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DT<br />

VOL1, ISSUE 4 | Sunday, March 12, 2017<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Tribune<br />

New prospects in<br />

Bangladesh blue economy<br />

Syed Zakir Hossain<br />

4<br />

Export earnings fall<br />

Why a trade deficit<br />

4.50% in February<br />

7 is no bad thing


2<br />

Sunday, MARCH 12, 2017<br />

DT<br />

Special<br />

New prospects in Bangladesh blue economy<br />

• Tarek Mahmud<br />

The recent visits of the USA-based<br />

international luxury cruise line Silversea<br />

with tourists to Bangladesh<br />

have ushered in a new era of sea<br />

tourism in the country.<br />

Recently, the Silversea made a<br />

couple of trips to Sundarbans and<br />

Maheshkhali island, which could<br />

be new prospects for the country’s<br />

blue economy, according to the<br />

sector people.<br />

“Blue Economy” is marine-based<br />

economic development<br />

that leads to improved human<br />

well-being and social equity, while<br />

significantly reducing environmental<br />

risks and ecological scarcities.<br />

The recent Silversea visits<br />

helped local business earn a sum<br />

of Tk70 lakh while the government<br />

also earned a significant amount,<br />

the people familiar with the business<br />

said.<br />

After fixing the maritime area<br />

at the Bay of Bengal, the policymakers<br />

started analysing the prospects<br />

of blue economy through sea<br />

resources and minerals while sea<br />

tourism has appeared as first output<br />

such specialised economy by<br />

the visits, experts said.<br />

With the trips, sea tourism had<br />

unveiled another dimension of<br />

blue economy in the country’s<br />

maritime sector, said Civil Aviation<br />

and Tourism Minister Rashed Khan<br />

Menon, at a recent meeting in the<br />

Secretariat.<br />

He said: “About Tk35 lakh revenue<br />

was deposited to the state<br />

treasurer by the first trip of Silver<br />

Discoverer. By this initiative, sea<br />

tourism prospect in Bangladesh<br />

will attract international companies<br />

which carry more earning for<br />

the country.”<br />

National Oceanographic and<br />

Silversea, USA-based international luxury cruise, anchors in Bay of Bengal last Month<br />

Maritime Institute on February 7<br />

organised a seminar on future planning<br />

of blue economy and environmental<br />

research where the research<br />

head Sirazur Rahman Khan said<br />

about 10,000 tourists visit Saint<br />

Martin’s island everyday where the<br />

number is only 3,000 in 2010.<br />

In the seminar, he suggested<br />

making an appropriate survey on the<br />

sea to discover its all resources and<br />

prospects; initiating a well-informative<br />

database over the blue economy<br />

and introducing more international-class<br />

facilities for the tourists.<br />

The international tourists were<br />

scared to visit Bangladesh after the<br />

Gulshan cafe attack last year.<br />

But the trips of 162 foreign tourists<br />

by sea to Bangladesh without<br />

any untoward incident proved<br />

that Bangladesh is “safe and better<br />

place for tourists,” said sources in<br />

Bangladesh Tourism Board.<br />

Amongst the 162 tourists, the<br />

highest 66 visitors were from the<br />

USA. Visitors from the United Kingdom,<br />

Australia, Canada and many<br />

European countries were in the<br />

trips, said Journey Plus, partner of<br />

Silversea in Bangladesh.<br />

The cruise ships “Silver Expeditions”<br />

anchored in Maheshkhali<br />

island of Cox’s Bazar district and<br />

Sundarbans.<br />

Tourists in small boats of the<br />

Courtesy<br />

ship visited the places and expressed<br />

their joy after sight-seeing<br />

and interaction with local people,<br />

said the organiser of the trips.<br />

Marveling at the natural beauty<br />

of Sundarbans and Maheskhali<br />

island, a sailor of the ship wrote<br />

letter to the tourism minister expressing<br />

his delighting experience.<br />

The tourists did not disclose<br />

their names because of security<br />

concerns.<br />

“Bangladesh is now on the<br />

world’s cruise map and this voyage<br />

will help boost future tourism of the<br />

country,” said Journey Plus Chief<br />

Executive Officer Taufiq Rahman.<br />

Cox’s Bazar Deputy Commissioner<br />

Mohammad Ali Hossain said<br />

the tourists visit different historical<br />

places and pagoda.<br />

Maheshkhali Upazila Nirbahi Officer<br />

Abul Kalam said such type of<br />

visits would help develop positive<br />

image of Bangladesh in tourism<br />

sector.<br />

Chittagong Chamber of Commerce<br />

and Industry President Mahbubul<br />

Alam said the initiatives may<br />

inspire tourists from other countries<br />

to visit the world’s longest sea<br />

beach and the world’s biggest mangrove<br />

forest.<br />

Silversea has started carrying<br />

tourists on two routes through Bay<br />

of Bengal. One is Colombo-Kolkata<br />

via Cox’s Bazar and another is Kolkata-Thailand<br />

via Bangladesh and<br />

Myanmar.<br />

The government had announced<br />

2016 year as the “Tourism Year”<br />

while the ruling party strongly tried<br />

to convince foreign tour companies<br />

to initiate operation in Bangladesh.<br />

The Silver Discoverer’s visit shows<br />

the signs of a new trend.<br />

Tiger Tours Limited Chief Operating<br />

Officer Sumala Chowdhury<br />

said: “The sea tourism has a huge<br />

prospect for our economy. But we<br />

have to flourish and nurse the sector<br />

without doing any harm to our<br />

natures, heritage and tourist environment.”<br />

Sohel Rana, member of traveler<br />

group Oronyopremi, said the government<br />

should take more tourism-friendly<br />

initiatives to inspire<br />

many more tourists to visit the<br />

world’s longest sea beach and the<br />

world’s largest mangrove forest.<br />

Tour Operators Association of<br />

Bangladesh urges the government<br />

to bring all bureaucratic formalities<br />

under an umbrella for tour operators<br />

so that they can easily do any<br />

formality promtly. •<br />

Luxury hotel business boom as foreigner visit increases<br />

• Ishtiaq Husain<br />

Luxury hotel business is gaining<br />

momentum as foreigners in droves<br />

are currently visiting the country to<br />

attend international programmes<br />

including IT and tourism conferences<br />

and above all international<br />

fair on RMG.<br />

The steady economic growth<br />

has contributed a lot to boost the<br />

hospitality business. Since demand<br />

is on the upswing, the number of<br />

five-star hotels is being built in the<br />

country’s two main cities.<br />

Based on the demand for accommodation,<br />

construction of<br />

10-12 five-star hotels is underway<br />

in Dhaka and Chittagong which<br />

would be ready for guests within<br />

five years.<br />

The construction of International<br />

hotel chain Marriott, Hilton, Novotel,<br />

Sheraton, InterContinental<br />

Holiday Inn, Marriott Courtyard<br />

and one more Westin hotel is going<br />

on in full scale.<br />

Now, 10 five-star hotels have<br />

over 2,000 rooms while more<br />

10 would provide around 2,000<br />

rooms.<br />

Marriott International will be<br />

built beside Jamuna Future Park<br />

with an accommodation of 700<br />

rooms. Likewise, Dhaka Sheraton<br />

will be constructed at Purbachal,<br />

Holiday Inn at Tejgaon, Westin in<br />

Banani residential area and Pacific<br />

Jeans in Chittagong.<br />

In the last couple of years, hospitality<br />

industry saw a huge growth<br />

considering the number of new<br />

five-star hotels that came into being.<br />

During this time, The Westin,<br />

Radission Blu Water Garden, Amari,<br />

Six Season, Four Points Sheraton,<br />

Le Meridien, Sarina, Regency<br />

had been open for guests.<br />

The average annual hotel occupancy<br />

of these luxury hotels were<br />

around 70% which indicated a<br />

huge growth in the hospitality industry.<br />

According to the World Travel<br />

and Tourism Council (WTTC), the<br />

direct contribution of Travel and<br />

Tourism to GDP in Bangladesh in<br />

2015 was Tk407.6 billion (2.4% of<br />

GDP), which rose 5.2% to Tk428.9<br />

billion in 2016. This primarily reflects<br />

a wide range of economic<br />

activities generated by industries<br />

such as hotels, travel agents, airlines<br />

and other passenger transportation<br />

services.<br />

The global authority on economic<br />

and social contribution<br />

of Travel and Tourism promotes<br />

sustainable growth for the sector,<br />

working with governments and<br />

international institutions to create<br />

jobs, to drive exports and above all<br />

generate prosperity.<br />

The direct contribution of Travel<br />

and Tourism to GDP is expected<br />

to rise 5.6% to Tk738.1 billion (2.3%<br />

of GDP) by 2026.<br />

Kazi Wahidul Alam, editor, The<br />

Bangladesh Monitor, a fortnightly<br />

travel newspaper, said definitely,<br />

the growing hospitality industry<br />

is a key indicator of any country’s<br />

economic activity as this is a major<br />

part of tourism industry.<br />

The upcoming luxury hotels will<br />

play a vital role in the development<br />

of economy.<br />

Though luxury hotels are increasing<br />

in the country, prices of<br />

the rooms here too high compared<br />

with those in India Nepal, Malaysia<br />

and Thailand.<br />

Talking to the Dhaka Tribune<br />

Ashwin Nayar, general manager,<br />

Le Meridien Dhaka, said since the<br />

number of hotel increases, prices<br />

of hotel rooms will come down.<br />

Shahidus Sadeque, director<br />

(business and sales), InterContinental<br />

hotel, said the number of<br />

hotels under construction indicates<br />

that the hospitality industry<br />

is growing.<br />

“We have done well in 2010, 2011<br />

and 2012. Currently, we are also doing<br />

well. If Bangladesh can achieve<br />

nearly 7% GDP growth, we need at<br />

least five-six five-star hotels.”<br />

All these new ventures are the<br />

part of tourism industry, he said,<br />

adding that more sports, events<br />

and international seminars in coming<br />

days must add to the growth of<br />

the tourism industry. •


Interview<br />

3<br />

Sunday, MARCH 12, 2017<br />

DT<br />

Le Méridien: Cohesive workforce key to<br />

business momentum<br />

• Ishtiaq Husain<br />

In line with the booming hospitality<br />

business, Le Méridien Dhaka – as<br />

elsewhere in the world – has gained<br />

its business footing within a couple<br />

of years with the help of sheer team<br />

work that came as a cohesive unit.<br />

Owned by Best Holdings, Le<br />

Méridien began its journey in<br />

Dhaka in November 2015 with 304<br />

rooms, including 25 suites and six<br />

restaurants.<br />

Dhaka Tribune sat with the hotel’s<br />

General Manager Ashwani<br />

Nayar to get his insight into the<br />

hospitality business that is gaining<br />

momentum.<br />

With his vast experience in Starwood<br />

Hotels & Resorts and various<br />

other global hotel brands including<br />

the Intercontinental, Park Royal<br />

and Holiday Inn worldwide, Nayar<br />

took the helm of Le Méridien Dhaka<br />

venture, first time serving as a<br />

pre-opening general manager.<br />

The seasoned hospitality business<br />

expert shed light on various<br />

issues in this exclusive interview.<br />

Ashwani Nayar, General Manager of Le Méridien Dhaka<br />

Do you think the number of fivestar<br />

hotels in Bangladesh is still low?<br />

I personally believe that there is<br />

still a lot of space to fill in in terms<br />

of supply. The situation was a little<br />

unbalanced in the past. We have<br />

our first five-star deluxe hotel in<br />

The international hotel chain has gained<br />

its popularity within just over a year<br />

after opening its venture in Bangladesh<br />

hospitality industry<br />

matured stage. As to investment<br />

and interest, I can definitely say our<br />

company in Sheraton Brand was in<br />

this country for so many decades.<br />

We are the biggest hospitality company<br />

with 5,700 hotels. Our hotel is<br />

even today having 100% occupancy.<br />

It goes to show as a relatively<br />

new player in the market. We are<br />

running full house. It just goes to<br />

show that the market is leaning<br />

very strongly towards becoming<br />

very matured and very very strong.<br />

Do you think hotel rooms are too<br />

costly in Bangladesh compared<br />

with other tourist destination<br />

countries?<br />

I think the cost of hotel rooms or<br />

cost of any services we are providing<br />

are relative to market itself in<br />

Mahmud Hossain Opu<br />

global comparison, but the main<br />

thing one should look at is the market<br />

we are getting in. The number<br />

of issues that come into play is the<br />

price of operations, cost of land, returns<br />

from investment required to<br />

set up that particular business.<br />

Again demand and supply situation<br />

comes up. I think we are<br />

measured by where we are, and if<br />

you really make a country-to-country<br />

comparison, which is not really<br />

possible, because the amount of<br />

investment varies to open and run<br />

a hotel everywhere in the world. I<br />

think from Bangladesh’s perspective,<br />

we are where we started.<br />

What are the challenges in<br />

the hospitality industry in<br />

Bangladesh?<br />

I think the biggest challenge which<br />

we need to address at this point of<br />

time is to overcome hospitality as<br />

a business globally. I think the war<br />

on hospitality will be fought on talent.<br />

Fortunately, for us in Bangladesh<br />

I could say people who are in<br />

the industry have been very enterprising.<br />

Every large section of them<br />

will continue even today to work in<br />

various parts of the world with various<br />

roles.<br />

Now, we have been very strong<br />

in tracking the talent back into our<br />

country with the opening of Meridian<br />

and I think that the proper<br />

mix of locally available talent and<br />

fresh talent is building the industry<br />

jointly. The other area which I<br />

personally believe to address is<br />

gender diversity. Even today we<br />

discuss gender diversity as a subject<br />

which means that there is need<br />

to address it.<br />

There are a lot of women moving<br />

towards leadership roles but<br />

somehow the diversity ratio is still<br />

required to be streamlined which<br />

means we need to be smart enough<br />

to attract more female workers<br />

at entry level to be able to retain<br />

them through a good growth path<br />

in their careers as they are moving<br />

to mid-level management and then<br />

put them into senior management.<br />

What is your main goal in the<br />

hospitality industry?<br />

Our vision is never to be satisfied.<br />

I don’t mean it in a negative sort of<br />

manner, rather I mean it in a positive<br />

manner. My vision on this is<br />

our team will always remain hungry.<br />

We will always try to reach<br />

the top and continue to learn and<br />

develop ourselves. Yes, we have<br />

100% occupancy, but tomorrow we<br />

will have 70%. Our ultimate goal is<br />

to be an aspiring company which<br />

people would be inspired to be a<br />

part of. •<br />

DT: How have you gained so much<br />

popularity within a year?<br />

Ashwani Nayar: First of all I would<br />

like to give the credit to our entire<br />

hard-working team which has<br />

come together as a very cohesive<br />

unit to gain the popularity. The level<br />

of commitment and passion to<br />

do something great was at its peak<br />

since the beginning and it gave us a<br />

good start.<br />

The parent company was<br />

initially Starwood, which is now<br />

Marriott International that sees<br />

Le Méridien Dhaka as a flagship<br />

benchmark for the Meridian brand<br />

which maintains high quality<br />

comparable only to a series of best<br />

international standard hotels. We<br />

have at least attempted to set a new<br />

benchmark here in Bangladesh in<br />

terms of services and products in<br />

hospitality business. I am proud<br />

and so humble to see our efforts<br />

that have achieved six international<br />

hospitality awards within the first<br />

one and a half years of opening the<br />

hotel.<br />

eight years that means the demands<br />

keep growing in all these<br />

years as there is no supply.<br />

I think demand and supply<br />

should go hand in hand. When we<br />

set our foot in hotel business here,<br />

we added almost 45% our supplies<br />

to the existing ones that again goes<br />

a little imbalanced. Going forward<br />

I would like to see hotels across all<br />

levels, not only five-star and deluxe<br />

hotels but also the first-class,<br />

three-star and four-star hotels.<br />

What is our position in hospitality<br />

industry as a country? Is it the<br />

early stage of growth?<br />

In Bangladesh, there are a large<br />

number of hotels in the pipeline. I<br />

think we are moving forward from<br />

the state of development to a very<br />

Courtesy


4<br />

Sunday, MARCH 12, 2017<br />

DT<br />

Week in Review<br />

10% rise in women workforce to raise Bangladesh GDP by 1%<br />

If Bangladesh can raise the<br />

participation of women in<br />

labour force by 10% within<br />

the next five years, it would<br />

play a pivotal role in driving<br />

the GDP growth by 1%,<br />

experts have said. “Currently,<br />

the contribution of women<br />

workforce in our GDP growth<br />

is 34%,” said World Bank lead<br />

economist Dr Zahid Hossain.<br />

He said the participation of<br />

women in workforce would<br />

take the country forward in<br />

attaining higher GDP growth<br />

in line with achieving the<br />

Sustainable Development<br />

Goals (SDGs) by 2030.<br />

Mahmud Hossain Opu<br />

Govt allows sand<br />

export at Tk1 per cft<br />

The decision was taken at a meeting of the<br />

National Sand Corridor Management Committee<br />

on March 6 with land minister Shamsur<br />

Rahman in the chair. Shamsur said sand can be<br />

lifted experimentally for 6 months initially from<br />

the proposed site of Jamuna river by keeping<br />

the flows normal for river traffic and navigability.<br />

If any adverse impact on the environment<br />

is detected, the dredging will be stopped, he<br />

added. Earlier, Infrastructure Dredging Limited<br />

applied to the Ministry of Water resources<br />

seeking permission for dredging Jamuna river<br />

and exporting the sand to Singapore and Maldives<br />

at its own cost initially for a period of two<br />

years. Later, the Land Ministry, Water Resources<br />

Ministry and Shipping Ministry discussed the<br />

proposal of the company at a meeting of the<br />

National Sand Corridor Management Committee<br />

on Oct 18, 2016. •<br />

Export earnings fall 4.50%<br />

in February<br />

Bangladesh export earnings have witnessed a<br />

4.50% fall to $2.73bn in February due to slow<br />

growth in apparel sector. However, the export<br />

earnings have seen a 3.22% rise to $22.83bn<br />

in the first eight months from July to February<br />

of the current fiscal year. Export earnings are<br />

moving through ups and downs. Of the first eight<br />

months, negative growth dominated the first four<br />

months while it was in the positive territory in the<br />

remaining months.<br />

Trade analysts and manufacturers attributed<br />

Brexit, US election and economic slowdown in the<br />

export destinations to the downswing in export<br />

earnings. According to Export Promotion Bureau<br />

(EPB) data released on Wednesday, the export<br />

earnings in February marked 4.50% fall to $2.73bn.<br />

In February last year, Bangladesh export earnings<br />

stood at $2.85bn. On the other hand, Bangladesh<br />

earned $22.83bn in July-February period of the<br />

current fiscal year which is 3.22% higher compared<br />

to $22.12bn in the same period a year ago.<br />

RMG sector, the lifeline of the export earnings,<br />

has observed slow growth in July-February<br />

period of the current fiscal year. In the period,<br />

clothing products earned $18.63 billion, up only<br />

by 2.82%, compared to $18.12bn in the same<br />

period a year ago. Of the total amount, knitwear<br />

products fetched $9.08bn, which is over 5%<br />

higher compared to $8.64bn a year ago, while<br />

Woven garments earned $9.56 billion posting<br />

a 0.83% rise compared to $9.48bn in the same<br />

period last year. •<br />

Tofail: Gas crisis<br />

likely to end by 2018<br />

Commerce Minister Tofail<br />

Ahmed said the government<br />

plans to set up a<br />

number of liquefied natural<br />

gas terminals across<br />

the country so there is no<br />

gas crisis by 2018. He was<br />

talking to journalists after<br />

a meeting with Qatar<br />

Ambassador in Bangladesh Ahmed Mohamed<br />

Al-Dehaimi on March 6. Tofail said the Qatar<br />

government is now implementing a floating<br />

LNG terminal project in Bangladesh and has<br />

also expressed interest in investing in land<br />

LNG terminals. As per the government plan,<br />

the country will have to import about 182.5bn<br />

cubic feet of LNG annually from Qatar to meet<br />

daily deficit of 500 million cubic feet against<br />

the present production of 1,900 mmcfd. •<br />

Bernicat: Disputes in<br />

factories shouldn’t<br />

hamper production<br />

US Ambassador to Bangladesh Marcia<br />

Bernicat said any dispute between workers<br />

and owners in the country’s garment industry<br />

should not hamper production. “In any case of<br />

dispute between workers and owners, everybody<br />

should make sure that the production<br />

does not stop in any way. If the production is<br />

stopped – it is not only owners’ problem, it is<br />

also workers’ problem,” she said while speaking<br />

to journalists in Ashulia near Dhaka on<br />

March 9. The envoy held meeting with trade<br />

union leaders, workers, owners and NGO representatives in Ashulia.<br />

She also urged the owners make sure that the workers are working in a<br />

safe environment. When asked about the workers unrest, Bernicat said the<br />

workers and owners now “have no problem.” “After talking to owners and<br />

workers here, I found completely a different scenario. They have no problems<br />

between them.” “There must have a good relation and mutual understanding<br />

between the workers and owners. Otherwise, the instigators would get the<br />

chance to create unrest,” she stressed. Marcia Bernicat urged the government<br />

and garment industry owners to ensure workplace safety and workers’ rights<br />

for restoration of the GSP trade facility. •<br />

Dhaka Tribune<br />

BGMEA sought<br />

three years' time<br />

to move office<br />

Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and<br />

Exporters Association (BGMEA) has filed<br />

a petition with the Supreme Court on<br />

Wednesday seeking a three-year time to<br />

shift its office from the building located<br />

over Hatirjheel lake.<br />

Talking to the Dhaka Tribune, BGMEA<br />

lawyer Imtiaj Moinul Islam said: “We have<br />

sought three years to shift the office to a<br />

different location.<br />

“The matter was placed before the<br />

Supreme Court’s Appellate Division on<br />

March 9 .” When asked regarding the<br />

demolition of the building, the lawyer<br />

replied: “It is a different issue.” On March<br />

5, the apex court dismissed a petition to<br />

review it’s 2016 verdict saying the building<br />

was built illegally and therefore must<br />

be demolished.<br />

The Supreme Court had also ordered<br />

the BGMEA to inform it in a petition by<br />

March 9 as to how long it would take to<br />

demolish the building. •


Corporate News<br />

5<br />

Sunday, MARCH 12, 2017<br />

DT<br />

Rahman Rahman Huq (KPMG Bangladesh) has recently hosted a technical seminar on the new VAT Act<br />

2012 and Rules 2016, said a press release. First secretary at National Board of Revenue, Dr Md Abdur Rouf<br />

attended the seminar as chief guest at the presence of Adeeb H Khan, senior partner at KPMG Bangladesh<br />

IPDC Finance Limited has recently celebrated International Women’s Day by participating an event<br />

named, Women Leadership Summit 2017, said a press release. The company’s managing director, Md<br />

Mominul Islam was present at the event that was organised by Bangladesh Brand Forum<br />

Bangladesh Institute of ICT in Development (BIID) has recently organised the 1st Nutrition Olympiad<br />

2017 under Nutrition Club initiative supported by INGENAES/USAID, said a press release. FAO<br />

representative in Bangladesh, Sue Lautze was present at the programme as chief guest<br />

Dutch-Bangla Bank has been awarded scholarship to students who are in need of financial aid for<br />

studying at higher secondary and graduation levels, said a press release. Finance Minister, AMA Muhith<br />

was present at the programme as chief guest while the bank’s chairperson, Sayem Ahmed presided over<br />

the programme<br />

AB Bank Limited has recently celebrated International Women’s Day at its corporate head office, said a<br />

press release. The bank’s chairperson, M Wahidul Haque attended the programme<br />

ZH Sikder Women’s Medical College and Mandy Dental College have jointly organised a programme<br />

to celebrate 50th convocation of Dhaka University, said a press release. The chairperson of governing<br />

body at Mandy Dental College and vice-chariperson of ZH Sikder Women’s Medical College, Parveen<br />

Haque Sikder was present at the programme<br />

Mercantile Bank Limited has recently celebrated International Women’s Day by holding a programme at<br />

the bank’s head office. The bank’s managing director, Kazi Masihur Rahman inaugurated the programme<br />

NRB Bank Limited has recently launched card cheque facility for its credit cardholders, said a press<br />

release. The bank’s managing director, Md Mehmood Husain inaugurated the launching event<br />

Prime Minister’s Office has recently signed an agreement regarding online electric bill collection<br />

management with NRB Commercial Bank, Bangladesh Polli Biddutaiyon Board (BREB) and Access to<br />

Information, said a press release. The bank’s managing director, Dewan Mujibor Rahman, BREB secretary<br />

Khaleda Pervin and project director at Access to Information, Kabir Bin Anowar have signed the agreement


6<br />

Sunday, MARCH 12, 2017<br />

DT<br />

W E E K L Y M a r k e t O v e r v i e w<br />

5,671.6<br />

Stocks<br />

SUMMARY Points Change (%) Turnover (BDTmn) Volume (mn) Advanced issues Declined issues Unchanged <strong>Issue</strong>s<br />

DSEX 5,671.6 1.52% 53,706 1,491 147 152 34<br />

CSE ASI 17,570.7 1.55% 3,099 96 143 120 22<br />

Stocks turn green as investors eye Q4 results<br />

• Tribune <strong>Business</strong> Desk<br />

Stocks have recovered last week with investors<br />

taking position on companies prior to the<br />

on-going earnings season.<br />

The benchmark index, DSEX has advanced<br />

85 points to reach 5,671.6 points during the<br />

past week with average daily turnover going<br />

up by 0.23% to Tk1,074cr in comparison to a<br />

week before at Dhaka Stock Exchange.<br />

DS30 closed at 2,049.6 points after gaining<br />

28.6 points over the week and DSES ended at<br />

1,312.2 points by gaining 8.2 points.<br />

Investors are seen taking position on<br />

scrips that they are convinced to announce<br />

strong earnings growth during the on-going<br />

earnings seasons, said an analyst at UCB Capital<br />

Management Ltd.<br />

Roughly a third of total turnover has been among major sectors, banking and textile 25% Convertible Bonds of BRAC Bank Ltd declined<br />

generated from banking and non-banking financial<br />

have showed positive movement over the<br />

the most by 8.42%.<br />

companies.<br />

past week.<br />

GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) Bangladesh Limit-<br />

LankaBangla, Baraka Power and GPH Ispat During the week, Premier Leasing appreciated<br />

ed is the only company that announced divi-<br />

are the most traded stocks last week while<br />

the most by 20.8% and Subordinated dend last week, which was 500% cash. •<br />

Most Traded Price Weekly change MOVEMENT OF Movement DSEX INDEX of LAST DSEX WEEK Index last week<br />

LankaBangla 67.4 9.42% 5680<br />

Baraka 51.5 0.78% 5660<br />

GPH Ispat 48.0 5.73% 5640<br />

Islami Bank 43.4 -2.03%<br />

5620<br />

BEXIMCO 35.2 1.73%<br />

5600<br />

RSRM Steel 84.4 1.44%<br />

5580<br />

BD Thai 33.1 8.17%<br />

5560<br />

Keya Cosmetics 16.2 0.00%<br />

Central Pharma 35.8 15.48%<br />

5540<br />

DSEX (+) 1.52%<br />

5520<br />

City Bank 36.4 9.97%<br />

DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5<br />

Dhaka Tribune has accumulated the stock market related data primarily from Dhaka Stock Exchange website. The basis of information collected was primarily from daily stock quotations and audited/<br />

unaudited reports of publicly listed companies. High level of caution has been taken to collect and present the above information and data. The publisher will not take any responsibility if any body uses this<br />

information and data for his/her investment decision. For any query please email to news@dhakatribune.com.<br />

Poll: Wall Street unanimous on US rate hike next week<br />

• Reuters<br />

Wall Street's top banks were unanimous on the<br />

view the Federal Reserve will increase interest<br />

rates at its policy meeting next week following a<br />

stronger-than-forecast February US payrolls report,<br />

a Reuters poll showed on Friday.<br />

Employers added 235,000 jobs last month, more<br />

than the 190,000 forecast among economists polled<br />

by Reuters. A drop in unemployment, more people<br />

seeking jobs and a rebound in wage growth were<br />

other upbeat aspects of the report that economists<br />

at these top banks reckoned give the Fed a green<br />

light to raise rates by a quarter point, to 0.75-1%.<br />

"It ticks all the boxes for the Fed to move next<br />

week," said Michael Hanson, chief US macro strategist<br />

at TD Securities in New York. The Fed previously<br />

raised rates by a quarter point, to 0.50-0.75%, in<br />

December. TD is one of the 23 primary dealers, or<br />

banks that do business directly with the Fed.<br />

To be sure, the path of rate increases in 2017<br />

could change, according to primary dealers.<br />

It may speed up if the economy accelerates because<br />

of possible tax cuts, looser regulations and<br />

infrastructure spending from President Donald<br />

Trump and a Republican-controlled Congress. On<br />

the other hand, it may be slowed by overseas developments<br />

including surprise election results in Europe,<br />

which could roil financial markets, they said.<br />

Barring unexpected outcomes, the widely anticipated<br />

rate increase in less than a week would<br />

be followed by two more hikes later in 2017, 20<br />

dealers said in the poll. Two dealers forecast only<br />

one more hike after a March move, while one dealer<br />

saw three more increases.<br />

A Reuters poll conducted on Feb 3 showed 14<br />

primary dealers surveyed say they expected no<br />

rate hike in March with 12 of them anticipating<br />

such a move by the end of the second quarter.<br />

The dramatic shift in expectations for a March<br />

hike came even before Friday's strong jobs figures.<br />

Last week, a group of Fed officials including<br />

Chair Janet Yellen hammered the point that they<br />

were prepared to lift rates at the Fed's upcoming<br />

meeting as the economy is near full employment<br />

and inflation to closing in on their 2% goal.<br />

Traders' view on a March increase, as measured<br />

by interest rate futures FFH7, jumped to 80% from<br />

30% in reaction to a barrage of hawkish rhetoric<br />

from policymakers. Their view on the possibility of<br />

a rate hike strengthened to 93% after Friday's jobs<br />

report, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.<br />

After March, however, primary dealers were split<br />

on the timing for when the Fed would raise rates during<br />

the rest of 2017. Twelve of the 23 dealers saw a<br />

rate increase to 1.00-1.25% by the June 13-14 meeting,<br />

while 10 expected such a move by the Fed's September<br />

meeting, the latest Reuters poll showed.<br />

Six of them forecast the Fed's final rate hike for<br />

2017 at its September meeting, bringing its target<br />

range to 1.25-1.5%. Fourteen primary dealers said<br />

they saw the Fed raising rates to 1.25-1.5% at its<br />

Dec 12-13 meeting. •<br />

Dhaka Tribune<br />

DSE NEWS<br />

GLAXOSMITH: The Board of Directors has<br />

recommended 500% cash dividend for the<br />

year ended on December 31, 2016. Date of<br />

AGM: 20.04.2017, Time: 11:00 AM, Venue:<br />

Hotel Agrabad, Agrabad C/A, Chittagong.<br />

Record date: 23.03.2017. The Company<br />

has also reported EPS of Tk. 53.51, NAV per<br />

share of Tk. 214.65 and NOCFPS of Tk. 71.86<br />

for the year ended on December 31, 2016 as<br />

against Tk. 68.99, Tk. 216.15 and Tk. 84.42<br />

respectively for the same period of the<br />

previous year.<br />

SHEPHERD: The Company has reported its<br />

profit after tax Tk. 13.64 million and basic<br />

EPS Tk. 0.13 for the 3 (three) months period<br />

ended on 31 December 2016 (October- December,<br />

2016) as against profit after tax of<br />

Tk. 21.08 million and basic EPS of Tk. 1.10 for<br />

the same period of the previous year. It is to<br />

be noted that basic EPS has been calculated<br />

based on weighted average Pre-IPO paid-up<br />

number of shares i.e. 104,205,986 for 2016<br />

and 19,119,400 shares for 2015. However,<br />

considering Post-IPO 124,205,986 number<br />

of shares the Company's basic EPS for<br />

the 3 (three) months period ended on 31<br />

December, 2016 would be Tk. 0.11. For the<br />

period of 6 (six) months (July to December,<br />

2016) ended on 31 December, 2016 profit<br />

after tax was Tk. 35.53 million and basic EPS<br />

was Tk. 0.34 as against profit after tax of Tk.<br />

37.12 million and basic EPS of Tk. 1.94 for the<br />

same period of the previous year. However,<br />

considering Post-IPO 124,205,986 number<br />

of shares, Company’s basic EPS would be<br />

Tk. 0.29 for 6 (six) months period ended on<br />

31 December, 2016 (July - December, 2016)<br />

and NAV per share would be Tk. 17.59 as on<br />

31 December, 2016.<br />

KEYACOSMET: EPS was Tk. 0.49 for October-December,<br />

2016 as against Tk. 0.17 for<br />

October-December, 2015; EPS was Tk. 1.02<br />

for July-December, 2016 as against Tk. 0.60<br />

for July-December, 2015. NOCFPS was Tk.<br />

(0.76) for July-December, 2016 as against<br />

Tk. (0.40) for July-December, 2015. NAV<br />

per share was Tk. 14.38 as on December 31,<br />

2016 and Tk. 13.36 as on June 30, 2016.<br />

RSRMSTEEL: Md. Younus Bhuiyan and<br />

Mrs. Shamsun Nahar Rahman, both are<br />

Sponsors/Directors of the Company, have<br />

expressed their intention to sell 13,00,000<br />

shares and 8,00,000 shares out of their<br />

total holding of 58,16,760 shares and<br />

66,82,400 shares respectively at prevailing<br />

market price (in Block Market) through<br />

Stock Exchange within next 30 working<br />

days.<br />

DOREENPWR: The Board has recommended<br />

110% final cash dividend (i.e. total 310%<br />

cash dividend for the year 2016 inclusive of<br />

200% interim cash dividend which has already<br />

been paid) for the year ended on December<br />

31, 2016. Date of AGM: 27.04.2017.<br />

Record Date: 21.03.2017. Time and Venue of<br />

the AGM will be notified later. •


OPINION 7<br />

Why a trade deficit is no bad thing<br />

DT<br />

Sunday, MARCH 12, 2017<br />

THE lAST<br />

WORD<br />

TRADE DEFICIT TO EXPORTS RATIO OF BANGLADESH<br />

40%<br />

• Tim Worstall<br />

It was Adam Smith who told us that<br />

there’s nothing more ridiculous<br />

than worrying about the balance of<br />

trade.<br />

And since all of economics is either<br />

a footnote to Smith or wrong<br />

we should probably take note of his<br />

point.<br />

Which means that some of the<br />

worrying about Bangladesh’s trade<br />

balance is misplaced.<br />

Yes, it’s true, the current account<br />

deficit is up, some $754m in<br />

the July-January period as opposed<br />

to the surplus in the same period<br />

last year of $2.47bn.<br />

But as Smith said this is nothing<br />

to worry about – the important<br />

thing we need to grasp is why we<br />

should not, in point of fact, worry<br />

about it.<br />

The first reason is an over-arching<br />

theoretical one – why is it that<br />

we partake in trade at all? It is to<br />

gain access to those lovely imports<br />

that foreigners make better than<br />

we do. To think otherwise, to think<br />

that it is exports which make us<br />

richer is to fall into the pernicious<br />

trap of mercantilism.<br />

I export my labour from my<br />

household, most certainly I do, and<br />

in return I get lovely money. But<br />

that money is not what improves<br />

my lifestyle – what I buy with it –<br />

that food and clothing and machinery<br />

which are the imports into my<br />

household – are what make my life<br />

better.<br />

Thus imports are the reason<br />

that we trade, exports being just<br />

the hard work we’ve got to do to be<br />

able to afford them.<br />

We can make the same point another<br />

way.<br />

It’s entirely possible that we<br />

don’t divide and specialise labour<br />

at all. Many Bangladeshis live this<br />

way right now out in the country,<br />

or used to until very recently.<br />

Pretty much everything the<br />

household consumed would be<br />

produced by that household. We<br />

have another name for those people<br />

too – the absolutely poor.<br />

Once we do divide and specialise<br />

our labour then we must<br />

trade the resultant production.<br />

We export our own production not<br />

because we gain some heartfelt<br />

pleasure from seeing other people<br />

consuming what we have sweated<br />

blood and tears over, but because<br />

we are then able to import those<br />

things that others have worked to<br />

produce.<br />

It is often a mistake to equate an<br />

economy to a household, certainly<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16<br />

Data collected from Bangladesh Bank website as of March 10, 2017<br />

it is on such things as borrowing,<br />

currency and so on.<br />

But on trade they are indeed<br />

conceptually equal, there’s no difference<br />

at all between household<br />

trade, regional trade and trade<br />

across national boundaries.<br />

All of them make us richer as we<br />

gain access to those imports of what<br />

others make better than we do.<br />

So, one way of looking at a trade<br />

deficit is that we’re getting richer,<br />

we’re gaining access to more imports,<br />

the very thing we conduct<br />

trade for in the first place.<br />

The second point is a more detailed<br />

one about how trade statistics<br />

are done. We rather like the<br />

idea of foreigners putting their<br />

capital into Bangladesh in order to<br />

aid in developing industry and the<br />

country. We’re well aware that this<br />

also makes us richer, drives up local<br />

wages.<br />

But we must recall that the balance<br />

of payments does balance,<br />

always and everywhere. This is not<br />

arguable, it is a definition.<br />

We have the balance of trade in<br />

goods, then we add the balance in<br />

services – remittances are really<br />

a service export so we’re positive<br />

there – and that gives us the balance<br />

of trade, the very thing which<br />

Smith told us not to worry about.<br />

That’s also, with minor adjustments,<br />

the current account.<br />

The capital account, instead of<br />

it being foreigners sending us money<br />

for things we have made and<br />

sent them, is foreigners sending us<br />

money to make things which stay<br />

in Bangladesh. Foreign money to<br />

build a building, make a power station,<br />

construct a factory<br />

And the balance of payments is<br />

the current account plus the capital<br />

account.<br />

The capital account will always,<br />

and everywhere, be the inverse of<br />

the balance on the current. For, as I<br />

have said, the balance of payments<br />

always balances.<br />

So what happens when someone<br />

decides to build a factory in<br />

an export zone, just as an example?<br />

We know that this will provide<br />

well paying jobs for Bangladeshis,<br />

well paid relative to the local alternatives<br />

that is, those jobs making<br />

people richer.<br />

We generally regard this as a<br />

good thing, therefore, this sort of<br />

foreign direct investment. But that<br />

What we cannot do is employ foreigners’ money to make<br />

us richer and also have a trade surplus. This is not arguable,<br />

this is definitional. So, what is it that everyone would prefer?<br />

Get richer or do that ridiculous thing of worrying about the<br />

balance of trade?<br />

means, inevitably, that we will have<br />

a surplus on that capital account.<br />

And as the BoP does always balance<br />

that means that we must have<br />

a deficit on the current account at<br />

the same time.<br />

It’s entirely possible for us to say<br />

that we want to have a balanced<br />

current account. But that also<br />

means that we must develop the<br />

country only with the capital that<br />

we have, we cannot allow foreigners<br />

to send more in.<br />

Equally, we can welcome with<br />

open arms that foreign capital, but<br />

that does mean that we’ll have to<br />

run trade deficits of some size.<br />

dhaka tribune<br />

External Sector<br />

of Bangladesh<br />

in FY16<br />

Exports (EPB)<br />

USD 34.2bn<br />

Imports (FOB)<br />

USD 39.7bn<br />

Trade Deficit<br />

USD 5.5bn<br />

Remittance Inflow<br />

USD 14.9bn<br />

Current A/C Balance<br />

USD 3.7bn<br />

Source: Selected Indicators, BB<br />

What we cannot do is employ<br />

foreigners’ money to make us richer<br />

and also have a trade surplus.<br />

This is not arguable, this is definitional.<br />

So, what is it that everyone<br />

would prefer? Get richer or do that<br />

ridiculous thing of worrying about<br />

the balance of trade? •<br />

Tim Worstall is a Senior Fellow at the<br />

Adam Smith Institute in London.

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