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Unemployment cycles

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Now using the equilibrium wages and substituting all explicit solutions for the values, we obtain the<br />

following complete set of equilibrium Bellman equations:<br />

U = E 1 = E 1 = pb<br />

r<br />

E 2 =<br />

pb<br />

py + δ<br />

r<br />

E 2 ′ = E 2 =<br />

r + δ<br />

E 2 ′ =<br />

pb<br />

py + δ<br />

r<br />

r + δ<br />

⎡ ⎛<br />

V = −c + q(θ(Ω)) ⎣<br />

u(1 − π) p(y − b)<br />

⎝<br />

s r + δ<br />

−<br />

+ uπ ( p(y − b)<br />

pkΩ<br />

−<br />

s r + δ r + δ + λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))<br />

J 1 =<br />

p(y−y)<br />

p(y − b) pkΩ − λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))(1 − π)<br />

r+δ<br />

−<br />

r + δ r + δ + λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))<br />

J 1 =<br />

p(y − b)<br />

pkΩ<br />

−<br />

r + δ r + δ + λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))<br />

J 2 =<br />

p(y − y)<br />

J 2 ′ = J 2 =<br />

r + δ<br />

J 2 ′ = 0<br />

p(y−y)<br />

pkΩ − λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))(1 − π)<br />

r+δ<br />

r + δ + λ(Ω)m(θ(Ω))<br />

)<br />

+ λ(Ω)γπ<br />

s<br />

]<br />

p(y − y)<br />

= 0<br />

r + δ<br />

⎞<br />

⎠<br />

Multiple Equilibria. Now we need to verify the two no-deviation conditions for those workers matched<br />

in two types of matches, a match y and y. This implies that we need to check the conditions:<br />

1. No deviation when non one searches: E 1 (0|0) > E 1 (1|0) and E 1 (0|0) > E 1 (1|0)<br />

2. No deviation when all search: E 1 (1|1) > E 1 (0|1) and E 1 (1|1) > E 1 (0|1)<br />

The next proof, adapted from the proof of the baseline model, shows that the condition for multiplicity<br />

is very similar to (but stronger than) the condition from the baseline model, i.e.,<br />

Proof.<br />

(<br />

)<br />

θ(0) < m −1 k(r + δ)<br />

[ ]<br />

λ 1 πy + (1 − π)y − b<br />

( ) k(r + δ)<br />

< m −1 < θ(1).<br />

λ 1 (y − b))<br />

1.1. No deviation in y jobs when no one searches: E 1 (0|0) > E 1 (1|0).<br />

In this case, when no one actively searches on-the-job (Ω = 0), a worker in a low productivity job<br />

deviating during an interval dt chooses ω = 1 and gets a payoff<br />

E 1 (1|0) =<br />

1<br />

1 + rdt [dt(w 1(0) − pk) + (1 − δdt)dtλ(1)m(θ(0)) [(1 − π)E 2 + πE 2 ′] + (1 − δdt)(1 − dtλ(1)m(θ(0)))E 1 (0|0) + δdtU

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