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Oct 27, 2016<br />
Indonesia<br />
<strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />
Christine Natasya +62-21-515-1140 natasya@dwsec-id.com<br />
To subscribe to our <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong>, please contact us at research@dwsec-id.com<br />
Market Index<br />
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY<br />
JCI 5,399.7 0.0 -0.4 15.5<br />
MSCI Indonesia 26.2 -0.3 1.2 19.6<br />
MSCI EM 910.6 -0.8 0.8 6.4<br />
HANG SENG 23,325.4 -1.0 0.0 1.8<br />
KOSPI 2,013.9 0.4 -2.4 -1.5<br />
FTSE 6,958.1 -0.9 3.1 10.2<br />
DJIA 18,199.3 0.2 -0.3 3.3<br />
NASDAQ 5,250.3 -0.6 -0.4 5.0<br />
Valuation<br />
2016F P/E (x) P/B (x) ROE (%)<br />
JCI 17.7 2.5 17.7<br />
Key Rates<br />
Last Trade Chg (bps) MoM YoY<br />
BI 7-Day RR 4.75 -25 -25 -50*<br />
3yr 6.78 1 15 -180<br />
10yr 7.08 2 18 -159<br />
*since introduced in Aug 2016<br />
FX<br />
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY<br />
USD/IDR 13,004.00 0.0 -0.3 -4.7<br />
USD/KRW 1,134.02 0.1 3.3 0.3<br />
USD/JPY 104.47 0.2 4.0 -13.3<br />
USD/CNY 6.77 0.1 1.7 6.7<br />
KBLI: Government’s projects to spillover<br />
Government plans to increase national electrification ratio<br />
Indonesian government is planning to raise Indonesia’s electrification ratio from<br />
88.3% in 2015 to 99.7% in 2025, especially raising the electricity in rural area. We<br />
believe the lack of electrification is caused by a power shortage. Therefore,<br />
Indonesia government through PLN (State’s electricity company/ Perusahaan<br />
Listrik Negara) needs to increase the power capacity by 35,000MW. PLN will build<br />
power plants to produce ±10,000MW with the remaining ±25,000MW to be<br />
offered to Independent Power Producers (IPP).<br />
Bright prospects for cable companies<br />
We believe the 35,000MW project will give a bright prospect for cable companies<br />
such as Supreme Cable (SCCO IJ; Not rated) and KMI Wire and Cable Tbk (KBLI IJ;<br />
Not rated) given that the project requires a huge investment which amounting to<br />
>IDR1,100tr. The mega project demands a construction of power generators,<br />
transmission network, main sub stations and distribution network as well as an<br />
estimated of 300,000 km of aluminum conductors. Since PLN is allocated to<br />
receive the highest amount of state capital investment (PMN/ Penanaman Modal<br />
Negara) which amounting to c.IDR23tr in 2016F, we believe in government’s<br />
commitment to raise the nation’s electrification ratio on the back of its top<br />
priority for government infrastructure project.<br />
Cheap valuation<br />
We conservatively assume that KBLI could deliver another IDR150bn in the<br />
second half of 2016 (fourth quarter usually books highe r profit compared than<br />
previous years) to exceed ±IDR300bn net profit (EPS 2016F: IDR72) which should<br />
translate to 4x 2016F PER.<br />
Commodities<br />
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY<br />
WTI 49.2 -1.6 8.7 -0.8<br />
Gold 1,267.1 -0.5 -4.5 8.6<br />
Coal 40.0 0.0 0.0 -4.5<br />
Palm Oil 737.5 -3.1 -0.3 13.9<br />
Rubber 132.3 0.0 2.9 34.5<br />
Nickel 10,225.0 1.2 -2.9 -2.2<br />
Copper 4,740.0 0.1 -1.0 -9.2<br />
Tin 20,425.0 0.6 2.9 31.0<br />
KBLI quarterly gross margin<br />
%<br />
1 7<br />
1 5<br />
1 6 .9<br />
JCI Index VS MSCI Emerging Markets<br />
(pt) JCI MSCI EM (pt)<br />
5,500<br />
1,100<br />
950<br />
4,500<br />
800<br />
1 3<br />
1 1<br />
9<br />
7<br />
5<br />
7<br />
3,500<br />
650<br />
09/13 06/14 03/15 12/15 09/16<br />
Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Research Indonesia<br />
Daewoo (pt) Securities Indonesia JCI Research MSCI EM (pt)<br />
5,500<br />
1,100
Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />
Oct 27, 2016<br />
Local flash<br />
BBCA: 3Q16, BCA profit rose 13.2%. PT Bank Central Asia Tbk posted a net profit<br />
growth in the third quarter of 2016 by 13.2% to IDR15.12 trillion compared to third<br />
quarter of 2015. Jahja Setiaatmadja, President Director of PT Bank Central Asia Tbk<br />
said net profit growth was continuing to grow amid a slowdown in credit demand due<br />
to several reasons, among others, higher demand for loans in the second quarter of<br />
2016 became one of the drivers of revenue and is also related with net profit. (Bisnis<br />
Indonesia)<br />
TOTL: Total targeting IDR4 trillion new contract next year. PT Total Bangun Persada<br />
Tbk (TOTL) seemed quite optimistic to face 2017. Company has been targeting growth<br />
in new contracts approximately 33.33% from this year. Acquisition of the company's<br />
new contract is expected to increase from IDR3 trillion to IDR4 trillion. "The increase is<br />
due to many projects completed in 2017," said Mahmilan Sugiyo Warsana, Corporate<br />
Secretary of PT Total Bangun Persada Tbk. (Kontan)<br />
PPRO: PP Properti revenue grew 51.4%. Performance of PT PP Properti Tbk (PPRO)<br />
recorded an increase in the third quarter of 2016. Company's profit grew 51.4% to<br />
IDR1.56 trillion compared to the same period last year of IDR1.03 trillion. The<br />
acquisition is equivalent to 86.19% of this year's target of IDR1.81 trillion. (Kontan)<br />
AKRA: Revenue down, but profit margins rose. The performance of PT AKR<br />
Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) is still slowing. In the first nine months of this year, AKRA<br />
scored revenue of IDR10.9 trillion. It is down 27.14% compared to the same period last<br />
year of IDR15.03 trillion. However, AKRA managed to cut the cost and posted foreign<br />
exchange gain that make co's profits stable. AKRA Financial expenses also declined<br />
from IDR84.2 billion to IDR61.7 billion. Thus, in the period, net profit reached<br />
IDR793.19 billion, edged down 6.16% yoy. (Kontan)<br />
ADRO: EGAT will buy shares of Adaro Indonesia of USD325 million. Electricity<br />
Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) plans to buy 12% stake in coal producer, PT<br />
Adaro Indonesia, a subsidiary of PT Adaro Energy Tbk (ADRO). This transaction value is<br />
estimated at USD325 million. The investment plan Thai government-owned power<br />
company has already received approval from the Thai government on Tuesday (25/10).<br />
(Kontan)<br />
TPIA: Chandra Asri profit soared in the third quarter. PT Chandra Asri Petrochemical<br />
Tbk (TPIA) recorded a net profit growth of almost 6-fold in the third quarter of 2016. If<br />
the same period last year the company is only able to pocket profits of USD30.99<br />
million, now it rose to USD216.66 million. It also higher than company's target,<br />
USD200 million. "This increase was mainly benefited from strong product margins and<br />
sales volumes were higher than the new capacity of company's Ethylene Cracker," said<br />
Suryandi, Director of PT Chandra Asri Petrochemical Tbk. (Kontan)<br />
KRAS: KS ready to operate again steel mill. PT Krakatau Steel Tbk (KS) is ready to<br />
operate again three steel mills upstream, if the price of gas down to USD3 per million<br />
metric British thermal unit (mmbtu) from the current price USD7.3 per mmbtu. The<br />
three factories aresponge iron, slab, and billet. The three plants were forced to shut in<br />
2014, following the high prices of gas and lower world steel prices. (BeritaSatu)<br />
Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
2
Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />
Oct 27, 2016<br />
Summary<br />
Technical analysis<br />
Tasrul +62-21-515-1140 tasrul@dwsec-id.com<br />
Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) – Limited Upside<br />
Item Data Item Data<br />
Close (Oct 26, 2016) 5,399.68(+0.03%)Trading range 5,382-5,421<br />
Average index performance (%)<br />
3.87Target<br />
Period 123 - <strong>Daily</strong> 5,420<br />
r-squared 0.8083 - Weekly 5,441<br />
Volatility (+/-, %) 0.50 - Monthly 5,484<br />
Volatility (+/-, point) 26.97Stop loss 5,382<br />
Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
Figure 1. <strong>Daily</strong> trend - Uptrend<br />
^JKSE- <strong>Daily</strong>10/26/2016Open5387.7, Hi 5406.58, Lo5381.7, Close 5399.68(0.0%)Upper Band=5,706.97, Channel_prd=5,553.64, Lower Band=5,400.32, VWAP=5,385.06, VWAP=5,404.11,<br />
5,706.97<br />
5,553.64<br />
5,421<br />
5,404.11<br />
5,400.32<br />
5,399.68<br />
5,385.06<br />
5,299.63<br />
Optimization Trading System - ©2010<br />
^JKSE- Volume =19,892,484,096.00, Avg.Volume =8,551,741,440.00 19,892,484,096<br />
8,551,741,440<br />
Optimization Trading System - ©2010<br />
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />
Created with AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis software. http://www.amibroker.com<br />
Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
3
Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />
Oct 27, 2016<br />
Figure 2. <strong>Daily</strong> MFI optimized & RSI optimized<br />
^JKSE- MFI Smoothed=23.41<br />
23.4122<br />
^JKSE- RSI Smoothed=41.91<br />
41.9064<br />
^JKSE- <strong>Daily</strong>10/26/2016Open5387.7, Hi 5406.58, Lo5381.7, Close 5399.68(0.0%)VWAP=5,331.70, VWAP=5,404.11, VWAP=5,382.94<br />
5,421<br />
5,404.11<br />
5,399.68<br />
5,382.94<br />
5,331.7<br />
Optimization Trading System - ©2010<br />
^JKSE- Volume =19,892,484,096.00, Avg.Volume =8,551,741,440.00 19,892,484,096<br />
8,551,741,440<br />
Optimization Trading System - ©2010<br />
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />
Created with AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis software. http://www.amibroker.com<br />
Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
Figure 3. <strong>Daily</strong>, target : 5,420 Figure 4. Weekly, target : 5,441 Figure 5. Monthly,target : 5,484<br />
^ J K S E - D a i l y 1 0 / 2 6 / 2 0 1 6 O p e n 5 3 8 7 . 7 , H i 5 4 0 6 . 5 8 , L o 5 3 8 1 . 7 ,<br />
5 , 4 4 7 . 8 5<br />
5 , 4 3 4 . 3 7<br />
5 , 4 2 0 . 8 8<br />
5 , 4 0 7 . 4<br />
5 , 3 9 9 . 6 8<br />
^ J K S E - W e e k l y 1 0 / 2 6 / 2 0 1 6 O p e n 5 4 1 5 . 4 8 , H i 5 4 3 6 . 2 1 ,<br />
5 , 5 4 3 . 0 5<br />
5 , 5 0 9 . 3 5<br />
5 , 4 7 5 . 6 6<br />
5 , 4 4 1 . 9 6<br />
5 , 4 0 8 . 2 7<br />
5 , 3 9 9 . 6 8<br />
5 , 3 7 4 . 5 7<br />
5 , 3 4 0 . 8 7<br />
5 , 3 0 7 . 1 8<br />
5 , 2 7 3 . 4 8<br />
^ J K S E - M o n th l y 1 0 / 2 6 / 2 0 1 6 O p e n 5 4 0 3 . 8 6 , H i 5 4 8 2 . 8 4 ,<br />
x<br />
5 , 7 2 4 . 2 1<br />
5 , 6 4 4 . 3 1<br />
5 , 5 6 4 . 4 1<br />
5 , 4 8 4 . 5 1<br />
5 , 4 0 4 . 6 2<br />
5 , 3 9 9 . 6 8<br />
5 , 3 2 4 . 7 2<br />
5 , 2 4 4 . 8 2<br />
5 , 1 6 4 . 9 2<br />
5 , 0 8 5 . 0 2<br />
5 , 3 9 3 . 9 2<br />
5 , 3 8 0 . 4 3<br />
5 , 3 6 6 . 9 5<br />
5 , 3 5 3 . 4 6<br />
5 , 3 3 9 . 9 8<br />
^ J K S E - V o l u m e = 1 9 , 8 9 2 , 4 8 4 , 0 9 6 . 0 0 , A v g . V o l u m e = 8 , 5 5 1 , 7 4 1 , 4 4 0 . 0 01 9 , 8 9 2 , 4 8 4 , 0 9 6<br />
^ J K S E - V o l u m e = 3 6 , 5 7 1 , 9 3 4 , 7 2 0 . 0 0 , A v g . V o l u m e = 3 1 , 5 6 0 , 0 7 9 , 3 6 0 . 0 0<br />
^ J K S E - V o l u m e = 1 5 0 , 7 9 6 , 1 7 3 , 3 1 2 . 0 0 , A v g . V o l u m e = 1 0 6 , 1 3 4 , 7 9 8 , 3 316 5. 00, 7 9 6 , 1 7 3 , 3 1 2<br />
8 , 5 5 1 , 7 4 1 , 4 4 0<br />
3 6 , 5 7 1 , 9 3 4 , 7 2 0<br />
3 1 , 5 6 0 , 0 7 9 , 3 6 0<br />
1 0 6 , 1 3 4 , 7 9 8 , 3 3 6<br />
O p ti m i z a ti o n T r a d i n g S y ste m - © 2 0 1 0<br />
S e p<br />
O c t<br />
C r e a te d w ith A m iB r o ke r - a d v a n c e d c h a r tin g a n d te c h n ic a l a n a ly s is s o f tw a r e . h ttp ://w w w .a m ib r o ke r .c o m<br />
O p ti m i z a ti o n T r a d i n g S y ste m - © 2 0 1 0<br />
J u l<br />
O c t<br />
C r e a te d w ith A m iB r o ke r - a d v a n c e d c h a r tin g a n d te c h n ic a l a n a ly s is s o f tw a r e . h ttp ://w w w .a m ib r o ke r .c o m<br />
O p ti m i z a ti o n T ra d i n g S y ste m - © 2 0 1 0<br />
2 0 1 4 2 0 1 5 2 0 1 6<br />
C r e a te d w ith A m iB r o ke r - a d v a n c e d c h a r tin g a n d te c h n ic a l a n a ly s is s o f tw a r e . h ttp ://w w w .a m ib r o ke r .c o m<br />
Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research Source: Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
4
Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />
Oct 27, 2016<br />
Chart 6. JCI Vs. USD/IDR<br />
Chart 7. JCI performance (absolute vs. relative)<br />
(pt) JCI (L) USD/IDR (R)<br />
5,700<br />
(IDR)<br />
14,000<br />
(%, %p)<br />
20<br />
Absolute<br />
Relative<br />
5,500<br />
13,800<br />
16<br />
15.5<br />
5,300<br />
5,100<br />
4,900<br />
4,700<br />
4,500<br />
4,300<br />
7/27 8/10 8/24 9/7 9/21 10/5 10/19<br />
13,600<br />
13,400<br />
13,200<br />
13,000<br />
12,800<br />
12<br />
8<br />
4<br />
0<br />
-4<br />
10.0<br />
0.0<br />
0.9<br />
0.1<br />
-0.2 -0.4 -0.3<br />
1D 1W 1M 1Y<br />
Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
Note: Relative to MSCI EM Index<br />
Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
Chart 8. Foreigner’s net purchase (EM)<br />
(USDmn)<br />
50<br />
0<br />
-50<br />
-100<br />
-150<br />
-200<br />
0<br />
-9<br />
-82<br />
18<br />
-88<br />
26<br />
Note: The latest figure for India are Oct, 25 th<br />
Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
-31<br />
1 Day 5 Days<br />
-101<br />
-13 -8<br />
-76<br />
Korea Taiwan Indonesia Thailand Philippines India<br />
-160<br />
Chart 9. Energy price<br />
(D-3M=100)<br />
150<br />
CPO WTI Coal<br />
140<br />
130<br />
120<br />
110<br />
100<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
7/16 8/16 8/16 9/16 9/16 10/16 10/16<br />
Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
Chart 10. Non-ferrous metal price<br />
Chart 11. Precious metal price<br />
((D-3M=100) Copper Nickel Tin<br />
120<br />
105<br />
Silver Gold Platinum<br />
110<br />
100<br />
100<br />
90<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
7/16 8/16 8/16 9/16 9/16 10/16 10/16<br />
Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
80<br />
7/16 8/16 8/16 9/16 9/16 10/16 10/16<br />
Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
5
Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />
Oct 27, 2016<br />
Table. Key valuation metrics<br />
Company Name<br />
Ticker<br />
Price Market Cap Price Performance (%) P/E(X)* P/B(X)* ROE(%)*<br />
(IDR) (IDRbn) 1D 1W 1M 1Y FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17<br />
Jakarta Composite Index JCI 5,400 5,832,856 0.0 -0.2 0.9 15.1 17.7 15.0 2.5 2.3 17.6 18.2<br />
FINANCIALS<br />
Bank Central Asia BBCA 15,500 382,153 0.0 -3.0 1.0 13.6 17.4 15.4 3.1 2.7 18.8 18.1<br />
Bank Mandiri Persero BMRI 11,075 258,417 -0.9 -2.6 -4.9 15.7 12.0 10.5 1.6 1.4 13.9 14.1<br />
Bank Rakyat Indonesia Persero BBRI 12,075 297,880 -0.6 -0.6 0.4 4.1 10.4 9.1 1.9 1.6 19.0 18.9<br />
Bank Negara Indonesia Persero BBNI 5,450 101,635 -0.5 0.9 -1.4 2.8 8.0 6.9 1.1 1.0 13.9 14.6<br />
Bank Tabungan Negara Persero BBTN 1,935 20,492 -0.3 0.8 -1.3 63.3 10.2 8.8 0.9 0.9 9.5 10.1<br />
CONSUMER<br />
HM Sampoerna HMSP 3,990 464,109 -0.5 -2.2 -1.0 12.5 34.8 31.1 12.6 11.2 36.8 38.2<br />
Gudang Garam GGRM 65,250 125,547 0.0 -1.5 2.0 40.8 16.5 14.5 2.8 2.5 17.6 17.9<br />
Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur ICBP 9,525 111,080 -0.8 0.8 1.9 39.1 27.5 24.2 5.7 5.1 21.4 21.7<br />
Indofood Sukses Makmur INDF 8,525 74,853 0.0 -0.3 -2.6 36.9 16.8 14.4 2.3 2.1 15.1 15.7<br />
Kalbe Farma KLBF 1,750 82,031 1.7 1.2 2.0 19.5 32.1 28.7 6.2 5.6 20.1 20.5<br />
Unilever Indonesia UNVR 44,500 339,535 0.2 0.4 -0.8 15.1 46.6 41.3 57.5 52.9 129.8 136.2<br />
AGRICULTURAL<br />
Astra Agro Lestari AALI 15,600 30,025 0.0 -1.3 0.3 -19.7 15.8 13.7 1.8 1.6 11.4 12.1<br />
PP London Sumatera Indonesia LSIP 1,550 10,575 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.7 14.6 12.8 1.3 1.2 8.9 9.6<br />
Sawit Sumbermas Sarana SSMS 1,520 14,478 -0.3 5.6 -7.3 -23.6 17.7 12.8 3.6 3.0 20.9 22.0<br />
INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
XL Axiata EXCL 2,330 24,903 -3.7 -1.3 -6.8 -28.2 21.0 14.2 1.1 1.0 3.9 5.9<br />
Jasa Marga JSMR 4,590 31,212 0.2 1.5 -1.9 -13.0 18.5 20.2 2.4 2.2 12.4 11.2<br />
Perusahaan Gas Negara PGAS 2,560 62,058 -1.5 2.4 -9.9 -15.8 10.4 10.4 1.4 1.3 13.4 12.7<br />
Tower Bersama Infrastructure TBIG 6,000 28,779 -1.2 -1.6 -1.2 -21.1 18.3 15.8 6.4 5.4 41.5 38.3<br />
Telekomunikasi Indonesia TLKM 4,190 422,352 -0.2 -0.2 -1.2 50.1 18.4 16.9 4.3 3.9 23.2 23.7<br />
Soechi Lines SOCI 414 2,922 -1.0 -0.5 -1.4 -16.4 3.2 N/A N/A N/A 12.7 N/A<br />
Garuda Indonesia GIAA 384 9,934 0.0 -3.0 -11.1 17.1 17.4 11.7 2.3 2.1 11.9 16.4<br />
BASIC-INDUSTRIES<br />
Semen Indonesia SMGR 10,075 59,760 -0.7 1.0 -3.1 -5.8 13.1 11.8 1.9 1.7 15.1 15.3<br />
Charoen Pokphand Indonesia CPIN 3,580 58,705 -0.8 0.3 4.7 39.3 16.7 14.1 3.4 2.9 21.4 21.8<br />
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa INTP 16,700 61,477 0.0 -0.6 -7.7 -20.6 14.5 13.2 2.2 2.0 15.1 15.7<br />
Japfa Comfeed Indonesia JPFA 1,750 19,968 0.0 2.0 15.1 328.9 13.2 11.7 2.3 2.1 17.7 19.8<br />
MINING<br />
Indo Tambangraya Megah ITMG 14,400 16,271 4.9 2.5 37.5 52.0 11.4 10.4 1.4 1.4 12.8 13.8<br />
Adaro Energy ADRO 1,555 49,738 2.0 1.6 29.6 128.7 17.1 14.9 1.2 1.2 6.8 7.3<br />
Aneka Tambang ANTM 840 20,186 0.6 1.8 30.2 117.6 N/A 76.2 1.1 1.2 0.5 1.2<br />
Vale Indonesia INCO 2,640 26,232 -1.5 -7.4 -2.6 8.2 40.6 22.5 1.1 1.0 2.7 4.8<br />
Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam PTBA 12,675 29,205 3.3 1.2 28.7 73.0 12.0 11.6 2.4 2.1 20.3 19.2<br />
TRADE<br />
United Tractors UNTR 21,150 78,892 1.9 5.2 23.0 4.2 15.5 14.5 1.8 1.7 12.2 12.3<br />
AKR Corporindo AKRA 6,850 27,344 -1.8 -0.7 3.4 19.1 19.8 17.7 3.5 3.1 18.6 18.5<br />
Global Mediacom BMTR 815 11,572 -1.8 -6.9 -4.7 -19.7 10.8 8.2 N/A N/A N/A N/A<br />
Matahari Department Store LPPF 17,675 51,574 -3.4 -6.6 -7.5 1.4 20.3 18.1 17.7 13.7 98.2 81.2<br />
Media Nusantara Citra MNCN 2,110 30,123 -0.9 -0.5 5.5 17.5 15.4 13.6 2.7 2.4 18.0 18.8<br />
Matahari Putra Prima MPPA 1,880 10,111 -4.3 3.3 -2.8 -22.5 29.9 31.4 3.4 3.1 9.6 9.1<br />
Surya Citra Media SCMA 2,670 39,040 -1.1 2.7 -3.6 -12.9 20.9 18.5 9.0 7.7 46.9 46.0<br />
Siloam International Hospital SILO 10,800 12,486 3.8 1.6 3.8 -11.8 92.0 68.3 6.1 5.8 6.4 7.3<br />
PROPERTY<br />
Bumi Serpong Damai BSDE 2,180 41,958 -0.9 -1.8 0.9 23.5 15.8 13.8 1.8 1.6 11.8 12.3<br />
Adhi Karya ADHI 2,210 7,869 -2.6 -4.7 -5.2 -5.8 9.8 7.5 1.2 1.0 13.0 15.1<br />
Alam Sutera Realty ASRI 448 8,803 -2.2 -2.2 -5.5 8.2 9.0 6.5 1.1 1.0 11.7 15.6<br />
Ciputra Development CTRA 1,545 23,832 0.0 -4.0 -3.1 30.6 16.3 13.2 2.3 2.0 15.1 15.8<br />
Lippo Karawaci LPKR 890 20,539 -1.7 -3.3 -20.5 -31.3 14.3 13.1 1.1 1.0 8.7 8.8<br />
Pembangunan Perumahan PTPP 4,070 19,709 -1.9 -3.1 -4.0 4.9 16.4 13.1 3.2 2.7 21.1 22.2<br />
Pakuwon Jati PWON 745 35,879 1.4 4.2 15.5 63.7 15.3 12.0 3.3 2.6 23.3 24.5<br />
Summarecon Agung SMRA 1,695 24,453 -0.3 -2.9 -0.6 0.0 29.4 24.2 3.2 3.0 12.6 13.5<br />
Wijaya Karya WIKA 2,650 16,295 0.0 -1.9 5.6 -15.3 16.0 12.7 2.6 2.3 17.3 19.4<br />
Waskita Karya WSKT 2,580 35,019 -0.4 -1.1 -2.6 49.1 17.9 13.3 2.8 2.3 16.8 18.0<br />
MISCELLANEOUS<br />
Astra International ASII 8,200 331,965 0.3 -2.1 -2.7 30.2 17.6 16.1 2.7 2.5 15.6 15.6<br />
Source: Bloomberg, Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
*Note: Valuation metrics based on Bloomberg consensus estimates<br />
Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
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Indonesia <strong>Daily</strong> <strong>Focus</strong><br />
Oct 27, 2016<br />
Sector performance<br />
Top 10 market cap performance<br />
Name Index Chg (%) Ticker Price Market Cap (IDRbn) Chg (%)<br />
Agricultural 1,827.3 0.2 BUMI IJ 202 7,399 34.7<br />
Mining 1,298.6 2.2 GEMS IJ 1780 10,471 11.25<br />
Basic-Industry 541.2 1.3 TPIA IJ 18425 60,562 10.66<br />
Miscellaneous Industry 1,361.6 0.2 HERO IJ 1380 5,773 10.40<br />
Consumer Goods 2,480.4 -0.1 FASW IJ 2770 6,864 8.63<br />
Property & Construction 562.7 -0.6 SMMA IJ 8650 55,080 7.45<br />
Infrastructure 1,096.9 -0.4 BRPT IJ 1355 9,458 7.1<br />
Finance 799.7 -0.2 BTPN IJ 2870 16,762 7.09<br />
Trade 864.7 -0.2 ROTI IJ 1725 8,732 5.5<br />
Composite 5,399.7 0.0 ITMG IJ 14400 16,271 4.92<br />
Source: Bloomberg<br />
Top 5 leading movers<br />
Top 5 lagging movers<br />
Name Chg (%) Close Name Chg (%) Close<br />
TPIA IJ 10.7 18,425 HMSP IJ -0.5 3,990<br />
SMMA IJ 7.5 8,650 BMRI IJ -0.9 11,075<br />
BUMI IJ 34.7 202 BNII IJ -7.0 370<br />
UNTR IJ 1.9 21,150 BBRI IJ -0.6 12,075<br />
KLBF IJ 1.7 1,750 LPPF IJ -3.4 17,675<br />
Source: Bloomberg<br />
Economic Calendar<br />
Time Currency Detail Forecast Previous<br />
4:45am NZD Trade Balance -1125M -1265M<br />
7:30am AUD Import Prices q/q -0.7% -1.0%<br />
1:00pm CHF UBS Consumption Indicator 1.53<br />
2:00pm EUR Spanish Unemployment Rate 19.3% 20.0%<br />
3:00pm EUR M3 Money Supply y/y 5.1% 5.1%<br />
3:00pm EUR Private Loans y/y 1.9% 1.8%<br />
3:30pm GBP Prelim GDP q/q 0.3% 0.7%<br />
3:30pm GBP Index of Services 3m/3m 0.8% 0.6%<br />
5:00pm GBP CBI Realized Sales -2 -8<br />
7:30pm USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.2% -0.2%<br />
7:30pm USD Unemployment Claims 261K 260K<br />
7:30pm USD Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.1% 0.1%<br />
9:00pm USD Pending Home Sales m/m 1.2% -2.4%<br />
9:30pm USD Natural Gas Storage 71B 77B<br />
Note: Time is based on Indonesian local time<br />
Source: Forex Factory<br />
Disclaimers<br />
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Daewoo Securities Indonesia Research<br />
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