ENERGY Caribbean Yearbook (2013-14)
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The annual review of the <strong>Caribbean</strong> energy industry<br />
YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong>
YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
Contents<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong> energy map 2-3<br />
Section 1: the big issues<br />
World energy outlook 4<br />
Caricom energy policy 1 6<br />
Caricom energy policy 2 7<br />
Energy security 8<br />
The future of gas 9<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong> gas market 10<br />
The green agenda 11<br />
Going international 12<br />
Alternative fuels 13<br />
Trinidad & Tobago’s oil revival 1 <strong>14</strong><br />
Trinidad & Tobago’s oil revival 2 15<br />
Cross-border gas 16<br />
Deep water exploration 17<br />
Independents 18<br />
Climate change 19<br />
Local content 20<br />
Gas-based development 21<br />
Section 2: the energy producers<br />
Trinidad and Tobago 22<br />
Suriname 28<br />
Barbados 30<br />
Belize 32<br />
Jamaica 33<br />
Guyana 34<br />
Cuba 35<br />
Section 3: company profiles<br />
Atlantic 36<br />
CIBC First<strong>Caribbean</strong> International Bank 38<br />
Gasfin Development SA 40<br />
Methanex Trinidad 42<br />
The National Gas Company 44<br />
Repsol Trinidad & Tobago 46<br />
Solaris Energy 48<br />
Written by<br />
David Renwick<br />
Editor<br />
Jeremy Taylor<br />
Sales<br />
Denise Chin<br />
Design<br />
Bridget van Dongen<br />
Administration<br />
Joanne Mendes, Jacqueline Smith<br />
Cover photo<br />
Drilling (courtesy Petrotrin)<br />
The <strong>ENERGY</strong> <strong>Caribbean</strong> <strong>Yearbook</strong> is<br />
published annually<br />
by Media & Editorial Projects Ltd.,<br />
6 Prospect Avenue, Maraval,<br />
Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago<br />
Tel: (868) 622-3821<br />
Fax: (868) 628-0639<br />
energy@meppublishers.com<br />
Sales: dchin@meppublishers.com<br />
Distributed free to subscribers of the bimonthly<br />
<strong>ENERGY</strong> <strong>Caribbean</strong> newsletter<br />
Retail price US$25 + p/p<br />
For subscription and retail information<br />
please visit<br />
www.meppublishers.com<br />
or call<br />
(868) 622-3821<br />
© Media & Editorial Projects Ltd. <strong>2013</strong><br />
All rights strictly reserved.<br />
ISSN 1811-1726<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
1
Mississippi R.<br />
Houma<br />
New Orleans<br />
Tallahassee<br />
Orlando<br />
Daytona Beach<br />
USA<br />
Gulf<br />
Miami<br />
of<br />
Nassau<br />
Mexico<br />
Havana<br />
Bahamas<br />
Cuba<br />
Villahermosa<br />
Cayman Islands<br />
Jamaica<br />
Kingston<br />
Ha<br />
Port-au-Prin<br />
Flores<br />
Belize<br />
Tuxtla Gutierrez<br />
C a r i b<br />
Honduras<br />
b e a n<br />
S<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong><br />
energy map<br />
Nicaragua<br />
San José<br />
Maraca<br />
Oil or gas field<br />
Costa Rica<br />
Panama<br />
Panama<br />
Refinery<br />
LNG train<br />
Eastern <strong>Caribbean</strong> gas pipeline<br />
English-speaking territory<br />
French-speaking territory<br />
Dutch-speaking territory<br />
Spanish-speaking territory<br />
P a c i f i c<br />
O c e a n<br />
C<br />
2
A t l a n t i c<br />
O c e a n<br />
Haiti<br />
ort-au-Prince<br />
Maracaibo<br />
Dominican<br />
Republic<br />
S e a<br />
Santo Domingo<br />
Aruba<br />
Oranjestad Curaçao<br />
Bonaire<br />
Willemstad<br />
Valencia<br />
San Juan<br />
Puerto Rico<br />
Caracas<br />
Virgin Islands<br />
Philipsburg St Maarten<br />
St Kitts & Nevis Antigua<br />
Basseterre St John<br />
Montserrat<br />
Pointe-á-Pitre<br />
Guadeloupe<br />
Roseau Dominica<br />
Fort-de-France Martinique<br />
Castries<br />
St Lucia<br />
St Vincent &<br />
the Grenadines<br />
Barbados<br />
Kingstown Bridgetown<br />
St George’s<br />
Grenada<br />
Scarborough Tobago<br />
Port of Spain<br />
Trinidad<br />
N<br />
Venezuela<br />
Georgetown<br />
Colombia<br />
Guyana<br />
Paramaribo<br />
Cayenne<br />
Suriname<br />
French<br />
Guiana<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong> 3
Energy<br />
issues<br />
world energy outlook<br />
Oil price will stay high<br />
Companie<br />
In the <strong>Caribbean</strong>, the international energy outlook is a good deal brighter for<br />
Countries<br />
supply challenge. LNG projects these days are notoriously difficult to deliver.” With<br />
4<br />
oil and gas producers than for consumers.<br />
With reviving economic growth in North America and continued economic<br />
expansion in the Far East, the price of oil is likely to stay within the $95-100<br />
range, well above the cost of production of any reasonably efficient company.<br />
The gas price will probably remain lower in the United States than has been the<br />
case until recently, moving between $4 and $4.50 per mmbtu. But it will continue<br />
strong in major Eastern markets such as Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, and even<br />
in the European Union, where demand for LNG is rising.<br />
Until the US starts to export LNG late in the current decade, pressures on pricing<br />
will intensify. Several LNG projects in other countries are having difficulty getting<br />
off the ground, because of spiralling costs for LNG construction, most notably in<br />
Australia, Canada and Qatar, and because of infrastructural deficiencies in areas<br />
like East Africa, the new hotspot for LNG development.<br />
Spokesmen for the BG Group in the UK, a major LNG trader which operates in<br />
Trinidad and Tobago, insist that “it is not going to be easy to meet an enormous<br />
LNG expected to comprise <strong>14</strong>% of all globally traded gas by 2025, there is clearly<br />
a challenge in bringing enough supply projects on stream to be able to meet this<br />
demand.<br />
The price of oil is likely to stay within the $95-100<br />
range, well above the cost of production of any<br />
reasonably efficient company<br />
Another piece of bad news is that coal could be making a comeback, thanks<br />
to the high cost of oil. The Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA)<br />
suggests, startlingly, that “demand for coal could catch up with oil by 2022.” As<br />
early as 2017, global coal consumption could stand at 4.32 billion tonnes of oil<br />
equivalent, compared with 4.4 billion tonnes for oil itself, the IEA predicts.<br />
This, of course, will be terribly unhealthy for the environment, since coal is<br />
the most polluting fossil fuel, and already over 66% of climate change-causing<br />
emissions emanate from the energy sector.<br />
The expectation was, of course, that energy-importing countries would turn to<br />
the more climate-friendly natural gas. But, with export projects facing long delays,<br />
coal could bridge the gap in the market.<br />
The price competitiveness of coal also poses a threat to the development of<br />
renewable energy (RE) sources in <strong>2013</strong> and beyond. If coal is cheaper and the gas<br />
price remains high outside North America, electric utilities will ask themselves:<br />
why convert to RE?<br />
Governments could artificially depress the price of RE to make it attractive to<br />
Atlantic LNG tank (courtesy bptt)
Energy<br />
the consumer, but at a time of constrained budgets everywhere, this is hardly an<br />
appealing strategy.<br />
issues<br />
One energy concern has now been taken off the table and will no longer be<br />
exercising the energy planners’ minds in <strong>2013</strong> and beyond – peak oil. The day<br />
when oil production reach its zenith and starts to decline has now been pushed<br />
well into the future – and may not occur at all, because new sources of fossil fuel<br />
energy are coming into the picture to add to existing oil output.<br />
These are the “unconventional” fuels – shale oil, shale gas, tar sands, coal<br />
bed methane, biofuels – that are being retrieved in greater quantities and will<br />
replace (and probably add to) conventional production from existing geological<br />
structures.<br />
If coal is cheaper and the gas price remains high<br />
outside<br />
Compani<br />
North America, electric utilities will ask themselves:<br />
why convert to renewables?<br />
Countries<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
5
caricom energy policy 1<br />
Energy<br />
issues<br />
The <strong>Caribbean</strong>’s<br />
nightmare import bill<br />
Except for Trinidad and Tobago,<br />
the countries of Caricom have<br />
long faced the acute problem<br />
of having to import the energy<br />
they need for their economies<br />
to function.<br />
This dependence has been worsening.<br />
“The total cost of the annual fuel import<br />
bill for the region today is around (US)<br />
$8-9 billion,” says Desiree Field-Ridley,<br />
officer in charge of trade and economic<br />
integration at the Caricom secretariat in<br />
Guyana, “with the tendency to be rising.”<br />
Compare that with $2.5 billion in<br />
2006, when the Caricom task force,<br />
appointed three years earlier with a<br />
mandate to “develop mechanisms for<br />
a regional energy policy,” was finalising<br />
its draft report. The magnitude of the<br />
dependence is staggering.<br />
With so much foreign exchange<br />
going to pay for one product, however<br />
essential, there is a “deleterious effect”,<br />
as Field-Ridley puts it, “on the economic<br />
and social development of the net<br />
Traffic in St. John’s, Antigua (courtesy Hugh Fiske/Flickr)<br />
energy-importing countries of Caricom.”<br />
The effort made by Venezuela in 2005<br />
to ease that “deleterious effect” through<br />
the PetroCaribe oil supply programme<br />
only plunged the 13 Caricom states<br />
who signed up for it further into debt<br />
and did little to ease their foreign<br />
exchange liability, according to Field-<br />
Ridley’s figures. After a down-payment<br />
of part of the commercial price would<br />
be made, buyers would pay the balance<br />
over several years.<br />
Companie<br />
Countries<br />
Caricom’s energy-importing countries<br />
Despite PetroCaribe, when the price<br />
of oil soared to $<strong>14</strong>7 a barrel in 2008,<br />
“were almost at a panic stage”, to<br />
quote Joseph Williams, manager of the<br />
secretariat’s energy unit. The secretariat<br />
responded with a programme named<br />
C-SERMS (Caricom Sustainable Energy<br />
Road Map and Strategy), to help<br />
accelerate the move towards renewable<br />
energy and more efficient usage in<br />
member states.<br />
C-SERMS has now been subsumed<br />
into the Caricom Energy Policy, which<br />
updates and completes the 2007 task<br />
force report. It was adopted by regional<br />
energy ministers at a special Council<br />
for Trade and Economic Development<br />
meeting in Port of Spain on March 1,<br />
<strong>2013</strong>, and was due to go forward to the<br />
Caricom heads of government in July<br />
for formal ratification.<br />
The major petroleum products on<br />
which Caricom depends are residual<br />
fuel oil for power generation (57% of the<br />
total in 2008) and motor gasolene for<br />
transportation (16%). “Other petroleum<br />
products” accounted for 13%.<br />
The larger Caricom states like<br />
Jamaica and Guyana have to divert 40-<br />
60% of their total export earnings to<br />
pay for this lifeline, leaving relatively<br />
little for other imports, including food<br />
and medicines.<br />
As the Caricom Energy Policy points<br />
out, “for the tourism/services-oriented<br />
countries, such as Belize, Grenada,<br />
St Vincent and the Grenadines and<br />
Barbados, petroleum imports range<br />
from 13% to 30% of export earnings.”<br />
When export income falls, as it did in<br />
Grenada in the year under review (2008),<br />
“a higher oil import/foreign exchange<br />
earnings ratio” has to be faced.<br />
In Caricom, Jamaica is most heavily<br />
dependent on imported energy. It<br />
requires crude oil to feed its 36,000 b/d<br />
Petrojam refinery and refined products<br />
to run the various parts of its economy.<br />
In 2008, it imported 16.3 million<br />
barrels of fuel oil for power generation,<br />
and 4.3 million barrels of gasolene<br />
and 3.6 million barrels of diesel for<br />
transportation.<br />
6
Energy<br />
caricom energy policy 2<br />
issues<br />
Is the <strong>Caribbean</strong> serious<br />
about renewable energy?<br />
The principal purpose of<br />
the Caricom Energy Policy<br />
is to reduce substantially<br />
the Community’s historic<br />
dependence on imported<br />
petroleum products.<br />
Once approved by the regional<br />
heads of government, it will provide a<br />
measure of energy security that has not<br />
been possible when the cost of oil can<br />
fluctuate widely overnight and import<br />
needs are decided by the state of the<br />
economy from year to year.<br />
A major source of Caricom’s petroleum<br />
Compani<br />
imports is actually one of its own –<br />
Trinidad and Tobago. But that is small<br />
comfort, since Trinidad and Tobago sells<br />
its refined products at prices related<br />
to international crude benchmarks.<br />
Caricom states do get some relief<br />
from the part-payment they make on<br />
Venezuelan oil, but that too is little<br />
comfort when deliveries fall short, as<br />
they have often tended to do.<br />
Hence the problem: how to adjust<br />
the energy mix so that oil plays a less<br />
burdensome part?<br />
The Caricom Energy Policy settles<br />
unsurprisingly for a multi-pronged<br />
approach, focusing on enhanced<br />
renewable energy alongside efficiency<br />
measures to reduce the amount of<br />
energy needed to create each dollar of<br />
GDP. It lists renewable inputs as solar,<br />
wind, biomass, landfill gas, bio-ethanol,<br />
hydro, geothermal, waste-to-energy,<br />
marine energy (including tidal and<br />
wave), and even hydrogen.<br />
Countries<br />
Even geothermal-fired electricity<br />
Most of those resources are available<br />
domestically and do not involve the<br />
use of precious foreign exchange once<br />
plant and equipment are installed. Their<br />
very presence enhances energy security.<br />
exchanged between two members<br />
could be regarded as a national source.<br />
The Caricom policy document points<br />
out that, though some progress has<br />
been made with renewable energy in<br />
the region, “the overall proportion of<br />
[its] contribution in primary energy<br />
still remains quite low”. The creation<br />
of a “sustainable energy path” will<br />
require “commitments to increasing the<br />
contribution of both RE and EE.”<br />
EE (energy efficiency) may prove<br />
more difficult to adopt than RE<br />
(renewable energy) because it requires<br />
a conscious change in human behaviour.<br />
Governments are urged to make EE a<br />
more attractive exercise through “fiscal<br />
and other incentives”, especially “solarthermal<br />
systems for hot water production<br />
in all sectors” and setting “minimum<br />
efficiency standards that require electric<br />
utilities to decommission inefficient<br />
generation plant and conduct demand<br />
side management programmes.”<br />
The electricity sector is seen as the<br />
main channel for increasing RE,<br />
since renewable sources can “provide<br />
direct replacement for fossil fuels as the<br />
principal source (base-load type) for<br />
generating electricity at the national<br />
level.”<br />
The 2009 C-SERMS initiative (the<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong> Sustainable Energy Road Map<br />
and Strategy) will take responsibility for<br />
promoting both RE and EE. It is expected<br />
to set “quantitative targets for sustainable<br />
energy and “provide an implementation<br />
framework, engaging all member states<br />
and actors in the energy sector.”<br />
The Caricom Energy Policy focuses on increasing<br />
renewable energy while simultaneously pursuing<br />
efficiency<br />
Wigton wind farm, Jamaica (courtesy pcj.com)<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
7
Energy<br />
issues<br />
energy security<br />
A price you can’t afford<br />
Energy security is said to be the ultimate goal of the<br />
Caricom Energy Policy (CEP). But what exactly does<br />
that mean?<br />
According to the policy document, it means: “The<br />
availability of, and timely access to, energy resources<br />
of an acceptable quality at competitive prices that are both<br />
affordable for consumers and reasonable for producers and<br />
reflect true final costs for producing and supplying energy.”<br />
There’s a mouthful for you.<br />
In fact, Caricom has always enjoyed energy security, thanks<br />
to Trinidad and Tobago, the only energy exporter in the region.<br />
A spokesman for Petrotrin, whose refinery has traditionally<br />
supplied gasolene, diesel and fuel oil to the <strong>Caribbean</strong>, once<br />
observed to this YEARBOOK: “Refined products from Trinidad<br />
and Tobago have always been essential to the lifeblood of<br />
the region. Refining started in Trinidad in 1911 and we have<br />
always had a tradition of supplying oil to the <strong>Caribbean</strong>. We<br />
have always met our commitments, through good and bad<br />
times. The other islands could always have relied on Trinidad<br />
for oil – even when they did not pay their bills.”<br />
Supplying a scattered archipelago made up of relatively<br />
small markets is no easy task. As the Petrotrin spokesman<br />
pointed out: “Petrotrin is a merchant refiner, meaning that we<br />
buy crude oil, we have some of our own and we make product<br />
and people order it, with required specifications – sulphur is a<br />
certain range, diesel of a cetane number, we will make that for<br />
you. This demands extraordinary flexibility from the refinery.<br />
We respond to specific customer needs.”<br />
That historic security role was ostensibly taken over by<br />
Venezuela when it launched its PetroCaribe programme in<br />
2005. Trinidad and Tobago energy minister Kevin Ramnarine<br />
acknowledged recently that “some security is now being<br />
provided by the Venezuelans”, adding: “But Trinidad and<br />
Tobago still provides significant volumes of fuel to the Caricom<br />
member states.” The reason for that is refinery flexibility, which<br />
Venezuela’s PdVSA has been unable to match on a consistent<br />
basis.<br />
So “availability of and timely access to energy resources”<br />
is not a problem for Caricom. “Competitive prices”, however,<br />
have been a serious challenge in recent years. Soaring oil costs<br />
have hit Caricom companies and households hardest through<br />
the cost of gasolene at the pump (governments have had to<br />
bargain with fuels retailers to keep rises to a minimum) and in<br />
the cost of electricity.<br />
Companie<br />
“The other islands could always have<br />
relied on Trinidad for oil – even when<br />
they did not pay their bills”<br />
Fuel costs represent 40-50% of generation costs, says the<br />
regional utilities body, Carilec. The average regional fuel<br />
cost was $150 per megawatt hour in 2010. This has translated<br />
into crippling electricity bills throughout Caricom, except in<br />
Trinidad and Tobago (see box).<br />
Affordable pricing is thus the big challenge. Carilec itself<br />
has called for “the creation of an enabling environment, both<br />
regulatory and institutional, for the introduction of indigenous<br />
renewable energy into the national energy mix.”<br />
Countries<br />
The CEP comes down heavily on the side of RE. But will that,<br />
at least in its early days, really help to make power costs “more<br />
affordable” for consumers?<br />
Carilec itself has cast doubt on the likelihood of that<br />
happening. The Jamaican public utility restructuring and<br />
regulation consultant, Winston C. Hay, has categorically told<br />
this YEARBOOK: “RE is not the immediate answer to costs.<br />
I believe it ought to be encouraged and governments are<br />
developing incentives for individuals and small companies to<br />
get involved in RE, but, if anything, it will increase the price of<br />
electricity in the short term.”<br />
Caricom electricity prices<br />
Selected countries<br />
(US$ per Kwh, 2012)<br />
Antigua 0.38<br />
St Vincent 0.36<br />
Barbados 0.36<br />
Grenada 0.35<br />
St Kitts/Nevis 0.34<br />
Guyana 0.34<br />
Jamaica 0.32<br />
Trinidad and Tobago 0.06<br />
Source: Energy Dynamics<br />
8
Energy<br />
the future of gas<br />
issues<br />
Regional policy<br />
undervalues gas<br />
Many, perhaps most, of the electric utilities in<br />
Caricom want to switch to natural gas for<br />
power generation instead of the high-priced<br />
diesel and the light and heavy fuel oil they<br />
Energy Policy (CEP) does not appear to grasp the significance<br />
of that.<br />
In a document meant to outline the energy path that<br />
regional states are expected to travel in the coming decades,<br />
only perfunctory mention is made of gas.<br />
True, the policy does encourage member states to<br />
“implement programmes and projects which aim to<br />
incorporate and optimise the use of natural gas in the energy<br />
mix” and to “establish natural gas as a key energy transitional<br />
have traditionally used. But the Caricom<br />
Compani<br />
source for the region”. But it fails to note the fact that specific<br />
gas-supply investments are already going ahead.<br />
These are, of course, the Eastern <strong>Caribbean</strong> gas pipeline,<br />
which will take gas from Trinidad and Tobago to Barbados,<br />
and the small LNG plant proposed for La Brea in southwest<br />
Trinidad.<br />
Compressed natural gas is touted as another gas source for<br />
Caricom, but the CEP appears much more enthusiastic about<br />
renewable energy, and urges the adoption of “geothermal,<br />
hydro, bio-fuels, solar power, wind power and waste-toenergy,<br />
which can provide direct replacement for fossil fuels as<br />
the principal source (base load type) for generating electricity<br />
at the national level and can support regional, or cross-border,<br />
supply of electricity.”<br />
That last reference is to Nevis and Dominica, which have<br />
plans for developing geothermal power and exporting<br />
it by undersea cable to neighbouring territories. It is also a<br />
reminder of Guyana’s long-held desire to use its large rivers<br />
for hydro-electricity and to export surplus power to the island<br />
archipelago.<br />
As the CEP points out: “Cross-border transmission of<br />
electricity can facilitate a paradigm shift where more member<br />
states can become exporters of energy” – rather than<br />
just Trinidad and Tobago with its existing trade in refined<br />
petroleum products, and regional gas delivery to come.<br />
Trinidad and Tobago might justly feel aggrieved that the<br />
gas it is prepared to offer its fellow Caricom members as an<br />
alternative to oil has been so casually treated in the CEP.<br />
Countries<br />
According to the St Lucia-based <strong>Caribbean</strong> Electric Utility<br />
Services Corporation (Carilec), the regional “trade union” for<br />
the power sector, only 5% of primary energy consumption is<br />
derived from natural gas, with 2% from RE, with oil accounting<br />
for the remaining 93%.<br />
Gas evangelists urge governments to increase that 5%<br />
rather than to undertake the complex and expensive<br />
exercise of creating geothermal and hydro-electric facilities, at<br />
least in the short term.<br />
Indeed, the 2010 Nexant study for the World Bank on<br />
“Regional Energy Solutions for Power Generation in the<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong>” recommended gas more often than RE as part of<br />
the strategy to reduce energy costs up to 2028.<br />
Gas was identified as the main substitute energy source for<br />
oil for Barbados, Jamaica, St Lucia, the Dominican Republic and<br />
Haiti. With specific reference to the <strong>Caribbean</strong> gas pipeline,<br />
Nexant said it would be a “highly economic” investment for<br />
Barbados “if it displaces heavy fuel oil and diesel”, as it will.<br />
Barbados’s own National Energy Policy (2007) envisaged<br />
that 70% of its power would be generated by natural gas by<br />
2030, with only 10% from oil and 20% from RE. The country<br />
will need about 46 mmcfd of gas to achieve this goal, which<br />
suggests it may be in line for LNG as well as pipeline gas.<br />
While natural gas is guilty of higher greenhouse gas<br />
emissions than RE, they are still far lower than oil’s. CO 2 releases<br />
from natural gas are 117,000 pounds per billion British thermal<br />
units of energy input, while those of oil are 164,000. The figure<br />
for coal, by comparison, is 208,000 pounds.<br />
Natural gas releases 92 pounds of nitrogen oxide per billion<br />
btu of energy input, compared with 448 for oil, and one pound<br />
of sulphur dioxide compared with 1,122 pounds from oil.<br />
Potential gas demand<br />
Power generation capacity (peak demand) in line<br />
for conversion to gas<br />
Antigua<br />
Bahamas<br />
Grenada<br />
Guyana<br />
Jamaica<br />
St Lucia<br />
St Vincent<br />
Suriname<br />
Source: <strong>Caribbean</strong> Energy Policy, <strong>2013</strong><br />
51MW<br />
308MW<br />
30.5 MW<br />
94MW<br />
644 MW<br />
55.9 MW<br />
24.5 MW<br />
<strong>14</strong>5 MW<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
9
caribbean gas market<br />
Energy<br />
issues<br />
TT must get moving<br />
Is Trinidad and Tobago moving fast<br />
enough to secure the emerging<br />
market for natural gas in the<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong>? Many energy analysts<br />
think not.<br />
At the time of writing, Gasfin<br />
Development SA, the Luxembourgbased<br />
company leading the way in<br />
trying to push the country into making<br />
sales contracts with <strong>Caribbean</strong> electricity<br />
utilities, had still not been able to line<br />
up an assured gas supply with which to<br />
approach potential customers.<br />
Only about 70 million cubic feet a day<br />
(mmcfd) is required for the first train of<br />
about 500,000 tonnes a year that Gasfin<br />
would like to see sited at the Labidco<br />
industrial estate at La Brea to liquefy gas<br />
for regional export. Perhaps frustrated<br />
by Trinidad and Tobago’s apparent<br />
slothfulness, Gasfin’s CEO Roland Fisher<br />
has hedged his bets by also seeking<br />
permission from the US Department<br />
of Energy to export low-priced shale<br />
gas from a plant he wants to build in<br />
Louisiana.<br />
He was quickly given the green light,<br />
though he now has to clear his 1.5<br />
million tonne per year complex, which<br />
he wants to build in phases, with the<br />
Albert G. Nahas (courtesy Cheniere)<br />
Companie<br />
2020, so Trinidad and Tobago still has the<br />
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.<br />
Gasfin does not expect to be ready to<br />
export LNG from the US much before<br />
opportunity to get in first and capture<br />
the market before Gasfin Development<br />
USA decides to target that customer<br />
base.<br />
One piece of luck for the La Brea<br />
project, which Fisher is calling Project<br />
Constantine, is that his US company, at<br />
least for now, will be permitted to export<br />
only to countries with which the US has<br />
a free trade agreement. Puerto Rico and<br />
the US Virgin Islands (which are part<br />
of the US anyway) and the Dominican<br />
Republic are the only parts of the insular<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong> that qualify, so Fisher will be<br />
limited to seeking markets there.<br />
Countries<br />
This leaves 21 other potential markets<br />
in the <strong>Caribbean</strong> archipelago to which<br />
La Brea LNG could theoretically sell gas.<br />
Even Guyana, Suriname and French<br />
Guiana, the first two of which are<br />
members of Caricom, could be potential<br />
targets.<br />
Gasfin Development USA is not the<br />
only company gunning for the <strong>Caribbean</strong><br />
market: Pacific Rubiales in Colombia<br />
is also planning a small LNG export<br />
project. As a competitor, Colombia is an<br />
unknown quantity.<br />
But even if Fisher chose not to try and<br />
sell in the <strong>Caribbean</strong>, and others such<br />
as Cheniere did, Trinidad and Tobago<br />
might very well hold its own. Albert<br />
G. Nahas, Cheniere’s vice president<br />
for international government affairs,<br />
believes that “Trinidad and Tobago is<br />
perfectly capable of competing in the<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong> gas market. After all, gas will<br />
still be cheaper in TT than in most of the<br />
rest of the world, except the US.” Fisher<br />
himself has told this YEARBOOK that<br />
he would prefer to supply <strong>Caribbean</strong><br />
markets that materialise from Trinidad<br />
and Tobago rather than the US.<br />
La Brea LNG will open markets near<br />
to home for Trinidad and Tobago<br />
LNG. But it could also present the<br />
country with a unique value-chain<br />
opportunity through the National<br />
Gas Company or its subsidiary, the<br />
National Energy Corporation, not<br />
only in the LNG train itself but in the<br />
ships needed to transport the gas<br />
and the re-gasification facilities at the<br />
receiving end.<br />
At the moment, NGC holds a 10%<br />
share in Atlantic’s train one and 11.1%<br />
in train four, which gives it a quota<br />
of 88 mmcfd. Until recently, this was<br />
sold internationally on its behalf. It has<br />
recently taken back 30 mmcfd to market<br />
on its own account, thus giving it some<br />
experience in these matters prior to any<br />
involvement in La Brea LNG.<br />
Gasfin has been working closely<br />
with EdF, the electricity company in<br />
Martinique and Guadeloupe, with a<br />
view to supplying 200,000 tonnes of<br />
LNG to each French department to run<br />
the gas turbines both are installing.<br />
This would provide a market for 80%<br />
of the capacity of La Brea train one, but<br />
no deal can be struck until a gas supply<br />
from NGC is pinned down.<br />
Roland Fisher (courtesy Gasfin)<br />
10
Energy<br />
issues<br />
the green agenda<br />
It will take a long time to<br />
replace fossil fuels<br />
The “green energy movement”<br />
is slowly gaining momentum<br />
in the <strong>Caribbean</strong>, reflected<br />
for renewable energy and<br />
efficient use of fossil fuel energy. These<br />
initiatives are dealt with elsewhere in<br />
this YEARBOOK, in the context of the<br />
Caricom Energy Policy.<br />
But it’s going to be a hard slog. Oil<br />
will not willingly surrender its position<br />
in the growing enthusiasm<br />
Compani<br />
as the region’s leading energy source.<br />
The International Energy Agency<br />
(IEA), which looks after the interests<br />
of western industrialised countries,<br />
predicts that fossil fuels “will still<br />
account for 80-85% of overall world<br />
energy consumption by 2030.” And<br />
coal, the least green<br />
fossil fuel, is making<br />
something of a<br />
comeback, and could<br />
even reach energy use<br />
parity with oil before<br />
the end of the present<br />
decade.<br />
Gas, the least emissions-intensive<br />
of the three, makes the strongest<br />
claim. Even the Caricom Energy<br />
Policy acknowledges that “compared<br />
with crude oil, natural gas is a less<br />
expensive and cleaner fossil fuel which<br />
can be used not only to generate<br />
electricity efficiently, by deploying<br />
advanced technologies, but also<br />
as a feedstock for the manufacture<br />
of petrochemical products, fuel for<br />
the manufacturing sector and for<br />
vehicular transportation.”<br />
Countries<br />
The policy document urges Caricom<br />
members to “satisfy their demand<br />
for natural gas from the resources<br />
Roger Salloum (courtesy Green Building Council)<br />
“Fossil fuels will still account for 80-85% of<br />
overall world energy consumption<br />
in 2030”<br />
of those member states with such<br />
resources.” The only Caricom state<br />
with exportable gas resources,<br />
Trinidad and Tobago, can take that<br />
as an endorsement of its role in the<br />
emerging Caricom market for LNG<br />
and possibly CNG, and rejection of<br />
the deals US exporters will want to do<br />
with Caricom customers.<br />
With significant take-up of RE some<br />
decades away, most energy analysts<br />
see natural gas as a “bridging fuel”<br />
between oil era and RE.<br />
Other initiatives to move the “green<br />
agenda” forward are slowly<br />
taking shape. Trinidad and Tobago, a<br />
late convert to energy sustainability,<br />
even has a Green Building Council,<br />
established in September 2010, to<br />
preach the virtues of green buildings.<br />
The Council’s president, Roger Salloum,<br />
says its mission is to “transform the way<br />
Trinidad and Tobago’s buildings are<br />
built and communities are designed,<br />
built and operated.”<br />
Salloum claims that “green buildings<br />
can increase worker productivity” by<br />
being “more comfortable and healthier<br />
for the occupants, as compared with<br />
conventionally constructed and<br />
maintained buildings.” Greening,<br />
he suggests, includes a range of<br />
very simple practical steps such as<br />
installing energy-saving<br />
bulbs, recycling plastics<br />
and other materials, and<br />
collecting rain water<br />
for wetting plants and<br />
flushing toilets.<br />
The energy ministry<br />
in Port of Spain wants<br />
citizens to set airconditioning<br />
units a few degrees<br />
warmer, turn off electronic devices<br />
when not in use, and unplug<br />
bedside lamps, TV sets, video games,<br />
computers etc. until they are needed.<br />
Thirteen years ago, Trinidad<br />
and Tobago established a Green<br />
Fund, financed through an annual<br />
tax of 0.1% on gross company<br />
sales. It now has well over TT$2.5<br />
billion available. NGOs and other<br />
groups (but not corporations) that<br />
promote “reforestation, remediation,<br />
environmental education and public<br />
awareness of environmental issues”<br />
can apply to it for assistance.<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
11
Energy<br />
issues<br />
going international<br />
Can state energy companies<br />
make the grade?<br />
Almost every famous name in the energy business<br />
has been involved in Trinidad and Tobago’s<br />
energy sector at one time or another. Yet, despite<br />
105 years of commercial production, no local<br />
company has ever gone abroad to invest in oil or<br />
gas exploration and production.<br />
There was a very short-lived alliance between Petrotrin<br />
and Venezuela’s Inelectra in the early 2000s for exploration<br />
in the Gulf of Paria East block. Petrotrin even set up a special<br />
subsidiary, Petrotrin de Venezolana, for the purpose. But after<br />
one well had been drilled, the arrangement was aborted.<br />
Petrotrin toyed with the idea of investing in the Cuban oil<br />
sector at one point, but that never went very far either.<br />
It’s not hard to guess why the many companies formed<br />
locally to dabble in domestic upstream activity never<br />
considered going overseas. Most of them didn’t last very long,<br />
and none had the financial muscle, even in the <strong>Caribbean</strong>.<br />
But times and attitudes have changed. The local company<br />
Trinity Exploration and Production, armed with US$90 million<br />
of shareholders’ funds from a listing in London early in <strong>2013</strong>,<br />
is mulling the possibility of investing in oil and gas activity<br />
outside Trinidad and Tobago.<br />
But the real thrust in this direction is coming from the<br />
energy ministry itself, which is anxious for state-owned firms<br />
in the energy sector, having demonstrated that they can<br />
perform competently at home, to spread their wings abroad.<br />
The companies involved are:<br />
• NGC (National Gas Company: gas trader, pipeline operator,<br />
LNG exporter)<br />
• Petrotrin (the Petroleum Company of Trinidad and<br />
Tobago: oil and gas producer, refiner)<br />
• NP (the National Petroleum Marketing Company: bunkerer,<br />
refined fuels wholesaler/retailer)<br />
• PPGPL (Phoenix Park Gas Processors: gas liquids extractor/<br />
marketer).<br />
The first three are fully owned by the government: the last<br />
is 51% owned by NGC.<br />
The major role in this international outreach has been<br />
assigned to the NGC, probably the most profitable<br />
domestically-owned firm in Caricom, public or private. Its<br />
turnover was TT$19 billion in fiscal year 2011, TT$5 billion<br />
more than the year before. Its after-tax profit was TT$4.6<br />
Companie<br />
billion, compared with TT$2 billion in 2010.<br />
Energy minister Kevin Ramnarine has pinned his faith on<br />
NGC to an extraordinary degree. He sees it “becoming to<br />
Trinidad and Tobago what Petrobras is to Brazil or Petronas<br />
to Malaysia. Petrobras is almost as powerful in Brazil as the<br />
Brazilian government. There is also the wonderful story of<br />
state company Ecopetrol in Colombia. It was worth a couple<br />
of billion dollars a few years ago and now is being quoted at<br />
over US$100 billion, creating tremendous value for the people<br />
of Colombia, who are its shareholders.”<br />
NGC’s successful foray abroad is therefore essential to<br />
the minister’s grand vision. It has been mandated to “look<br />
at investment opportunities around the world” in order to<br />
expand.<br />
Countries<br />
West and East Africa, where there have been several major<br />
oil and gas discoveries in recent years, is particularly<br />
in the frame. “We are keen on establishing an investment<br />
portfolio in Africa through the vehicle of the NGC,” says<br />
the minister, noting that “natural gas has the potential for<br />
eradicating poverty in East Africa through the provision of<br />
cheap electricity to the populations in Tanzania, Kenya and<br />
Mozambique. These are just some of the possibilities as we<br />
seek to internationalise the Trinidad and Tobago energy<br />
model.”<br />
In its African initiatives, NGC has worked closely with PPGPL,<br />
the specialist in gas liquids extraction and marketing, a likely<br />
activity for state investment in Africa.<br />
PPGPL has already initialled a memorandum of<br />
understanding with the Tanzania Petroleum Development<br />
Corporation for “technical and expert services” in conjunction<br />
with a 500 km pipeline being built by the Chinese Petroleum<br />
Development Services to take gas from discoveries offshore<br />
southern Tanzania to the capital, Dar es Salaam.<br />
PPGPL’s president Eugene Tiah confirms that “there are lots<br />
of opportunities in Africa, but you have aggressive countries<br />
like China that are not waiting around. If we don’t take<br />
advantage of the opportunities, they will be gone soon.”<br />
Nearer to home, Central America is seen as a fruitful area<br />
for state energy company outreach, particularly Panama,<br />
with whom an MOU was signed in March 2012. Potential<br />
avenues for Trinidad and Tobago state company investment<br />
there include bunkering facilities (Petrotrin), a blending plant<br />
and refined products retailing (NP), and gas-based industries<br />
(NGC/PPGPL).<br />
12
Energy<br />
alternative fuels<br />
issues<br />
Fuel switching is not<br />
catching on<br />
Only Trinidad and Tobago,<br />
and to some extent<br />
Jamaica, which has<br />
experimented with an<br />
the pump, are showing any interest in<br />
alternatives to gasolene and diesel as<br />
transportation fuels. But the <strong>Caribbean</strong><br />
Energy Policy (CEP) devotes a whole<br />
chapter to the subject.<br />
This means that the adoption of<br />
non-traditional fuels for transport is<br />
now an imperative to which Caricom’s<br />
15 member nations will have to adhere<br />
E10 (ethanol) mixture at<br />
Compani<br />
(though the CEP is not a mandatory<br />
guideline, only voluntary).<br />
“Fuel switching”, as the CEP<br />
describes it, is designed to encourage<br />
the use of “cleaner energy sources and<br />
a more efficient transportation sector.”<br />
Transport is seen as “contributing a<br />
high level of emissions, including<br />
greenhouse gases,” thus making it “a<br />
serious environmental matter” in the<br />
eyes of the CEP.<br />
Transport in Caricom is also “highly<br />
vulnerable to dependence on imported<br />
fuel supplies and unpredictable spikes<br />
in oil prices.” So, not surprisingly,<br />
the CEP recommends greater use of<br />
compressed natural gas and biofuels<br />
like ethanol and bio-diesel, as well as<br />
“electric and hybrid vehicles.”<br />
Trinidad and Tobago has about<br />
4,500 vehicles equipped with CNG<br />
(out of some 650,000 registered). A few<br />
hybrids have been imported by motor<br />
vehicle dealers, including one for the<br />
ministry of energy, to boost “energy<br />
efficiency awareness among the<br />
driving population”. It is not clear how<br />
many motorists in Jamaica have opted<br />
for E10, but it can’t be very many.<br />
Countries<br />
In other words, the adoption of nonconventional<br />
transport fuels has a very<br />
long way to go in Caricom.<br />
While Trinidad and Tobago is not<br />
dependent on imported fuel<br />
supplies, the driver for fuel switching is<br />
the need to reduce the use of gasolene<br />
and diesel and cut the government<br />
subsidy on the price of these fuels at the<br />
pump, which is costing several billion<br />
TT dollars a year. The energy ministry is<br />
still seeking a way of enticing motorists<br />
to add CNG capability to their vehicles.<br />
One approach under consideration is to<br />
fund the cost in whole or in part.<br />
CNG has some advantages, but it<br />
also has some disincentives, as even the<br />
ministry concedes. The vehicle becomes<br />
heavier, it loses trunk space to the CNG<br />
cylinders, the system has to be inspected<br />
annually (instead of every three years<br />
for gasolene and diesel vehicles over a<br />
certain age), stricter safety measures are<br />
applied, engine power is reduced 5-10%<br />
by conversion, and range falls to 200-<br />
250 km compared with 400-550 km for<br />
gasolene/diesel vehicles.<br />
With such an array of negatives, it is<br />
perhaps unsurprising that CNG had<br />
not enjoyed the take-up the ministry<br />
would like to see. If and when natural<br />
gas deliveries finally arrive in the rest<br />
of Caricom, the same hesitation will<br />
presumably be seen.<br />
Hybrid car donated to the Ministry of Energy<br />
It is hard to predict whether electricity<br />
would fare any better. Purely electric<br />
vehicles are not on the immediate<br />
horizon for Caricom, since charging<br />
points are unlikely to be available for<br />
a long time.<br />
The halfway house is the hybrid<br />
vehicle, powered by gasolene or<br />
diesel but equipped with a battery<br />
which does not need a recharging<br />
station. “The motion of the wheels<br />
as the car moves charges a battery,”<br />
minister Ramnarine explains, “and at<br />
the opportune time, when the battery<br />
is charged, the vehicle switches to the<br />
battery.”<br />
Another unconventional fuel source<br />
is methanol, made from natural gas<br />
blended with gasolene or diesel, or<br />
even used on its own.<br />
An experiment in 2011, involving<br />
Petrotrin and Trinidad and Tobago’s<br />
two methanol giants, Methanol<br />
Holdings and Methanex, was said<br />
to have produced “encouraging”<br />
results. But the initiative was not<br />
taken any further by Petrotrin, whose<br />
participation in any long-term addition<br />
of methanol to gasolene is essential for<br />
any real progress to be made.<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
13
TT oil revival 1<br />
Energy<br />
issues<br />
After three decades of<br />
decline ...<br />
Trinidad and Tobago’s<br />
petroleum liquids production<br />
peaked at 229,589 barrels<br />
a day (b/d) in 1978, almost<br />
all of it crude oil. By 2012 it<br />
had fallen to 81,735 b/d, of which crude<br />
represented 69,062 b/d (the rest was<br />
condensate). The loss of 160,527 b/d<br />
over 34 years translates into billions<br />
of dollars of lost foreign exchange<br />
earnings and government revenue.<br />
A former minister of energy, Senator<br />
Conrad Enill, once suggested that<br />
80,000 b/d of crude output should set<br />
alarm bells ringing. He could hardly<br />
have envisaged how quickly that<br />
scenario would come to pass and how<br />
much worse it might get.<br />
What has saved the day, to some<br />
extent, is the fact that oil prices have<br />
held up remarkably well in the last few<br />
years, at $90-100 a barrel: even with a<br />
staggering drop in production, oil sales<br />
still provide the Trinidad and Tobago<br />
treasury with 55% of its revenue from<br />
hydrocarbons. Gas yields 45%, despite<br />
the fact that it out-produces oil by a<br />
factor of seven in terms of barrels of oil<br />
equivalent.<br />
Finance minister Larry Howai pegged<br />
his oil tax inflows for the 2012-3 fiscal<br />
year at $75 a barrel and gas at $2.75<br />
per mmbtu netted back to Trinidad and<br />
Tobago.<br />
One reason for the headlong decline<br />
in crude retrieval is the fact that<br />
older reservoirs (which means most of<br />
them) are delivering 8-10% less every<br />
year (Petrotrin’s land fields and the<br />
Repsol-Petrotrin-NGC Teak/Samaan/<br />
Poui block off the east coast are prime<br />
examples).<br />
Other reasons are the fall of 12,726<br />
b/d in production from Trinmar,<br />
Companie<br />
Petrotrin’s Gulf of Paria unit, between<br />
2004 and 2010, and the failure of<br />
the Kairi and Canteen oil discoveries,<br />
operated by BHP Billiton T&T in block<br />
2c off Trinidad’s north east coast, to<br />
live up to expectations. The latter was<br />
producing 50,542 b/d on average a few<br />
months after start-up in 2005, but had<br />
dwindled to 12,479 b/d by 2012.<br />
A further factor in this unsettling<br />
decline situation has been the inability<br />
of companies signing production<br />
sharing contracts with the energy<br />
ministry in the last 20 years to find<br />
new oil resources. Out of 36 such<br />
agreements, only two – yes, two –<br />
resulted in discoveries of crude, both<br />
Countries<br />
of them by BHP Billiton T&T and its<br />
partners, in block 2c (see above) and in<br />
block 3a, where no development has<br />
yet begun.<br />
The development of block 2c and<br />
the fact that Trinmar has held relatively<br />
steady in the last three years means<br />
that crude production still comes<br />
primarily from offshore – about 47,519<br />
Galeota platform (courtesy Petrotrin)<br />
b/d in 2012, compared with 21,543 b/d<br />
from onshore.<br />
In his first public address after<br />
becoming energy minister in 2011,<br />
Senator Kevin Ramnarine declared<br />
that the “number one priority” of his<br />
stewardship (which ends in May 2015)<br />
was to “increase national oil production.”<br />
At the time of writing, he had not<br />
achieved much success in that regard.<br />
But he remains optimistic, predicting<br />
“a major increase in oil production<br />
around the period May/June <strong>2013</strong>.”<br />
By February <strong>2013</strong>, according to the<br />
latest data available, there had been<br />
only a very marginal improvement:<br />
the average 69,163 b/d of crude being<br />
lifted that month was 101 b/d above<br />
the 2012 average.<br />
It remains to be seen what will<br />
happen during the rest of <strong>2013</strong>. The<br />
following story in this YEARBOOK<br />
recounts what is being done, and what<br />
can still be done, to achieve a muchdesired<br />
turnaround.<br />
<strong>14</strong>
Energy<br />
tt oil revival 2<br />
issues<br />
How to increase oil<br />
production<br />
What is the key to reviving crude oil production<br />
in Trinidad and Tobago, which, as already<br />
noted, has crashed from 229,589 b/d 34<br />
years ago to 69,062 b/d today?<br />
But there have been precious few of those by companies<br />
working under the current system of production-sharing<br />
contracts (PSCs).<br />
Companies operating under the older exploration and<br />
production (E&P) licences have been a little more successful.<br />
Bayfield Energy (now absorbed by Trinity Exploration and<br />
Production) has identified what it said were about 32 million<br />
barrels of recoverable oil with its FG8 exploratory well in the<br />
Galeota block off southeast Trinidad, while Petrotrin found<br />
The obvious answer is new discoveries.<br />
Compani<br />
about 48 million barrels of “new hydrocarbon potential” in<br />
the course of a five-well exploration programme in the East<br />
Soldado area, subsequently named Jubilee in honour of the<br />
50th anniversary of the country’s independence. Both finds<br />
were made in 2012. Some new oil was also discovered in the<br />
Cory Moruga block on land in 2010.<br />
Further discoveries may be made in the course of the<br />
extensive exploratory drilling due to take place in the course<br />
of <strong>2013</strong>: among others, by Trinity in the Point Ligoure, Guapo<br />
Bay, Brighton Marine (PGB) block in the Gulf of Paria, and in<br />
the Galeota block; by Niko in the Mayaro/Guayaguayare block,<br />
which runs from the onshore to the offshore in south Trinidad;<br />
and by Parex Resources in the Central Range Shallow and<br />
Deep blocks on land.<br />
Under renewed E&P licences, Petrotrin has to drill four<br />
exploratory wells for Trinmar and two in the North Marine<br />
block. Following the interpretation of its 2012 3D seismic<br />
survey, it will also be doing exploratory drilling on land in late<br />
<strong>2013</strong> and beyond.<br />
Exploratory drilling is risky and results can not be guaranteed,<br />
but development drilling in an already producing location<br />
is of course much less so and can at least replace reserves.<br />
Trinity plans to sink 12 development wells onshore in <strong>2013</strong>,<br />
and 12 in the Galeota block. Lease operators, farmout<br />
operators and incremental production service contractors will<br />
all be doing similar work.<br />
Energy minister Kevin Ramnarine has put great faith<br />
in Petrotrin as being “at the centre of the strategy for oil<br />
Countries<br />
production”, and Trinmar as “at the centre of that centre.”<br />
Concurrent with its exploratory activities in Trinmar, Petrotrin<br />
is reactivating its South West Soldado field, now producing<br />
The energy ministry says it will<br />
offer three land blocks for<br />
exploration this year<br />
about 6,000 b/d, in the belief that it can be boosted to 8,000<br />
b/d by the end of <strong>2013</strong>. Sixty wells which were capped ten<br />
years ago are being gradually returned to production: a few<br />
are already producing again, and the rest will come on line as<br />
they are worked over by a rig hired for that purpose.<br />
New block allocations are an important part of minister<br />
Ramnarine’s oil revival plan. In conjunction with Petrotrin, the<br />
ministry says it will offer three land blocks for exploration this<br />
year. More deep water and some shallow water blocks are also<br />
carded for allocation before the end of <strong>2013</strong>.<br />
New blocks, and exploratory and development drilling<br />
in existing blocks, are all essential, but many analysts<br />
point out that for decades companies have ignored oil that<br />
is known to exist and which could have contributed long ago<br />
to arresting the production decline – both heavy oil and “leftbehind”<br />
medium-gravity crude in reservoirs that have ceased<br />
to produce, or are producing very little.<br />
Geologist Dr Krishna Persad has estimated that there is<br />
probably well over two billion barrels of crude left behind in<br />
reservoirs where natural pressure or even pumping no longer<br />
works. As for heavy oil, minister Ramnarine suggests there are<br />
“seven billion barrels in places like Trinmar and the southern<br />
basin on land.”<br />
Even if the correct figure is only half that or less, it represents<br />
a vast unexploited resource that could help achieve the<br />
country’s oil restoration goals.<br />
The government has offered incentives over the years to<br />
encourage companies to invest in mature marine and land<br />
fields, via a 20% tax credit, and to use enhanced oil recovery<br />
measures for lifting heavy oil. In the current national budget,<br />
it introduced a special supplemental petroleum tax rate of<br />
25% for the development of small discovered oil pools lying<br />
inactive. Deep horizon drilling both on and offshore was<br />
encouraged with the offer of a 40% uplift on exploration costs.<br />
The deep horizon, like the deep water, could be an entirely<br />
new source of crude which the ministry has been urging<br />
companies to target.<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
15
cross-border gas<br />
Energy<br />
issues<br />
Venezuela lethargy keeps<br />
gas stranded<br />
The cross-border gas straddling the maritime<br />
boundary between Trinidad and Tobago and<br />
Venezuela southeast of Trinidad and northeast of<br />
the Orinoco Delta looks likely to remain out of reach<br />
indefinitely, because the two countries seem unable<br />
to move the commercialisation process forward.<br />
That means that 1.8 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of confirmed gas<br />
reserves in the Manatee discovery in Trinidad and Tobago’s block<br />
6d (which partners the Loran find in Venezuela’s Plataforma<br />
Deltana block 2), and around 1 tcf of gas in the Manakin discovery<br />
in block 5b (linked with Coquina in Plataforma Deltana block 4),<br />
will not be available for use in Trinidad and Tobago’s reviving<br />
downstream gas-based industrial development programme.<br />
Such a waste of badly-needed gas at a time when current<br />
exploitable reserves are almost all committed is clearly<br />
unacceptable.<br />
The problem, as energy analysts see it, is that Venezuela<br />
feels no urgency in developing cross-border gas because it has<br />
dumped plans – for how long, no one knows – to get into the<br />
LNG business.<br />
Its Plataforma Deltana reserves were always destined for<br />
the export trade. Chevron, the operator of block 2, has made<br />
no secret of the fact that under its licence it must provide 90%<br />
of the 6.2 tcf in Loran for use as LNG and the remaining 10%<br />
for domestic use in Venezuela. It has a 39% holding in block 2,<br />
Venezuela’s PdVSA holding the other 61%.<br />
With LNG off the table, the government in Caracas sees<br />
little sense in rushing to commercialise the gas. The 10% that<br />
was destined for domestic use can be sourced from other gas<br />
discoveries closer to the mainland, such as the very large one<br />
that Repsol made in the Gulf of Venezuela recently, or even the<br />
proven reserves in the Paria Norte region.<br />
Trinidad and Tobago’s energy minister Kevin Ramnarine<br />
could scarcely conceal his impatience when he last spoke<br />
publicly about the cross-border gas matter. In an address at<br />
the Austin Jackson School of Geosciences at the University of<br />
Commercialisation has long been<br />
under way with the development of<br />
Kapok<br />
Companie<br />
“It is very hard to get the Venezuelans<br />
to meet with us on this issue”<br />
Texas in Austin in March <strong>2013</strong>, he said: “It is very hard to get the<br />
Venezuelans to meet with us on this issue.”<br />
He noted that he had “been in contact with minister Rafael<br />
Ramírez” (who has been retained as minister of energy and<br />
petroleum in the new Maduro government) and had also<br />
“spoken with Chevron” (the operator of both Manatee and<br />
Loran), but did not seem to hold out much hope for crossborder<br />
monetisation any time soon.<br />
The project appears to be stuck at the stage of selecting a<br />
unit operator. A unit directing committee representing all the<br />
stakeholders in the matter – the two energy ministries, Chevron,<br />
Countries<br />
the BG Group and PdVSA – was supposed to select the operator<br />
early last year, but the Venezuelans failed to turn up in Port of<br />
Spain for the scheduled technical meeting.<br />
Then President Chávez’s lengthy illness and death, and the<br />
election of Nicolás Maduro Moros as his successor, put a stop to<br />
decision-making in Caracas on matters like cross-border gas for<br />
most of 2012; and the post-electoral situation does not seem to<br />
have changed anything.<br />
As far as the Manakin (BP/Repsol) and Coquina (Statoil/<br />
PdVSA) discoveries are concerned, no unitisation<br />
agreement has been signed. The reservoir joint working group,<br />
comprising officials from both sides, has identified the total<br />
volume of gas reserves they believe to be there. But the specific<br />
amount on each side has not yet been determined. A “best<br />
guess” estimate is about 1 tcf in each discovery.<br />
The situation in the third pair of cross-border gas blocks<br />
– bpTT’s Kapok discovery on the Trinidad side and the<br />
Dorado find by PdVSA in block 1 in Venezuela – is different,<br />
in that commercialisation has long been under way with the<br />
development of Kapok. The estimated combined reserves in<br />
the two blocks is about 1 tcf, and PdVSA has allowed bpTT to<br />
produce what it can from the two reservoirs.<br />
When the exact amount on each side is determined, if<br />
production from the Kapok field has exceeded the allocated<br />
reserves allocated, bpTT would agree on some form of<br />
compensation for PdVSA.<br />
16
Energy<br />
issues<br />
Deep water exploration<br />
The last real frontier?<br />
Deep geological horizons on land and offshore<br />
are a possible new oil and gas play in Trinidad<br />
and Tobago (and received incentives in the<br />
2012-<strong>2013</strong> national budget), but the real last<br />
The ministry has bent over backwards<br />
to make deep water activity<br />
economically attractive, which it has<br />
not been in the past<br />
frontier for substantial hydrocarbon discovery<br />
Compani<br />
is exploration in deep water, at whatever geological depth.<br />
Deep water is defined by the energy ministry in Port of<br />
Spain as a water depth of 1,000 metres and more.<br />
No exploration beyond about 1,500 metres has actually<br />
taken place before. Eight wells were sunk in the continental<br />
slope in the late 1990s and early 2000s in water depths of<br />
750-1,500 metres, but only one find of non-commercial<br />
gas was made.<br />
In 2012, the BP Group signed two production-sharing<br />
contracts for exploring in the Atlantic deep water off the<br />
east coast. Water depth in the two blocks, 23a and TTDAA<br />
<strong>14</strong>, is around 2,000 metres.<br />
BP is leading the first assault on real deep water acreage<br />
in Trinidad and Tobago. It will be followed by BHP Billiton,<br />
which was awarded four other blocks – TTDAA 5-6 and<br />
TTDAA 28-9 – in the subsequent bid round (see map on<br />
p26-27).<br />
Deep horizon exploration, on land or offshore, could<br />
itself result in the identification of a new play, if the<br />
incentive offered – a <strong>14</strong>0% write-off on exploration costs<br />
– is enough to entice explorationists. “Deep horizon” has<br />
been defined by the ministry as 8,000 feet or more on land<br />
and 12,000 feet or more offshore.<br />
While he would clearly be pleased with a deep horizon<br />
discovery, Trinidad and Tobago’s energy minister<br />
Kevin Ramnarine is betting on the deep water. He believes<br />
that “both BP and BHP Billiton, two long-established<br />
players in the country, stand poised to take us into a period<br />
of exciting deep water exploration” and that “the deep<br />
water in Trinidad is one of the holy grails of geologists, who<br />
have long suspected its vast hydrocarbon potential.”<br />
This potential has been estimated by the energy<br />
ministry at 4.7-8.2 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of gas in the two<br />
BP blocks (no estimate has been given publicly for possible<br />
oil resources), and 2.4-23.6 tcf of gas and 428-4,200 million<br />
barrels of oil in BHP Billiton’s four blocks.<br />
The latter would have had its own reasons for bidding<br />
so aggressively on four of the five blocks that attracted<br />
companies’ attention in the 2012 deep water auction, but<br />
the ministry has bent over backwards to make deep water<br />
activity economically attractive, which it has not been in<br />
the past. These attractions are intended to “reduce risk and<br />
offer companies a more competitive environment,” and<br />
include:<br />
• Cost recovery (“cost oil or gas”) increased from 60 to<br />
80%<br />
• A 35% petroleum profits tax and an 18% supplemental<br />
petroleum tax payable on oil only. This allows the<br />
company to claim a higher share of “profit oil or gas”<br />
since the government’s take under the productionsharing<br />
system is based on these two taxes<br />
• A <strong>14</strong>0% write-off for deep water exploratory wells,<br />
further enhancing the companies’ share of “profit oil or<br />
gas”.<br />
Countries<br />
The ministry is following up on its 2010 and 2012 deep<br />
water bid rounds with another in <strong>2013</strong>, which it hopes<br />
will attract new companies into the hydrocarbon sector.<br />
Minister Ramnarine told this YEARBOOK: “companies which<br />
did not bid in 2012 have told us they will bid in <strong>2013</strong> ... In<br />
one case, they told us that they had a restructuring exercise<br />
“BP and BHP Billiton, two long-established<br />
players in the country, stand<br />
poised to take us into a period of<br />
exciting deep water exploration”<br />
going on in 2012, and another said it had quite a lot on<br />
its plate at the time. So, I think that we have stimulated<br />
widespread interest in our deep water bid rounds.”<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
17
independents<br />
Small and medium-sized<br />
petroleum enterprises in<br />
Trinidad and Tobago, the<br />
“independents”, are expected<br />
to play a key role in the revival<br />
of oil production.<br />
There is no formal definition of an<br />
“independent” in terms of assets or<br />
reserves, though when companies<br />
producing up to 3,500 b/d were<br />
exempted from petroleum production<br />
levy payment nine years ago, this<br />
was generally taken as an indication<br />
of independent status. It’s only a<br />
rough guide, however, because some<br />
“independent” upstreamers are already<br />
close to that level or beyond it.<br />
A more reliable definition of an<br />
independent in the Trinidad and Tobago<br />
context might be an operator which is<br />
not state-owned, and does not belong<br />
to a major international group like BHP<br />
Billiton or Repsol (oil), bpTT, BG T&T or<br />
EOG Resources (condensate).<br />
On that basis, independents were<br />
responsible for about 10,241 b/d of<br />
crude output on average in 2012, out of<br />
69,062 b/d from all companies (another<br />
12,673 b/d was condensate, taking the<br />
liquids total up to 81,735 b/d). Petrotrin’s<br />
contribution was 34,818 b/d (oil) from<br />
its onshore and offshore fields.<br />
Nobody is likely to challenge Petrotrin<br />
in the future, unless some major<br />
discovery of crude is made in deeper<br />
geological horizons or in the deep water.<br />
Petrotrin’s dominance is secure, given<br />
the extent of its acreage compared with<br />
that of the independents.<br />
But 10,241 b/d out of 69,062 b/d<br />
(almost 15%) is a good performance,<br />
when you consider that most of those<br />
companies are lifting crude from wells<br />
Petrotrin itself abandoned or from very<br />
small tracts of farmed-out land.<br />
18<br />
Energy<br />
issues<br />
A key contribution to<br />
oil revival<br />
Independents could be<br />
pioneers in the application<br />
of carbon dioxide<br />
(co2) injection for enhanced<br />
oil recovery<br />
There are about 17 independents<br />
active in the local petroleum sector<br />
today, occupying different niches. Some<br />
are lease operatorships (in 1989 Trintopec<br />
Companie<br />
independent of all, straddles the whole<br />
Countries<br />
handed over idle and low-producing<br />
wells to smaller independent operators<br />
who might do a better job with them).<br />
Others are farm-out operators, who have<br />
obtained larger areas on which to sink<br />
new wells if they want.<br />
Joint venture arrangements involve<br />
whole blocks, where the independent<br />
company is obliged to undertake seismic<br />
surveying and exploration. Incremental<br />
production service contractors are a new<br />
breed invented by Petrotrin in 2009 to<br />
help generate more production from<br />
its southeastern onshore fields, which<br />
had found themselves neglected over<br />
the years. There is also one standalone<br />
independent, Mora Oil Ventures<br />
(Moraven), which only operates<br />
offshore, not on land at all, unlike the<br />
rest of the independent sector.<br />
Trinity, shaping up to be the biggest<br />
spectrum, being simultaneously a lease<br />
operator, farm-out operator and joint<br />
venturer.<br />
All knowledgeable observers of the<br />
Trinidad and Tobago energy scene<br />
expect the independents to enlarge<br />
their contribution to crude production<br />
in the years ahead. Energy minister<br />
Kevin Ramnarine has begun regular<br />
meetings with the sector to hear and try<br />
to resolve its problems.<br />
David Borde, managing director of<br />
PetroCom Technologies, the company<br />
promoting a “smart pumping” system<br />
that could help independents improve<br />
well productivity, sees their role<br />
in oil revival as “absolutely critical”.<br />
Geologist Dr Krishna Persad, a farmout<br />
operator through his company<br />
KPA and Associates, has just acquired<br />
Trinidad Exploration and Development<br />
in southwest Trinidad, and strongly<br />
believes the independents could be<br />
pioneers in the application of carbon<br />
dioxide (CO 2 ) injection for enhanced oil<br />
recovery.<br />
Minister Ramnarine has mandated<br />
the National Gas Company to examine<br />
the feasibility of a CO 2 pipeline from<br />
the Point Lisas industrial estate to the<br />
oilfields of the southern basin.<br />
Trinity Exploration and Production<br />
is aiming for production of 5,000 b/d<br />
by the end of <strong>2013</strong>. Range Resources<br />
is targeting 4,000 b/d, and Touchstone<br />
Exploration 3,300 b/d.<br />
Independents were responsible for about 10,241<br />
b/d of crude output on average in 2012, out of<br />
69,062 b/d from all companies
Energy<br />
climate change<br />
issues<br />
What should the <strong>Caribbean</strong> do?<br />
Caricom’s 15 member nations have pledged to<br />
measure and reduce the level of greenhouse<br />
gas emissions in the region, in keeping with<br />
the Caricom Energy Policy (CEP). Targets will be<br />
influenced by Caricom’s “international obligations<br />
and voluntary commitments under the United Nations<br />
Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Alliance<br />
of Small Island States’ climate change negotiating strategy and<br />
objectives.”<br />
This initiative is part of the agenda of Caricom’s <strong>Caribbean</strong><br />
Sustainable Energy Road Map and Strategy (C-SERMS).<br />
Determining the baselines for greenhouse gas emissions<br />
has become more urgent with global emission levels reaching<br />
their highest point in over two million years. Carbon dioxide<br />
(CO 2 ) emissions, by far the major contributor to global<br />
warming, hit 400 parts per million in May, a jump of 85 ppm<br />
in 55 years.<br />
The world is now pumping 38.2 billion tons of CO 2 into the<br />
Compani<br />
atmosphere every year, China being the worst offender with<br />
10 billion. The United States, the second worst offender, has<br />
actually been lowering its CO 2 discharges, which are now<br />
down to 5.9 billion tons a year. The reasons are said to be the<br />
rapid switch to gas-fired power generation and the growth of<br />
fuel-efficient vehicles.<br />
The 400 ppm reading augurs badly for governments’ goal of<br />
holding the rise in average temperature below two degrees<br />
Celsius. Beyond that, it is feared that catastrophic warming<br />
becomes unstoppable, with all the predicted weather threats<br />
such as more intense hurricanes, rising sea levels, floods and<br />
drought.<br />
The <strong>Caribbean</strong>, being mainly composed of small island<br />
developing states, is more vulnerable to the results of global<br />
warming than most. Indeed, according to an Inter-American<br />
Development Bank survey, “extreme events” already cost<br />
US$135 billion in losses in <strong>14</strong> <strong>Caribbean</strong> countries between<br />
1970 and 2008.<br />
Some hoteliers in the region are seriously thinking of<br />
moving to higher ground because their beach locations leave<br />
them completely exposed to rising sea levels, flooding and<br />
storms.<br />
As noted elsewhere in this YEARBOOK, Caricom’s contribution<br />
to resisting global warming is to develop renewable energy<br />
sources and to use fossil fuels more efficiently. These are<br />
the twin pillars on which C-SERMS is mounted. But with the<br />
outlook for mitigation so bleak and Caricom’s likely effect on it<br />
so minuscule, the region will have to embrace climate change<br />
adaptation more vigorously.<br />
Countries<br />
and Tobago’s Institute of Marine Affairs is<br />
Trinidad developing a vulnerability and risk agreement for<br />
southwest Tobago based on climate change scenarios. The<br />
idea of moving hotels further inland could be one element<br />
of adaptation. The CEP focuses on adaptation initiatives in<br />
energy, particularly electricity, the key factor in regional states<br />
without indigenous oil or natural resources.<br />
Hurricanes can cause “catastrophic damage to the overhead<br />
transmission and distribution facilities in the region,” CEP points<br />
out, urging member states to “support the development and<br />
implementation of a regional rapid response strategy for the<br />
restoration of electricity facilities.”<br />
On the wider energy front, Caricom is supposed to create a<br />
plan for “maintaining regional reserves of crude oil and energy<br />
products to be accessecy or crisis.”<br />
Grenada is among those already seeking assistance from<br />
multilateral bodies for climate change adaptation. The German<br />
Agency for International Cooperation and the United Nations<br />
Development Programme are funding a four-year, US$6.5<br />
million programme to “increase the resilience of vulnerable<br />
communities and ecosystems to climate change risks through<br />
integrated adaptation approaches.”<br />
Contribution to climate<br />
change<br />
Trinidad and Tobago (2009)<br />
• CO 2 emissions per capita<br />
• CO 2 emissions per unit of GDP<br />
• Total CO 2 emissions<br />
• Breakdown:<br />
40 tonnes per person*<br />
1.9 kg per dollar*<br />
52 million tonnes**<br />
Petrochemical plants 58% Power generation 23%<br />
Landfill 7% Transport 6%<br />
Process emissions (oil & gas) 3% Agriculture 2%<br />
Domestic cooking 1%<br />
* second highest in the world that year<br />
** 54th highest in the world that year<br />
Source: Dr Donnie Boodlal, University of Trinidad and Tobago<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
19
local content<br />
Successive Trinidad and Tobago governments have<br />
tried to maximise local content in the energy<br />
sector, with varying degrees of success.<br />
The greatest progress has been made with<br />
support services for oil or gas exploration and<br />
development. But many of the 450 local service companies<br />
have complained that foreign service providers are<br />
being favoured in the current round of drilling activity by<br />
international companies.<br />
Local platform fabricating was a success story, and nine<br />
such structures were built at the La Brea fabrication yard<br />
between 2004 and 2010. But that activity seems to have<br />
come to a standstill, as companies opt for tying back new<br />
producing wells to existing platforms.<br />
Energy minister Kevin Ramnarine has spoken of his vision<br />
for Trinidad and Tobago as “a major international energy<br />
services hub.” This will require the “structured development<br />
of local companies along the entire value chain of the<br />
energy sector, from the upstream to the midstream to the<br />
downstream and possibly even beyond that.”<br />
With the lack of work at home, some local services firms<br />
have already expanded internationally, especially in their<br />
own region and more recently to African states such as Ghana<br />
and Nigeria. The ministry is anxious to establish relations<br />
with countries entering the oil and gas business.<br />
Explorationists and producers are urged by the ministry<br />
to use as much local content as feasible; so are major<br />
downstream gas-based industrial plants. Construction of<br />
Atlantic’s LNG trains was a landmark in this regard; a budget<br />
was agreed for the amount of work to be awarded to local<br />
contractors.<br />
Legislation may be forthcoming to enforce a percentage<br />
of local content in all energy projects. The energy<br />
ministry says it is currently reviewing the local content and<br />
local participation policy and framework, prepared as long<br />
ago as 2004, “which will guide the way for the drafting of<br />
local content legislation.” This “will seek to strengthen the<br />
existing local content policy, while allowing for consistent<br />
application” reflects the importance placed on local content<br />
20<br />
Energy<br />
issues<br />
Government may prescribe<br />
level of local input<br />
Companie<br />
The government should “enact<br />
into law the local content policy<br />
for the oil and gas industry as<br />
soon as possible”<br />
in the ministry’s 2012-2016 strategic plan.<br />
The ministry has a broad definition of local content in<br />
the energy sector, encompassing not only firms offering<br />
traditional services like drilling, cementing, casing, open hole<br />
logging, wireline, coil tubing and so on, but also companies<br />
involved in upstream oil and gas exploration, production<br />
Countries<br />
and finance.<br />
Locally-owned upstream “independents” have been<br />
disappearing in recent times, on the back of take-overs by<br />
foreign firms, an area that may need special attention.<br />
Lennox Sirjuesingh, president of the Trinidad and Tobago<br />
Local Content Chamber, formed in early 2011 primarily<br />
to promote more local involvement in energy, regards<br />
legislation as long overdue. He has called on the government<br />
to “enact into law the local content policy for the oil and gas<br />
industry as soon as possible.”<br />
The allocation of gas for downstream use is also being used<br />
as a tool to encourage the wider embrace of local content.<br />
Early in the life of the present government, the ministry laid<br />
out a gas allocation policy in which local content accounted<br />
for 15 points out of 100 when an applicant’s eligibility for a<br />
gas supply was scored.<br />
Local content in gas-based activity was defined in relation<br />
to ownership, local debt/equity financing, engineering<br />
design, feasibility studies, project management, technical<br />
skills, the number of permanent jobs per unit of capex,<br />
number of permanent jobs for operations, peak employment<br />
during construction, and average employment during<br />
construction.<br />
Legislation may be forthcoming to enforce a percentage of local content in<br />
all energy projects
Energy<br />
GAS-BASED DEVELOPMENT<br />
issues<br />
Will there be enough gas<br />
for everyone?<br />
Trinidad and Tobago’s gas-based heavy industrial<br />
development programme has been in abeyance<br />
since the opening of Methanol Holdings’ ammoniaurea-melamine<br />
1 plant at Point Lisas in 2010. But it is<br />
springing back to life in <strong>2013</strong>, with a number of new<br />
projects identified and moving forward.<br />
The only question hanging over this resurgence is whether<br />
there will be enough gas to service all the new entrants.<br />
The most recent Ryder Scott audit (2011) identified 13.2<br />
trillion cubic feet (tcf) of proven gas reserves, which are almost<br />
all spoken for by the existing petrochemical and steel industries<br />
at Point Lisas and the four LNG trains at Point Fortin. Another 6<br />
tcf of probable gas reserves could be transferred to the proven<br />
category with minimal drilling and reservoir reappraisal.<br />
Compani<br />
The “unrisked exploratory resources” of 30.4 tcf are probably<br />
the best insurance for the future. As Ryder Scott’s managing<br />
senior vice president, Herman Acuna, points out: “This shows<br />
upside potential for gas and sustainability of supply, which is<br />
really what you should be looking at.”<br />
Energy minister Kevin Ramnarine takes a bullish view of<br />
the matter, pointing to bpTT’s discovery of around 1 tcf of<br />
new gas with its Savonette 4 well in late 2012, which doubled<br />
the recoverable reserves in the field to 2 tcf. He expects the<br />
2012 gas reserves audit to be “positively impacted” by this<br />
development.<br />
The largest of the forthcoming projects is the Mitsubishi/<br />
Neal and Massy Holdings methanol to dimethyl ether plant.<br />
Ramnarine has confirmed that “the Ministry of Energy and<br />
Energy Affairs and the National Gas Company are in dialogue<br />
with an established natural gas supplier in Trinidad and Tobago<br />
who has advised that it could have gas available by 2016.”<br />
The projects spearheading the revival of gas-linked industrial<br />
development are:<br />
Methanol-to-DME<br />
The US$800 million Mitsubishi/Neal and Massy Holdings plant<br />
will convert 100 mmcfd of gas into one million tonnes a year<br />
(t/y) of methanol, of which <strong>14</strong>0,000 t/y will be diverted to the<br />
production of dimethyl ether (DME), a versatile chemical that<br />
can be used in power generation, transport, cooking and<br />
heating, among other things.<br />
It is considered a major move in the ministry’s policy of going<br />
as far as possible downstream in the gas-based chemical chain.<br />
(This was also the case with AUM 1, which delivered melamine<br />
Countries<br />
for a range of light manufacturing applications.)<br />
The government has been offered a 20% share in the<br />
methanol/DME project and has agreed to buy the <strong>14</strong>0,000 t/y<br />
of DME at cost price, to supply to investors who want to use<br />
it in connection with other investments. Mitsubishi, Neal and<br />
Massy and the other shareholders will make their money in the<br />
methanol market.<br />
Formaldehyde/Melanine<br />
This Chemtech cluster will obtain formaldehyde from methanol<br />
and melamine from ammonia, justifying its gas-based status on<br />
those grounds. It is envisaged as a US$200 million investment.<br />
The downstream products will be melamine-based resin,<br />
oriented strand board and veneer.<br />
Steel<br />
Neal and Massy Holdings and Metal Dom (of the Dominican<br />
Republic) propose a steel plant and rolling mill that will require<br />
45-55 mmcfd of gas for heating purposes. The estimated cost is<br />
US$116 million. The plant will produce billets, reinforced bars,<br />
flats and angles, a very diversified range for a <strong>Caribbean</strong> steel<br />
plant.<br />
LNG<br />
The Gasfin (Luxembourg)/National Energy Corporation “midscale”<br />
LNG plant at La Brea, southwest Trinidad, will cost US$400<br />
million, with a 500,000 tonne-a-year capacity; it will need about<br />
70 mmcfd of gas. It has been named Project Constantine after<br />
Trinidad and Tobago’s late legendary cricketer.<br />
One major downstream initiative has been temporarily<br />
delayed: MHTL’s AUM 2, the successor to AUM 1. This is a<br />
larger project than its predecessor – 595,350 t/y of ammonia,<br />
903,900 t/y of urea, 33,000 t/y of ammonium sulphate and<br />
39,600 t/y of melamine. It has been costed at US$1.9 billion.<br />
A final investment decision has been held up by a dispute<br />
between the government (now the majority holder since<br />
it assumed ownership of the 56.53% formerly held by C L<br />
Financial) and the minority 43.47% shareholder Consolidated<br />
Energy, a consortium of three German firms, MAN Ferrostaal,<br />
Helm and Proman. The matter has gone to arbitration. A<br />
resolution is expected before the end of <strong>2013</strong>.<br />
Another potential downstream project has been abandoned.<br />
Saudi Arabia’s SABIC and China’s Sinopec formed a joint venture<br />
but failed to reach an agreement with the government on gas<br />
pricing and supply. The partners were to have invested in two<br />
major complexes. Methanol to olefins would have opened<br />
the way to the production of propylene, polypropylene and<br />
plastics, while methanol to petrochemicals would have led to<br />
acetic acid, acetic anhydride and pharmaceuticals like asprin.<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
21
Countries<br />
trinidad and tobago<br />
A year of heavy drilling<br />
In <strong>2013</strong> Trinidad and Tobago’s energy sector should<br />
experience its busiest year for a very long time. Hundreds<br />
of millions of dollars will be spent drilling over 100 wells of<br />
all types – exploratory, developmental and recompletions,<br />
plus workovers to keep declining wells flowing.<br />
Virtually every company has plunged into a drilling<br />
programme, including bpTT, BG, Repsol, EOG Resources and<br />
Centrica Energy. Niko Resources and Parex will be sinking<br />
wells, as will Petrotrin, which intends to be busy both onshore<br />
and in its Gulf of Paria Trinmar unit.<br />
Large companies<br />
• BPTT says it may drill another appraisal well in the<br />
Savonette producing field, where it found a trillion cubic<br />
feet (tcf) of proven reserves in November 2012, to see if it<br />
can bump that up even further.<br />
• BG Trinidad and Tobago is launching its four-well<br />
development drilling programme for the Starfish discovery.<br />
• EOG Resources will be drilling one exploration and three<br />
development wells in its Osprey field in block 4a.<br />
• Centrica Energy, which so far has no production of its own<br />
in Trinidad and Tobago, is sinking an appraisal well to its<br />
Cassra discovery in block 22 north of Tobago, as well as<br />
drilling an exploratory well, Jasmine, in its NCMA 4 block<br />
and an appraisal well to the Iris discovery.<br />
Drilling in Fyzabad (courtesy Petrotrin)<br />
• Repsol says it will drill two appraisal wells and six in-fill<br />
wells in its Teak/Samaan/Poui block offshore Trinidad’s east<br />
coast.<br />
• Petrotrin, already the country’s largest single crude<br />
producer, is expected to drill 25 development and<br />
enhanced oil recovery wells onshore, while undertaking<br />
rig workovers to bring back on line as many as possible of<br />
the 57 wells still shut-in in its most productive Trinmar field,<br />
South West Soldado.<br />
• BHP Billiton has the dubious distinction of being the only<br />
large company not sinking any wells in <strong>2013</strong>, though it<br />
will be signing off on the four deep water blocks it was<br />
awarded in the 2012 deep water bid round, TTDAA 5-6 and<br />
TTDAA 28-29. It will then have to start a work programme,<br />
which will include seismic acquisition and exploratory<br />
drilling in subsequent years.<br />
Medium/small foreign and local companies<br />
• Trinity Exploration and Production, mainly locally-owned<br />
but a member of the Alternative Investment Market in<br />
London, plans four exploratory wells split between its Point<br />
Ligoure/Guapo Bay/Brighton Marine acreage in the Gulf<br />
and its newly-acquired Galeota block off the southeast<br />
coast, taken over from the former Bayfield Energy, plus 12<br />
development wells onshore and eight in Galeota.<br />
• Touchstone Exploration, working through its subsidiary,<br />
Territorial, plans 16 development wells in its various land<br />
blocks plus 2 recompletions.<br />
• Range Resources will be drilling in all three of its licences:<br />
Morne Diablo (40 wells), South Quarry (up to 10 wells) and<br />
Beach Marcelle (6 existing wells to be deepened).<br />
• Leni Gas and Oil will drill one exploratory well in Moruga<br />
North and two development wells in Goudron.<br />
• Niko Resources will embark on its NCMA 2 block work<br />
programme with one exploratory well<br />
• Parex is supposed to begin its own exploration with one<br />
exploratory hole in the Central Range Shallow and Deep<br />
blocks and an appraisal well to its Snowcap discovery in<br />
the Moruga E block.<br />
Besides this extensive drilling activity, two block auctions<br />
are expected in <strong>2013</strong>, for three blocks on land and for more<br />
acreage in the deep water.<br />
Two bid rounds in the same year are rare, but the country<br />
needs to identify new crude reserves to stop the haemorrhage<br />
in oil production, and also needs new gas reserves to<br />
underpin the heavy industrial development programme – and<br />
continuous exploration activity is the only way of doing it.<br />
22
Countries<br />
TT energy profile<br />
Crude oil<br />
production<br />
(average b/d)<br />
1970 39,855<br />
1971 129,041<br />
1972 <strong>14</strong>0,273<br />
1973 166,301<br />
1974 186,575<br />
1975 215,342<br />
1976 212,876<br />
1977 229,041<br />
1978 229,589<br />
1979 2<strong>14</strong>,246<br />
1980 212,057<br />
1981 189,335<br />
1982 177,038<br />
1983 159,845<br />
1984 169,513<br />
1985 176,052<br />
1987 155,180<br />
1988 150,829<br />
1989 134,051<br />
1990 151,194<br />
1991 <strong>14</strong>5,395<br />
1992 137,057<br />
1993 124,604<br />
1994 131,532<br />
1995 130,574<br />
1996 129,011<br />
1997 123,881<br />
1998 122,794<br />
1999 125,332<br />
2000 119,432<br />
2001 113,959<br />
2002 130,906<br />
2003 134,865<br />
2004 123,902<br />
2005 <strong>14</strong>4,339<br />
2006 <strong>14</strong>4,266<br />
2007 121,754<br />
2008 1<strong>14</strong>,634<br />
2009 107,169<br />
2010 98,246<br />
2011 91,919<br />
2012 81,735<br />
<strong>ENERGY</strong> SECTOR<br />
Share of GDP 45.2% (2011)<br />
of which<br />
Exploration and production 19.2%<br />
Refining (inc. LNG) 7.6%<br />
Petrochemicals 12.7%<br />
Others (energy services, etc) 5.7%<br />
Share of government revenue 57.5% (2011)<br />
of which<br />
Oil/gas exploration and production 47.5%<br />
Other taxes (royalties, oil impost, &c) 10.0%<br />
Share of merchandise exports receipts 85.4% (2009)<br />
of which<br />
Extracted (crude oil) 12.9%<br />
Refined (inc. LNG, natural gas liquids) 62.9%<br />
Processed (inc. petrochemicals) 9.6%<br />
Share of total employment 3% (2011)<br />
Share of bank credit (2010)<br />
Loans and advances<br />
TT$1.4 billion<br />
Percentage of total 3.1%<br />
<strong>ENERGY</strong> RESERVES<br />
Oil (2007)<br />
Proven<br />
Probable<br />
Possible<br />
Natural gas (2011)<br />
Proven<br />
Probable<br />
Possible<br />
Unrisked exploratory resources<br />
317.9 million barrels<br />
119.3 million barrels<br />
1,046 million barrels (inc. tar sands)<br />
13.2 trillion cubic feet (tcf)<br />
6.0 tcf<br />
6.1 tcf<br />
30.4 tcf<br />
Production (2010)<br />
Crude oil/condensate<br />
35.8 million barrels<br />
Crude oil imports<br />
24.9 million barrels<br />
Refinery throughput<br />
46.1 million barrels<br />
Refinery output<br />
44.0 million barrels<br />
Capacity utilisation<br />
77% (capacity 165,000 b/d)<br />
Natural gas production<br />
4.3 billion cubic feet daily (bn cfd)<br />
Natural gas sales<br />
4.0 bn cfd<br />
of which petrochemicals<br />
1.1 bn cfd<br />
Electricity generation<br />
293 million cubic feet daily (mmcfd)<br />
LNG<br />
2.3 bn cfd<br />
Natural gas liquids production 17.2 million barrels (mm b)<br />
Exports<br />
16.9 mm b<br />
Ammonia production 6.2 million tonnes (mm t)<br />
Exports<br />
5.9 mm t<br />
Methanol production<br />
5.9 mm t<br />
Exports<br />
5.9 mm t<br />
Sources: Central Bank Annual Economic Survey (2011), MEEA Draft Green Paper on energy<br />
policy (unpublished), <strong>ENERGY</strong> <strong>Caribbean</strong> archives<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
23
OPEN<br />
0 500,000<br />
1,000,000<br />
2,000,000<br />
ST VINCENT<br />
BEQUIA<br />
CANOUAN<br />
UNION<br />
MAYREAU<br />
1,500,000<br />
CARRIACOU<br />
GRENADA<br />
TTDAA 30<br />
89879 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 31<br />
94092 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 32<br />
113043 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
-2000<br />
TTDAA 24<br />
112042 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 25<br />
100086 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 26<br />
100086 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 27<br />
100086 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 28<br />
101609 Ha<br />
BHP Billiton Petroleum Ltd<br />
1,000,000<br />
-1000<br />
BLOCK 21<br />
132015 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
OPEN<br />
30783 Ha<br />
-400<br />
BLOCK 22<br />
CENTRICA / PETROTRIN<br />
BLOCK 23(a)<br />
259908 Ha<br />
BPEOC<br />
OPEN<br />
44254 Ha<br />
TRINIDAD & TOBAGO & VENEZUELA<br />
NCMA 2<br />
101,931.8 Ha<br />
NIKO RESOURCES (CARIBBEAN) LIMITED / RWE Dea AG/<br />
PETROTRIN<br />
NCMA 4<br />
NCMA 1<br />
BGTT /CENTRICA /<br />
1<br />
EMI<br />
182,946.2 Ha<br />
CENTRICA <strong>ENERGY</strong><br />
Scarborough<br />
NCMA 3 NCMA 5<br />
210,622.5 Ha<br />
231,098.8 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
NIKO RESOURCES/<br />
PETROTRIN<br />
TOBAGO<br />
-400<br />
-1000<br />
BLOCK 23(b)<br />
257920 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
BLOCK 24<br />
3401<strong>14</strong> Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
500,000<br />
VENEZUELA<br />
BLOCK<br />
1(a)<br />
INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY<br />
CENTRICA /<br />
PETROTRIN<br />
TRINMAR<br />
LINE BETWEEN<br />
PETROTRIN<br />
20 579 Ha<br />
4<br />
OPEN<br />
3<br />
BLOCK 1(b)<br />
CENTRICA /<br />
PETROTRIN<br />
BLOCK 1(b)<br />
5<br />
4<br />
2<br />
Port of Spain<br />
OPEN<br />
TRINIDAD<br />
PAREX / VOYAGER / PETROTRIN<br />
San<br />
Fernando<br />
CENTRAL<br />
BLOCK<br />
CENTRAL RANGE<br />
BLOCK<br />
BGTT<br />
8<br />
8<br />
8<br />
8<br />
TNA<br />
BLOCK 2(ab)<br />
133,504 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
9<br />
(B)<br />
10<br />
10<br />
(A)<br />
11<br />
OPEN<br />
40048 Ha<br />
12<br />
bpTT/ REPSOL<br />
BLOCK 3(a)<br />
13<br />
bpTT/ REPSOL<br />
<strong>14</strong><br />
OPEN<br />
74345 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
5736<br />
Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
96<strong>14</strong> Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
74345 Ha<br />
BLOCK 3(b)<br />
64513 Ha<br />
BLOCK 4(a)<br />
EOG RESOURCES<br />
PRIMERA<br />
CHEVRON<br />
6(b)<br />
OPEN<br />
16 17<br />
BGTT / CHEVRON<br />
BLOCK 4 (b)<br />
75328 Ha<br />
NIKO RESOURCES<br />
(CARIBBEAN) LIMITED<br />
BLOCK<br />
5(c)<br />
BGTT<br />
SONDE<br />
RESOURCES<br />
CORP<br />
BLOCK 5 (d)<br />
68420 Ha<br />
BLOCK 25(a)<br />
138860 Ha<br />
BG<br />
INTERNATIONAL<br />
Plc<br />
OPEN<br />
BLOCK 25(b)<br />
139129 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
BLOCK 26<br />
119569 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
BLOCK 27<br />
117915 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
6<br />
7<br />
SOUTH MARINE<br />
52384 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
NIKO<br />
VOYAGER <strong>ENERGY</strong><br />
(TRINIDAD) LIMITED<br />
PETROTRIN<br />
bpTT/ REPSOL<br />
NGC/PETROTRIN 15<br />
EOG RESOURCES<br />
bpTT/ REPSOL<br />
BLOCK 6(d)<br />
BGTT /<br />
CHEVRON<br />
18<br />
LOWER REVERSE 'L'<br />
36378 Ha<br />
0<br />
VENEZUELA<br />
OPEN<br />
0 500,000<br />
1,000,000<br />
BLOCKS 2010/2011 DEEP WATER BID ROUND<br />
BLOCKS 2012 DEEP WATER BID ROUND<br />
BLOCKS <strong>2013</strong> DEEP WATER BID ROUND<br />
Geographical positions are based<br />
on the Clarke 1858 Spheroid.<br />
Cassini Grid Coordinates are in links.<br />
Geographical Coordinates of Origin:<br />
Latitude 10° 26' 30" N<br />
Longitude 61° 20' 00" W.<br />
24
1,500,000<br />
2,000,000<br />
2,000,000<br />
TTDAA 29<br />
100195 Ha<br />
BHP Billiton Petroleum Ltd<br />
Block BLOCK OPERATOR LICENSEE<br />
BARBADOS 1 Block_9 BGTT PETROTRIN<br />
2 EAST_BRIGHTON_A SOOGL SOOGL 65%_PRIMERA 35%<br />
EAST BRIGHTON B SOOGL SOOGL 45.5%/ PETROTRIN 30%/ PRIMERA 24.5%<br />
3 BRIGHTON MARINE TRINITY EXPL. AND PROD. TRINITY EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION / PETROTRIN<br />
4 POINT LIGOURE TRINITY EXPL. AND PROD. TRINITY EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION / PETROTRIN<br />
5 SOUTH WEST PENINSULA TED TED / PETROTRIN<br />
6 ISLOTE BAY TED TED<br />
7 ERIN BAY TED TED<br />
8 Area_b PETROTRIN PETROTRIN<br />
9 MAYARO_GUAYAGUAYARE BAY NIKO RESOURCES NIKO RESOURCES / PETROTRIN<br />
10 GALEOTA TRINITY EXPL. AND PROD. TRINITY EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION / PETROTRIN<br />
11 GALEOTA RIDGE MORAVEN MORAVEN<br />
12 2c BHP BHP 45%/ TOTAL 30%/CHAOYANG (CNOOC 12.5%, SINOPEC 12.5%)<br />
13 3a BHP BHP 25.5%/KERR MCGEE 25.5%/CHAOYANG(CNOOC 12.75%,<br />
SINOPEC 12.75%)/PETROTRIN 15%/TOTAL 8.5%<br />
<strong>14</strong> MODIFIED U (a) EOG EOG<br />
15 MODIFIED U (b) EOG EOG<br />
16 BLOCK E BGTT BGTT/CHEVRON<br />
17 BLOCK 5(a) BGTT BGTT/CHEVRON<br />
18 BLOCK 5(b) bpTT bpTT/REPSOL<br />
19 NORTH MARINE PETROTRIN PETROTRIN<br />
-2000<br />
-3000<br />
-4000<br />
1,500,000<br />
1,000,000<br />
TTDAA <strong>14</strong><br />
99808 Ha<br />
BPEOC<br />
TTDAA 15<br />
98632 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 16<br />
99336 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 11<br />
100150 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 12<br />
100057 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 13<br />
100052 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 17<br />
101198 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 20<br />
101537 Ha<br />
TTDAA 8<br />
99809 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 9<br />
99349 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 10<br />
99337 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 18<br />
101153 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 22<br />
105227 Ha<br />
TTDAA 23<br />
91<strong>14</strong>2 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 4<br />
100185 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 6<br />
99747 Ha<br />
BHP Billiton Petroleum Ltd<br />
TTDAA 7<br />
99783 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 19<br />
102917 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 21<br />
101194 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
500,000<br />
TTDAA 2<br />
104755 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 5<br />
109559 Ha<br />
BHP Billiton Petroleum Ltd<br />
TTDAA 3<br />
109722 Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
TTDAA 1<br />
1192<strong>14</strong> Ha<br />
OPEN<br />
Scale<br />
10<br />
0<br />
10<br />
20<br />
25 Ml.<br />
10<br />
0 10<br />
20<br />
30<br />
40 Km.<br />
0<br />
1,500,000 Lk.<br />
2,000,000 Lk.<br />
2,500,000 Lk.<br />
Rectangular Coordinates of Origin:<br />
Easting = 430,000 Links.<br />
Northing = 325,000 Links.<br />
Water depth contour in metres<br />
GOVERNMENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO<br />
MINISTRY OF <strong>ENERGY</strong> AND <strong>ENERGY</strong> AFFAIRS<br />
UPSTREAM ACTIVITY MAP<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong> 25
trinidad and tobago<br />
Energy timeline<br />
Countries<br />
Early years<br />
1857 First oil well drilled by Merrimac near La Brea<br />
1866 First successful well drilled by Walter Darwent<br />
1902-7<br />
Successful wells drilled in Guayaguayare by Randolph Rust<br />
and John Lee Lum<br />
1908 Commercial oil production begins at La Brea<br />
1910 First export shipment of crude oil<br />
1911 Small refinery build at Brighton<br />
1917 Refinery built at Pointe-à-Pierre<br />
1930 First crude oil imports for local refining<br />
1933 First enhanced oil recovery at Forest Reserve<br />
1937 Labour protests<br />
Development<br />
1953 First commercial use of gas, for power generation<br />
1953 Marine exploration off southeast coast by Dominion Oil<br />
1954 Apex Oil Company drills to 16,155 feet in Fyzabad<br />
1955 Non-associated natural gas discovered on land<br />
1955 First offshore production, in Soldado field in Gulf of Paria<br />
1956 Texaco buys Pointe-à-Pierre refinery from Trinidad Leaseholds<br />
1959<br />
WR Grace subsidiary Federation Chemicals uses BP gas for<br />
petrochemical production<br />
1961 First exploration off Trinidad’s east coast<br />
1967 Peak oil production on land – 111,883 b/d<br />
The gas age<br />
1968 e east coast by Amoco<br />
1968 Peak oil production off the west coast – 76,948 b/d<br />
1968 First seismic survey off the north coast<br />
1969 Amoco finds commercial quantities of oil off the east coast<br />
1969 Government takes over BP’s land fields with Tesoro<br />
1970 Tesoro finds oil off the southeast coast<br />
1970 First competitive bidding for offshore blocks<br />
1971 Natural gas discovered off the north coast<br />
1972 Commercial oil production from Amoco’s Teak field<br />
1972 National Petroleum launched to take over BP’s gas stations<br />
1972<br />
Delta Exploration acquires speculative 2D seismic survey over<br />
northern Gulf of Paria and east coast of Trinidad<br />
1974<br />
First large-scale commercial gas production, from Amoco’s<br />
Teak field off the east coast; reserves estimated at 1.1 trillion<br />
cubic feet<br />
Expansion<br />
Trintoc created as the government’s first upstream and refining<br />
1974 company after purchase of Shell’s oilfields and Point Fortin<br />
refinery<br />
1974 16-inch, 24-mile pipeline brings gas ashore from east coast fields<br />
1975 National Gas Company (NGC) established<br />
1977<br />
Gas-based industrial development begins at Point Lisas with<br />
Tringen ammonia plant<br />
1977<br />
South East Coast Consortium (SECC) makes first east coast gas<br />
discovery since Amoco in 1968<br />
1977 24-inch, 40-mile pipeline increases transmission capacity<br />
1978 Peak east coast oil production – 139,163 b/d<br />
1978 Peak national oil production – 240,000 b/d<br />
1978 First marine platforms built locally and installed off southeast coast<br />
Heavy industry<br />
1980 Government-owned ISCOTT steel plant established at Point Lisas<br />
1981 FERTRIN ammonia plant at Point Lisas (government holds 51%)<br />
1983 Government establishes urea plant at Point Lisas<br />
1983 Amoco’s giant Cassia gas field comes on stream<br />
1983 Government builds new 30-inch, 40-mile offshore gas line<br />
1983<br />
South West Soldado oilfield off west coast is estimated at 100<br />
million barrels<br />
1984 First methanol plant established at Point Lisas (government-owned)<br />
1985 Government buys Tesoro, which becomes Trintopec<br />
1985<br />
Government acquires Texaco’s land fields and Pointe-à-Pierre<br />
refinery, amalgamating operations with Trintoc<br />
1986 First compressed natural gas available as motor fuel<br />
1987 Last well drilled in the Northern Basin to 7,700 feet in Claxton Bay<br />
1989<br />
1989<br />
1990<br />
Rationalisation<br />
Lease operatorship/farmout programme introduced by<br />
Trintopec<br />
British Gas takes over Tenneco’s international assets and enters<br />
Trinidad and Tobago<br />
Government-owned Trintomar starts gas production from<br />
Pelican field in SECC<br />
26
1991<br />
Phoenix Park Gas Processors pioneers large-scale gas liquids<br />
extraction<br />
1992 Unsuccessful exploration off south coast<br />
1992 NGC takes over National Energy Corporation<br />
1993<br />
CL Financial establishes <strong>Caribbean</strong> Methanol at Point Lisas –<br />
first fully-owned private sector gas-based petrochemical plant<br />
1993<br />
Unsuccessful exploration in deeper zones on land by Exxonled<br />
Southern Basin Consortium<br />
1993 First production-sharing contract, with BG/Texaco<br />
1993 Enron invited to salvage SECC block as a natural gas producing unit<br />
1993<br />
Product-related pricing system for natural gas sales<br />
introduced: major factor in gas monetisation success<br />
1993<br />
Petrotrin created to bring all government upstream assets<br />
under one company<br />
1994<br />
First oil company listed on Trinidad and Tobago stock<br />
exchange (Moraven Holdings)<br />
1994<br />
Amoco drills first horizontal well off southeast coast – 2,477<br />
feet through 40-foot thick sands at 8,000 feet depth<br />
1996<br />
BG/Texaco begin supplying gas to NGC from east coast<br />
Dolphin field<br />
Gas eclipses oil<br />
1996<br />
Natural gas production overtakes oil, marking shift from an oil<br />
to a gas economy<br />
1998 Amoco’s Trinidad and Tobago assets acquired by BP Group<br />
1999 Petrotrin forms alliances to boost activity in undeveloped acreage<br />
1999<br />
Trinidad and Tobago becomes the only LNG producer in Latin<br />
America/<strong>Caribbean</strong><br />
1999<br />
Shell drills first of eight wells in deep water; Exxon and BP<br />
follow suit. No oil discovered<br />
2000<br />
NGC’s natural gas sales top one billion standard cubic feet a<br />
day for the first time<br />
2001<br />
BHP Billiton makes first east coast offshore oil discovery since<br />
Amoco in 1968 with Kairi and Canteen wells<br />
2001<br />
Second non-associated gas find on land, by Vintage in the<br />
Central Block<br />
2002<br />
BG drills deepest deviated wells, to 22,000 feet in Hibiscus<br />
field off the north coast<br />
2002 BPTT commits to maximum local content upstream<br />
2002<br />
BPTT installs world’s largest offshore gas processing unit off<br />
southeast coas<br />
2003 NGC’s profit crosses TT$1 billion<br />
2003 Natural gas production off north coast by BG and partners<br />
Record breaking<br />
2004<br />
World’s first mega-methanol plant commissioned at Point<br />
Lisas for Atlas Methanol<br />
2004<br />
National Energy Corporation responsible for gas-based<br />
investment projects, industrial sites and harbours<br />
2004<br />
Petrotrin given automatic position in all exploration/<br />
production arrangements with foreign companies<br />
2005 NGC invests in upstream gas development<br />
2005<br />
World’s largest LNG train – Atlantic train 4, with a capacity of<br />
5.2 million tones a year – begins production at Point Fortin<br />
2005<br />
World’s largest methanol plant – locally-controlled Methanol<br />
5000 – comes on stream<br />
2005 Government increases royalty on gas exported by bpTT to 10%<br />
2005<br />
Cross-border gas reserves confirmed by Chevron in block 2<br />
and Venezuela’s Plataforma Deltana<br />
Declining oil<br />
BPTT’s Ibis Deep, the deepest vertical well ever sunk in<br />
2006 Trinidad and Tobago, reaches 19,068 feet in SECC block but<br />
fails to find hydrocarbons<br />
2006<br />
Government stiffens PSC terms to add a direct tax element,<br />
which does not go down well with oil companies<br />
2006 Unsuccessful eight-block ultra-deepwater auction<br />
2006<br />
BHP Billiton in block 3a makes first oil discovery since Kairi<br />
and Canteen in 2001<br />
2006 NGC inaugurates largest gas pipeline in the western hemisphere<br />
2007<br />
Eastern <strong>Caribbean</strong> gas pipeline given formal go-ahead by first<br />
customer, Barbados<br />
2007<br />
New gas discoveries in offshore blocks 5c (southeast coast)<br />
and 22 (north of Tobago)<br />
2007<br />
Venezuela’s PetroCaribe deferred-payment and soft loan<br />
initiative threatens Trinidad and Tobago’s markets<br />
2007<br />
Cross-border natural gas estimated at 10 tcf, of which 27% is<br />
on the Trinidad side<br />
2007<br />
8.39MW demonstration methanol-fired power plant<br />
established at Point Lisas<br />
2008 Global economic recession<br />
Petrotrin refinery upgrade; revised fiscal arrangements; new<br />
2010 exploration block auction; Tobago supplied with gas directly from<br />
Angostura field; concern over continued decline in oil production<br />
Eleven blocks offered in deep water auction, only two bids<br />
2011 successful – for 23a and TTDAA <strong>14</strong>, both to BP Exploration<br />
Operating Co.<br />
Proven non-associated natural gas reserves downgraded to<br />
2011 13.46 tcf by Ryder Scott consultants, the seventh straight year<br />
of decline<br />
2011<br />
Sales missions to Ghana, Suriname and Brazil by energy<br />
service companies breaking into international markets<br />
2012<br />
First PSCs for ultra-deep blocks signed with BP Exploration<br />
Operating Co. for 23a and TTDAA <strong>14</strong> from 2010 bid round<br />
2012 PSC for block 5d signed with BG Group, 5 tcf of gas resources predicted<br />
2012<br />
Six blocks offered in 2012 deep water round; BHP Billiton<br />
awarded four of them – TTDAA 5-6, 28-29<br />
Centrica Energy continues negotiation with Puerto Rico<br />
2012 Electric Power Authority (Prepa) for supply of gas from<br />
Trinidad in pioneering marine CNG form<br />
2012<br />
Beowulf Energy/First Reserve, joint majority owners of Eastern<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong> Gas Pipeline Co., confirm pipeline gas supply to Barbados<br />
2012<br />
Trinidad and Tobago and Grenada sign framework agreement<br />
on energy cooperation<br />
2012<br />
Fiscal incentives for development of small oilfields offshore<br />
and deep horizon drilling.<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
27
Countries<br />
suriname<br />
Keen interest in the<br />
deepwater blocks<br />
Suriname is billing itself as the<br />
“next giant”, meaning that<br />
in due course it expects to<br />
make a discovery as large as<br />
Zaedyus in next-door French<br />
Guiana.<br />
In late 2011, 840 million barrels<br />
of oil on a P10 basis were found<br />
by the Zaedyus well, which has<br />
transformed prospects for the Guyana/<br />
Suriname basin to the west. Zaedyus<br />
encountered oil in a fan system similar<br />
to that found in Tullow Oil’s Jubilee<br />
field offshore Ghana in West Africa:<br />
Zaedyus discover off French Guiana (courtesy Tullow)<br />
Suriname is naturally hoping these geological<br />
conditions extend westwards into its own waters<br />
Tullow’s geologists thought this could<br />
be replicated on the western side of<br />
the Atlantic – and so it proved. Shell<br />
and Northpet Investments are Tullow’s<br />
partners in the Guyana Maritime<br />
licence where Zaedyus was drilled.<br />
Suriname is naturally hoping<br />
these geological conditions extend<br />
westwards into its own waters (Guyana<br />
is keeping its fingers crossed that<br />
its own offshore may be similarly<br />
favoured).<br />
Suriname’s national energy company<br />
Staatsolie, which deals with oil and gas<br />
matters on behalf of the government,<br />
has offered four blocks for bidding,<br />
which it believes to be in the path of<br />
any westward hydrocarbon trend – 54,<br />
55, 56 and 57. Bids close on July 26 and<br />
the company hopes to be able to sign<br />
production sharing contracts with the<br />
winners by year’s end.<br />
These blocks are sited in the<br />
Demerara Plateau, described by<br />
Staatsolie as “a prominent submarine<br />
plateau located 5 degrees north of<br />
the coasts of Suriname and French<br />
Guiana and, based on available data,<br />
interpreted as a margin segment,<br />
comprising thinned continental crust,<br />
bound to the north and south by<br />
transform-type zones in which transtensional<br />
extension is accommodated.”<br />
That will be music to the ears of<br />
geologists. Wim Dwarkasing, deputy<br />
director of exploration and production<br />
contracts for Staatsolie, enthuses<br />
that “these blocks are all based on<br />
structures and the success rate is<br />
usually higher with such blocks.” He<br />
adds: “The Demerara Plateau is all part<br />
of what you have seen on the west<br />
coast of Africa where they have had<br />
these very good finds, so that’s also an<br />
attractive feature of the bid round.”<br />
28
135 P0COAST<br />
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135 P0COAST<br />
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32<br />
35<br />
Tullow Oil<br />
46<br />
55<br />
Block 47<br />
Kosmos Energy<br />
Block 42<br />
Murphy Oil<br />
Block 48<br />
56<br />
50<br />
Apache<br />
Block 53<br />
Block 45<br />
Kosmos Energy<br />
54<br />
57<br />
1<br />
Nickerie<br />
Block<br />
43<br />
Suriname-Guyana Maritime Border<br />
51<br />
2 3<br />
Coronie Block<br />
44<br />
Calcutta Block<br />
Block 52<br />
Petronas<br />
Block 31<br />
Inpex<br />
13 <strong>14</strong> 15<br />
4 5<br />
6 7<br />
Tambaredjo Block<br />
Uitkijk Block<br />
Weg naar Zee<br />
Block<br />
Commewijne Block<br />
37<br />
36<br />
Suriname-French Guiana Maritime Border<br />
0 50 100 150 km<br />
Legend:<br />
Blocks under contract Blocks Bid Round <strong>2013</strong><br />
(28/01/<strong>2013</strong> - 26/07/<strong>2013</strong>)<br />
Blocks not on offer<br />
Staatsolie operated blocks<br />
Staatsolie Oil Fields<br />
Suriname block map (courtesy Staatsolie)<br />
April <strong>2013</strong><br />
Zaedyus appears to have triggered a rush into the<br />
Suriname deep water.<br />
Tullow itself had been first, with block 47 in 2010. The US’s<br />
Kosmos, which was associated with Tullow in the Jubilee<br />
find offshore Ghana, came in shortly after, taking blocks 42<br />
and 45, and was quickly joined by a major, the US’s Chevron,<br />
which farmed in for 50%.<br />
Murphy Oil, which had earlier held block 37 further south,<br />
relinquished that after sinking two unsuccessful wells, and<br />
moved further north to block 48. Apache was awarded<br />
block 53 in a “short-listed bid round” in mid-2012, and<br />
Malaysia’s Petronas block 52.<br />
The arrival of a company from the other side of the world<br />
has been particularly satisfying for Staatsolie. Dwarkasing<br />
notes, “This is the first time an oil company from Malaysia<br />
has come into our part of the <strong>Caribbean</strong> to explore.” He<br />
might be even more pleased had he known that Petronas<br />
had declined, three years ago, to participate with Petrotrin<br />
to explore in deep water block 27 in Trinidad and Tobago<br />
because it saw little prospectivity there.<br />
Staatsolie itself is planning a leap of faith into the offshore,<br />
but closer to the coast, in about 20 metres of water. It is<br />
using its subsidiary, Paradise Drilling, to undertake what<br />
will probably be a ten-well exploration programme in block<br />
4, one of seven nearshore blocks Staatsolie is keeping for<br />
itself.<br />
“We have a good feeling about block 4,” Dwarkasing says.<br />
“The 3D ocean bottom cable seismic did produce good<br />
data. Since it’s shallow water, we can drill at reasonable cost.”<br />
The first quarter of 20<strong>14</strong> “is a realistic date to start the<br />
drilling programme,” he notes, “but all efforts are being<br />
made to commence in the fourth quarter of <strong>2013</strong>, if we can.”<br />
About 40 exploratory wells will also be sunk by Staatsolie in<br />
various blocks on land in the course of the year.<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
29
Countries<br />
barbados<br />
Getting to grips with the<br />
offshore again<br />
Andre Braithwaite (courtesy Andre Braithwaite)<br />
The high point of energy<br />
activity in Barbados in <strong>2013</strong><br />
will almost certainly be the<br />
signing of exploration and<br />
production (E&P) contracts<br />
with the Anglo-Australian explorer/<br />
producer BHP Billiton, for two blocks<br />
in deep water acreage southeast of the<br />
island. The blocks adjoin each other,<br />
Carlisle Bay (2,498 sq km) directly to the<br />
north of Bimshire (2,506 sq km).<br />
These two pieces of exploratory<br />
acreage were first offered for auction<br />
in Barbados’s ill-fated 2007 bid round.<br />
But it is probably better late than<br />
never for Barbados, which is anxious<br />
for offshore exploration to be resumed<br />
in earnest. There has been no activity<br />
offshore since November 2001, when<br />
what is now ConocoPhillips drilled the<br />
unsuccessful US$35 million Sandy Lane<br />
1 well in 6,500 feet of water.<br />
Barbados’s minuscule 900 b/d of oil is<br />
derived from onshore fields, worked<br />
by the Barbados National Oil Company<br />
(BNOC). Around 2 million cubic feet<br />
(mmcfd) of associated gas is used in<br />
the fields or sold to the sole electricity<br />
provider, Barbados Light and Power.<br />
Barbados is the only Caricom oil<br />
producer to have stuck with the E&P<br />
agreement model for offshore. All<br />
others have preferred productionsharing<br />
contracts, first introduced in<br />
1993 by Trinidad and Tobago (which<br />
still uses E&P agreements for onshore<br />
activity).<br />
Barbados’s position has always<br />
been that E&P contracts are better<br />
suited for a country at its stage of<br />
hydrocarbon development wanting<br />
to attract explorationists. The work<br />
programme agreed with BHP Billiton<br />
has not been formally announced, but<br />
is almost certain to include 3D seismic<br />
and one or two exploratory wells, once<br />
prospectivity is revealed. A carried share<br />
for BNOC – at least in the exploration<br />
phase – was a biddable item in the block<br />
auction and could be as much as 25%.<br />
BNOC is excited at going offshore<br />
for the first time on the back of a major<br />
international oil company. General<br />
manager Winton O’D. Gibbs told this<br />
YEARBOOK that “we will take up any<br />
stake with enthusiasm. We know<br />
offshore is expensive, but the rewards<br />
are much better.”<br />
BHP Billiton presumably sees<br />
opportunities in the Barbados<br />
offshore, despite ConocoPhillips’<br />
disappointing experience, or it would<br />
not have persevered as long as it<br />
has. It has had to overcome various<br />
negotiating obstacles along the way,<br />
including a change of government in<br />
early 2008. Perhaps fortunately for the<br />
company, the Democratic Labour Party<br />
retained power in the general election<br />
in February <strong>2013</strong>, though with a severely<br />
reduced majority.<br />
ConocoPhillips’ failure to find<br />
commercial quantities of oil has not<br />
dampened the experts’ positive view of<br />
the Barbados deep water either. Mervyn<br />
Gordon, BNOC’s technical manager,<br />
believes that “both oil and gas will be<br />
found off Barbados, not just gas, as<br />
some people have said. Drilling will be<br />
taking place in about 6,000-7,000 feet of<br />
water and you can go another 10,000-<br />
15,000 feet. I expect we will find some<br />
oil. I am very confident of that.”<br />
Andre Brathwaite, director, natural<br />
resources, in the division of energy<br />
and telecommunications in the office<br />
of prime minister Freundel Stuart,<br />
believes that “a discovery of oil or gas<br />
will be made offshore Barbados in the<br />
years ahead. I base that confidence on<br />
the geology.” He points out that “the<br />
more than <strong>14</strong>,000 lines of offshore<br />
seismic we now have shows that we<br />
have prospectivity in the east, west<br />
and south,” and cites extensive seismic<br />
coverage as one of the reasons why<br />
“international companies are now<br />
showing interest in Barbados again.”<br />
Onshore, BNOC will be continuing<br />
its development drilling programmes<br />
in <strong>2013</strong>, following the exploration and<br />
appraisal wells it sunk in 2011-2012,<br />
which added at least 64,000 barrels to<br />
proven reserves.<br />
Development drilling is important not<br />
only because it maintains or increases<br />
production, but also because it often<br />
leads to an upgrade of reserves. The<br />
2011-2012 programme added 822,000<br />
barrels, according to Gibbs.<br />
30
Barbados Block Map (courtesy Barbados Division of Energy)<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
31
Countries<br />
belize<br />
Plenty of setbacks –<br />
but not fatal<br />
Belize became a Caricom oil<br />
producer in 2005 after 50 years<br />
of trying, and was doing quite<br />
well until it suffered a number of<br />
body blows that will make <strong>2013</strong><br />
a difficult year for the industry.<br />
The first blow is that production from<br />
its two fields, Spanish Lookout and Never<br />
Delay in western Belize, has plummeted.<br />
Belize Natural Energy (BNEL) identified<br />
retrievable oil reserves with its first<br />
exploratory well eight years ago, and<br />
output rose rapidly to over 5,000 b/d. But<br />
it has since declined to about 2,550 b/d,<br />
not only depriving the government of<br />
much-needed revenue but reducing the<br />
associated gas and liquefied petroleum gas<br />
available for the local market.<br />
The second blow is that other<br />
explorationists have not been able to replicate BNEL’s initial<br />
success. New World Oil and Gas was forced to plug and<br />
abandon its Rio Bravo 1 exploratory well in northwestern<br />
Belize after failing to find oil, on the heels of a similar failure<br />
with its Blue Creek 1 and 2 wells. The company is putting<br />
a brave face on it, and pledges to return to the Blue Creek<br />
area in due course, because “with multiple prospects already<br />
identified, we believe it is only a matter of time before we<br />
locate a trap of significant size.”<br />
The third blow has the biggest disruptive potential for the<br />
short to medium term: the Belize Supreme Court ruled<br />
that all drilling contracts for offshore exploration issued by<br />
the government between 2004 and 2007 are “null and void.”<br />
It decided that proper environmental impact assessments<br />
had not been carried out before the signing of contracts, as<br />
required by law. It also declared that the companies involved,<br />
which include Island Oil Belize, Tropical Energy, Petro Belize,<br />
Princess Petroleum, Providence<br />
Energy and Sol Oil, “had failed to<br />
prove an ability to contribute the<br />
necessary funds, assets, machinery,<br />
equipment, tools and technical<br />
Hon. Senator Joy Grant (courtesy<br />
www.belize.gov.bz)<br />
expertise to drill safely.”<br />
The suit was brought by two<br />
environmental organisations, Citizens<br />
Organised for Liberty through Action and<br />
the Belize Coalition to save our Natural<br />
Heritage. The latter has been agitating for<br />
some time to stop offshore exploration<br />
following BP’s Macondo well blowout in<br />
the Gulf of Mexico in 2010.<br />
The government responded by offering<br />
a referendum on the matter, but that has<br />
been on hold for some time. An appeal<br />
against the judgment will probably be<br />
made but, in the meantime, Belize’s<br />
offshore acreage is out of bounds for<br />
exploration, a fact which will hardly<br />
encourage international oil companies to<br />
look seriously at offshore prospects.<br />
The bidding rounds which the<br />
government says it wants to introduce will have to be confined<br />
to the onshore for the foreseeable future.<br />
But the future for hydrocarbons in Belize is not entirely bleak,<br />
since companies which already hold onshore licences will<br />
want to get started on exploration. These include Marenco, US<br />
Capital Energy, Treaty Energy and the French firm Parenco.<br />
Belize’s minister of energy, A. Joy Grant, is prepared to<br />
predict “a spate of exploratory drilling over the next few years,<br />
based on what the companies see as promising potential in<br />
their blocks.”<br />
Belize is committed to renewable energy, as a participant in<br />
the Caricom Energy Plan.<br />
Minister Grant contends that already generates more<br />
electricity from renewable resources – 68% – than any other<br />
Caricom member, thanks to the wide use of sugar cane<br />
residue, bagasse, to heat boilers for the industry’s own power<br />
needs, the surplus being passed on to the national grid.<br />
Belize generates more electricity from renewable<br />
resources – 68% – than any other Caricom member<br />
32
Countries<br />
jamaica<br />
Restarting the<br />
exploration drive<br />
Jamaica will be trying in<br />
<strong>2013</strong> to get its derailed<br />
programme for offshore<br />
exploration back on track,<br />
and to find more reliable<br />
companies on which to pin its faith for a hydrocarbon<br />
future.<br />
Last year, its minister of science, technology, energy<br />
and mining, Phillip Paulwell, had to terminate production<br />
sharing agreements with three companies – Finder/Flow,<br />
Sagres/Rainville and Proteam. They had failed to live up to<br />
the seismic or drilling obligations in the licences they had<br />
acquired over the last eight years for a total of 12 blocks off<br />
Jamaica’s south and southeast coasts.<br />
Both Finder/Flow and Sagres/Rainville had come close<br />
to meeting their obligation to sink an exploratory well<br />
following the completion and interpretation of seismic,<br />
but neither was apparently able to find financial partners<br />
to help fund what was certain to be an expensive drilling<br />
project.<br />
Minister Paulwell, back in his old job following the return<br />
of the People’s National Party to office, has taken a nononsense<br />
approach to the lagging exploration programme.<br />
“I am not going to allow any company to hold on to any<br />
licence without living up to its obligations,” he warned. “We<br />
have to send a strong signal to the marketplace that we<br />
mean business.”<br />
If Jamaica wants to make any progress at all towards<br />
realising its long-held desire for at least some energy<br />
independence, it now has to start exploration again after a<br />
long hiatus. Eleven wells were drilled for oil between 1955<br />
and 1982, two in the offshore, but none found hydrocarbon<br />
reservoirs. Some of those were sunk by big names in the<br />
business at the time – Union Texas, Occidental, and Italy’s<br />
Agip (which is still around).<br />
Minister Paulwell thinks he will be best served by going<br />
that route again but attracting stronger companies into<br />
the drilling campaign than the three most recent licencees.<br />
“We recognise the need to get larger players and we are<br />
pursuing a number of them,” he told this YEARBOOK.<br />
“I am not going to allow any company to hold on to<br />
any licence without living up to its obligations”<br />
The production-sharing agreements with Finder/Flow,<br />
Sagres/Rainville and Proteam emerged from the 2005<br />
block round. The most recent block auction, in 2010-2011,<br />
produce no acceptable bids.<br />
Paulwell is now taking a different approach and will engage<br />
in bilateral negotiations with selected companies. He<br />
thinks this will afford more flexibility in agreeing terms.<br />
“My view is that the open-tender system does not seem<br />
to have worked. We will now engage companies in direct<br />
negotiations and come away with arrangements that we<br />
negotiate, rather than having a public bid.”<br />
This view has been strengthened by the lack of success<br />
in the 2010-2011 block auction, which Paulwell insists “was<br />
not marketed properly” (it opened during the time of the<br />
previous Jamaica Labour Party government). He says that<br />
more recent data has become available which “will make<br />
Jamaica far more attractive now,” and intends to “impress<br />
on some of the major corporations the raw data that we<br />
have which will show the substantial reserves we think<br />
Jamaica has.”<br />
On this basis, even the four land blocks that have been<br />
so far ignored by bidders – Negril, Portland, Santa Cruz and<br />
Windsor – might conceivably seem more attractive.<br />
While struggling to get the exploration process back on<br />
track, Paulwell is also preoccupied with the long-running<br />
problem of the Jamaican refinery, Petrojam, 51% of which<br />
is owned by the Petroleum Corporation of Jamaica (PCJ).<br />
Petrojam urgently needs to be upgraded from its present<br />
limited capacity of 35,000 b/d to around 50,000 b/d.<br />
Venezuela’s PdVSA, which has acquired the other 49%, is<br />
pledged to fund the upgrading. But if it does not happen,<br />
“we will have to shut it down. It’s as simple as that,” says<br />
Paulwell. The government has already decided to sell<br />
off one PCJ subsidiary – its fuels retailer, the Petroleum<br />
Company of Jamaica, better known as Petcom.<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
33
Countries<br />
guyana<br />
Could luck change with the<br />
Stabroek block?<br />
If the geological structures that<br />
trapped oil off Ghana and other<br />
West African countries are really<br />
replicated off South America, it<br />
has yet to be demonstrated in<br />
Guyana, despite the evidence of oil<br />
off nearby French Guiana.<br />
Neither the US$71 million Eagle<br />
1 well in CGX Energy’s Corentyne<br />
block nor the Jaguar 1 well in the<br />
Georgetown block found oil or<br />
gas in 2012. Repsol is the operator,<br />
partnering Tullow Oil, YPF Guyana and<br />
CGX itself.<br />
Jaguar was stopped at 4,878<br />
metres instead of being drilled to<br />
the Late Cretaceous horizon, as<br />
planned, because “pressure design<br />
limits for safe operations prevented<br />
further drilling,” according to a Tullow<br />
spokesman. There was a glimmer of<br />
hope in that “samples of light oil were<br />
recovered from two Late Cretaceous<br />
turbidite sands above the primary<br />
objective.”<br />
How soon operators will return to<br />
drilling is uncertain. CGX’s intentions<br />
towards Corentyne are unknown,<br />
while Repsol says it considers the<br />
Georgetown block “still interesting”<br />
and may drill again, but “not before<br />
late <strong>2013</strong>/early 20<strong>14</strong>.”<br />
CGX holds several other Guyana<br />
offshore blocks – Corentyne Annexe<br />
(100%), Pomeroon (100%) and,<br />
onshore, the majority share in Berbice<br />
through its fully-owned subsidiary,<br />
ON Energy. But it has not said when it<br />
will try its luck again – and Berbice has<br />
probably been ruled out after three<br />
unsuccessful wells.<br />
There has been no word from<br />
ExxonMobil and Shell, who hold the<br />
Stabroek block in a 75/25% equity<br />
relationship.<br />
The most recent international<br />
oil company to take an interest<br />
in Guyana, Anadarko Petroleum<br />
Corporation, has said it will “study<br />
available data” for its block, named<br />
Roraima, “with a view to identifying<br />
leads that could result in prospects<br />
favourable for drilling.”<br />
So the possibility of some Guyanese<br />
offshore blocks being on trend with<br />
the Zaedyus find in French Guiana<br />
should not altogether be ruled out.<br />
Apart from Berbice, there is another<br />
licensed block onshore Guyana –<br />
Takutu in the interior, regarded as<br />
cross-border with Brazil. It is held 65%<br />
by Canacol, 25% by Sagres Energy and<br />
10% by Takutu Oil and Gas, formerly<br />
Groundstar Resources. The Apoteri K2<br />
well was drilled there, though without<br />
success, and the acreage may even<br />
The possibility of some Guyanese offshore blocks<br />
being on trend with the Zaedyus find in French<br />
Guiana should not altogether be ruled out<br />
Most hopes now lie with ExxonMobil/Shell,<br />
whose Stabroek block is by far the largest piece of<br />
offshore acreage Guyana has licensed<br />
have been surrendered.<br />
Next-door Suriname has also failed<br />
so far to identify offshore oil or gas.<br />
Two wells drilled in 2010-2011 by<br />
Murphy Oil in block 37 (Aracara and<br />
Caracari) and by Inpex in block 31<br />
(Aitkanti) all failed to find retrievable<br />
volumes.<br />
Most hopes now lie with<br />
ExxonMobil/Shell, whose<br />
Stabroek block is by far the largest<br />
piece of offshore acreage Guyana<br />
has licensed. It extends from the<br />
Venezuelan maritime border in<br />
the west to the Suriname maritime<br />
border in the east, and could contain<br />
a wide sweep of prospects. The two<br />
companies were only obliged to<br />
undertake 2D seismic, which was<br />
completed, but they opted for another<br />
2D exercise to fill in some blank spots.<br />
Newell Dennison, manager of the<br />
petroleum division in the Guyana<br />
Geology and Mines Commission,<br />
suggests that ExxonMobil/Shell might<br />
consider 3D acquisition. But they will<br />
have to make up their minds soon<br />
about sinking an actual well, since<br />
they keep losing parts of Stabroek<br />
through mandatory relinquishments<br />
which, in Dennison’s words, “are<br />
aggressive.” He says: “ExxonMobil<br />
has told us they are not interested in<br />
dragging the situation out, so may<br />
drill eventually.” It remains to be seen<br />
whether that happens in <strong>2013</strong>.<br />
34
Countries<br />
cuba<br />
Deep water seems to be dry<br />
Cuba had high hopes of<br />
success from its deep water<br />
drilling campaign in the Gulf<br />
of Mexico. But they were well<br />
and truly dashed in 2012<br />
and into <strong>2013</strong>, and no further offshore<br />
exploration is planned for the rest of the<br />
year.<br />
The list of well failures has been<br />
dispiriting. After drawing a blank with<br />
Jaguey 1, Repsol declined to drill a<br />
second well, and said it would quit the<br />
Cuban deep water. Malaysia’s Petronas<br />
and Russia’s Gazpromneft had no<br />
more success with the Catoche 1 well<br />
– a statement issued by the Cuban<br />
state oil company Cubapetroleo said<br />
that “the rocks are very compact and<br />
do not have the capacity to deliver<br />
significant quantities of petroleum or<br />
gas, so the well can not be classified as<br />
a commercial success.”<br />
Venezuela’s national energy company<br />
PdVSA had no luck with its Cabo de<br />
San Antonio well, not did Russia’s<br />
Zerubezhneft with its exploratory well.<br />
The Angolan state energy company<br />
Sonangol, Vietnam’s Petro Vietnam<br />
and India’s ONGC promised to try<br />
their hand in the deep water, where<br />
Cuba has delineated 59 blocks in its<br />
exclusive economic zone: but they are<br />
understood to be unlikely to proceed.<br />
Petro Vietnam said it would wait for<br />
the results of PdVSA’s work, which was<br />
unsuccessful, while ONGC reportedly<br />
told Cuban officials it needed partners<br />
to help finance wells in one of its two<br />
offshore blocks. On current trends, such<br />
partners are unlikely to come on board.<br />
However, while the deep water may<br />
be sidelined for the foreseeable<br />
future, Zerubezhneft is staying on to drill<br />
some wells nearshore northern Cuba,<br />
and even plans to move onshore into<br />
blocks 9 and 12, where wells abandoned<br />
many years ago are considered ripe for<br />
revival.<br />
For now, it seems that Cuba’s crude oil<br />
production from onshore and nearshore<br />
wells will remain stuck at around 52,000<br />
b/d, forcing it to continue importing<br />
about 110,000 b/d of refined products<br />
like gasolene, diesel and fuel oil, plus<br />
crude for its four refineries at Cienfuegos,<br />
Mantanzas, Habana and Santiago de<br />
Cuba, which is largely sourced from<br />
Venezuela.<br />
Upgrades are planned for three of<br />
these refineries, with Habana slated<br />
to be shut down. Combined nominal<br />
capacity is 300,000 b/d, but the four can<br />
deliver no more than about 104,000 b/d<br />
at present.<br />
Cienfuegos has actually exported<br />
a small amount of refined products<br />
(about 16,000 b/d) since PdVSA came on<br />
board as a partner with Cubapetroleo.<br />
Venezuela is pledged to fund an<br />
expansion programme at Cienfuegos<br />
under the two countries’ Cuvenpetrol<br />
joint venture, which will raise production<br />
from 65,000 b/d to 150,000 b/d.<br />
Financing for the expansion was<br />
to have been provided by Venezuela,<br />
Repsol declined to drill a second well, and said it<br />
would quit the Cuban deep water<br />
using funds from China under a cashfor-oil<br />
credit scheme. But under its<br />
new president Nicolás Maduro, Caracas<br />
may be having second thoughts about<br />
all these arrangements, which enable<br />
Venezuela to undertake development<br />
projects at home and abroad while<br />
pledging oil supplies as repayment in<br />
the future.<br />
So it is not entirely surprising to hear<br />
from Cuvenpetrol that, at the time of<br />
writing, no contract for the Cienfuegos<br />
upgrading had been signed with the<br />
chosen contractor, China National<br />
Petroleum’s Huanqui Contracting and<br />
Engineering Unit.<br />
Alongside the Cienfuegos upgrade,<br />
other infrastructure is planned for the<br />
area: an LNG regasification plant, to<br />
handle LNG imports of around 2 million<br />
tonnes a year; a petrochemical complex;<br />
and power generation facilities.<br />
Cuba has long been in the frame<br />
for imported LNG, with Trinidad and<br />
Tobago a possible long-term supplier,<br />
since no US LNG exporter would be<br />
allowed to trade with the country.<br />
As in many other <strong>Caribbean</strong> states<br />
these days, Cuba is probably having<br />
more success with renewable energy<br />
than with hydrocarbons. Early in <strong>2013</strong><br />
it announced a major programme<br />
of wind-farm construction, with six<br />
facilities across the country, generating<br />
280MW. Officials reckon that this could<br />
save 184,000 tonnes of CO 2 emissions,<br />
compared with oil-fired generators.<br />
280MW is only scratching the surface<br />
of wind power, since Cuba is said to<br />
be capable of as much as 1,200MW of<br />
wind-generated energy.<br />
energycaribbean YEARBOOK <strong>2013</strong>/<strong>14</strong><br />
35
Companies<br />
atlantic<br />
A global benchmark<br />
for LNG<br />
Countries<br />
In <strong>2013</strong> Atlantic, Trinidad and<br />
Tobago’s much-admired LNG<br />
complex at Point Fortin, should<br />
achieve the status of a global<br />
benchmark for LNG trains, according<br />
to its former CEO, Oscar Prieto.<br />
Prieto’s successor, Nigel Darlow, has<br />
not publicly confirmed that status yet,<br />
but clearly believes it is possible, since<br />
Atlantic is already close to it in areas<br />
like “safety performance, production<br />
reliability and corporate sustainability”.<br />
One aspect he concedes still needs<br />
attention is “cost efficiency.”<br />
“Sustainability” is a buzz word taken<br />
to mean different things by different<br />
interests. In Caricom’s new energy<br />
policy it refers to “renewable energy<br />
and energy efficiency”, at least in an<br />
upstream sense.<br />
Atlantic is a “midstream” company but<br />
efficiency in the use of its main input,<br />
natural gas, of which it is the prime<br />
consumer in Trinidad and Tobago (2.1<br />
bn cfd in 2012), is equally important.<br />
The less gas used to make a tonne of<br />
LNG, the lower the costs of production<br />
and the higher the LNG output.<br />
Cost management is one of five focus<br />
areas that Darlow has identified<br />
as Atlantic becomes a benchmarking<br />
model for the LNG world. The others:<br />
personal safety, people development<br />
and talent management, project delivery<br />
of the plant optimisation programme,<br />
and production and reliability.<br />
Efficiency, the CEO stresses, “very<br />
much includes procurement, how we<br />
spend our supply-chain budget. We<br />
need to be cost-conscious and have a<br />
prudent approach to cost management.”<br />
Darlow is keenly conscious that the<br />
country’s precious natural gas reserves<br />
must be economically used. “We will<br />
continue to be a significant revenue<br />
generator for our shareholders and the<br />
government and people of Trinidad<br />
and Tobago for a very long time to<br />
come,” he says. “Our offtakers have been<br />
very successful at accessing high-class<br />
markets.”<br />
He has at least a 20-year timeframe for<br />
Atlantic, pointing out that “we’ve got to<br />
work to ensure that we compete in the<br />
global market, [and] get the gas supplies<br />
we need to enable the facility to last for<br />
another 20-plus years – that’s the goal.”<br />
Darlow is confident that Atlantic –<br />
whose shareholders are BP, BG,<br />
Summer Soca LNG liquefaction SA<br />
(train one only), and the National Gas<br />
Company (trains one and four only),<br />
soon to be joined by Royal Dutch Shell,<br />
which has bought out Repsol’s share<br />
Atlantic’s LNG complex at Point Fortin (courtesy Atlantic)<br />
– “will always have a market for LNG<br />
because, despite all the plants that are<br />
planned, the consensus in the industry<br />
is that demand for LNG will continue<br />
to outstrip supply. Worldwide, gas<br />
is increasingly becoming the fuel of<br />
choice to replace oil and coal.”<br />
Atlantic is one of the few companies<br />
in the energy sector that publishes an<br />
annual sustainability review (and does<br />
so very attractively too, with a wealth of<br />
information about its activities).<br />
It is even completely honest about a<br />
subject few big-name companies want<br />
to talk about – its contribution to global<br />
warming. In its 2011 sustainability report,<br />
Atlantic revealed that its greenhouse<br />
gas (GHG) emissions were 5.31 million<br />
tonnes for the year. It “monitors and<br />
manages GHG emissions from the<br />
production process through multiple<br />
approaches, including efficiencies in<br />
operation and reductions in flaring.”<br />
36
Companies<br />
CIBC firstcaribbean international bank<br />
FCIB aspires to be the<br />
region’s energy bank<br />
Countries<br />
CIBC First<strong>Caribbean</strong> International<br />
Bank, successor<br />
to the Barclays and CIBC<br />
operations in the region<br />
(making it the largest<br />
banking institution in the Englishspeaking<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong>), will continue to<br />
seek out funding opportunities in the<br />
energy sector in <strong>2013</strong>.<br />
It has been most successful so far<br />
in the area of electricity, where it has<br />
helped fund the Jamaica Public Service<br />
Company (with whom the Bank says it<br />
has a “strong relationship”), the Jamaican<br />
IPP West Kingston Power Partners, the<br />
Bahamas Electricity Corporation and St<br />
Lucia Electricity Services. It has also been<br />
lead arranger/underwriter for an equity<br />
issue by the Canadian power company<br />
Emera Inc., in relation to its <strong>Caribbean</strong><br />
acquisitions.<br />
But it is likely to pay more attention<br />
in the future to upstream oil and<br />
gas activity, downstream projects,<br />
renewable energy and energy efficiency,<br />
all of which are likely to need injections<br />
of loan capital as new initiatives ramp up<br />
in various parts of the region, including,<br />
of course, Trinidad and Tobago.<br />
The Bank has already taken part in a<br />
US$235 million syndicated loan facility<br />
for the Suriname national oil company,<br />
Staatsolie, to which it contributed US$10<br />
million, for production and refinery<br />
expansion.<br />
As the recently-approved Caricom<br />
Energy Policy moves into its<br />
implementation phase, with the<br />
emphasis on greater take-up of<br />
renewable energy (RE) and the adoption<br />
of energy efficiency measures in the<br />
region, CIBC First<strong>Caribbean</strong> International<br />
will have even greater scope for<br />
extending financial support to energyrelated<br />
activity.<br />
It already has an RE project to its<br />
credit, having been part of a syndicate<br />
that underwrote a US$54 million<br />
secured term loan facility to NuCuraçao<br />
Windparken BV for 30MW of wind<br />
power generation. This represents,<br />
according to the Bank, “almost 20% of<br />
Curaçao’s annual energy demand.”<br />
Sharaz Ahamad, CIBC First<strong>Caribbean</strong>’s<br />
director for origination and capital<br />
market products in the Southern<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong>, points out that the Bank has<br />
even ventured into biomass-to-energy,<br />
by “funding the first stage of a waste<br />
recycling plant for a company called<br />
Sustainable Recycling in Barbados,<br />
which will collect household waste<br />
and bundle it so it can be used in an<br />
incinerator to provide energy to the<br />
grid.”<br />
Though Trinidad and Tobago has<br />
signed on to the “sustainable energy”<br />
that underpins the Caricom Energy<br />
Policy, Ahamad has his doubts about<br />
whether RE will catch on easily in a<br />
“The economics of RE will be challenging in Trinidad<br />
and Tobago: I don’t see a huge project in<br />
solar or wind here”<br />
country already self-sufficient in both<br />
oil and gas sold at attractive prices for<br />
electricity generation, transport and<br />
cooking/water heating.<br />
“The economics of RE will be<br />
challenging in Trinidad and Tobago,” he<br />
says, “I don’t see a huge project in solar<br />
or wind here – the economics don’t<br />
really lend themselves to it.”<br />
He may be in for a pleasant surprise,<br />
however, since the energy ministry in<br />
Port of Spain seems determined to woo<br />
consumers into looking more kindly on<br />
RE and is itself active in promoting it.<br />
Ahamad does concede that<br />
Trinidad and Tobago may be a<br />
strong candidate for the application<br />
of energy efficiency measures, since<br />
the very cheapness of energy tends to<br />
encourage laxity in its conservation.<br />
“There’s a huge opportunity here in all<br />
Caricom members,” he insists. “Energy<br />
costs are very high in most regional<br />
states. The hotel plant in particular is a<br />
very good candidate. In fact, we have<br />
a programme of loans to hotels to<br />
improve energy efficiency.”<br />
Downstream industries from the<br />
core petrochemical plants in Trinidad<br />
and Tobago is another area where CIBC<br />
First<strong>Caribbean</strong> is keen to be active. Two<br />
such investments in which it has had<br />
mild initial involvement – the Carisal<br />
caustic soda/calcium chloride plant and<br />
the EthylChem ethanol dehydration<br />
facility – do not now appear to be<br />
going forward, but no doubt other<br />
loan opportunities will arise in the<br />
downstream part of the energy sector<br />
in due course.<br />
38
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Tel: 1 868 822-5071<br />
Mobile: 1 868 779-2994<br />
E-mail: sharaz.ahamad@cibcfcib.com<br />
Gillian Charles-Gollop<br />
Associate Director, Sector Specialist<br />
Energy & Utilities<br />
Tel: 1 246 467-8723<br />
Mobile: 1 246 232-8700<br />
E-mail: gillian.gollop@cibcfcib.com<br />
CORPORATE & INVESTMENT BANKING,<br />
TRINIDAD & TOBAGO<br />
Duane Hinkson<br />
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Tel: 1 868 822-5080<br />
E-mail: duane.hinkson@cibcfcib.com<br />
Anthony Seeraj<br />
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& Investment Banking<br />
Tel: 1 868 628-4685<br />
E-mail: anthony.seeraj@cibcfcib.com<br />
HEDGING<br />
Winville Larcher<br />
Director, Client Solutions Group<br />
Tel: 1 246 367-2133<br />
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Bank of Commerce, used by First<strong>Caribbean</strong> International Bank under license.
Companies<br />
gasfin development sa<br />
Small LNG plant can<br />
transform TT gas exports<br />
Countries<br />
Gasfin Development SA, a Luxembourgregistered<br />
“right-sized LNG solutions” company,<br />
as it describes itself, is anxious to establish a<br />
small LNG plant in Trinidad and Tobago, and has<br />
been trying to persuade the energy ministry and<br />
its gas promotion agency, the National Gas Company (NGC),<br />
towards that end for almost four years, without success up to<br />
the time of writing.<br />
Why is Gasfin Development so keen on Project Constantine,<br />
as it has named its LNG project?<br />
Because it thinks Trinidad and Tobago, the only country<br />
capable of exporting gas in the <strong>Caribbean</strong> and Central<br />
America, should be taking advantage of the expected<br />
demand from regional power utilities for small and mediumsized<br />
(i.e. “right-sized”) cargos of LNG for fuel. The high cost<br />
of conventional fuel oil and diesel is translating into crippling<br />
electricity bills for businesses and households.<br />
There is no government intervention in fuel costs in the<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong> except in Trinidad and Tobago itself, so local<br />
utilities have to bear the full brunt of market prices.<br />
Gasfin’s CEO Roland Fisher, who has been pressing for a<br />
500,000-tonne-per-year single train (at first), reckons that gas<br />
would be eminently competitive at the mmbtu equivalent<br />
price of fuel oil or diesel.<br />
He has identified several markets in the <strong>Caribbean</strong> and<br />
Central America that would be willing to convert to gas if<br />
they could be assured of a regular supply that significantly<br />
reduced their energy costs.<br />
Gasfin designed and delivered the<br />
first mid-scale LNG plant and built<br />
the first mid-scale mixed-use LNG<br />
carrier<br />
The small size of these regional power utilities means that<br />
their LNG requirements would be modest, in the range of<br />
50,000 to 100,000 tonnes a year (7 million to <strong>14</strong> million cubic<br />
feet of gas a day).<br />
The total gas requirement for the LNG train which Fisher<br />
wants to site at La Brea in southwest Trinidad would therefore<br />
be only 70 mmcfd, which could probably be squeezed out of<br />
NGC’s current gas contracts, which amount to about 1.7 bn<br />
cfd. Another 2.3 bn cfd is already diverted to LNG production<br />
by direct deals between gas-producing companies and<br />
Atlantic at Point Fortin.<br />
Gasfin comes with impeccable credentials as a “right-sized<br />
LNG solutions” company. It designed and delivered the first<br />
mid-scale LNG plant – 400,000 tonnes a year – to China in<br />
2004. It built the first mid-scale mixed-use LNG carrier, the<br />
7,500 cubic metre Coral Methane, in 2009.<br />
If floating storage and regasification units are required –<br />
which is likely to be the case with the market Gasfin wants to<br />
service in the French <strong>Caribbean</strong> departments of Martinique<br />
and Guadeloupe – then it can construct those too. The<br />
company claims its type C LNG cargo tank “is the only<br />
tank design able to withstand pressure build-up from LNG<br />
storage.”<br />
Trinidad and Tobago, through Atlantic, already services<br />
about 21 LNG markets in the world, but the unique value<br />
of the <strong>Caribbean</strong> and Central American market is its scaleddown<br />
size. A local company, in the form of NGC, can handle<br />
this in such a way that Trinidad and Tobago, as a country, is<br />
directly involved in the LNG value chain, rather than indirectly<br />
through companies such as BP, BG and Repsol.<br />
Fisher believes that La Brea LNG will bring tangible benefits<br />
to Trinidad and Tobago by positioning it as “the world<br />
pioneer of mid-scale LNG exporting” through the “capture of<br />
long-term premium markets in the <strong>Caribbean</strong>.”<br />
What’s more, with a small LNG plant up and running, LNG<br />
for the first time could be used domestically for industry and<br />
transport, even rivalling CNG as an alternative motor fuel.<br />
40
Delivering gas to the <strong>Caribbean</strong><br />
Right-sized LNG solutions<br />
Gasfin, building on its extensive global<br />
references in Mid-scale LNG, stands ready to<br />
assist Trinidad & Tobago to win the race to serve<br />
the <strong>Caribbean</strong> gas market.<br />
For more information visit www.gasfin.net or call +44 20 3369 9690<br />
At every step...in every size...on land or sea...across the globe
Companies<br />
methanex trinidad<br />
Happy with TT operation –<br />
but no expansion<br />
Countries<br />
Methanex<br />
Corporation,<br />
the world’s largest<br />
methanol supplier (7.5<br />
million tonnes in 2012),<br />
is in expansionist<br />
mode – but not, curiously, in Trinidad<br />
and Tobago, where one of its major<br />
production facilities is sited at the Point<br />
Lisas industrial estate.<br />
One reason for that could be its<br />
caution about what newly-appointed<br />
president and CEO John Floren<br />
describes as “concentration – having<br />
too many plants in one location.”<br />
Methanex’s capacity in the<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong>’s oil and gas capital is<br />
already up to 2.5 million tonnes<br />
annually – 850,000 tonnes from Titan,<br />
of which it is the sole owner, and 1.7<br />
million tonnes from Atlas, which it<br />
operates with a 63.1% equity holding,<br />
partnered by bpTT (36.9%).<br />
“Concentration” has obliged<br />
Methanex to relocate two of its four<br />
methanol plants in Chile to the US Gulf<br />
Coast state of Louisiana. Those units<br />
have not actually been producing for<br />
some time, because of problems with<br />
gas supply, so it made sense to site<br />
them in a place with gas coming out of<br />
its ears thanks to the shale revolution,<br />
and at a very attractive price.<br />
“We wanted gas from Argentina, but<br />
that became a low-profitability in the<br />
short term”, Floren explains, “so running<br />
four plants in Chile was not feasible on<br />
a long-term basis.”<br />
Since the plants were idle, the two<br />
million tonnes of methanol they will<br />
be producing by 2016 are regarded as<br />
new output.<br />
Methanex’s 7.5 million tonnes a<br />
year represents 15% of global<br />
methanol sales, and the Vancouverbased<br />
corporation is determined to<br />
maintain that share of the market. To<br />
do that, says Floren, it must “grow by<br />
one million tonnes every two years.”<br />
The two Louisiana facilities will help<br />
meet that target.<br />
In New Zealand, Methanex is<br />
increasing capacity at its Motunui<br />
plant by 700,000 tonnes through a<br />
de-bottlenecking process, and is restarting<br />
the Waitara Valley unit, which<br />
will add another 500,000 tonnes to<br />
production.<br />
Two years ago, it brought back on<br />
stream its 470,000-tonne methanol<br />
facility in Medicine Hat, Alberta, which<br />
had been idle for several years, and will<br />
boost capacity up to 580,000 tonnes<br />
this year. Its 60% owned and operated<br />
plant in Egypt, with a capacity of 1.3<br />
million tonnes, is said to be “one of<br />
the most energy-efficient methanol<br />
production facilities in the world,” and<br />
delivered its first cargo in 2011.<br />
Besides the risk in “concentration”,<br />
Methanex has experienced difficulties<br />
in Trinidad and Tobago in recent years<br />
– supplies of oxygen from Air Products<br />
and Air Liquide, gas delivery from the<br />
National Gas Company, “technical<br />
problems” in running the huge Atlas<br />
To maintain that share of the market, Methanex<br />
must “grow by one million tonnes every two years”<br />
John Floren (courtesy Methanex)<br />
plant. All these factors may have<br />
affected thoughts of expansion.<br />
But overall, Floren says he is “happy”<br />
with his Trinidad and Tobago assets<br />
and is “making progress with getting<br />
the plants to be more reliable.” With<br />
the methanol price hovering around<br />
US$400 a tonne, “all of our operations<br />
are very profitable.”<br />
Methanex Trinidad is already<br />
prepared for any future local expansion:<br />
as Floren points out, it has “available<br />
land around our plant at Point Lisas, for<br />
which we pay a million dollars a year to<br />
keep.”<br />
But he is careful to stress that any<br />
future growth in Trinidad and Tobago<br />
will involve producing more methanol,<br />
not going downstream. “We have no<br />
interest in going there. When we look<br />
downstream, we don’t see the same<br />
type of market conditions as we do in<br />
methanol. We can not see any industry<br />
downstream that is as attractive as<br />
methanol.”<br />
42
Companies<br />
National gas company (NGC)<br />
NGC is set to expand<br />
Trinidad and Tobago’s National Gas Company (NGC)<br />
Countries<br />
should be finalising agreements to participate in<br />
the local operation of three multinational energy<br />
companies in <strong>2013</strong>.<br />
Its intention, as energy minister Kevin Ramnarine<br />
has indicated, is to “acquire all or part of their assets in Trinidad<br />
and Tobago.”<br />
One of those acquisitions is Total’s interest in the productive<br />
block 2c (30%) and in the Greater Ruby/Delaware Market<br />
Development Area in block 3a (8.5%), both off the northeast<br />
coast of Trinidad.<br />
Total has decided to sell because what it has in Trinidad and<br />
Tobago is small potatoes and it needs to focus investment and<br />
management time on areas of the world where it has grander<br />
prospects. Those include nearby French Guiana, where it holds<br />
25% in the Guyane Maritime licence in which the Zaedyus oil<br />
discovery was made in late 2011. By contrast, its holdings in 2c<br />
provide it with a 30% share in only 12,479 b/d of oil and 431<br />
mmcfd of gas (2012 average).<br />
In NGC’s quest to go upstream, where it is currently limited<br />
to 15% in the Repsol-operated Teak/Samaan/Poui block, even<br />
modest access to oil and gas production is welcome. It already<br />
buys 220 mmcfd from the BHP Billiton-operated block 2c; now<br />
it will be regaining some of that in revenue from its ownership<br />
position. Block 3a is an undeveloped play at the moment, but<br />
there could be significant amounts of oil and gas available<br />
from that source in the future.<br />
NGC’s new president, Indar Maharaj, has not confirmed<br />
the company’s takeover of Total’s holdings, nor the names<br />
of the other two intended acquisitions, only conceding in<br />
an interview with this YEARBOOK that “the discussions are at<br />
different stages at the moment.” The company’s strategic goal,<br />
he explains, is “to get into all aspects of the value chain – once<br />
the risk is acceptable, since I have to be very, very careful with<br />
risk. But if I want to go upstream and I see an entity that is<br />
already in operation and doing well, then I’m minimising my<br />
risk while getting an opportunity.”<br />
In 2012, NGC struck out boldly in another value-adding area<br />
– marketing the three cargos of LNG produced from the 30<br />
mmcfd of gas it buys for export from EOG Resources Trinidad.<br />
Previously, these were sold internationally on its behalf by BP,<br />
but even before the new president came on board, NGC had<br />
been moving to insert itself into the LNG trading business.<br />
Its first cargo, of about 118,000 cubic metres, was sold to the<br />
international trading company Gunvor at US$9.25 per mmbtu,<br />
minister Ramnarine has revealed. This was considerably more<br />
than the US$1.60 per mmbtu that NGC earned when BP Gas<br />
Marketing was doing the job.<br />
Subsequently, two other cargos were bought by Brazil’s<br />
Petrobras and Trafigura, at steadily increasing prices.<br />
According to Anand Ragbir, NGC’s vice president, commercial:<br />
“We earned about six times more for our second cargo than we<br />
used to get from BP, and about eight times more for the third.”<br />
Clearly, the company has been a quick learner and appears to<br />
have mastered the intricacies of global LNG marketing.<br />
On the home from, NGC will be helping to make compressed<br />
natural gas (CNG) a more attractive fuel for motorists in <strong>2013</strong>.<br />
“The establishment of a new company to promote the concept<br />
is one of the options being considered,” Maharaj confirms. It<br />
will probably be partnered by its fellow state firms, Petrotrin<br />
and National Petroleum (NP).<br />
Such a company would have to deal with all aspects of<br />
the CNG initiative – service stations, vehicle conversions, and<br />
pipelines to take gas to the pumps. But Maharaj asserts: “We’ve<br />
got to break this cycle of indecision over CNG.”<br />
Anand Ragbir (courtesy NGC)<br />
44
Companies<br />
repsol trinidad and tobago<br />
Repsol slims itself down<br />
Repsol finds itself a much smaller player in the<br />
Countries<br />
Trinidad and Tobago energy sector in <strong>2013</strong> than it<br />
was only a year earlier.<br />
Its major asset – its shareholding in Atlantic’s<br />
four LNG trains – has, from all accounts, been<br />
purchased by Royal Dutch Shell, leaving Repsol with no<br />
ownership interest in the 15.2 million tonnes a year of gas<br />
liquefaction capacity in the world’s sixth largest LNG trader,<br />
though it may well continue to buy LNG from Trinidad and<br />
Tobago to service its own supply commitments.<br />
That Atlantic holding amounted to 20% in train one, 25%<br />
in trains 2 and 3, and 22.2% in train 4.<br />
However, Repsol’s presence is still significant. It owns<br />
30% of bpTT, the biggest upstream company in the<br />
energy sector, which produces around 408,000 barrels of oil<br />
equivalent a day (boed), mainly natural gas. It has 70% and<br />
operatorship in the Teak/Samaan/Poui (TSP) block off the<br />
east coast, which produces close to 12,000 b/d of oil and 30<br />
mmcfd of gas.<br />
Repsol is concentrating on the one<br />
asset of which it is in charge – the<br />
TSP block – and maximising its<br />
performance<br />
Repsol Headquarters, Trinidad (courtesy Repsol)<br />
Repsol’s major asset – its shareholding<br />
in Atlantic’s four LNG trains – has,<br />
from all accounts, been purchased<br />
by Royal Dutch Shell<br />
Repsol is also a 30%, non-operating shareholder in block<br />
5b, on the maritime boundary line with Venezuela southwest<br />
of Trinidad, where around 2 trillion cubic feet of gas was<br />
identified by the Manakin 1 exploration well 13 years ago.<br />
The Coquina 1 well sunk by Venezuela’s PdVSA in 1982 also<br />
encountered gas, in shallower horizons.<br />
This is a significant asset from Repsol’s point of view,<br />
but it can’t be monetised until agreement is reached with<br />
Venezuela on unitising the reservoirs on each side. The latest<br />
word on the matter from Norman Christie, regional president,<br />
Trinidad, for bpTT (the operator of 5b), is that “the reserves<br />
have been decided but divisions have not yet been agreed.”<br />
Not surprisingly, Christie sees Manakin as “a medium-term<br />
development matter.”<br />
Repsol also partnered BHP Billiton in the 2010 deep water<br />
acreage auction to bid for block 23b. The bid was not<br />
acceptable to the energy ministry in the terms in which<br />
it was couched, and the parties were supposed to hold<br />
discussions “with a view to attaining a mutually acceptable<br />
proposal.” Those discussions have not yet concluded, as far<br />
as this YEARBOOK is aware, and it is possible that BHP Billiton<br />
may no longer be interested in them, having been awarded<br />
no fewer than four other deep water blocks – TTDAA 5-6 and<br />
28-29 – in the 2012 deep water bid round.<br />
Which leaves Repsol to concentrate on the one asset<br />
of which it is in charge – the TSP block – and maximise its<br />
performance in <strong>2013</strong>. It is attempting to do that by drilling<br />
two appraisal wells and six in-fill wells, the latter in the Teak<br />
field, the old workhorse of the block. Some non-rig work will<br />
also be undertaken to improve the wells’ flow.<br />
TSP, being old fields, are declining fast, and Repsol’s<br />
challenge is how to arrest, and even reverse, that slide. It<br />
has done a commendable job so far, even managing to push<br />
production up a little between 2011 (average 11,771 b/d)<br />
and 2012 (average 11,961 b/d).<br />
46
Countries<br />
Solaris Energy is the result of an adroit move by a<br />
48<br />
Companies<br />
solaris energy<br />
Oil producer jumps<br />
into renewables<br />
small Trinidad and Tobago oil producer, Moraven<br />
Holdings, into renewable energy (RE), well before<br />
any of its fellow independents have thought of the<br />
idea. It’s an obvious case of hedging your bets, on<br />
the assumption that RE is going to claim a growing share of<br />
the energy market in Caricom in the years ahead, once its<br />
15 members act on the basis of their own regional energy<br />
policy (see elsewhere in this YEARBOOK).<br />
Moraven Holdings, a public company quoted on the<br />
second tier of the Trinidad and Tobago stock exchange,<br />
is at the bottom end of the oil production scale, lifting an<br />
average of only 229 b/d in 2012, according to the ministry<br />
of energy and energy affairs. This comes from its subsidiary<br />
Mora Oil Ventures’ Mora A production platform off Trinidad’s<br />
southeast coast.<br />
Presumably seeing the writing on the wall, Moraven<br />
Holdings set up Solaris Energy in 2010. It acts as distributor<br />
for the flat plate and vacuum tube solar water heaters and<br />
photovoltaic solar panels made by Solaris Global Energy in<br />
Barbados, of which it is the majority owner. The Barbados<br />
entity was formerly Aqua Sol Components, a company with<br />
30 years’ experience in manufacturing solar energy products.<br />
Barbados has long led the way in Caricom in using<br />
solar energy for water heating in place of electricity or<br />
liquefied petroleum gas. It has “the third highest penetration<br />
of solar water heaters in the world,” according to Vincent<br />
McClean, Solaris Global Energy’s chief innovation officer. The<br />
company is one of three manufacturing solar products in<br />
Barbados; there is another in St Lucia – and that’s about it as<br />
far as Caricom is concerned.<br />
Solaris regards itself as being head and shoulders above<br />
the competition: its new 8,000 sq foot factory at the Six<br />
Roads industrial estate in St Phillip, opened in October 2012<br />
and, powered by a 50kW photovoltaic system, generates<br />
enough electricity to be able to feed back into the Barbados<br />
Light and Power’s national transmission grid.<br />
In short, it is not only preaching the benefits of renewable<br />
energy (RE) to its clients but using RE itself: Solaris Global<br />
Energy is the only RE products producer in the region<br />
running fully on RE.<br />
Barbados’s ministry of transport and works has received<br />
that message loud and clear, and recently installed a 10kW<br />
wind turbine at its Chance Hall depot in St Lucy, mounted<br />
on a 48-foot structure. Excess energy is stored in batteries,<br />
which makes the facility completely self-sufficient. Unlike<br />
Solaris’s own 50kW photovoltaic system, the wind turbine is<br />
not tied into the national grid, and does not need to be, since<br />
it relies entirely on its own resources.<br />
Solaris Global Energy has broken into the export market<br />
and says its products are now “distributed regionally in<br />
more than a dozen countries” (not surprisingly, it expects to<br />
have a turnover of Bds$12 million “in the near future”). This<br />
is a clear indication that RE is gradually catching on in the<br />
<strong>Caribbean</strong> archipelago.<br />
McClean sees this as an inevitable development. “The high<br />
cost of fossil fuels, except in the case of Trinidad and Tobago,<br />
impacts the economies of those countries so harshly that it<br />
is a natural tendency to move in the direction of renewable<br />
energy,” he told this YEARBOOK. “The use of RE has a very<br />
beneficial influence on the economic viability of the hotel<br />
industry in the <strong>Caribbean</strong>.”<br />
He forecasts that solar water heaters “will be the most<br />
popular RE system in the region for some time”, but that,<br />
within 20 years, “solar electricity (photovoltaics) will take<br />
over, simply because of its far greater usefulness.”<br />
Vincent McClean, Solaris Global Energy Ltd. Director and Chief Innovation<br />
Officer; Sen. Hon. Darcy Boyce, Minister of State in the Barbados Office of<br />
the Prime Minister; and Keith Scotland, Solaris Energy Ltd. Chairman discuss<br />
a solar water heating unit at Solaris Energy’s new factory gala opening on<br />
October 20, 2012.