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BUSINESS DAY<br />

Opinion<br />

NEWS YOU CAN TRUST I MONDAY <strong>16</strong> APRIL <strong>2018</strong><br />

CHOGM <strong>2018</strong>: Nigeria, Commonwealth and the London summit<br />

C002D5556<br />

This week, from<br />

today Monday<br />

<strong>16</strong> to Friday 20<br />

<strong>Apr</strong>il, the 25th<br />

biennial summit<br />

of the Commonwealth,<br />

the Commonwealth Heads<br />

of Government Meeting<br />

(CHOGM), will take place<br />

in London. It is the first<br />

time the event is held in<br />

the UK since 1997. As a<br />

proud Londoner, with a<br />

longstanding relationship<br />

with the Commonwealth,<br />

I cannot but comment on<br />

thehistoric event, even<br />

more so because of the<br />

importance of this week’s<br />

summitandthe role that<br />

Nigeria should play in it.<br />

But before we get into all<br />

that, let’s remind ourselves<br />

of Nigeria’srelationship<br />

with the Commonwealth.<br />

Nigeria joined the<br />

Commonwealth at independence<br />

in 1960. For<br />

most part, since that time,<br />

we have been an enthusiastic<br />

member of the organisation.<br />

We produced<br />

its third Secretary-General,<br />

since the office was<br />

established in 1965, in the<br />

person of the globally respected<br />

elder statesman,<br />

Chief Emeka Anyaoku,<br />

who led the organisation<br />

for ten years, from 1990<br />

to 2000. On any visit to<br />

the Commonwealth Secretariat,<br />

I never cease to<br />

admire Chief Anyaoku’s<br />

larger than life portrait in<br />

his traditional Nigerian<br />

attire. He was an iconic<br />

and highly successful secretary<br />

general!<br />

I attended my first<br />

CHOGM in Abuja in December<br />

2003. I had been<br />

asked by the Commonwealth<br />

Business Council<br />

to be the rapporteur for<br />

the Business Forum during<br />

the summit. With both<br />

the Hilton and Sheraton<br />

hotels cordoned off to<br />

accommodate the guests,<br />

including the Queen and<br />

her entourage, and with<br />

several colourful social<br />

and cultural activities,<br />

it was a very memorable<br />

event for many of the foreign<br />

visitors.<br />

Of course, Nigeria will<br />

always pull out all the<br />

stops to organise spectacular<br />

events to impress<br />

GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES<br />

OLU FASAN<br />

Dr Fasan, a London-based lawyer and<br />

political economist, is a Visiting Fellow at<br />

the London School of Economics. email:<br />

o.fasan@lse.ac.uk,<br />

He tweets @olu_fasan<br />

Anyaoku<br />

foreigners. Sadly, it lacks<br />

the ability and/or the willingness<br />

to organise its<br />

own affairs. For instance,<br />

despite its enthusiasm for<br />

the Commonwealth, Nigeria<br />

falls far short of meeting<br />

its goals. Of the three<br />

Commonwealth goals –<br />

development, democracy<br />

and peace – Nigeria is<br />

certainly nowhere near<br />

attaining at least two, development<br />

and peace, not<br />

with widespread poverty,<br />

inequality, political tension<br />

and insecurity in the<br />

country.<br />

However, its internal<br />

deficiencies notwithstanding,<br />

Nigeria has always<br />

been an active member<br />

of the Commonwealth.<br />

The only exception was<br />

during the Abacha dictatorship<br />

when, following<br />

the execution of Ken<br />

Saro-Wiwa, Nigeria was<br />

ejected from the organisation<br />

in 1995. This was<br />

particularly embarrassing<br />

because, at that time, a<br />

Nigerian, Chief Anyaoku,<br />

was secretary-general of<br />

the Commonwealth. Abacha<br />

turned a deaf ear to<br />

Anyaoku’s entreaties, rejected<br />

Mandela’s pleas,<br />

and killed Saro-Wiwa.<br />

Nigeria crossed the Rubicon,<br />

its behaviour was<br />

beyond the pale, and had<br />

to be sent out of the Commonwealth.<br />

But no member wants<br />

to be ostracised from the<br />

Commonwealth for too<br />

long. Every member suspended<br />

from the organisation<br />

always applied to<br />

be readmitted when the<br />

time became auspicious,<br />

as Nigeria did in 1999 after<br />

returning to democracy,<br />

and as The Gambia and<br />

Zimbabwe are currently<br />

doing after Yahya Jammeh<br />

and Robert Mugabe were<br />

replaced by more civilised<br />

leaders.<br />

So, why is the Commonwealth<br />

that important?<br />

Well, I would say there<br />

are two main reasons. The<br />

first is its functional value.<br />

The Commonwealth, a<br />

club of mostly former British<br />

colonies, is the only<br />

plurilateral organisation<br />

in the world whose membership<br />

spans the globe.<br />

Its 53 member-countries<br />

spread across Africa, Asia,<br />

the Caribbean, the Americas,<br />

Europe and the Pacific.<br />

It is also the only<br />

monwealth Charter,<br />

agreed on 14 December<br />

2012, sets out <strong>16</strong> core<br />

principles to which all<br />

members are committed.<br />

These range from democracy,<br />

human rights and<br />

peace and security to rule<br />

of law, good governance,<br />

gender equality as well as<br />

health, education, food<br />

and shelter. Of course, as<br />

Nigeria shows, not every<br />

Commonwealth member<br />

adheres to all these<br />

principles, or fully to any.<br />

However, the principles<br />

are benchmarks against<br />

which the behaviour of<br />

Indeed, can the trade minister, Okechukwu<br />

Enelamah, freely engage in<br />

such bilateral trade talks when President<br />

Buhari can easily overrule him<br />

(a la AfCFTA!)? What’s more, would<br />

Nigeria embrace a more economic<br />

Commonwealth with greater push for<br />

a commitment to free trade? Or would<br />

it be one the refuseniks? The latter, of<br />

course, is more likely, which reflects<br />

the regressive state of policy-making in<br />

Nigeria.<br />

such organisation with<br />

membership encompassing<br />

developed, developing,<br />

small and vulnerable<br />

states. These global<br />

reach and diversity enable<br />

the Commonwealth to<br />

leverage support for its<br />

members and their citizens<br />

through institutional<br />

development, capacity<br />

building, technical cooperation<br />

and professional<br />

development.<br />

Then, there is the normative<br />

value. The Com-<br />

every member-country<br />

can be measured, and<br />

therefore serve as a powerful<br />

source of normative<br />

pressure.<br />

For instance, all eyes<br />

will be on Nigeria next<br />

year as it holds its general<br />

elections. It will be<br />

expected to conduct<br />

the elections in an environment<br />

“where there<br />

is confidence, transparency<br />

and accountability<br />

in the electoral process,<br />

and where voters are free<br />

to exercise an informed<br />

choice between alternative<br />

candidates for office”.<br />

Following the success of<br />

the 2015 elections, Nigeria<br />

would be expected to<br />

strengthen its democracy<br />

and enhance the credibility<br />

of its electoral process<br />

by conducting free, fair<br />

and peaceful elections.<br />

Commonwealth election<br />

observers would, of<br />

course, be on the ground<br />

to see if Nigeria passes the<br />

electoral test. It is a test<br />

that Nigeria must not fail!<br />

So, the Commonwealth<br />

is a relevant organisation<br />

that provides valuable<br />

public good. But it<br />

is now facing pressure<br />

to do more, to become<br />

somewhat an economic<br />

bloc! Which brings me<br />

to why this week’s London<br />

summit is important.<br />

The summit,which comes<br />

just a year before Britain<br />

leaves the EU (Brexit), will<br />

have a significant impact<br />

on the future of the Commonwealth.<br />

It is not surprising<br />

that the theme of<br />

the CHOGM <strong>2018</strong> is “Towards<br />

a common future”.<br />

Simply put, the Commonwealth<br />

will be different<br />

post-Brexit. This is because<br />

the UK is very keen<br />

to secure trade deals with<br />

as many Commonwealth<br />

countries as possible, with<br />

Nigeria among its priority<br />

countries. In fact, British<br />

officials had hoped that<br />

trade talks would form a<br />

key part of the CHOGM<br />

agenda, but other Commonwealth<br />

members resisted<br />

turning the summit<br />

into a trade round. But the<br />

issue will still dominate<br />

discussions on the margins<br />

of the summit. As one<br />

British minister said, “We<br />

are hoping that through<br />

the bilateral discussion<br />

that will take place there<br />

would be huge opportunities<br />

to advance trade talks”.<br />

Sadly, Nigeria is unlikely<br />

to engage constructively<br />

in such talks, given its<br />

reflex defensive attitude<br />

to trade issues. Indeed,<br />

can the trade minister,<br />

Okechukwu Enelamah,<br />

freely engage in such bilateral<br />

trade talks when<br />

President Buhari can<br />

easily overrule him (a la<br />

AfCFTA!)? What’s more,<br />

would Nigeria embrace a<br />

more economic Commonwealth<br />

with greater push<br />

for a commitment to free<br />

trade? Or would it be one<br />

the refuseniks? The latter,<br />

of course, is more likely,<br />

which reflects the regressive<br />

state of policy-making<br />

in Nigeria.<br />

Nevertheless, trade and<br />

investment issues, if not<br />

actual trade talks, will still<br />

dominate the CHOGM<br />

agenda, particularly its<br />

Business Forum, from<br />

<strong>16</strong> to 18 <strong>Apr</strong>il, where the<br />

discussion will focus on,<br />

among others, advancing<br />

intra-Commonwealth<br />

trade and strengthening<br />

the “Commonwealth advantage”.<br />

In 2015, the Commonwealth<br />

Secretariat invited<br />

me to join a panel of experts<br />

to review its flagship<br />

trade publication, “The<br />

Commonwealth in the<br />

Unfolding Global Trade<br />

Landscape”. The study<br />

showed that there is a<br />

“Commonwealth Advantage”,<br />

which helps to increase<br />

trade by 20%, and<br />

reduce the cost of doing<br />

business by up to 19%,<br />

between Commonwealth<br />

countries than between<br />

them and non-Commonwealth<br />

countries. These<br />

findings will shape discussions<br />

at the Commonwealth<br />

Business Forum.<br />

But the CHOGM will<br />

not all be about business<br />

talks. One subject that<br />

might also be broached<br />

is the next head of the<br />

Commonwealth after<br />

the Queen. Of course,<br />

the Queen is universally<br />

adored, so much so that,<br />

according to media reports,<br />

some Commonwealth<br />

high commissioners<br />

want to nominate her<br />

for the Nobel Peace Prize.<br />

But after her, who next?<br />

Obviously, the Queen’s<br />

successor to lead the<br />

organisation should be<br />

Prince Charles when he<br />

becomes king, but the role<br />

is not hereditary, and, in<br />

principle, nothing should<br />

be taken for granted!<br />

Yet, for me, the present<br />

informal arrangement<br />

whereby the symbolic<br />

head of the Commonwealth<br />

is the British<br />

monarch, who is also<br />

head of state of <strong>16</strong> Commonwealth<br />

countries,<br />

while the chief executive<br />

of the organisation, i.e.<br />

the secretary-general,<br />

is rotated among other<br />

Commonwealth members,<br />

currently held by<br />

Patricia Scotland from<br />

Dominica, seems to work<br />

perfectly well. Surely,<br />

when the time to take<br />

that decision comes,<br />

Nigeria should support<br />

Prince Charles for the<br />

role!<br />

So, this week’s CHOGM<br />

is an interesting one for<br />

the Commonwealth and<br />

all its well-wishers. I look<br />

forward to it, and hope<br />

Nigeria takes active part<br />

in deciding the organisation’s<br />

“common future”,<br />

including on economic<br />

cooperation.<br />

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