Corridor Calculus

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Corridor Calculus : China Pakistan Economic Corridor & China's Comprador Investment Model in Pakistan comfort. If anything, it is a matter of serious concern as it complicates India's 331 security environment. India has lodged strong protests with China, and the external affairs minister has gone so far as to call the CPEC 332 'unacceptable'. Despite Chinese rejection of India's protests on grounds 333 that the CPEC isn't aimed against any third country, India has declared that 334 it will continue to oppose the CPEC. Although Gwadar is well within the reach of the Indian Navy, and as compared to the long and unreliable lines of communication for the Chinese through Khunjerab pass or even via the Indian Ocean, India's lines of communication and logistics are much more secure; however, a Chinese base in Gwadar makes a two-front war scenario a much more real possibility confronting India. After all, if hostilities break out between India and either Pakistan or China, then Gwadar will become a legitimate target, more so if either the Pakistanis or Chinese use Gwadar to launch naval operations against India and/or place their naval assets there. If India hits Gwadar, then regardless of whether it is fighting China or Pakistan, the other country will get pulled into the conflict. This is probably one of the calculations, at least as far as the Pakistanis are concerned, that prompted them to offer Gwadar as a naval base to China. For the Chinese, however, Gwadar can serve as a base not so much for taking on the US or India, but more for reasons of securing its shipping and its citizens in a highly unstable region. Andrew Small has argued that the evacuation operations that the Chinese conducted in Libya in 2011, their participation in anti-piracy operations in the Arabian Sea, and the possibility that the Chinese navy will be required to conduct more such operations in the future make it important for China to have a secure base from which it can operate. Gwadar serves the purpose of a base that can be used for 331 Charu Sudan Kasturi, ' Sparks before PM China trip', The Telegraph 13/05/2015, accessed at http://www.telegraphindia.com/1150513/jsp/nation/story_19777.jsp#.Vn_uGBV97s0 332 Transcript of Media Briefing by External Affairs Minister on Completing One Year in Government , Ministry Of External Affairs, 31/05/2015, accessed at http://www.mea.gov.in/mediabriefings.htm?dtl/25304/Transcript_of_Media_Briefing_by_External_Affairs_Minister_on_Completing_One_Year_in_Governm ent_May_31_2015 333 'CPEC not against third party, declared China', The News International 02/06/2015, accessed at http://www.thenews.com.pk/print/12796-cpec-not-against-third-party-declares-china 334 'India to keep opposing CPEC: Dr Raghavan', The News International 16/07/2015, accessed at http://www.thenews.com.pk/print/13650-india-to-keep-on-opposing-cpec-dr-raghavan 82
Corridor Calculus : China Pakistan Economic Corridor & China's Comprador Investment Model in Pakistan refuelling, and “more comprehensive supplying, replenishment and large- 335 scale repairs of shipboard weapons”. From whatever information is available in the public domain, it doesn't seem as though the primary motivation behind the CPEC is to encircle India. This might well be one of the outcomes of the CPEC, if it does in fact become the 'game-changer', 'fate-changer' and destiny-determiner that it is touted to be. But if there is such an outcome, it will not be so much by design, but more by default, especially since one of the fundamental principles on which the China-Pakistan alliance is based is their adversarial relationship with India. The simple fact of the matter is that China has used Pakistan to keep India in a bind. In fact, China has done everything possible, and then some — from transferring nuclear weapons and missile technology to all sorts of conventional armaments to diplomatic and political support on not just issues like Kashmir but also to help Pakistan's policy of using terrorist groups like Lashkar-e-Taiba/Jamaatud Dawa as instruments of state policy without any let or fear of UN sanctions — to make sure that Pakistan has the sinews to keep harassing India. And yet, the primary motivation behind China's decision to invest tens of billions of dollars on the CPEC isn't what impact it will have on India but what impact it will have on Pakistan. Apart from getting a return on its money (at least that is what it expects) and the fact that the corridor gives Xinjiang an outlet to sea (for whatever that is worth), China is hoping that its investments in Pakistan will help to stabilise that country, and with it China's 336 increasingly disturbed western periphery. This is also a theme that a stream of Chinese scholars have parroted during their interactions at various forums in India. The Islamic Spectre 337 For China, Pakistan is its Israel. As such, China has an interest in propping 335 Andrew Small pp 104 336 Raza Rumi, 'China wants to stabilize its entire western periphery', The Friday Times 24/04/2015 interview with Andrew Small, accessed at http://www.thefridaytimes.com/tft/china-wants-to-stabilize-its-entire-western-periphery/ 337 Mohan Malik, 'The China factor in the India-Pakistan conflict', Parameters Spring 2003, accessed cached version at http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:Wx4XaziuX0J:strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/parameters/Articles/03spring/malik.htm+&cd=3&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=in 83
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Dilemma', as to do with Gwadar beco
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