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the economic valuation of the proposed ... - Nature Uganda

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The basis to estimating <strong>the</strong> annual value <strong>of</strong> ecotourism<br />

is <strong>the</strong> consumer surplus, <strong>the</strong> difference between <strong>the</strong><br />

price tourists are willing to pay and <strong>the</strong> price <strong>the</strong>y<br />

actually paid. Naidoo & Adamowicz (2005) found that<br />

an entrance <strong>of</strong> US$47 would maximise tourism value<br />

compared to <strong>the</strong> amount foreign and foreign residents<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>Uganda</strong> are currently charged (US$5) to visit Mabira<br />

CFR (Naidoo & Adamowicz 2005). This dramatic under-<br />

<strong>valuation</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> willingness to pay <strong>of</strong> tourist visitors is<br />

consistent with results from o<strong>the</strong>r tropical areas and<br />

suggests much room for improvement in entrance fee<br />

policy (Naidoo & Adamowicz 2005).<br />

From <strong>the</strong> above, <strong>the</strong> consumer surplus for foreigners<br />

and foreign residents is US$42 per tourist. In <strong>the</strong> absence<br />

<strong>of</strong> data on <strong>the</strong> local tourists’ willingness-to-pay and<br />

considering <strong>the</strong>ir low income levels, this study assumes<br />

a zero consumer surplus pertaining to local tourists. For<br />

foreigners and foreign residents US$ 42 or UShs 71,400<br />

(at exchange rate <strong>of</strong> UShs 1700 to <strong>the</strong> US$) – was used.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, using <strong>the</strong> 2005/06 data for foreigners and<br />

foreign residents <strong>of</strong> 1,989 tourists, <strong>the</strong> annual value <strong>of</strong><br />

ecotourism for <strong>the</strong> whole Mabira CFR was estimated<br />

at UShs 142,014,600/year. Mabira CFR is about 30,000<br />

ha in size and it would be incorrect to allocate all <strong>the</strong><br />

annual value lost due to <strong>the</strong> impact area <strong>of</strong> 7186 ha.<br />

Hence, <strong>the</strong> proportionate share <strong>of</strong> ecotourism benefits<br />

lost was estimated as a fraction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> value for Mabira<br />

as a whole (that is, UShs 142,014,600/year x 7186/30000)<br />

giving a value <strong>of</strong> UShs 34,083,504/year. Subsequently<br />

<strong>the</strong> present value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ecotourism benefits foregone<br />

translates into Ushs 284,029,200 (or US$167,076).<br />

This estimate must be considered a very conservative<br />

one and demonstrates <strong>the</strong> room available for ecotourism<br />

to grow in Mabira CFR. It is quite possible that once <strong>the</strong><br />

planned and <strong>the</strong> on-going ecotourism development<br />

projects are completed <strong>the</strong>re will be a dramatic increase<br />

in tourist numbers and <strong>Uganda</strong>n tourists will also begin<br />

to register significant consumer’s surpluses. These<br />

developments are likely, <strong>the</strong>refore, to propel <strong>the</strong> annual<br />

value <strong>of</strong> ecotourism closer to <strong>the</strong> $360/ha mark which<br />

was registered in Madagascar.<br />

F. CARBON STORAGE AND SEQUESTRATION<br />

When a forest is under threat <strong>of</strong> conversion, it is important<br />

to distinguish two values. The first is <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

carbon stored in a standing forest that is close to ‘carbon<br />

balance’. The second is <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> carbon sequestered<br />

in a growing forest. In o<strong>the</strong>r words <strong>the</strong> carbon storage<br />

value is <strong>the</strong> value held in <strong>the</strong> growing stock or standing<br />

timber volume. The sequestration value is <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> additional carbon absorbed by <strong>the</strong> forest<br />

as it adds more volume annually.<br />

Brown and Pearce (1994) provide some benchmark<br />

figures for carbon content and loss for tropical forest<br />

conversion situations (Table 21). A closed primary forest<br />

has 283tC/ha <strong>of</strong> carbon and if converted to permanent<br />

agriculture would release 220tC/ha (283tC/ha less 63tC/<br />

The Economic Valuation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Proposed Degazettement <strong>of</strong> Mabira CFR | 2011 43<br />

ha).<br />

Table 20: Carbon content and loss for tropical forest conversion<br />

Forest type<br />

Forest Original<br />

Carbon (tC/ha)<br />

Permanent Agriculture<br />

Carbon (tC/ha)<br />

Closed primary forest 283 /a 63 /c -220<br />

Closed secondary forest 194 /b 63 -131<br />

Open forest 115 63 -52<br />

/ a – 116 soil, 167 biomass; / b – 84 soil, 110 biomass; / c – mainly soil<br />

Source: Brown and Pearce (1994)<br />

Quantity <strong>of</strong> Carbon Released by<br />

conversion (tC/ha)<br />

For closed secondary and open forests, <strong>the</strong> corresponding figures are 131tC/ha and 52tC/ha, respectively. A large

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