10.11.2016 Views

Juan_Castro Marquez

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Fecal scores were then binary coded as 1 if the fecal score was 3 or 4 and as 0 if the fecal<br />

score was 1 or 2. Therefore, the event of a diarrheal episode Y ij , conditional upon the predictor<br />

variables X ij and the random effects b i , was considered a Bernoulli distributed random variable:<br />

Where, Y ij represents the occurrence of a diarrheal episode on the j th day for the i th calf<br />

with mean probability π ij to be estimated. The probability of no occurrence is thus 1- π. A logit<br />

link function was used to linearly relate the predictor variables in X ij with π ij as:<br />

( ) (<br />

| )<br />

( | ) )<br />

from which the probability π ij was estimated as:<br />

( | )<br />

And<br />

Thus, X ij contained the fixed effects of study (GAM, GOS), age, BP, BT_24, BT_48,<br />

BT_72, TV and birth BW. Birth BW and TV were coded as dummy variables and calves were<br />

considered to present “normal” BW if above the 50 th percentile (40.7 kg) or “underweight”<br />

otherwise, while TV values above and below the 50 th percentile (0.69) were deemed as ‘High’<br />

and ‘Low’ thermal variability, respectively. B is a vector of regression parameters for the fixed<br />

effects; Z i is the random effects design matrix which only contained an intercept for the i th calf<br />

and b is the random effects parameter vector. Descriptive statistics and the rationale to include<br />

each independent variable are shown in Table 2.1.<br />

17

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