Afghanistan in 2015 1
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18<br />
<strong>Afghanistan</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2015</strong><br />
To explore the reasons for optimism or pessimism about the direction the country, the survey then<br />
asked respondents to specify the reasons for their outlook. Among Afghans who say the country<br />
is mov<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the right direction, the most frequent reasons are similar to last year: reconstruction/<br />
rebuild<strong>in</strong>g (31.8%), good security (28.5%), peace/end of war (11.2%), improvement <strong>in</strong> the education<br />
system (10.1%), hav<strong>in</strong>g an active ANA and Afghan National Police (ANP) (10.3%), good government<br />
(10.5%), economic revival (7.9%), and democracy/elections (6.8%) (Fig. 1.3). Compared to last year,<br />
all of these figures decl<strong>in</strong>ed slightly with the exception of good government, which <strong>in</strong>creased from 6.0%<br />
<strong>in</strong> 2014 to 10.5% <strong>in</strong> <strong>2015</strong>.<br />
40%<br />
36<br />
REASONS: RIGHT DIRECTION<br />
35%<br />
32<br />
33<br />
30%<br />
29<br />
25%<br />
20%<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
15<br />
10 10 10 10<br />
6<br />
9 9<br />
8<br />
7<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
RECONSTRUCTION<br />
AND REBUILDING<br />
GOOD SECURITY<br />
IMPROVEMENT IN<br />
EDUCATION<br />
SYSTEM<br />
HAVING ACTIVE<br />
ANA AND ANP<br />
GOOD<br />
GOVERNMENT<br />
ECONOMIC<br />
REVIVAL<br />
DEMOCRACY /<br />
ELECTIONS<br />
2014 <strong>2015</strong><br />
FIG. 1.3: Q-2A/B. (Ask if answered “right direction” to Q-1) What are two reasons you th<strong>in</strong>k that<br />
<strong>Afghanistan</strong> is go<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the right direction? (Q-2A and Q-2B responses comb<strong>in</strong>ed)<br />
Over the past 10 years of surveys, reconstruction/rebuild<strong>in</strong>g and good security have consistently<br />
rema<strong>in</strong>ed the most commonly mentioned reasons for why the country is mov<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the right direction<br />
(Fig. 1.4). The percentage of Afghans cit<strong>in</strong>g the establishment of schools for girls, as well as improvement<br />
<strong>in</strong> education, has decreased <strong>in</strong> recent years. As fewer respondents cite good security compared to<br />
previous years, the percentage of responses distributed among other reasons has <strong>in</strong>creased. Notably,<br />
the percentage of Afghans who cite good government and peace/end of the war has <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong> <strong>2015</strong>.<br />
While violent attacks <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong> <strong>2015</strong>, and the NUG faced major challenges, some Afghans cite a<br />
reduction <strong>in</strong> adm<strong>in</strong>istrative corruption (5.2%) and national unity (2.8%) as reasons for optimism.