Rwanda Green Growth Strategy 18nov11 - Global Climate Change ...

Chapter 6The key uncertainties for Rwanda that should be used in scenarios are oil price, oil dependency,population growth, urbanisation, temperature increase, rainfall change, energy demand and water demand.Rwanda needs forecasts of energy supply/demand to 2050 with expected shifts in source and associatedGHG emissions in order to generate emissions reductions scenarios. Rwanda also needs to account forland and water demand into the future by all sectors and understand the degree of competition forresources between sectors. The Technical Coordinating Committee will be responsible for initiating a futurescenarios programme and ensure that all sectors are involved, due to its cross-cutting nature.6.4 Risks to Implementation This Strategy lays out an ambitious path for development in Rwanda. It aims to contribute to povertyreduction and an improved standard of living for all Rwandans. If all of the Enabling Pillars are put in place,and all the Programmes of Action are implemented, then Rwanda will indeed have a climate resilient lowcarbon economy by 2050. There are challenges ahead however. The Strategy requires large amounts offinance and human capacity to be implemented. This will require significant support from developmentpartners, civil society and the private sector. As outlined in EDPRS, development of the private sector iscrucial for sustainable development in Rwanda and more work needs to be done to encourage foreigndirect investment. Capacity building is underway in government but needs to be scaled up to meet theneeds of the Strategy. Initially, Rwanda will need technical assistance from the international community, andlocal staff will need to study and gain work experience abroad until the technical and university courses areup and running in Rwanda. School education and primary health care remain fundamental to development,enabling the creation of a healthy skilled workforce. Rwanda has made much progress in the past decade,but aspires to achieve even more.48Government of Rwanda