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the economic valuation of the proposed ... - Nature Uganda

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describe three contexts in which such values might<br />

arise. They are:<br />

» someone may express a willingness to pay to<br />

conserve <strong>the</strong> forest in order that <strong>the</strong>y may make<br />

some use <strong>of</strong> it in <strong>the</strong> future, e.g. for recreation.<br />

This is known as an option value;<br />

» someone may express a willingness to pay to<br />

conserve a forest even though <strong>the</strong>y make no<br />

use <strong>of</strong> it, nor intend to. Their motive may be that<br />

<strong>the</strong>y wish <strong>the</strong>ir children or future generations to<br />

be able to use it. This is a form <strong>of</strong> option value<br />

for o<strong>the</strong>rs’ benefit, sometimes called a bequest<br />

value; and<br />

» someone may express a willingness to pay<br />

to conserve a forest even though <strong>the</strong>y make<br />

no use <strong>of</strong> it, nor intend to, nor intend it for<br />

o<strong>the</strong>rs’ use. They simply wish <strong>the</strong> forest to<br />

exist. Motivations may vary, from some feeling<br />

about <strong>the</strong> intrinsic value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> forest through<br />

to notions <strong>of</strong> stewardship, religious or spiritual<br />

value, <strong>the</strong> rights <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r living things, etc. This<br />

is known as existence value (Pearce & Pearce<br />

2001).<br />

While extremely difficult to determine <strong>the</strong> relevance<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> option and existence values is that <strong>the</strong>y may<br />

be ‘capturable’ through mechanisms such as debt-for-<br />

nature swaps, <strong>of</strong>ficial aid, donations to conservation<br />

agencies, and pricing mechanisms (Pearce &Pearce<br />

2001). According to Swanson & Kontoleon (2000), an<br />

example <strong>of</strong> using a price is <strong>the</strong> suggestion that visitors<br />

to China would have <strong>the</strong> option <strong>of</strong> paying $1 extra<br />

for a panda stamp’ in <strong>the</strong>ir passports, along with <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

visa, to indicate that <strong>the</strong>y have donated towards panda<br />

conservation in China.<br />

Some option and existence value estimates for <strong>the</strong><br />

world’s tropical forests have been reported elsewhere<br />

including: Sri Lankan forests (villagers, rural and urban<br />

groups <strong>of</strong> use, bequest and existence values) by<br />

Gunawardena et al (1999) using a contingent <strong>valuation</strong><br />

method (CVM); and US residents’ willingness to pay ‘one-<br />

<strong>of</strong>f’ payment <strong>of</strong> $21-31 per household for protection <strong>of</strong> 5<br />

percent more <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world’s tropical rain forests (Kramer<br />

&Mercer 1997). However, for purposes <strong>of</strong> arriving at a<br />

relevant estimate for <strong>the</strong> impact area in Mabira three<br />

studies are particularly pertinent. The first concerns use<br />

<strong>of</strong> a willingness to pay study to estimate <strong>the</strong> implied<br />

‘world’ willingness to pay for limited forest areas covered<br />

by debt-for-nature swaps at $5/ha (Pearce 1996).<br />

The second study is a similar one by <strong>the</strong> same author<br />

on implied ‘world’ willingness to pay via <strong>the</strong> Global<br />

Environmental Facility (GEF) <strong>of</strong> $2/ha.<br />

The third study was estimates <strong>of</strong> option and existence<br />

values revealed in a study <strong>of</strong> debt-for-nature swaps<br />

and grant aid to Mexico forest conservation <strong>of</strong> $12/ha.<br />

For <strong>the</strong> impact area in Mabira, <strong>the</strong> implied willingness<br />

to pay via <strong>the</strong> GEF facility was chosen mainly because<br />

it represents <strong>the</strong> most conservative estimate but also<br />

because <strong>Uganda</strong> has been a beneficiary <strong>of</strong> several GEF<br />

funding arrangements 9 .<br />

From <strong>the</strong> foregoing, <strong>the</strong> unit option and existence<br />

value for <strong>the</strong> Mabira impact area would be $2/ha,<br />

which when multiplied by <strong>the</strong> 7186ha translates into<br />

$14,372/annum (or UShs 24,432,400/year using 1 US$<br />

= UShs 1,700) and a present value <strong>of</strong> about $119,767<br />

(or UShs 203,603,900).<br />

5.4. SUMMARY<br />

The results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> foregoing analysis are summarised<br />

in Table 21. The value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> timber growing stock in<br />

<strong>the</strong> impact area (40 cm dbh+) was estimated at about<br />

US$35.2 million. Irrespective <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> use to which <strong>the</strong><br />

timber maybe put, it holds a stored carbon value <strong>of</strong><br />

US$3.7 million. For purposes <strong>of</strong> comparing <strong>the</strong> merits<br />

and demerits <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>proposed</strong> land conversion, <strong>the</strong><br />

stored carbon value will be ignored. It is assumed that <strong>the</strong><br />

growing timber stock will be converted into sawnwood<br />

and used fur<strong>the</strong>r in o<strong>the</strong>r processes or products (e.g.<br />

9 Including part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> World Bank support to <strong>Uganda</strong> under<br />

<strong>the</strong> Environment Management Capacity Building Project (EMCBP)<br />

for NEMA; and <strong>the</strong> Protected Area Management and Sustainable Use<br />

(PAMSU) whose beneficiaries include UWA, MTTI, Museums &<br />

Antiquities and UWEC, among o<strong>the</strong>rs.<br />

The Economic Valuation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Proposed Degazettement <strong>of</strong> Mabira CFR | 2011 45

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