Unemployment cycles
WP201526
WP201526
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Now using the equilibrium wages and substituting all explicit solutions for the values, we obtain the<br />
following complete set of equilibrium Bellman equations:<br />
U = E 1 = E 1 = pb<br />
r<br />
E 2 =<br />
pb<br />
py + δ<br />
r<br />
E 2 ′ = E 2 =<br />
r + δ<br />
E 2 ′ =<br />
pb<br />
py + δ<br />
r<br />
r + δ<br />
⎡ ⎛<br />
V = −c + q(θ(Ω)) ⎣<br />
u(1 − π) p(y − b)<br />
⎝<br />
s r + δ<br />
−<br />
+ uπ ( p(y − b)<br />
pkΩ<br />
−<br />
s r + δ r + δ + λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))<br />
J 1 =<br />
p(y−y)<br />
p(y − b) pkΩ − λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))(1 − π)<br />
r+δ<br />
−<br />
r + δ r + δ + λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))<br />
J 1 =<br />
p(y − b)<br />
pkΩ<br />
−<br />
r + δ r + δ + λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))<br />
J 2 =<br />
p(y − y)<br />
J 2 ′ = J 2 =<br />
r + δ<br />
J 2 ′ = 0<br />
p(y−y)<br />
pkΩ − λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))(1 − π)<br />
r+δ<br />
r + δ + λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))<br />
)<br />
+ λ(Ω)γπ<br />
s<br />
]<br />
p(y − y)<br />
= 0<br />
r + δ<br />
⎞<br />
⎠<br />
Multiple Equilibria. Now we need to verify the two no-deviation conditions for those workers matched<br />
in two types of matches, a match y and y. This implies that we need to check the conditions:<br />
1. No deviation when non one searches: E 1 (0|0) > E 1 (1|0) and E 1 (0|0) > E 1 (1|0)<br />
2. No deviation when all search: E 1 (1|1) > E 1 (0|1) and E 1 (1|1) > E 1 (0|1)<br />
The next proof, adapted from the proof of the baseline model, shows that the condition for multiplicity<br />
is very similar to (but stronger than) the condition from the baseline model, i.e.,<br />
Proof.<br />
(<br />
)<br />
θ(0) < m −1 k(r + δ)<br />
[ ]<br />
λ 1 πy + (1 − π)y − b<br />
( ) k(r + δ)<br />
< m −1 < θ(1).<br />
λ 1 (y − b))<br />
1.1. No deviation in y jobs when no one searches: E 1 (0|0) > E 1 (1|0).<br />
In this case, when no one actively searches on-the-job (Ω = 0), a worker in a low productivity job<br />
deviating during an interval dt chooses ω = 1 and gets a payoff<br />
E 1 (1|0) =<br />
1<br />
1 + rdt [dt(w 1(0) − pk) + (1 − δdt)dtλ(1)m(θ(0)) [(1 − π)E 2 + πE 2 ′] + (1 − δdt)(1 − dtλ(1)m(θ(0)))E 1 (0|0) + δdtU