Figure 4The <strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong> Company's Free Cash Flow ∗$2,500$2,000Free Cash Flow ($ Millions)$1,500$1,000$500$0($500)1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000($1,000)($1,500)∗ Free Cash Flow = EBIT (1-tax) + Depreciation – Capital Expenditures – Increases <strong>in</strong> Net Work<strong>in</strong>g Capital(Source is <strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong> Annual Reports, various years). Because <strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong> does not report work<strong>in</strong>gcapital on a divisional level, the calculation ignores changes <strong>in</strong> new work<strong>in</strong>g capital.57
Endnotes1 Data based on <strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong>’s 2000 Current Market Outlook. See also The Airl<strong>in</strong>e Monitor,July 2000.2 Airbus’ Global Market Forecast (GMF) def<strong>in</strong>es the VLA market as consist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong>passenger aircraft with more than 500 seats and cargo aircraft capable <strong>of</strong> handl<strong>in</strong>g morethan 80 tones <strong>of</strong> freight. In contrast, <strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong>’s Current Market Outlook (CMO) def<strong>in</strong>esthe VLA market as aircraft seat<strong>in</strong>g more than 400 passengers, the size <strong>of</strong> the 747.3 Most <strong>of</strong> the background material conta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> Sections II and III comes from Esty andKane’s (2001) teach<strong>in</strong>g case on the Airbus A3XX, later renamed the A380. In an attemptto verify the teach<strong>in</strong>g case's representation <strong>of</strong> facts, we sent copies to and receivedcomments from senior executives at <strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong> and Airbus as well as equity researchanalysts at <strong>in</strong>vestment banks who follow both companies and <strong>in</strong>dustry consultants. Whiletheir comments corrected some factual errors and highlighted alternative <strong>in</strong>terpretations,they do not constitute approval <strong>of</strong> the case or its content.4 Accord<strong>in</strong>g to The Airl<strong>in</strong>e Monitor, Jan/Feb 2001 and CSFB Global CommercialAerospace Monthly, May 2000.5 Cole, J., ‘Airbus Prepares to ‘Bet the Company’ as It Builds a Huge New Jet’, The WallStreet Journal, 11/3/99, p. A1.6 Cole, J. and B. Coleman, ‘Airbus Denies it Has Been Cut From Jet Talks’, The WallStreet Journal, 1/7/93, p. A4; Coleman, B., ‘Accord With Airbus to Study <strong>Super</strong>jumbo aW<strong>in</strong> for <strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong>’, The Wall Street Journal Europe, 1/28/93, p. 3.7 Cole, J., ‘<strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong>, Two Airbus Members In Talks to Develop New Jet’, The Wall StreetJournal Europe, 1/5/93, p. 3.8 Coleman, B., ‘Accord With Airbus to Study <strong>Super</strong>jumbo a W<strong>in</strong> for <strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong>”, The WallStreet Journal Europe, 1/28/93, p. 3.9 ‘Airbus, <strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong> Reportedly scrap Plans for <strong>Super</strong> Jumbo Venture, AFX News, 5/15/95.10 ‘<strong>Boe<strong>in</strong>g</strong> Delays May Force Review <strong>of</strong> Venture’, Nihon Keizai Shimbun, 4/8/89, p. A3;‘Dropp<strong>in</strong>g Japan for Ch<strong>in</strong>a’, The Economist, September 9, 1995, p. 66.58
- Page 1 and 2:
Harvard Business SchoolStrategy Wor
- Page 3 and 4:
AbstractThis paper looks at competi
- Page 6 and 7:
commercial aircraft industry, the t
- Page 8 and 9:
jumbo jet to compete with Boeing’
- Page 10 and 11: stretch jumbo at a cost of $4 billi
- Page 12 and 13: and, more recently, work that uses
- Page 14 and 15: described below). If one were to vi
- Page 16 and 17: Given that at most one superjumbo w
- Page 18 and 19: more year of a discounted future ca
- Page 20 and 21: Let the net benefits of a customer
- Page 22 and 23: The relevant argument involves more
- Page 24 and 25: By definition,p 0 + tx 2 = p r + t(
- Page 26 and 27: implications, it is better to simpl
- Page 28 and 29: section, the approach adopted has b
- Page 30 and 31: of 1-2%, perhaps exceeding the high
- Page 32 and 33: impact of the Asian crisis on deman
- Page 34 and 35: It is worth pointing out that these
- Page 36 and 37: To put the sandbagging hypothesis i
- Page 38 and 39: macro-organizational changes were n
- Page 40 and 41: collocated in Seattle. 70 As CEO Ph
- Page 42 and 43: questions remain worth asking and a
- Page 44 and 45: Chan, S., Martin, J. and Kensinger,
- Page 46 and 47: Industrial Organization (Elsevier S
- Page 48 and 49: 5) Discount rate: The discount rate
- Page 50 and 51: Appendix 2Valuation of Quasi-rents
- Page 52 and 53: Table ISimplified Valuation Analysi
- Page 54 and 55: Table II (continued)2011 2012 2013
- Page 56 and 57: Table IIIEquilibrium in the Three L
- Page 58 and 59: Table VCapital Market Reactions to
- Page 62 and 63: 11 Cole, J., ‘Boeing-led Allince
- Page 64 and 65: considered in the previous subsecti
- Page 66 and 67: number of shares outstanding is 807