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Closing Remarks

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Advice: Be Wary of Unintended consequences<br />

Unintended consequences often occur when something is changed. I don’t think anyone<br />

deliberately wanted to destroy pension schemes in the UK when the banks were saved by<br />

money printing and low interest rates which then forced bond yields into ‘no interest’<br />

territory.<br />

I don’t suppose the Victorians intended to wipe out the red squirrel population when they<br />

brought some grey squirrels from America to look pretty in our city parks.<br />

When strong passwords were mandated for secure websites involving upper case, lower<br />

case, numbers and symbology to make them more secure, people started writing them<br />

down where miscreants could steal them.<br />

Use-it-or-lose it budget policies were intended to lead to more efficient distribution of<br />

resources. In reality, it's not uncommon for managers to blow year end budgets on frivolous<br />

purchases so that they don't lose it next year.<br />

Not all unintended consequences are unwanted. Famously, the drug Viagra was developed<br />

to lower blood pressure, with its main current use being discovered as a side effect in<br />

clinical trials.<br />

My favourite relates to the British Raj. The government, concerned about the number of<br />

venomous cobra snakes in Delhi, offered a bounty for every dead cobra. Initially this was<br />

successful as large numbers of snakes were killed for the reward. However the enterprise of<br />

local people was not considered. They began to breed cobras for the income. When the<br />

government became aware of this, they scrapped the reward program, causing the cobra<br />

breeders to set the now-worthless snakes free. As a result, the wild cobra population<br />

further increased. The apparent solution for the problem made the situation much worse.<br />

I have a personal story around ‘unintended consequences’. I have been introducing my 6<br />

year old grand-daughter to the concept of inner peace (I mentioned this in a previous<br />

session on advice to grandparents). She seems to be taking it on board and her confidence<br />

grows to cope with life’s little challenges. It also seems to be increasing her individuality.<br />

Recently she went to a frozen party where all the girls were dressed as princesses. My<br />

grand-child was confident enough to refuse her princess costume and go as a ladybird.

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