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Brazilian Biofuels Programmes from the WEL Nexus Perspective

Brazilian Biofuels Programmes from the WEL Nexus Perspective

Brazilian Biofuels Programmes from the WEL Nexus Perspective

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Brazil’s biofuel programmes viewed <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>WEL</strong>-nexus perspective3 Implementation and leverage mechanisms ofProalcool and PNPBProalcool and PNPB used a series of leverage mechanisms and o<strong>the</strong>r components that were <strong>the</strong>basis of success. In order to facilitate <strong>the</strong> analysis of <strong>the</strong>se components and to understand how<strong>the</strong>y interacted in specific contexts to produce results, we separate <strong>the</strong>m this paper using <strong>the</strong>Programme Theory approach.Programme Theory consists of two interlinked models. The first, <strong>the</strong> change model, includesgoals and outcomes, leverage mechanisms and <strong>the</strong> intervention. The change model reflects aprogramme’s planning momentum. The second, <strong>the</strong> action model, is a systematic plan forarranging institutions, resources, legal frameworks, and support mechanisms to reach a targetpopulation and deliver services (Linnér et al., 2010).This <strong>the</strong>ory is used here as a tool for identifying <strong>the</strong> combination of ‘push and pull’ componentsof <strong>the</strong> two programmes, facilitating a comparison between <strong>the</strong>m as well as <strong>the</strong> analysis of <strong>the</strong>institutional demands (network of implementing agencies) necessary for <strong>the</strong>ir implementation.3.1 Change modelGoalsProalcool was created in 1975 and its explicit goals were to (CNPq, 1980): Increase <strong>the</strong> net supply of foreign exchange through reducing <strong>the</strong> demand forimported fuel Reduce income disparities among regions Reduce income disparities Increase national income through <strong>the</strong> deployment of underused resources Increase <strong>the</strong> growth of <strong>the</strong> domestic capital goods sectorIn addition, <strong>the</strong>re were at least two hidden goals (Hira and Oliveira, 2009; Goldemberg andMoreira, 2009). The first was that <strong>the</strong> military government perceived energy dependence as anational security concern, which Proalcool could help to address. The second was to avoid awidespread bankruptcy crisis in <strong>the</strong> sugar industry, which was at that time one of <strong>the</strong> mainnational economic activities.In <strong>the</strong> case of PNPB, all <strong>the</strong> evidence and recent studies (Pousa et al., 2007; Hall et al., 2009)lead to <strong>the</strong> conclusion that <strong>the</strong> goals were indeed those stated by <strong>the</strong> government, including<strong>the</strong> potential improvement in <strong>the</strong> country’s balance of trade since Brazil is a net importer ofdiesel (Rathmann et al., 2011). There is no evidence that <strong>the</strong> government intended to favour aspecific industry or had o<strong>the</strong>r hidden goals, at least in <strong>the</strong> initial phase. In <strong>the</strong> context of ademocracy led by <strong>the</strong> Workers’ Party (PT), PNPB was to implement in a technically andeconomically sustainable way <strong>the</strong> production and use of bio-diesel, with an emphasis on socialinclusion and regional development via generation of income and jobs. The main objectives ofPNPB were to: Implement a sustainable programme, promoting social inclusion Guarantee competitive prices, quality and supply Produce bio-diesel <strong>from</strong> different oleaginous plants in diverse regionsPNPB aimed to address <strong>the</strong>se issues simultaneously, and at a global level (Rathmann et al.,2011).12

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