BusinessDay 09 Feb 2018
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Friday <strong>09</strong> <strong>Feb</strong>ruary <strong>2018</strong><br />
COMPANIES<br />
& MARKETS<br />
Company news analysis and insight<br />
BUSINESS<br />
DAY<br />
21<br />
Pensions Alliance reinforces<br />
confidence in contributory<br />
pension scheme<br />
Pg. 23<br />
MPC to lower rate in Q1 <strong>2018</strong> to<br />
spike growth- FSDH Research<br />
Hope Moses Ashike<br />
The monetary Policy<br />
of Committee (MPC)<br />
of the central Bank of<br />
Nigeria (CBN) is anticipated<br />
to ease in the first<br />
quarter of <strong>2018</strong>, as it will simulate<br />
growth, according to FSDH Research.<br />
The FSDH Research also expects<br />
inflation rate to drop to single<br />
digit in June of the same year.<br />
Ayodele Akinwunmi, the head<br />
of research at FSDH was of the<br />
opinion that the ease in the monetary<br />
policy coupled with drop in<br />
inflation rate and stability in the<br />
foreign exchange market should<br />
continue to put a downward pressure<br />
on yields on the fixed incomes<br />
securities<br />
The development will lead to<br />
growth in credits to the private sector,<br />
rebound in the activities in the<br />
corporate Bond Market, increase in<br />
the issuance of commercial paper<br />
and a growth in the equity market.<br />
“We expect the average yields<br />
on the fixed income securities to<br />
drop substantially lower in <strong>2018</strong><br />
than the levels attained in 2017”,<br />
Akinwunmi said at a media briefing<br />
in Lagos.<br />
However, the major risks to the<br />
monetary policy easing include<br />
drop in the crude oil price at the<br />
international market, drop in oil<br />
production in Nigeria, monetary<br />
policy normalisation in the advanced<br />
economies, and reversal in<br />
the current trend of inflation rate.<br />
Meanwhile, the first scheduled<br />
MPC meeting of the year for 22-23<br />
January, <strong>2018</strong> was cancelled due<br />
to the Bank’s inability to form a<br />
quorum as stipulated in the CBN<br />
Act 2007.<br />
According to Godwin Emefiele,<br />
the CBN governor, Africa’s largest<br />
economy will continue to maintain<br />
the key monetary variables as decided<br />
in the last MPC meeting of<br />
November 2017 and the Monetary<br />
Policy Rate (MPR) was retained at<br />
14 percent; CRR at 22.5 percent; Liquidity<br />
Ratio at 30 percent and the<br />
Asymmetric Corridor at +200 and<br />
-500 basis points around the MPR.<br />
Even if the MPC meeting did<br />
not hold, analysts do not see the<br />
possibility of a change in monetary<br />
policy direction for now, as<br />
they maintain that the Committee<br />
would likely have retained its tightening<br />
position, which it has held<br />
since September 2016 because the<br />
CBN appears to be moving in the<br />
right direction.<br />
Although, there has been argument<br />
that the CBN should begin<br />
monetary policy tapering in order<br />
to strengthen growth prospects.<br />
Some analysts however argue that<br />
the gains accruing from lower<br />
interest rate does not often impact<br />
the economy positively in terms<br />
of credit expansion to the real<br />
economy, but usually finds its way<br />
into the foreign exchange market<br />
and cause distortions.<br />
The research department of the<br />
FSDH expects the inflation rate to<br />
drop to a single digit in June <strong>2018</strong> if<br />
there is no adjustment to the PMS<br />
Price and electricity tariff. The base<br />
effect from previous year’s Consumer<br />
Price Indices and expected<br />
stability in the foreign exchange<br />
rate led to the consistent drop in<br />
the inflation rate in 2017.<br />
The inflation rate dropped to<br />
15.37 percent in December from<br />
18.72 percent in January 2017. “We<br />
expect the inflation rate to average<br />
10.62 percent in <strong>2018</strong> from an average<br />
of 16.55 percent in 2017.<br />
The factors that will influence<br />
the inflation rate in <strong>2018</strong> are the<br />
availability of foreign exchange to<br />
meet consumption and production<br />
purposes, the expected lower interest<br />
rate environment in <strong>2018</strong> than<br />
Switzerland’s Allseas plans world’s<br />
largest construction vessel<br />
Swiss offshore services firm<br />
All seas is planning to build a<br />
vessel big enough to remove<br />
the world’s largest oil and<br />
gas platforms when they reach the<br />
end of their production lives.<br />
The Chief Executive, Mr Edward<br />
Heerema said the vessel would to be<br />
called Amazing Grace, was designed<br />
to remove the heaviest platforms in a<br />
single lift and could reduce decommissioning<br />
costs for global oil and<br />
gas producers.<br />
The firm said it would be a bigger<br />
version of Allseas’ existing Pioneering<br />
Spirit ship, which removed<br />
Shell’s Brent Delta platform in the<br />
North Sea last year, and would cost<br />
about three billion dollars, Allseas<br />
CEO Heerema told Media.<br />
“We have been asked by the<br />
operators to look at the technical<br />
possibilities to remove bigger platforms,”<br />
he said on the sidelines of a<br />
conference.<br />
He said that an investment deci-<br />
sion on Amazing Grace could come<br />
in three years.<br />
“Due to its speed, single-lift<br />
technology is the most cost-efficient<br />
method to use,” he added.<br />
If Allseas decides to go ahead, it<br />
would set a new record as the biggest<br />
such vessel ever built, with 50<br />
per cent more lifting capacity than<br />
Pioneering Spirit, at 72,000 metric<br />
tonnes, said the chief executive.<br />
Its length will reach 160 meters,<br />
making it about one third longer<br />
in 2017, improved oil production<br />
and local substitution strategy and<br />
increased local food production.<br />
On the other hand, the negative<br />
factors to raise inflation rates are<br />
further disruption to food production<br />
in some food producing areas<br />
in Nigeria, moderate growth in<br />
global commodities prices and<br />
possible increase in electricity tariff<br />
and Premium Motor Spirit (PMI)<br />
pump price.<br />
The outlook of the foreign exchange<br />
market is stable as the firm<br />
believes there are more factors in<br />
favour of stability or appreciation<br />
in the value of Naira than depreciation<br />
in the value of Naira.<br />
FSDH Research forecasts a Real<br />
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)<br />
growth rate of 3.16 percent in <strong>2018</strong><br />
and 4.<strong>09</strong> percent in 2019. However,<br />
with the population growing at<br />
2.75 percent, the country requires<br />
growth rate in excess of 5 percent to<br />
substantially improve the wellbeing<br />
of Nigerians.<br />
than Pioneering Spirit.<br />
Allseas’ Pioneering Spirit, holding<br />
the current record, is currently<br />
laying Gazprom’s Turkstream pipeline<br />
from Russia to Turkey through<br />
the Black Sea.<br />
The vessel would be able to<br />
remove the biggest platforms of<br />
Statfjord, Gullfaks and Thistle fields<br />
offshore Norway and Britain, whose<br />
operators have contacted Allseas<br />
for a platform removal concept<br />
research, added Heerema<br />
Lagos art lovers<br />
get chance to<br />
bid for longlost<br />
masterpiece<br />
found in<br />
London<br />
Portrait of a Nigerian princess<br />
that was lost for more than<br />
40 years has been found in a<br />
London flat and will be sold<br />
at an auction screened live in Lagos,<br />
allowing Nigerian art lovers to make<br />
bids direct from the West African<br />
mega-city.<br />
“Tutu”, by Nigeria’s best-known<br />
modern artist Ben Enwonwu, was<br />
painted in 1974 and appeared at an<br />
art show in Lagos the following year<br />
but its whereabouts after that were<br />
unknown until it re-surfaced in north<br />
London.<br />
“It was his greatest masterpiece<br />
and people have been asking ‘where<br />
is Tutu?’<br />
” So to have this image turn up is<br />
extraordinary,” said Giles Peppiatt, an<br />
expert in modern and contemporary<br />
African art at London auction house<br />
Bonhams, who identified the painting.<br />
The portrait of Adetutu Ademiluyi,<br />
who was a grand-daughter of a revered<br />
traditional ruler from the Yoruba ethnic<br />
group, holds special significance<br />
in Nigeria as a symbol of national<br />
reconciliation after the 1967-1970<br />
Biafran War.<br />
Enwonwu belonged to the Igbo<br />
ethnic group, the largest in the southeastern<br />
region of Nigeria .<br />
The Yoruba people, whose homeland<br />
is in the southwest, were mostly<br />
on the opposing side in the war.<br />
Enwonwu painted three versions<br />
of the portrait.<br />
The other two remain lost, although<br />
prints first made in the 1970s<br />
have been in circulation ever since<br />
and the images are familiar to many<br />
Nigerians. Enwonwu died in 1994.<br />
Oliver Enwonwu, the artist’s son,<br />
is president of the Society of Nigerian<br />
Artists. “This is a very significant discovery,<br />
given my father’s contribution<br />
to Nigerian art and African art, more<br />
broadly,” he told Reuters in Lagos.<br />
Peppiatt said it had come as a<br />
shock to him to find the painting hanging<br />
in a north London home where he<br />
was called to examine it, because he<br />
had been on several wild goose chases<br />
in the past in search of the originals.<br />
The owners did not wish to be<br />
identified, he said.<br />
The work will be sold on <strong>Feb</strong>. 28 in<br />
an auction at Bonhams in London that<br />
will be shown live at the Wheatbaker,<br />
a boutique hotel popular with artists<br />
in Ikoyi, a wealthy neighborhood of<br />
Lagos.<br />
The price estimate is between<br />
200,000 and 300,000 pounds (277,600-<br />
416,400 dollars ).<br />
“We are quite hopeful about it because<br />
the market for Nigerian modern<br />
art is really strong at the moment. I’ve<br />
been in the market for 12 years and<br />
it’s as strong as I’ve ever known it,”<br />
Peppiatt told the Media.