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Bayesian analysis of ordinal survey data using the Dirichlet process ...

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validity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> model. The proposed procedures are simple, intuitive and do not seem tobe a part <strong>of</strong> current <strong>Bayesian</strong> practice. We conclude with a short discussion in section 6.2 MODEL DEVELOPMENTConsider a <strong>survey</strong> where <strong>the</strong> observed <strong>data</strong> are described by a matrix X : (n × m) whoseentries X ij are <strong>the</strong> <strong>ordinal</strong> responses. The n rows <strong>of</strong> X correspond to <strong>the</strong> individuals whoare <strong>survey</strong>ed and <strong>the</strong> m columns refer to <strong>the</strong> <strong>survey</strong> questions. Without loss <strong>of</strong> generality,we assume that <strong>the</strong> responses are taken on a five-point scale.We assume that <strong>the</strong> discrete response X ij <strong>of</strong> individual i to <strong>survey</strong> question j arisesfrom an underlying continuous variable Y ij . We consider a cut-point model which converts<strong>the</strong> latent variable Y ij to <strong>the</strong> observed X ij as follows:X ij = 1 ⇐⇒ λ 0 < Y ij ≤ λ 1X ij = 2 ⇐⇒ λ 1 < Y ij ≤ λ 2X ij = 3 ⇐⇒ λ 2 < Y ij ≤ λ 3(1)X ij = 4 ⇐⇒ λ 3 < Y ij ≤ λ 4X ij = 5 ⇐⇒ λ 4 < Y ij ≤ λ 5Up until this point, our approach is identical to that <strong>of</strong> Rossi, Gilula and Allenby(2001). Our approach now deviates as we assume that <strong>the</strong> cut-points are known and aregiven by λ 0 = −∞, λ 1 = 1.5, λ 2 = 2.5, λ 3 = 3.5, λ 4 = 4.5 and λ 5 = ∞. We suggestthat <strong>the</strong> chosen cut-points correspond to <strong>the</strong> way that respondents actually think. Whenasked to supply information on a five-point scale, we hypo<strong>the</strong>size that respondents makeassessments on <strong>the</strong> continuum where <strong>the</strong> values 1.0, . . . , 5.0 have precise meaning. Therespondents <strong>the</strong>n implicitly round <strong>the</strong> continuous score to <strong>the</strong> nearest <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> five integers.Although our methodology can be modified <strong>using</strong> unknown cut-points, <strong>the</strong> estimation <strong>of</strong>5

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