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Deep Shift Technology Tipping Points and Societal Impact

WEF_GAC15_Technological_Tipping_Points_report_2015

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<strong>Shift</strong> 15: Robotics <strong>and</strong> Services<br />

The tipping point: The first robotic pharmacist in the US<br />

Expected date: 2021<br />

By 2025: 86% of respondents expected this tipping point to have occurred<br />

Robotics is beginning to influence many jobs, from manufacturing to agriculture, <strong>and</strong> retail to services. According to the<br />

International Federation of Robotics, the world now includes 1.1 million working robots, <strong>and</strong> machines account for 80% of<br />

the work in manufacturing a car. 22 Robots are streamlining supply chains to deliver more efficient <strong>and</strong> predictable business<br />

results.<br />

Positive impacts<br />

––<br />

Supply chain <strong>and</strong> logistics, eliminations<br />

––<br />

More leisure time<br />

––<br />

Improved health outcomes (big data for<br />

pharmaceutical gains in research <strong>and</strong> development)<br />

––<br />

Banking ATM as early adopter<br />

––<br />

More access to materials<br />

––<br />

Production “re-shoring” (i.e. replacing overseas<br />

workers with robots)<br />

Negative impacts<br />

––<br />

Job losses<br />

––<br />

Liability, accountability<br />

––<br />

Day-to-day social norms, end of 9-to-5 <strong>and</strong> 24-hour<br />

services<br />

––<br />

Hacking <strong>and</strong> cyber-risk<br />

The shift in action<br />

An article from The Fiscal Times appearing on CNBC.com states that:<br />

Rethink Robotics released Baxter [in the fall of 2012] <strong>and</strong> received an overwhelming response<br />

from the manufacturing industry, selling out of their production capacity through April …<br />

[In April] Rethink launch[ed] a software platform that [allows] Baxter to do a more complex<br />

sequencing of tasks – for example, picking up a part, holding it in front of an inspection station<br />

<strong>and</strong> receiving a signal to place it in a ‘good’ or ‘not good’ pile. The company also [released] a<br />

software development kit … that will allow third parties – like university robotics researchers –<br />

to create applications for Baxter.<br />

In “The Robot Reality: Service Jobs Are Next to Go”, Blaire Briody, 26 March 2013, The Fiscal Times, http://www.cnbc.com/id/100592545<br />

<strong>Deep</strong> <strong>Shift</strong> - <strong>Technology</strong> <strong>Tipping</strong> <strong>Points</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Societal</strong> <strong>Impact</strong><br />

23

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