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6.2. CONCLUSION<br />

Despite <strong>the</strong> difficulties <strong>of</strong> estimating some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> goods<br />

and services provided by a forest, an attempt was made<br />

to arrive at <strong>the</strong> TEV <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> area <strong>of</strong> impact in Mabira<br />

CFR and compare it with <strong>the</strong> alternative <strong>of</strong> growing<br />

sugarcane. In doing so, effort was made to ensure<br />

that very conservative estimates were used for <strong>the</strong><br />

ecological services <strong>of</strong>fered by <strong>the</strong> forest. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

hand, in arriving at net benefits <strong>of</strong> sugarcane growing,<br />

<strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> land preparation was recognised but <strong>the</strong>n<br />

excluded from <strong>the</strong> calculations. The two actions in effect<br />

meant that very conservative estimates were used in<br />

estimating <strong>the</strong> benefits <strong>of</strong> conservation, while generous<br />

allowances were made for those <strong>of</strong> sugarcane growing.<br />

From <strong>the</strong> analysis carried out, it was clear that <strong>the</strong> benefits<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> conservation <strong>of</strong> Mabira CFR far exceeded those <strong>of</strong><br />

sugarcane growing. The respective total <strong>economic</strong> value<br />

<strong>of</strong> conservation was estimated at US$ 45.1 compared to<br />

US$ 29.9 million which is <strong>the</strong> net present value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

annual benefits from <strong>the</strong> <strong>proposed</strong> sugar cane growing.<br />

As already indicated, in addition to <strong>the</strong> <strong>economic</strong><br />

values, a number <strong>of</strong> policy issues were also raised or<br />

highlighted. They include <strong>the</strong> need for compensation<br />

at ‘fair and equal’ value, <strong>the</strong> current implied objective <strong>of</strong><br />

national self-sufficiency in sugar production; and land<br />

acquisition options available to <strong>the</strong> developer.<br />

The Economic Valuation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Proposed Degazettement <strong>of</strong> Mabira CFR | 2011 49

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