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BusinessDay 04 Feb 2018

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Sunday <strong>04</strong> <strong>Feb</strong>ruary <strong>2018</strong><br />

C002D5556<br />

SUNDAY<br />

BD<br />

31<br />

Equity Market<br />

Nigerian Stock market in January <strong>2018</strong><br />

TELIAT SULE<br />

Strong economic fundamentals<br />

which can be measured<br />

in terms of significant buildup<br />

in external reserves,<br />

high crude oil prices, improved<br />

confidence in I & E window<br />

and recovery in the gross domestic<br />

product (GDP) have bolstered investors’<br />

confidence in the Nigerian<br />

equity market, resulting in the listed<br />

stocks appreciating by additional<br />

N2.29 trillion in January <strong>2018</strong>.<br />

The market capitalisation of listed<br />

stocks rose from N13.61 trillion in<br />

December 2017 to close on January<br />

31, <strong>2018</strong> at N15.89 trillion. That<br />

translated to an increase of 16.80<br />

percent over its closing figure in<br />

December 2017. The All Share Index<br />

(ASI) added 6,100.46 points to close<br />

in January at 44,343.65 compared<br />

with 38,243.19 which was its closing<br />

figure on December 29,2017, and<br />

thus appreciated by 15.95 percent<br />

in the first month of the year.<br />

“There is an improved confidence<br />

in the Investors and Exporters’<br />

Window (I & E Window), coupled<br />

with strong economic fundamentals<br />

which we saw in GDP recovery,<br />

lower inflation rate, strong external<br />

reserves and significant inflows into<br />

the market from foreign investors.<br />

In addition, yields on fixed income<br />

instruments are beginning to fall in<br />

anticipation of lower interest rates<br />

and local investors have started to<br />

allocate more resources to the equity<br />

market”, Rasak Abiola, Head Investor<br />

Relations at the United Bank for<br />

Africa (UBA), said.<br />

Sustaining the momentum, the<br />

NSE Banking Index, Pension Index,<br />

Industrial Index and Premium Index<br />

all outperformed the market.<br />

The NSE Banking Index rose by<br />

23.3 percent to close at 586.16 up<br />

from 475.44 in December. The<br />

NSE Pension Index increased by<br />

21.9 percent in January at 1,682.28<br />

up from 1,379.74 in December. The<br />

NSE Industrial Index added 409.34<br />

points to close in January at 2,384.93<br />

as against 1,975.59 in December.<br />

Also, the NSE Premium Index closed<br />

higher at 3,090.56 as against 2,564.13<br />

in December. The NSE 30 Index returned<br />

15.6 percent in January was<br />

at par with the ASI.<br />

However, other sub sectoral indexes<br />

underperformed the All Share<br />

Index. The Main Board and Insurance<br />

Indexes rose by 13.3 percent<br />

and 13 percent to close 1,941.25 and<br />

157.43 in contrast to 1,713.69 and<br />

139.37 as at December 2017. The Oil<br />

7 Gas index closed higher at 366.19,<br />

and that was an increase of over<br />

10.74 percent over 330.69 in December.<br />

The Lotus Islamic Index and<br />

Consumer Goods Index returned 7.6<br />

percent and 5.8 percent in the first<br />

month of the year.<br />

The only exception the positive<br />

returns posted by ASI and other sub<br />

sectoral indexes is NSE ASeM Index<br />

that closed lower by 1.4 percent. The<br />

ASeM Index lost 15.64 points from<br />

1,087.32 in December to close in<br />

January at 1,071.68.<br />

Compared with the market returns<br />

in January 2017, only the NSE<br />

ASeM and NSE Banking Index closed<br />

marginally higher by 1 percent. The<br />

NSE Pension remained neutral to<br />

market dynamics in that month.<br />

The NSE Insurance the closed at<br />

negative 1 percent; Industrial Index,<br />

-2 percent; NSE Premium, ASI, Main<br />

Board each closed at -3 percent. The<br />

Oil and Gas Index closed at -4 percent<br />

while the Lotus Islamic Index<br />

and Consumer Goods closed at -6<br />

percent and -7 percent respectively.<br />

However, analysts have expressed<br />

divergent opinions on the sustainability<br />

of the market momentum.<br />

“The valuation of stocks on the<br />

Nigerian bourse is relatively cheaper<br />

when compared with their peers in<br />

other emerging markets. This implies<br />

some of these stocks are trading<br />

at a discount and there is room for<br />

further growth”, Abiola added.<br />

“Fund inflows, political space and<br />

relative cheapness of Nigerian stocks<br />

compared to emerging markets still<br />

need to be linked to how they are<br />

expected to drive earnings performance<br />

of companies; higher fiscal<br />

and consumer spending for healthcare,<br />

consumer staples, and materials<br />

sector companies, high oil price for<br />

upstream energy companies, favourable<br />

agricultural policies for the agricultural<br />

products companies, more<br />

stable FX environment for easing<br />

cost pressures for consumer staples<br />

companies, and lots more. Based on<br />

all the factors highlighted above, it<br />

is just natural to expect the tempo to<br />

temper as investors re-evaluate and<br />

realign”, Meristem Research, said in<br />

a note to clients.<br />

Vetiva Banking ETF sets the pace<br />

in January<br />

Vetiva Banking ETF set the pace in<br />

January <strong>2018</strong> as it closed by 136.69<br />

percent year to date. The reason<br />

for this high return may not be unconnected<br />

with its price as it is the<br />

cheapest listed ETF at N5.87 per unit.<br />

Stanbic IBTC ETF was closed higher<br />

at 84.5 percent and it was followed<br />

by Vetiva Consumer ETF which retuned<br />

82.84 percent year to date on<br />

31 January. Vetiva GRIFFIN 30 ETF<br />

returned 74.01 to close in January<br />

at N20.55 per unit. The SIAML Pension<br />

ETF 40 closed at 72.28 percent<br />

while Vetiva Industrial ETF was up<br />

by 70.97 percent. Lotus Halal Equity<br />

ETF was up by 50.42 percent; New<br />

Gold ETF closed higher at 31.11 percent<br />

while the least performing of<br />

the ETFs was Vetiva S & P Nigeria<br />

Sovereign Fund that closed higher<br />

at 25.91 percent.<br />

Flour Mills of Nigeria floats Rights<br />

Issue<br />

Nigerian Flour Mills Plc, a dominant<br />

force in the consumer goods<br />

sector, floated Rights Issue on Monday<br />

January 15, <strong>2018</strong>. The company<br />

is out to raise 1,476,142,418 ordinary<br />

shares of 50 kobo each at the offer<br />

price of N27 per share. The allocating<br />

ratio is 9 new ordinary shares<br />

for 16 ordinary shares held as at 8<br />

December 2017. The offer will close<br />

on Wednesday 21, <strong>Feb</strong>ruary <strong>2018</strong>. As<br />

at December 2017, Flour Mills had<br />

2,624,237,187 ordinary shares and<br />

if fully subscribed, the company’s<br />

total ordinary shares will rise to<br />

4,100,379,605.

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