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Afghanistan in 2015 1

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18<br />

<strong>Afghanistan</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2015</strong><br />

To explore the reasons for optimism or pessimism about the direction the country, the survey then<br />

asked respondents to specify the reasons for their outlook. Among Afghans who say the country<br />

is mov<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the right direction, the most frequent reasons are similar to last year: reconstruction/<br />

rebuild<strong>in</strong>g (31.8%), good security (28.5%), peace/end of war (11.2%), improvement <strong>in</strong> the education<br />

system (10.1%), hav<strong>in</strong>g an active ANA and Afghan National Police (ANP) (10.3%), good government<br />

(10.5%), economic revival (7.9%), and democracy/elections (6.8%) (Fig. 1.3). Compared to last year,<br />

all of these figures decl<strong>in</strong>ed slightly with the exception of good government, which <strong>in</strong>creased from 6.0%<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2014 to 10.5% <strong>in</strong> <strong>2015</strong>.<br />

40%<br />

36<br />

REASONS: RIGHT DIRECTION<br />

35%<br />

32<br />

33<br />

30%<br />

29<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

15<br />

10 10 10 10<br />

6<br />

9 9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

RECONSTRUCTION<br />

AND REBUILDING<br />

GOOD SECURITY<br />

IMPROVEMENT IN<br />

EDUCATION<br />

SYSTEM<br />

HAVING ACTIVE<br />

ANA AND ANP<br />

GOOD<br />

GOVERNMENT<br />

ECONOMIC<br />

REVIVAL<br />

DEMOCRACY /<br />

ELECTIONS<br />

2014 <strong>2015</strong><br />

FIG. 1.3: Q-2A/B. (Ask if answered “right direction” to Q-1) What are two reasons you th<strong>in</strong>k that<br />

<strong>Afghanistan</strong> is go<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the right direction? (Q-2A and Q-2B responses comb<strong>in</strong>ed)<br />

Over the past 10 years of surveys, reconstruction/rebuild<strong>in</strong>g and good security have consistently<br />

rema<strong>in</strong>ed the most commonly mentioned reasons for why the country is mov<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the right direction<br />

(Fig. 1.4). The percentage of Afghans cit<strong>in</strong>g the establishment of schools for girls, as well as improvement<br />

<strong>in</strong> education, has decreased <strong>in</strong> recent years. As fewer respondents cite good security compared to<br />

previous years, the percentage of responses distributed among other reasons has <strong>in</strong>creased. Notably,<br />

the percentage of Afghans who cite good government and peace/end of the war has <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong> <strong>2015</strong>.<br />

While violent attacks <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong> <strong>2015</strong>, and the NUG faced major challenges, some Afghans cite a<br />

reduction <strong>in</strong> adm<strong>in</strong>istrative corruption (5.2%) and national unity (2.8%) as reasons for optimism.

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