BusinessDay 04 Feb 2018
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Sunday <strong>04</strong> <strong>Feb</strong>ruary <strong>2018</strong><br />
C002D5556<br />
SUNDAY<br />
BD<br />
31<br />
Equity Market<br />
Nigerian Stock market in January <strong>2018</strong><br />
TELIAT SULE<br />
Strong economic fundamentals<br />
which can be measured<br />
in terms of significant buildup<br />
in external reserves,<br />
high crude oil prices, improved<br />
confidence in I & E window<br />
and recovery in the gross domestic<br />
product (GDP) have bolstered investors’<br />
confidence in the Nigerian<br />
equity market, resulting in the listed<br />
stocks appreciating by additional<br />
N2.29 trillion in January <strong>2018</strong>.<br />
The market capitalisation of listed<br />
stocks rose from N13.61 trillion in<br />
December 2017 to close on January<br />
31, <strong>2018</strong> at N15.89 trillion. That<br />
translated to an increase of 16.80<br />
percent over its closing figure in<br />
December 2017. The All Share Index<br />
(ASI) added 6,100.46 points to close<br />
in January at 44,343.65 compared<br />
with 38,243.19 which was its closing<br />
figure on December 29,2017, and<br />
thus appreciated by 15.95 percent<br />
in the first month of the year.<br />
“There is an improved confidence<br />
in the Investors and Exporters’<br />
Window (I & E Window), coupled<br />
with strong economic fundamentals<br />
which we saw in GDP recovery,<br />
lower inflation rate, strong external<br />
reserves and significant inflows into<br />
the market from foreign investors.<br />
In addition, yields on fixed income<br />
instruments are beginning to fall in<br />
anticipation of lower interest rates<br />
and local investors have started to<br />
allocate more resources to the equity<br />
market”, Rasak Abiola, Head Investor<br />
Relations at the United Bank for<br />
Africa (UBA), said.<br />
Sustaining the momentum, the<br />
NSE Banking Index, Pension Index,<br />
Industrial Index and Premium Index<br />
all outperformed the market.<br />
The NSE Banking Index rose by<br />
23.3 percent to close at 586.16 up<br />
from 475.44 in December. The<br />
NSE Pension Index increased by<br />
21.9 percent in January at 1,682.28<br />
up from 1,379.74 in December. The<br />
NSE Industrial Index added 409.34<br />
points to close in January at 2,384.93<br />
as against 1,975.59 in December.<br />
Also, the NSE Premium Index closed<br />
higher at 3,090.56 as against 2,564.13<br />
in December. The NSE 30 Index returned<br />
15.6 percent in January was<br />
at par with the ASI.<br />
However, other sub sectoral indexes<br />
underperformed the All Share<br />
Index. The Main Board and Insurance<br />
Indexes rose by 13.3 percent<br />
and 13 percent to close 1,941.25 and<br />
157.43 in contrast to 1,713.69 and<br />
139.37 as at December 2017. The Oil<br />
7 Gas index closed higher at 366.19,<br />
and that was an increase of over<br />
10.74 percent over 330.69 in December.<br />
The Lotus Islamic Index and<br />
Consumer Goods Index returned 7.6<br />
percent and 5.8 percent in the first<br />
month of the year.<br />
The only exception the positive<br />
returns posted by ASI and other sub<br />
sectoral indexes is NSE ASeM Index<br />
that closed lower by 1.4 percent. The<br />
ASeM Index lost 15.64 points from<br />
1,087.32 in December to close in<br />
January at 1,071.68.<br />
Compared with the market returns<br />
in January 2017, only the NSE<br />
ASeM and NSE Banking Index closed<br />
marginally higher by 1 percent. The<br />
NSE Pension remained neutral to<br />
market dynamics in that month.<br />
The NSE Insurance the closed at<br />
negative 1 percent; Industrial Index,<br />
-2 percent; NSE Premium, ASI, Main<br />
Board each closed at -3 percent. The<br />
Oil and Gas Index closed at -4 percent<br />
while the Lotus Islamic Index<br />
and Consumer Goods closed at -6<br />
percent and -7 percent respectively.<br />
However, analysts have expressed<br />
divergent opinions on the sustainability<br />
of the market momentum.<br />
“The valuation of stocks on the<br />
Nigerian bourse is relatively cheaper<br />
when compared with their peers in<br />
other emerging markets. This implies<br />
some of these stocks are trading<br />
at a discount and there is room for<br />
further growth”, Abiola added.<br />
“Fund inflows, political space and<br />
relative cheapness of Nigerian stocks<br />
compared to emerging markets still<br />
need to be linked to how they are<br />
expected to drive earnings performance<br />
of companies; higher fiscal<br />
and consumer spending for healthcare,<br />
consumer staples, and materials<br />
sector companies, high oil price for<br />
upstream energy companies, favourable<br />
agricultural policies for the agricultural<br />
products companies, more<br />
stable FX environment for easing<br />
cost pressures for consumer staples<br />
companies, and lots more. Based on<br />
all the factors highlighted above, it<br />
is just natural to expect the tempo to<br />
temper as investors re-evaluate and<br />
realign”, Meristem Research, said in<br />
a note to clients.<br />
Vetiva Banking ETF sets the pace<br />
in January<br />
Vetiva Banking ETF set the pace in<br />
January <strong>2018</strong> as it closed by 136.69<br />
percent year to date. The reason<br />
for this high return may not be unconnected<br />
with its price as it is the<br />
cheapest listed ETF at N5.87 per unit.<br />
Stanbic IBTC ETF was closed higher<br />
at 84.5 percent and it was followed<br />
by Vetiva Consumer ETF which retuned<br />
82.84 percent year to date on<br />
31 January. Vetiva GRIFFIN 30 ETF<br />
returned 74.01 to close in January<br />
at N20.55 per unit. The SIAML Pension<br />
ETF 40 closed at 72.28 percent<br />
while Vetiva Industrial ETF was up<br />
by 70.97 percent. Lotus Halal Equity<br />
ETF was up by 50.42 percent; New<br />
Gold ETF closed higher at 31.11 percent<br />
while the least performing of<br />
the ETFs was Vetiva S & P Nigeria<br />
Sovereign Fund that closed higher<br />
at 25.91 percent.<br />
Flour Mills of Nigeria floats Rights<br />
Issue<br />
Nigerian Flour Mills Plc, a dominant<br />
force in the consumer goods<br />
sector, floated Rights Issue on Monday<br />
January 15, <strong>2018</strong>. The company<br />
is out to raise 1,476,142,418 ordinary<br />
shares of 50 kobo each at the offer<br />
price of N27 per share. The allocating<br />
ratio is 9 new ordinary shares<br />
for 16 ordinary shares held as at 8<br />
December 2017. The offer will close<br />
on Wednesday 21, <strong>Feb</strong>ruary <strong>2018</strong>. As<br />
at December 2017, Flour Mills had<br />
2,624,237,187 ordinary shares and<br />
if fully subscribed, the company’s<br />
total ordinary shares will rise to<br />
4,100,379,605.