Contents of the 2013 Human <strong>Development</strong> ReportForewordAcknowledgementsOverviewIntroductionCHAPTER 1The state of human developmentProgress of nationsSocial integrationHuman securityCHAPTER 2A more global SouthRebalancing: a more global world, a more global SouthImpetus from human developmentInnovation and entrepreneurship in the SouthNew forms of cooperationSustaining progress in uncertain timesCHAPTER 3Drivers of development transformationDriver 1: a proactive developmental stateDriver 2: tapping of global marketsDriver 3: determined social policy innovationCHAPTER 4Sustaining momentumPolicy priorities for developing countriesModelling demography and educationImpact of the rate of population ageingThe need for ambitious policiesSeizing the momentCHAPTER 5Governance and partnerships for a new eraA new global view of public goodsBetter representation for the SouthGlobal civil societyTowards coherent pluralismResponsible sovereigntyNew institutions, new mechanismsConclusions: partners in a new eraNotesReferencesSTATISTICAL ANNEXReaders guideKey to HDI countries and ranks, 2012Statistical tables1 Human <strong>Development</strong> Index and its components2 Human <strong>Development</strong> Index trends, 1980–20123 Inequality-adjusted Human <strong>Development</strong> Index4 Gender Inequality Index5 Multidimensional Poverty Index6 Command over resources7 Health8 Education9 Social integration10 International trade flows of goods and services11 International capital flows and migration12 Innovation and technology13 Environment14 Population trendsRegionsStatistical referencesTechnical appendix: explanatory note for projections exerciseiv | HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2013
SummaryWhen developed economies stopped growing during the 2008–2009 financial crisis but developing economies kept ongrowing, the world took notice. The rise of the South, seen within the developing world as an overdue global rebalancing,has been much commented on since. This discussion has typically focused narrowly on GDP and trade growth in a fewlarge countries. Yet there are broader dynamics at play, involving many more countries and deeper trends, with potentiallyfar-reaching implications for people’s lives, for social equity and for democratic governance at the local and global levels. Asthis Report shows, the rise of the South is both the result of continual human development investments and achievementsand an opportunity for still greater human progress for the world as a whole. Making that progress a reality will requireinformed and enlightened global and national policymaking, drawing on the policy lessons analysed in this Report.The rise of the SouthThe rise of the South is unprecedented in itsspeed and scale. It must be understood in broadhuman development terms as the story of a dramaticexpansion of individual capabilities andsustained human development progress in thecountries that are home to the vast majority ofthe world’s people. When dozens of countriesand billions of people move up the developmentladder, as they are doing today, it has adirect impact on wealth creation and broaderhuman progress in all countries and regionsof the world. There are new opportunities forcatch-up for less developed countries and forcreative policy initiatives that could benefit themost advanced economies as well.Although most developing countries havedone well, a large number of countries havedone particularly well—what can be calledthe “rise of the South”. Some of the largestcountries have made rapid advances, notablyBrazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, SouthAfrica and Turkey. But there has also been substantialprogress in smaller economies, such asBangladesh, Chile, Ghana, Mauritius, Rwandaand Tunisia (figure 1).While focusing on the rise of the South andits implications for human development, the2013 Human <strong>Development</strong> Report is also aboutthis changing world, driven in large measure bythe rise of the South. It examines the progressbeing made, the challenges arising (some as aresult of that very success) and the opportunitiesemerging for representative global andregional governance.For the first time in 150 years, the combinedoutput of the developing world’s threeleading economies—Brazil, China andIndia—is about equal to the combined GDPof the long standing industrial powers of theNorth—Canada, France, Germany, Italy,<strong>United</strong> Kingdom and the <strong>United</strong> States. Thisrepresents a dramatic rebalancing of globalFigure 1More than 40 countries of the South experienced significantly greater HDI gainssince 1990 than would have been predicted based on their previous HDI performanceHDI, 20120.90.70.50.3RwandaHDI 1990 = HDI 2012Tunisia TurkeyThailandChinaIndonesiaViet NamIndiaLao PDR GhanaBangladeshUgandaHighlighted 18Korea, Rep.ChileMexicoMalaysiaBrazilMauritius0.10.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9Big improversHDI, 1990Note: Countries above the 45 degree line had a higher HDI value in 2012 than in 1990. Blue and grey markers indicate countries withsignificantly larger than predicted increases in HDI value between 1990 and 2012 given their HDI value in 1990. These countries wereidentified based on residuals obtained from a regression of the change in log of HDI between 2012 and 1990 on the log of HDI in 1990.Countries that are labelled are a selected group of rapid HDI improvers that are discussed in greater detail in chapter 3 of the full Report.Source: HDRO calculations.OthersSummary | 1