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ENERGY Caribbean Yearbook (2013-14)

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caribbean gas market<br />

Energy<br />

issues<br />

TT must get moving<br />

Is Trinidad and Tobago moving fast<br />

enough to secure the emerging<br />

market for natural gas in the<br />

<strong>Caribbean</strong>? Many energy analysts<br />

think not.<br />

At the time of writing, Gasfin<br />

Development SA, the Luxembourgbased<br />

company leading the way in<br />

trying to push the country into making<br />

sales contracts with <strong>Caribbean</strong> electricity<br />

utilities, had still not been able to line<br />

up an assured gas supply with which to<br />

approach potential customers.<br />

Only about 70 million cubic feet a day<br />

(mmcfd) is required for the first train of<br />

about 500,000 tonnes a year that Gasfin<br />

would like to see sited at the Labidco<br />

industrial estate at La Brea to liquefy gas<br />

for regional export. Perhaps frustrated<br />

by Trinidad and Tobago’s apparent<br />

slothfulness, Gasfin’s CEO Roland Fisher<br />

has hedged his bets by also seeking<br />

permission from the US Department<br />

of Energy to export low-priced shale<br />

gas from a plant he wants to build in<br />

Louisiana.<br />

He was quickly given the green light,<br />

though he now has to clear his 1.5<br />

million tonne per year complex, which<br />

he wants to build in phases, with the<br />

Albert G. Nahas (courtesy Cheniere)<br />

Companie<br />

2020, so Trinidad and Tobago still has the<br />

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.<br />

Gasfin does not expect to be ready to<br />

export LNG from the US much before<br />

opportunity to get in first and capture<br />

the market before Gasfin Development<br />

USA decides to target that customer<br />

base.<br />

One piece of luck for the La Brea<br />

project, which Fisher is calling Project<br />

Constantine, is that his US company, at<br />

least for now, will be permitted to export<br />

only to countries with which the US has<br />

a free trade agreement. Puerto Rico and<br />

the US Virgin Islands (which are part<br />

of the US anyway) and the Dominican<br />

Republic are the only parts of the insular<br />

<strong>Caribbean</strong> that qualify, so Fisher will be<br />

limited to seeking markets there.<br />

Countries<br />

This leaves 21 other potential markets<br />

in the <strong>Caribbean</strong> archipelago to which<br />

La Brea LNG could theoretically sell gas.<br />

Even Guyana, Suriname and French<br />

Guiana, the first two of which are<br />

members of Caricom, could be potential<br />

targets.<br />

Gasfin Development USA is not the<br />

only company gunning for the <strong>Caribbean</strong><br />

market: Pacific Rubiales in Colombia<br />

is also planning a small LNG export<br />

project. As a competitor, Colombia is an<br />

unknown quantity.<br />

But even if Fisher chose not to try and<br />

sell in the <strong>Caribbean</strong>, and others such<br />

as Cheniere did, Trinidad and Tobago<br />

might very well hold its own. Albert<br />

G. Nahas, Cheniere’s vice president<br />

for international government affairs,<br />

believes that “Trinidad and Tobago is<br />

perfectly capable of competing in the<br />

<strong>Caribbean</strong> gas market. After all, gas will<br />

still be cheaper in TT than in most of the<br />

rest of the world, except the US.” Fisher<br />

himself has told this YEARBOOK that<br />

he would prefer to supply <strong>Caribbean</strong><br />

markets that materialise from Trinidad<br />

and Tobago rather than the US.<br />

La Brea LNG will open markets near<br />

to home for Trinidad and Tobago<br />

LNG. But it could also present the<br />

country with a unique value-chain<br />

opportunity through the National<br />

Gas Company or its subsidiary, the<br />

National Energy Corporation, not<br />

only in the LNG train itself but in the<br />

ships needed to transport the gas<br />

and the re-gasification facilities at the<br />

receiving end.<br />

At the moment, NGC holds a 10%<br />

share in Atlantic’s train one and 11.1%<br />

in train four, which gives it a quota<br />

of 88 mmcfd. Until recently, this was<br />

sold internationally on its behalf. It has<br />

recently taken back 30 mmcfd to market<br />

on its own account, thus giving it some<br />

experience in these matters prior to any<br />

involvement in La Brea LNG.<br />

Gasfin has been working closely<br />

with EdF, the electricity company in<br />

Martinique and Guadeloupe, with a<br />

view to supplying 200,000 tonnes of<br />

LNG to each French department to run<br />

the gas turbines both are installing.<br />

This would provide a market for 80%<br />

of the capacity of La Brea train one, but<br />

no deal can be struck until a gas supply<br />

from NGC is pinned down.<br />

Roland Fisher (courtesy Gasfin)<br />

10

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