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61 Rethinking local government: Essays on municipal reform - VATT

61 Rethinking local government: Essays on municipal reform - VATT

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Tuukka Saarimaa – Janne Tukiainenunits are parties in the 2004 <strong>municipal</strong>ities. 25 From the number ofobservati<strong>on</strong>s, we see that n<strong>on</strong>e of the parties had candidates in all the<strong>municipal</strong>ities and that the three largest parties are represented moreoften than the other parties. In table 4, we report results c<strong>on</strong>cerningwhether parties lose votes to other parties due to mergers. We find noevidence of this. In general, the merger has no effects <strong>on</strong> the numberof votes that parties receive. This means that voters are not willingto tradeoff their party preferences for <str<strong>on</strong>g>local</str<strong>on</strong>g> representati<strong>on</strong>. This alsoimplies that any vote c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> by voters should be within parties.According to the results reported in Tables 5 and 6, this is indeed thecase. For the larger parties, and especially for the Centre Party, theparty level effects largely mimic what we find at the (old) <strong>municipal</strong>itylevel. However, we find no evidence of increased c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>am<strong>on</strong>g the smaller parties. Finding the str<strong>on</strong>gest effects for the CentreParty is as expected, because the Centre Party has a str<strong>on</strong>g supportin almost all rural <strong>municipal</strong>ities, but limited support in most urbanareas. Therefore, the Centre Party has most to lose from mergers interms of political power, and thus, its voters have most to gain fromstrategic voting.25 We also estimated the model specificati<strong>on</strong>s in Eq. (1) and (2). The results weresimilar to those reported Tables 4 through 6.153

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