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Up & Coming Geoscientists - a sample of our AIG Honours Bursary Recipients

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The Fold Experiment - Geologists Bias<br />

Geologists Are Highly Biased —<br />

How to take Business Advantage <strong>of</strong> this Bias<br />

Jun Cowan<br />

Recently I wrote a post about how a<br />

90% mineral res<strong>our</strong>ce downgrade<br />

could easily occur as a result <strong>of</strong> bias<br />

in the form <strong>of</strong> habitual behavi<strong>our</strong>. People<br />

<strong>of</strong>ten do not fully realise how extreme or<br />

entrenched human bias can be, nor the<br />

implications it has with regard to <strong>our</strong> scientific<br />

and business decisions. The purpose <strong>of</strong> this<br />

post is to illustrate a simple geological bias<br />

that can be demonstrated by anyone. As is<br />

the nature <strong>of</strong> any bias, this particular bias is<br />

virtually unknown in the geological pr<strong>of</strong>ession.<br />

We’ll examine the origin <strong>of</strong> this bias, and then I<br />

will share how I take advantage <strong>of</strong> widespread<br />

bias in my own business as a mining industry<br />

consultant.<br />

My epiphany<br />

Around 1990 when I was studying for my<br />

PhD at the University <strong>of</strong> Toronto, I learned<br />

something that was to change the way I<br />

viewed fellow geologists. It was nothing to<br />

do with my research, but a single sentence<br />

that I overheard at a student-faculty party that<br />

stopped me in my tracks and changed the<br />

way I thought. That sentence?<br />

“Did you know that most geologists will<br />

draw an antiform, as opposed to a synform, if<br />

you ask them to draw a fold?”<br />

The person who made the statement<br />

couldn’t tell me the s<strong>our</strong>ce <strong>of</strong> this claim, but<br />

it was the implication <strong>of</strong> this statement that<br />

really fascinated me. After all, if asked to draw<br />

a fold pr<strong>of</strong>ile, I would instinctively draw an<br />

antiform too.<br />

Ross Logan and Associates<br />

<strong>AIG</strong>, GSA, SEG<br />

Geological Consultants<br />

ABN 87 082254457<br />

• Hands-on project management and evaluation from<br />

grass roots to feasibility<br />

• Target generation, brown and greenfields exploration<br />

• Extensive exposure to Carpentarian Sedex lead-zinc<br />

• Copper and gold experience throughout Australia<br />

• 30 years in the res<strong>our</strong>ce sector, Australia and Argentina<br />

P.O. Box 1277<br />

Coorparoo DC Qld 4151<br />

Phone +61 7 3891 7075<br />

www.users.bigpond.com/rsquared<br />

42<br />

<strong>AIG</strong> NEWS Issue 123 · February 2016

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