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Ashika Monthly Insight August 2016

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AUGUST <strong>2016</strong><br />

DESCRETIONARY SPENDING<br />

wealth rose by USD 1.2 trillion. The middle class in India has a 22.6% share (USD 780 billion or Rs 5,070,000 crore) of<br />

the country’s wealth, while sections above the middle class (higher middle-class) share about 64% of the wealth. It has<br />

been noticed that income per middle class adult in India has more than doubled from USD 2,040 (Rs 97,104) in 2000 to<br />

USD 5,100 (Rs 205,020) in 2007. However, the growth of middle class in India was hit by global economic crisis in 2008<br />

and plunged by 26%, after it bounced back to USD 5,300 (Rs 241,150) in 2010. It continued to fall due to adverse<br />

exchange rates and was estimated at USD 4,352 (Rs 282,880) in 2015. In India, middle class wealth is dominated by real<br />

assets, which account for about 86% of estimated household assets. Globally, the share of middle-class wealth has fallen<br />

since 2008, except in China, over the period 2000 to 2015. Further according to the Euromonitor, the Indian average<br />

income per household is set to increase by 89.8% in real terms to reach USD 10,073 (in constant 2014 prices) by 2030.<br />

Such growth in income would transfer the consumer spending of Indian middle class from “bottom of the pyramid”<br />

market towards a greater and more sophisticated level. Increase in per capita income would drive discretionary spending<br />

which share in total household spending is expected to rise from 52% in 2005 to 70% in 2025 (as per Motilal Oswal<br />

report). Rising middle classes would spur the demand for consumer durable goods, automobiles, real assets and consumer<br />

loans.<br />

Source : IMF, World Bank, Tech Sci Research<br />

Source : Global Wealth report<br />

Source : Global Wealth report<br />

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