Q3 2015structure after Nigeria and Algeria. Thecountry’s well-developed constructionsector recorded the fastest average growthin real activity since 2000 compared to itsother economic sectors. FDI stock in theconstruction sector averaged US$290mduring 2010-14 and diverse internationalcompanies involved in the industryinclude Crane Worldwide, Babcock International,Hitachi, and Komatsu.The Jones Lang LaSelle (JLL) Global RealEstate Transparency Index 2014 placedSouth Africa first on the continent in allthe categories covered by the survey, withthe overall results classifying the country’scommercial real estate market as‘transparent’, compared to semi-transparentassessments for Botswana, Mauritiusand Kenya. At the same time, SouthAfrica’s property investment market isthe largest and most mature on the continent.According to Knight Frank, typicallease periods of three to five years are thelongest amongst Africa’s largest economies.Office demand is focused on primelocations and the retail market is by farthe most mature in Africa.SunPower (NASDAQ: SPWR) has begunconstruction on the 86-megawatt peak(MWp) Prieska solar power plant inSouth Africa’s Northern Cape province.Expected to be fully operational in 2016,the project represents the third solarpower plant constructed by SunPowerunder the South Africa government’srenewable energy program (REIPPP). In2014, SunPower completed two projectstotaling 33 megawatts, located nearDouglas in the Northern Cape province.“With an abundance of reliable, cost-effectivesolar resources, South Africa isone of the fastest growing solar marketsin the world today,” said Tom Werner,president and CEO of SunPower, a globalprovider of solar technology and energyservices. “We are pleased to grow ourpresence in South Africa with the developmentof solar power plants that enableSouth Africa’s government to achieveits renewable goals, and look forward tocontinuing to serve the region with theopening of our new solar panel manufacturingplant this year.”<strong>New</strong> <strong>Markets</strong> <strong>Investor</strong>60
Q3 2015SunPower designedand is constructingthe Prieska project,and will provideoperations and maintenanceservices onceit is operational. Theproject will sell theelectricity it producesto the regional publicutility ESKOM undera power purchaseagreement. Approximately700 jobswill be created bythe project duringconstruction.TanzaniaCement importsby the EAC’s second-largesteconomyincreased from92,400 tonnes during2006 to 101,400tonnes in 2012.According to the USGeological Survey(USGS), Tanzania’sdomestic cementproduction alsoincreased almosttwo-fold during theperiod to 2.58 milliontonnes in 2012.However, despitehigher productionand increasedimports, cementdemand remainedhigher than supplyat an estimated3.5 million tonnesin 2012. Deputy Trade Minister JanetMbene expects the country’s cementoutput to double to six million tonnes ina few years’ time, as seven new factoriesare expected to commence with production.The country’s industrial sphere isamongst its strongest growing sectors,driven especially by construction, miningand manufacturing. The industrialsector’s contribution to GDP will rise inthe long term as the country’s depositsof coal, natural gas, and uranium aremined, while the manufacturing sector isexpected to gain further in importance.The country also has a lot of untappedpotential in the tourism sector, whichcould be utilised if the necessary tourisminfrastructure is put in place and/or upgraded.The nascent gas industry will beone of the key focus points of constructionactivity in coming years. Already theregion’s largest market for gas consumption,Tanzania’s possible gas reservesare in the region of 43 Tcf, according tothe Tanzania Petroleum DevelopmentCorporation (TPDC).UgandaThe Ugandan industrial sector is dominatedby construction, which, in turn,is primarily driven by large infrastructureinvestments by the government.Current infrastructure projects includework related to oil production (refinery,pipelines, access roads, and water andelectricity access) as well as a standardgauge railway to facilitate access to thesea. In addition, social expenditure oneducation and healthcare will put furtherpressure on the fiscal account, whilespending related to the electoral cyclecould result in further expansionaryfiscal policy. The industrial sector as awhole will become an increasingly importantcontributor to economic growthin coming years due to the developmentof the country’s fledgling hydrocarbonssector. Uganda is expected to maintain ahealthy inflow of foreign direct investment(FDI) going forward, with the extractivesector anticipated to remain thecountry’s main FDI drawing card. Theslump in international oil prices duringH1 of 2014 and early-2015 could have anegative impact on investment decisionsin the energy sector, but this will behighly dependent on the specific circumstancesof each project, and the mediumtolong-term outlook for energy pricesof each oil company. There is little doubtthat oil exploration budgets will be cutglobally, as energy share prices drop andexpected revenue figures fall. However,some projects in Uganda are beyond theexploration phase, with both Tullow Oiland Total having submitted their fielddevelopment plans to the governmentfor approval, and they are expected to receivetheir production licences this year.ZambiaThe rapid expansion seen in the miningsector since the turn of the centuryand resultant increase in downstreamactivities have boosted the industrialsector’s contribution to Zambia’s economicactivity to 26% of GDP. Robustperformance by the construction sector(accounting for about an eighth of GDP)has been underpinned by large-scalemining investments and developments,the domestic production of cement,as well as strong infrastructure spendingby the government. Zambia has astructural fiscal deficit due to the highpressure on fixed capital formation inorder to address the gaping transportand power infrastructure shortfall.Infrastructure-related projects accountfor 60% of the World Bank’s portfolio inZambia and the average life of a projectis 3.8 years. Geographically, Zambia isfavourably located as a regional hub andentry point into the SADC and close tothe fast-growing EAC region, a positionwhich could only firm up with the completionof the country’s ambitious road,rail and freight transport and powerinfrastructural programme. The outlookfor the construction sector remainsrobust, and favourably positioned to takeadvantage of the prolonged energy (andto a lesser extent, base metal) slump. Theindustrial sector is forecast to continuegrowing in coming years on the back ofon-going mining-related investment,although downside risk pertaining toproposed changes in the mining fiscal regimeand current opacity in the politicalarena are expected to introduce shorttermimpediments.With the rapid expansion in infrastructureseen over the past decade, the growinginterest in non-African companiesin partaking in this immense growth, aswell as the evident positive outlook forconstruction in many African states, theopportunities presented by the continentcannot be ignored.. Africa is evidentlyfirmly on the radar of major constructionmultinational companies with hundredsof large projects already underwayon the continent. These initiatives are nolonger limited to mineral resources, andhave diversified into other sectors.<strong>New</strong> <strong>Markets</strong> <strong>Investor</strong>61
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- Page 43 and 44: Q3 2015NigeriaFoodThe Nigerian reta
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- Page 51 and 52: Q3 2015and are prepared to work in
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