appropriate measure to apprehend a country’s solvency <strong>and</strong> itsdebt servicing situation. Present value allows debt officers to more easily compare debt portfolios betweencreditors by eliminating the effects of concessionality.The module on projections based on outst<strong>and</strong>ing is useful when the user needs to calculate:• The amount of interest due in the near future (for example, the amount of interest to be paid in the nextmonth), the cash flow needs of the central bank; etc.• Future debt service payments for a loan in which he foresees a cancellation of the undisbursed amount.• A debt’s present value for the purposes of analysis such as in the framework of the HIPC initiative.This module enables the user to choose between different parameters <strong>and</strong> calculation methods (the pro-rata<strong>and</strong> the truncation methods) of particular interest to produce <strong>and</strong> compare different scenarios for the debtsustainabilityanalysis of HIPC.2. Interface with the <strong>Debt</strong> Sustainability Model (DSM+)of the World BankAn interface has been created between <strong>DMFAS</strong> <strong>and</strong> DSM+, which is a tool designed to help officialsanalyze the external financing requirements of a country <strong>and</strong> to quantify the effects of debt-relief operationsor new borrowing. This interface provides the <strong>DMFAS</strong> user with the means to export data from the <strong>DMFAS</strong>system for subsequent import into DSM+.3. Other analytical features<strong>DMFAS</strong> system also provides analytical support for debt managers by, for example:• Facilitating easy registration of potential new debt <strong>and</strong> analyzing the effect of these new debts on thefuture debt-service pattern;• Permitting easy simulations to determine the effect of interest rate fluctuations <strong>and</strong> exchange ratevariations over a period of time;• Calculating <strong>and</strong> giving information on detailed penalty interest from the scheduled date of a maturityregistered as an arrear to a given date; <strong>and</strong>• Calculating accrued interest. <strong>DMFAS</strong> allows debt officers to generate automatically such information,at the end of the previous month, for use by other departments, including the accounting unit.18

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