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Oct 27, 2016<br />

Indonesia<br />

<strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />

Christine Natasya +62-21-515-1140 natasya@dwsec-id.com<br />

To subscribe to our <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong>, please contact us at research@dwsec-id.com<br />

Market Index<br />

Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY<br />

JCI 5,399.7 0.0 -0.4 15.5<br />

MSCI Indonesia 26.2 -0.3 1.2 19.6<br />

MSCI EM 910.6 -0.8 0.8 6.4<br />

HANG SENG 23,325.4 -1.0 0.0 1.8<br />

KOSPI 2,013.9 0.4 -2.4 -1.5<br />

FTSE 6,958.1 -0.9 3.1 10.2<br />

DJIA 18,199.3 0.2 -0.3 3.3<br />

NASDAQ 5,250.3 -0.6 -0.4 5.0<br />

Valuation<br />

2016F P/E (x) P/B (x) ROE (%)<br />

JCI 17.7 2.5 17.7<br />

Key Rates<br />

Last Trade Chg (bps) MoM YoY<br />

BI 7-Day RR 4.75 -25 -25 -50*<br />

3yr 6.78 1 15 -180<br />

10yr 7.08 2 18 -159<br />

*since introduced in Aug 2016<br />

FX<br />

Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY<br />

USD/IDR 13,004.00 0.0 -0.3 -4.7<br />

USD/KRW 1,134.02 0.1 3.3 0.3<br />

USD/JPY 104.47 0.2 4.0 -13.3<br />

USD/CNY 6.77 0.1 1.7 6.7<br />

KBLI: Government’s projects to spillover<br />

Government plans to increase national electrification ratio<br />

Indonesian government is planning to raise Indonesia’s electrification ratio from<br />

88.3% in 2015 to 99.7% in 2025, especially raising the electricity in rural area. We<br />

believe the lack of electrification is caused by a power shortage. Therefore,<br />

Indonesia government through PLN (State’s electricity company/ Perusahaan<br />

Listrik Negara) needs to increase the power capacity by 35,000MW. PLN will build<br />

power plants to produce ±10,000MW with the remaining ±25,000MW to be<br />

offered to Independent Power Producers (IPP).<br />

Bright prospects for cable companies<br />

We believe the 35,000MW project will give a bright prospect for cable companies<br />

such as Supreme Cable (SCCO IJ; Not rated) and KMI Wire and Cable Tbk (KBLI IJ;<br />

Not rated) given that the project requires a huge investment which amounting to<br />

>IDR1,100tr. The mega project demands a construction of power generators,<br />

transmission network, main sub stations and distribution network as well as an<br />

estimated of 300,000 km of aluminum conductors. Since PLN is allocated to<br />

receive the highest amount of state capital investment (PMN/ Penanaman Modal<br />

Negara) which amounting to c.IDR23tr in 2016F, we believe in government’s<br />

commitment to raise the nation’s electrification ratio on the back of its top<br />

priority for government infrastructure project.<br />

Cheap valuation<br />

We conservatively assume that KBLI could deliver another IDR150bn in the<br />

second half of 2016 (fourth quarter usually books highe r profit compared than<br />

previous years) to exceed ±IDR300bn net profit (EPS 2016F: IDR72) which should<br />

translate to 4x 2016F PER.<br />

Commodities<br />

Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY<br />

WTI 49.2 -1.6 8.7 -0.8<br />

Gold 1,267.1 -0.5 -4.5 8.6<br />

Coal 40.0 0.0 0.0 -4.5<br />

Palm Oil 737.5 -3.1 -0.3 13.9<br />

Rubber 132.3 0.0 2.9 34.5<br />

Nickel 10,225.0 1.2 -2.9 -2.2<br />

Copper 4,740.0 0.1 -1.0 -9.2<br />

Tin 20,425.0 0.6 2.9 31.0<br />

KBLI quarterly gross margin<br />

%<br />

1 7<br />

1 5<br />

1 6 .9<br />

JCI Index VS MSCI Emerging Markets<br />

(pt) JCI MSCI EM (pt)<br />

5,500<br />

1,100<br />

950<br />

4,500<br />

800<br />

1 3<br />

1 1<br />

9<br />

7<br />

5<br />

7<br />

3,500<br />

650<br />

09/13 06/14 03/15 12/15 09/16<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Research Indonesia<br />

Daewoo (pt) Securities Indonesia JCI Research MSCI EM (pt)<br />

5,500<br />

1,100


Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />

Oct 27, 2016<br />

Local flash<br />

BBCA: 3Q16, BCA profit rose 13.2%. PT Bank Central Asia Tbk posted a net profit<br />

growth in the third quarter of 2016 by 13.2% to IDR15.12 trillion compared to third<br />

quarter of 2015. Jahja Setiaatmadja, President Director of PT Bank Central Asia Tbk<br />

said net profit growth was continuing to grow amid a slowdown in credit demand due<br />

to several reasons, among others, higher demand for loans in the second quarter of<br />

2016 became one of the drivers of revenue and is also related with net profit. (Bisnis<br />

Indonesia)<br />

TOTL: Total targeting IDR4 trillion new contract next year. PT Total Bangun Persada<br />

Tbk (TOTL) seemed quite optimistic to face 2017. Company has been targeting growth<br />

in new contracts approximately 33.33% from this year. Acquisition of the company's<br />

new contract is expected to increase from IDR3 trillion to IDR4 trillion. "The increase is<br />

due to many projects completed in 2017," said Mahmilan Sugiyo Warsana, Corporate<br />

Secretary of PT Total Bangun Persada Tbk. (Kontan)<br />

PPRO: PP Properti revenue grew 51.4%. Performance of PT PP Properti Tbk (PPRO)<br />

recorded an increase in the third quarter of 2016. Company's profit grew 51.4% to<br />

IDR1.56 trillion compared to the same period last year of IDR1.03 trillion. The<br />

acquisition is equivalent to 86.19% of this year's target of IDR1.81 trillion. (Kontan)<br />

AKRA: Revenue down, but profit margins rose. The performance of PT AKR<br />

Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) is still slowing. In the first nine months of this year, AKRA<br />

scored revenue of IDR10.9 trillion. It is down 27.14% compared to the same period last<br />

year of IDR15.03 trillion. However, AKRA managed to cut the cost and posted foreign<br />

exchange gain that make co's profits stable. AKRA Financial expenses also declined<br />

from IDR84.2 billion to IDR61.7 billion. Thus, in the period, net profit reached<br />

IDR793.19 billion, edged down 6.16% yoy. (Kontan)<br />

ADRO: EGAT will buy shares of Adaro Indonesia of USD325 million. Electricity<br />

Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) plans to buy 12% stake in coal producer, PT<br />

Adaro Indonesia, a subsidiary of PT Adaro Energy Tbk (ADRO). This transaction value is<br />

estimated at USD325 million. The investment plan Thai government-owned power<br />

company has already received approval from the Thai government on Tuesday (25/10).<br />

(Kontan)<br />

TPIA: Chandra Asri profit soared in the third quarter. PT Chandra Asri Petrochemical<br />

Tbk (TPIA) recorded a net profit growth of almost 6-fold in the third quarter of 2016. If<br />

the same period last year the company is only able to pocket profits of USD30.99<br />

million, now it rose to USD216.66 million. It also higher than company's target,<br />

USD200 million. "This increase was mainly benefited from strong product margins and<br />

sales volumes were higher than the new capacity of company's Ethylene Cracker," said<br />

Suryandi, Director of PT Chandra Asri Petrochemical Tbk. (Kontan)<br />

KRAS: KS ready to operate again steel mill. PT Krakatau Steel Tbk (KS) is ready to<br />

operate again three steel mills upstream, if the price of gas down to USD3 per million<br />

metric British thermal unit (mmbtu) from the current price USD7.3 per mmbtu. The<br />

three factories aresponge iron, slab, and billet. The three plants were forced to shut in<br />

2014, following the high prices of gas and lower world steel prices. (BeritaSatu)<br />

Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

2


Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />

Oct 27, 2016<br />

Summary<br />

Technical analysis<br />

Tasrul +62-21-515-1140 tasrul@dwsec-id.com<br />

Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) – Limited Upside<br />

Item Data Item Data<br />

Close (Oct 26, 2016) 5,399.68(+0.03%)Trading range 5,382-5,421<br />

Average index performance (%)<br />

3.87Target<br />

Period 123 - <strong>Daily</strong> 5,420<br />

r-squared 0.8083 - Weekly 5,441<br />

Volatility (+/-, %) 0.50 - Monthly 5,484<br />

Volatility (+/-, point) 26.97Stop loss 5,382<br />

Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

Figure 1. <strong>Daily</strong> trend - Uptrend<br />

^JKSE- <strong>Daily</strong>10/26/2016Open5387.7, Hi 5406.58, Lo5381.7, Close 5399.68(0.0%)Upper Band=5,706.97, Channel_prd=5,553.64, Lower Band=5,400.32, VWAP=5,385.06, VWAP=5,404.11,<br />

5,706.97<br />

5,553.64<br />

5,421<br />

5,404.11<br />

5,400.32<br />

5,399.68<br />

5,385.06<br />

5,299.63<br />

Optimization Trading System - ©2010<br />

^JKSE- Volume =19,892,484,096.00, Avg.Volume =8,551,741,440.00 19,892,484,096<br />

8,551,741,440<br />

Optimization Trading System - ©2010<br />

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

Created with AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis software. http://www.amibroker.com<br />

Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

3


Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />

Oct 27, 2016<br />

Figure 2. <strong>Daily</strong> MFI optimized & RSI optimized<br />

^JKSE- MFI Smoothed=23.41<br />

23.4122<br />

^JKSE- RSI Smoothed=41.91<br />

41.9064<br />

^JKSE- <strong>Daily</strong>10/26/2016Open5387.7, Hi 5406.58, Lo5381.7, Close 5399.68(0.0%)VWAP=5,331.70, VWAP=5,404.11, VWAP=5,382.94<br />

5,421<br />

5,404.11<br />

5,399.68<br />

5,382.94<br />

5,331.7<br />

Optimization Trading System - ©2010<br />

^JKSE- Volume =19,892,484,096.00, Avg.Volume =8,551,741,440.00 19,892,484,096<br />

8,551,741,440<br />

Optimization Trading System - ©2010<br />

May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

Created with AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis software. http://www.amibroker.com<br />

Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

Figure 3. <strong>Daily</strong>, target : 5,420 Figure 4. Weekly, target : 5,441 Figure 5. Monthly,target : 5,484<br />

^ J K S E - D a i l y 1 0 / 2 6 / 2 0 1 6 O p e n 5 3 8 7 . 7 , H i 5 4 0 6 . 5 8 , L o 5 3 8 1 . 7 ,<br />

5 , 4 4 7 . 8 5<br />

5 , 4 3 4 . 3 7<br />

5 , 4 2 0 . 8 8<br />

5 , 4 0 7 . 4<br />

5 , 3 9 9 . 6 8<br />

^ J K S E - W e e k l y 1 0 / 2 6 / 2 0 1 6 O p e n 5 4 1 5 . 4 8 , H i 5 4 3 6 . 2 1 ,<br />

5 , 5 4 3 . 0 5<br />

5 , 5 0 9 . 3 5<br />

5 , 4 7 5 . 6 6<br />

5 , 4 4 1 . 9 6<br />

5 , 4 0 8 . 2 7<br />

5 , 3 9 9 . 6 8<br />

5 , 3 7 4 . 5 7<br />

5 , 3 4 0 . 8 7<br />

5 , 3 0 7 . 1 8<br />

5 , 2 7 3 . 4 8<br />

^ J K S E - M o n th l y 1 0 / 2 6 / 2 0 1 6 O p e n 5 4 0 3 . 8 6 , H i 5 4 8 2 . 8 4 ,<br />

x<br />

5 , 7 2 4 . 2 1<br />

5 , 6 4 4 . 3 1<br />

5 , 5 6 4 . 4 1<br />

5 , 4 8 4 . 5 1<br />

5 , 4 0 4 . 6 2<br />

5 , 3 9 9 . 6 8<br />

5 , 3 2 4 . 7 2<br />

5 , 2 4 4 . 8 2<br />

5 , 1 6 4 . 9 2<br />

5 , 0 8 5 . 0 2<br />

5 , 3 9 3 . 9 2<br />

5 , 3 8 0 . 4 3<br />

5 , 3 6 6 . 9 5<br />

5 , 3 5 3 . 4 6<br />

5 , 3 3 9 . 9 8<br />

^ J K S E - V o l u m e = 1 9 , 8 9 2 , 4 8 4 , 0 9 6 . 0 0 , A v g . V o l u m e = 8 , 5 5 1 , 7 4 1 , 4 4 0 . 0 01 9 , 8 9 2 , 4 8 4 , 0 9 6<br />

^ J K S E - V o l u m e = 3 6 , 5 7 1 , 9 3 4 , 7 2 0 . 0 0 , A v g . V o l u m e = 3 1 , 5 6 0 , 0 7 9 , 3 6 0 . 0 0<br />

^ J K S E - V o l u m e = 1 5 0 , 7 9 6 , 1 7 3 , 3 1 2 . 0 0 , A v g . V o l u m e = 1 0 6 , 1 3 4 , 7 9 8 , 3 316 5. 00, 7 9 6 , 1 7 3 , 3 1 2<br />

8 , 5 5 1 , 7 4 1 , 4 4 0<br />

3 6 , 5 7 1 , 9 3 4 , 7 2 0<br />

3 1 , 5 6 0 , 0 7 9 , 3 6 0<br />

1 0 6 , 1 3 4 , 7 9 8 , 3 3 6<br />

O p ti m i z a ti o n T r a d i n g S y ste m - © 2 0 1 0<br />

S e p<br />

O c t<br />

C r e a te d w ith A m iB r o ke r - a d v a n c e d c h a r tin g a n d te c h n ic a l a n a ly s is s o f tw a r e . h ttp ://w w w .a m ib r o ke r .c o m<br />

O p ti m i z a ti o n T r a d i n g S y ste m - © 2 0 1 0<br />

J u l<br />

O c t<br />

C r e a te d w ith A m iB r o ke r - a d v a n c e d c h a r tin g a n d te c h n ic a l a n a ly s is s o f tw a r e . h ttp ://w w w .a m ib r o ke r .c o m<br />

O p ti m i z a ti o n T ra d i n g S y ste m - © 2 0 1 0<br />

2 0 1 4 2 0 1 5 2 0 1 6<br />

C r e a te d w ith A m iB r o ke r - a d v a n c e d c h a r tin g a n d te c h n ic a l a n a ly s is s o f tw a r e . h ttp ://w w w .a m ib r o ke r .c o m<br />

Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

4


Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />

Oct 27, 2016<br />

Chart 6. JCI Vs. USD/IDR<br />

Chart 7. JCI performance (absolute vs. relative)<br />

(pt) JCI (L) USD/IDR (R)<br />

5,700<br />

(IDR)<br />

14,000<br />

(%, %p)<br />

20<br />

Absolute<br />

Relative<br />

5,500<br />

13,800<br />

16<br />

15.5<br />

5,300<br />

5,100<br />

4,900<br />

4,700<br />

4,500<br />

4,300<br />

7/27 8/10 8/24 9/7 9/21 10/5 10/19<br />

13,600<br />

13,400<br />

13,200<br />

13,000<br />

12,800<br />

12<br />

8<br />

4<br />

0<br />

-4<br />

10.0<br />

0.0<br />

0.9<br />

0.1<br />

-0.2 -0.4 -0.3<br />

1D 1W 1M 1Y<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

Note: Relative to MSCI EM Index<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

Chart 8. Foreigner’s net purchase (EM)<br />

(USDmn)<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

-150<br />

-200<br />

0<br />

-9<br />

-82<br />

18<br />

-88<br />

26<br />

Note: The latest figure for India are Oct, 25 th<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

-31<br />

1 Day 5 Days<br />

-101<br />

-13 -8<br />

-76<br />

Korea Taiwan Indonesia Thailand Philippines India<br />

-160<br />

Chart 9. Energy price<br />

(D-3M=100)<br />

150<br />

CPO WTI Coal<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

7/16 8/16 8/16 9/16 9/16 10/16 10/16<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

Chart 10. Non-ferrous metal price<br />

Chart 11. Precious metal price<br />

((D-3M=100) Copper Nickel Tin<br />

120<br />

105<br />

Silver Gold Platinum<br />

110<br />

100<br />

100<br />

90<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

7/16 8/16 8/16 9/16 9/16 10/16 10/16<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

80<br />

7/16 8/16 8/16 9/16 9/16 10/16 10/16<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

5


Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />

Oct 27, 2016<br />

Table. Key valuation metrics<br />

Company Name<br />

Ticker<br />

Price Market Cap Price Performance (%) P/E(X)* P/B(X)* ROE(%)*<br />

(IDR) (IDRbn) 1D 1W 1M 1Y FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17<br />

Jakarta Composite Index JCI 5,400 5,832,856 0.0 -0.2 0.9 15.1 17.7 15.0 2.5 2.3 17.6 18.2<br />

FINANCIALS<br />

Bank Central Asia BBCA 15,500 382,153 0.0 -3.0 1.0 13.6 17.4 15.4 3.1 2.7 18.8 18.1<br />

Bank Mandiri Persero BMRI 11,075 258,417 -0.9 -2.6 -4.9 15.7 12.0 10.5 1.6 1.4 13.9 14.1<br />

Bank Rakyat Indonesia Persero BBRI 12,075 297,880 -0.6 -0.6 0.4 4.1 10.4 9.1 1.9 1.6 19.0 18.9<br />

Bank Negara Indonesia Persero BBNI 5,450 101,635 -0.5 0.9 -1.4 2.8 8.0 6.9 1.1 1.0 13.9 14.6<br />

Bank Tabungan Negara Persero BBTN 1,935 20,492 -0.3 0.8 -1.3 63.3 10.2 8.8 0.9 0.9 9.5 10.1<br />

CONSUMER<br />

HM Sampoerna HMSP 3,990 464,109 -0.5 -2.2 -1.0 12.5 34.8 31.1 12.6 11.2 36.8 38.2<br />

Gudang Garam GGRM 65,250 125,547 0.0 -1.5 2.0 40.8 16.5 14.5 2.8 2.5 17.6 17.9<br />

Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur ICBP 9,525 111,080 -0.8 0.8 1.9 39.1 27.5 24.2 5.7 5.1 21.4 21.7<br />

Indofood Sukses Makmur INDF 8,525 74,853 0.0 -0.3 -2.6 36.9 16.8 14.4 2.3 2.1 15.1 15.7<br />

Kalbe Farma KLBF 1,750 82,031 1.7 1.2 2.0 19.5 32.1 28.7 6.2 5.6 20.1 20.5<br />

Unilever Indonesia UNVR 44,500 339,535 0.2 0.4 -0.8 15.1 46.6 41.3 57.5 52.9 129.8 136.2<br />

AGRICULTURAL<br />

Astra Agro Lestari AALI 15,600 30,025 0.0 -1.3 0.3 -19.7 15.8 13.7 1.8 1.6 11.4 12.1<br />

PP London Sumatera Indonesia LSIP 1,550 10,575 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.7 14.6 12.8 1.3 1.2 8.9 9.6<br />

Sawit Sumbermas Sarana SSMS 1,520 14,478 -0.3 5.6 -7.3 -23.6 17.7 12.8 3.6 3.0 20.9 22.0<br />

INFRASTRUCTURE<br />

XL Axiata EXCL 2,330 24,903 -3.7 -1.3 -6.8 -28.2 21.0 14.2 1.1 1.0 3.9 5.9<br />

Jasa Marga JSMR 4,590 31,212 0.2 1.5 -1.9 -13.0 18.5 20.2 2.4 2.2 12.4 11.2<br />

Perusahaan Gas Negara PGAS 2,560 62,058 -1.5 2.4 -9.9 -15.8 10.4 10.4 1.4 1.3 13.4 12.7<br />

Tower Bersama Infrastructure TBIG 6,000 28,779 -1.2 -1.6 -1.2 -21.1 18.3 15.8 6.4 5.4 41.5 38.3<br />

Telekomunikasi Indonesia TLKM 4,190 422,352 -0.2 -0.2 -1.2 50.1 18.4 16.9 4.3 3.9 23.2 23.7<br />

Soechi Lines SOCI 414 2,922 -1.0 -0.5 -1.4 -16.4 3.2 N/A N/A N/A 12.7 N/A<br />

Garuda Indonesia GIAA 384 9,934 0.0 -3.0 -11.1 17.1 17.4 11.7 2.3 2.1 11.9 16.4<br />

BASIC-INDUSTRIES<br />

Semen Indonesia SMGR 10,075 59,760 -0.7 1.0 -3.1 -5.8 13.1 11.8 1.9 1.7 15.1 15.3<br />

Charoen Pokphand Indonesia CPIN 3,580 58,705 -0.8 0.3 4.7 39.3 16.7 14.1 3.4 2.9 21.4 21.8<br />

Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa INTP 16,700 61,477 0.0 -0.6 -7.7 -20.6 14.5 13.2 2.2 2.0 15.1 15.7<br />

Japfa Comfeed Indonesia JPFA 1,750 19,968 0.0 2.0 15.1 328.9 13.2 11.7 2.3 2.1 17.7 19.8<br />

MINING<br />

Indo Tambangraya Megah ITMG 14,400 16,271 4.9 2.5 37.5 52.0 11.4 10.4 1.4 1.4 12.8 13.8<br />

Adaro Energy ADRO 1,555 49,738 2.0 1.6 29.6 128.7 17.1 14.9 1.2 1.2 6.8 7.3<br />

Aneka Tambang ANTM 840 20,186 0.6 1.8 30.2 117.6 N/A 76.2 1.1 1.2 0.5 1.2<br />

Vale Indonesia INCO 2,640 26,232 -1.5 -7.4 -2.6 8.2 40.6 22.5 1.1 1.0 2.7 4.8<br />

Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam PTBA 12,675 29,205 3.3 1.2 28.7 73.0 12.0 11.6 2.4 2.1 20.3 19.2<br />

TRADE<br />

United Tractors UNTR 21,150 78,892 1.9 5.2 23.0 4.2 15.5 14.5 1.8 1.7 12.2 12.3<br />

AKR Corporindo AKRA 6,850 27,344 -1.8 -0.7 3.4 19.1 19.8 17.7 3.5 3.1 18.6 18.5<br />

Global Mediacom BMTR 815 11,572 -1.8 -6.9 -4.7 -19.7 10.8 8.2 N/A N/A N/A N/A<br />

Matahari Department Store LPPF 17,675 51,574 -3.4 -6.6 -7.5 1.4 20.3 18.1 17.7 13.7 98.2 81.2<br />

Media Nusantara Citra MNCN 2,110 30,123 -0.9 -0.5 5.5 17.5 15.4 13.6 2.7 2.4 18.0 18.8<br />

Matahari Putra Prima MPPA 1,880 10,111 -4.3 3.3 -2.8 -22.5 29.9 31.4 3.4 3.1 9.6 9.1<br />

Surya Citra Media SCMA 2,670 39,040 -1.1 2.7 -3.6 -12.9 20.9 18.5 9.0 7.7 46.9 46.0<br />

Siloam International Hospital SILO 10,800 12,486 3.8 1.6 3.8 -11.8 92.0 68.3 6.1 5.8 6.4 7.3<br />

PROPERTY<br />

Bumi Serpong Damai BSDE 2,180 41,958 -0.9 -1.8 0.9 23.5 15.8 13.8 1.8 1.6 11.8 12.3<br />

Adhi Karya ADHI 2,210 7,869 -2.6 -4.7 -5.2 -5.8 9.8 7.5 1.2 1.0 13.0 15.1<br />

Alam Sutera Realty ASRI 448 8,803 -2.2 -2.2 -5.5 8.2 9.0 6.5 1.1 1.0 11.7 15.6<br />

Ciputra Development CTRA 1,545 23,832 0.0 -4.0 -3.1 30.6 16.3 13.2 2.3 2.0 15.1 15.8<br />

Lippo Karawaci LPKR 890 20,539 -1.7 -3.3 -20.5 -31.3 14.3 13.1 1.1 1.0 8.7 8.8<br />

Pembangunan Perumahan PTPP 4,070 19,709 -1.9 -3.1 -4.0 4.9 16.4 13.1 3.2 2.7 21.1 22.2<br />

Pakuwon Jati PWON 745 35,879 1.4 4.2 15.5 63.7 15.3 12.0 3.3 2.6 23.3 24.5<br />

Summarecon Agung SMRA 1,695 24,453 -0.3 -2.9 -0.6 0.0 29.4 24.2 3.2 3.0 12.6 13.5<br />

Wijaya Karya WIKA 2,650 16,295 0.0 -1.9 5.6 -15.3 16.0 12.7 2.6 2.3 17.3 19.4<br />

Waskita Karya WSKT 2,580 35,019 -0.4 -1.1 -2.6 49.1 17.9 13.3 2.8 2.3 16.8 18.0<br />

MISCELLANEOUS<br />

Astra International ASII 8,200 331,965 0.3 -2.1 -2.7 30.2 17.6 16.1 2.7 2.5 15.6 15.6<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

*Note: Valuation metrics based on Bloomberg consensus estimates<br />

Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

6


Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />

Oct 27, 2016<br />

Sector performance<br />

Top 10 market cap performance<br />

Name Index Chg (%) Ticker Price Market Cap (IDRbn) Chg (%)<br />

Agricultural 1,827.3 0.2 BUMI IJ 202 7,399 34.7<br />

Mining 1,298.6 2.2 GEMS IJ 1780 10,471 11.25<br />

Basic-Industry 541.2 1.3 TPIA IJ 18425 60,562 10.66<br />

Miscellaneous Industry 1,361.6 0.2 HERO IJ 1380 5,773 10.40<br />

Consumer Goods 2,480.4 -0.1 FASW IJ 2770 6,864 8.63<br />

Property & Construction 562.7 -0.6 SMMA IJ 8650 55,080 7.45<br />

Infrastructure 1,096.9 -0.4 BRPT IJ 1355 9,458 7.1<br />

Finance 799.7 -0.2 BTPN IJ 2870 16,762 7.09<br />

Trade 864.7 -0.2 ROTI IJ 1725 8,732 5.5<br />

Composite 5,399.7 0.0 ITMG IJ 14400 16,271 4.92<br />

Source: Bloomberg<br />

Top 5 leading movers<br />

Top 5 lagging movers<br />

Name Chg (%) Close Name Chg (%) Close<br />

TPIA IJ 10.7 18,425 HMSP IJ -0.5 3,990<br />

SMMA IJ 7.5 8,650 BMRI IJ -0.9 11,075<br />

BUMI IJ 34.7 202 BNII IJ -7.0 370<br />

UNTR IJ 1.9 21,150 BBRI IJ -0.6 12,075<br />

KLBF IJ 1.7 1,750 LPPF IJ -3.4 17,675<br />

Source: Bloomberg<br />

Economic Calendar<br />

Time Currency Detail Forecast Previous<br />

4:45am NZD Trade Balance -1125M -1265M<br />

7:30am AUD Import Prices q/q -0.7% -1.0%<br />

1:00pm CHF UBS Consumption Indicator 1.53<br />

2:00pm EUR Spanish Unemployment Rate 19.3% 20.0%<br />

3:00pm EUR M3 Money Supply y/y 5.1% 5.1%<br />

3:00pm EUR Private Loans y/y 1.9% 1.8%<br />

3:30pm GBP Prelim GDP q/q 0.3% 0.7%<br />

3:30pm GBP Index of Services 3m/3m 0.8% 0.6%<br />

5:00pm GBP CBI Realized Sales -2 -8<br />

7:30pm USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.2% -0.2%<br />

7:30pm USD Unemployment Claims 261K 260K<br />

7:30pm USD Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.1% 0.1%<br />

9:00pm USD Pending Home Sales m/m 1.2% -2.4%<br />

9:30pm USD Natural Gas Storage 71B 77B<br />

Note: Time is based on Indonesian local time<br />

Source: Forex Factory<br />

Disclaimers<br />

This report is prepared strictly for private circulation only to clients of PT Daewoo Securities Indonesia (DWS). It is purpo sed only to person having<br />

professional experience in matters relating to investments. The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. No<br />

warranty (express or implied) is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our<br />

judgments as of this date, without regards to its fairness, and are subject to change without notice. However, none of DWS and/or its affiliated companies<br />

and/or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or<br />

in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any<br />

other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of<br />

DWS, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claims,<br />

proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a results of acting in reliance upon<br />

the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither DWS, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any<br />

errors, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission there<br />

from which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed.<br />

This document is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. This firms and its affiliates and their officers and employees may have a position,<br />

make markets, act as principal or engage in transaction in securities or related investments of any company mentioned herein, may perform services for or<br />

solicit business from any company mentioned herein, and may have acted upon or used any of the recommendations herein before they have been provided<br />

to you. © PT Daewoo Securities Indonesia 2015.<br />

Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />

7

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