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Friday <strong>09</strong> <strong>Feb</strong>ruary <strong>2018</strong><br />

COMPANIES<br />

& MARKETS<br />

Company news analysis and insight<br />

BUSINESS<br />

DAY<br />

21<br />

Pensions Alliance reinforces<br />

confidence in contributory<br />

pension scheme<br />

Pg. 23<br />

MPC to lower rate in Q1 <strong>2018</strong> to<br />

spike growth- FSDH Research<br />

Hope Moses Ashike<br />

The monetary Policy<br />

of Committee (MPC)<br />

of the central Bank of<br />

Nigeria (CBN) is anticipated<br />

to ease in the first<br />

quarter of <strong>2018</strong>, as it will simulate<br />

growth, according to FSDH Research.<br />

The FSDH Research also expects<br />

inflation rate to drop to single<br />

digit in June of the same year.<br />

Ayodele Akinwunmi, the head<br />

of research at FSDH was of the<br />

opinion that the ease in the monetary<br />

policy coupled with drop in<br />

inflation rate and stability in the<br />

foreign exchange market should<br />

continue to put a downward pressure<br />

on yields on the fixed incomes<br />

securities<br />

The development will lead to<br />

growth in credits to the private sector,<br />

rebound in the activities in the<br />

corporate Bond Market, increase in<br />

the issuance of commercial paper<br />

and a growth in the equity market.<br />

“We expect the average yields<br />

on the fixed income securities to<br />

drop substantially lower in <strong>2018</strong><br />

than the levels attained in 2017”,<br />

Akinwunmi said at a media briefing<br />

in Lagos.<br />

However, the major risks to the<br />

monetary policy easing include<br />

drop in the crude oil price at the<br />

international market, drop in oil<br />

production in Nigeria, monetary<br />

policy normalisation in the advanced<br />

economies, and reversal in<br />

the current trend of inflation rate.<br />

Meanwhile, the first scheduled<br />

MPC meeting of the year for 22-23<br />

January, <strong>2018</strong> was cancelled due<br />

to the Bank’s inability to form a<br />

quorum as stipulated in the CBN<br />

Act 2007.<br />

According to Godwin Emefiele,<br />

the CBN governor, Africa’s largest<br />

economy will continue to maintain<br />

the key monetary variables as decided<br />

in the last MPC meeting of<br />

November 2017 and the Monetary<br />

Policy Rate (MPR) was retained at<br />

14 percent; CRR at 22.5 percent; Liquidity<br />

Ratio at 30 percent and the<br />

Asymmetric Corridor at +200 and<br />

-500 basis points around the MPR.<br />

Even if the MPC meeting did<br />

not hold, analysts do not see the<br />

possibility of a change in monetary<br />

policy direction for now, as<br />

they maintain that the Committee<br />

would likely have retained its tightening<br />

position, which it has held<br />

since September 2016 because the<br />

CBN appears to be moving in the<br />

right direction.<br />

Although, there has been argument<br />

that the CBN should begin<br />

monetary policy tapering in order<br />

to strengthen growth prospects.<br />

Some analysts however argue that<br />

the gains accruing from lower<br />

interest rate does not often impact<br />

the economy positively in terms<br />

of credit expansion to the real<br />

economy, but usually finds its way<br />

into the foreign exchange market<br />

and cause distortions.<br />

The research department of the<br />

FSDH expects the inflation rate to<br />

drop to a single digit in June <strong>2018</strong> if<br />

there is no adjustment to the PMS<br />

Price and electricity tariff. The base<br />

effect from previous year’s Consumer<br />

Price Indices and expected<br />

stability in the foreign exchange<br />

rate led to the consistent drop in<br />

the inflation rate in 2017.<br />

The inflation rate dropped to<br />

15.37 percent in December from<br />

18.72 percent in January 2017. “We<br />

expect the inflation rate to average<br />

10.62 percent in <strong>2018</strong> from an average<br />

of 16.55 percent in 2017.<br />

The factors that will influence<br />

the inflation rate in <strong>2018</strong> are the<br />

availability of foreign exchange to<br />

meet consumption and production<br />

purposes, the expected lower interest<br />

rate environment in <strong>2018</strong> than<br />

Switzerland’s Allseas plans world’s<br />

largest construction vessel<br />

Swiss offshore services firm<br />

All seas is planning to build a<br />

vessel big enough to remove<br />

the world’s largest oil and<br />

gas platforms when they reach the<br />

end of their production lives.<br />

The Chief Executive, Mr Edward<br />

Heerema said the vessel would to be<br />

called Amazing Grace, was designed<br />

to remove the heaviest platforms in a<br />

single lift and could reduce decommissioning<br />

costs for global oil and<br />

gas producers.<br />

The firm said it would be a bigger<br />

version of Allseas’ existing Pioneering<br />

Spirit ship, which removed<br />

Shell’s Brent Delta platform in the<br />

North Sea last year, and would cost<br />

about three billion dollars, Allseas<br />

CEO Heerema told Media.<br />

“We have been asked by the<br />

operators to look at the technical<br />

possibilities to remove bigger platforms,”<br />

he said on the sidelines of a<br />

conference.<br />

He said that an investment deci-<br />

sion on Amazing Grace could come<br />

in three years.<br />

“Due to its speed, single-lift<br />

technology is the most cost-efficient<br />

method to use,” he added.<br />

If Allseas decides to go ahead, it<br />

would set a new record as the biggest<br />

such vessel ever built, with 50<br />

per cent more lifting capacity than<br />

Pioneering Spirit, at 72,000 metric<br />

tonnes, said the chief executive.<br />

Its length will reach 160 meters,<br />

making it about one third longer<br />

in 2017, improved oil production<br />

and local substitution strategy and<br />

increased local food production.<br />

On the other hand, the negative<br />

factors to raise inflation rates are<br />

further disruption to food production<br />

in some food producing areas<br />

in Nigeria, moderate growth in<br />

global commodities prices and<br />

possible increase in electricity tariff<br />

and Premium Motor Spirit (PMI)<br />

pump price.<br />

The outlook of the foreign exchange<br />

market is stable as the firm<br />

believes there are more factors in<br />

favour of stability or appreciation<br />

in the value of Naira than depreciation<br />

in the value of Naira.<br />

FSDH Research forecasts a Real<br />

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)<br />

growth rate of 3.16 percent in <strong>2018</strong><br />

and 4.<strong>09</strong> percent in 2019. However,<br />

with the population growing at<br />

2.75 percent, the country requires<br />

growth rate in excess of 5 percent to<br />

substantially improve the wellbeing<br />

of Nigerians.<br />

than Pioneering Spirit.<br />

Allseas’ Pioneering Spirit, holding<br />

the current record, is currently<br />

laying Gazprom’s Turkstream pipeline<br />

from Russia to Turkey through<br />

the Black Sea.<br />

The vessel would be able to<br />

remove the biggest platforms of<br />

Statfjord, Gullfaks and Thistle fields<br />

offshore Norway and Britain, whose<br />

operators have contacted Allseas<br />

for a platform removal concept<br />

research, added Heerema<br />

Lagos art lovers<br />

get chance to<br />

bid for longlost<br />

masterpiece<br />

found in<br />

London<br />

Portrait of a Nigerian princess<br />

that was lost for more than<br />

40 years has been found in a<br />

London flat and will be sold<br />

at an auction screened live in Lagos,<br />

allowing Nigerian art lovers to make<br />

bids direct from the West African<br />

mega-city.<br />

“Tutu”, by Nigeria’s best-known<br />

modern artist Ben Enwonwu, was<br />

painted in 1974 and appeared at an<br />

art show in Lagos the following year<br />

but its whereabouts after that were<br />

unknown until it re-surfaced in north<br />

London.<br />

“It was his greatest masterpiece<br />

and people have been asking ‘where<br />

is Tutu?’<br />

” So to have this image turn up is<br />

extraordinary,” said Giles Peppiatt, an<br />

expert in modern and contemporary<br />

African art at London auction house<br />

Bonhams, who identified the painting.<br />

The portrait of Adetutu Ademiluyi,<br />

who was a grand-daughter of a revered<br />

traditional ruler from the Yoruba ethnic<br />

group, holds special significance<br />

in Nigeria as a symbol of national<br />

reconciliation after the 1967-1970<br />

Biafran War.<br />

Enwonwu belonged to the Igbo<br />

ethnic group, the largest in the southeastern<br />

region of Nigeria .<br />

The Yoruba people, whose homeland<br />

is in the southwest, were mostly<br />

on the opposing side in the war.<br />

Enwonwu painted three versions<br />

of the portrait.<br />

The other two remain lost, although<br />

prints first made in the 1970s<br />

have been in circulation ever since<br />

and the images are familiar to many<br />

Nigerians. Enwonwu died in 1994.<br />

Oliver Enwonwu, the artist’s son,<br />

is president of the Society of Nigerian<br />

Artists. “This is a very significant discovery,<br />

given my father’s contribution<br />

to Nigerian art and African art, more<br />

broadly,” he told Reuters in Lagos.<br />

Peppiatt said it had come as a<br />

shock to him to find the painting hanging<br />

in a north London home where he<br />

was called to examine it, because he<br />

had been on several wild goose chases<br />

in the past in search of the originals.<br />

The owners did not wish to be<br />

identified, he said.<br />

The work will be sold on <strong>Feb</strong>. 28 in<br />

an auction at Bonhams in London that<br />

will be shown live at the Wheatbaker,<br />

a boutique hotel popular with artists<br />

in Ikoyi, a wealthy neighborhood of<br />

Lagos.<br />

The price estimate is between<br />

200,000 and 300,000 pounds (277,600-<br />

416,400 dollars ).<br />

“We are quite hopeful about it because<br />

the market for Nigerian modern<br />

art is really strong at the moment. I’ve<br />

been in the market for 12 years and<br />

it’s as strong as I’ve ever known it,”<br />

Peppiatt told the Media.

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