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Copyright © 2017 Time Inc. <strong>Fortune</strong>® and the FORTUNE newsletters are all trademarks of Time Inc. YOUR FULL CONTACT LIST FOR THE FORTUNE 1,000 & MORE. YOUR SOURCE FOR TARGETING & MARKET SIZING www.t.me/velarch_official Informed lead generation Corporate benchmarking Investment insights FORTUNE.COM/DATASTORE
FOCUS INVEST KIM JONG-UN: KNS/AFP; ANGELA MERKEL: FLORIAN GAERTNER—PHOTOTHEK; DONALD TRUMP: AL DROGO—BLOOMBERG; JUSTIN TRUDEAU: SEAN GALLUP; SHINZO ABE: JESCO DENZEL—BUNDESREGIERUNG. ALL VIA GETTY IMAGES WHERE TO HIDE FROM THE HEADLINES Losing sleep over a looming trade war or other global conflicts? These stocks offer safety. By Ryan Derousseau FOR A BUY-AND-HOLD INVESTOR, taking stock of the geopolitical landscape can feel like a disorienting, daily roulette-wheel spin to determine which news story will make you most jittery. What’ll it be: a nuclear face-of with Iran? High-stakes talks with North Korea? Trade spats between the U.S. and its allies? The crumbling of the European Union? Oh, and don’t forget the ongoing investigation into Russian influence on the 2016 election. (Excuse us as we mute CNBC and pop another Xanax.) It’s not your imagination: By some indicators, the world currently faces measurably more risks than usual. This year, two Federal Reserve economists unveiled a Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index that tracks occurrences in news reports of “words related to geopolitical tensions.” When international conflict, terrorist threats, or nuclear posturing ramps up, the index spikes. Since 1985, the average daily GPR reading was 81; this May it hit 147—more than 80% above the mean. Investment giant BlackRock, meanwhile, recently launched its own statistical gauge for political risk. It stands nearly one standard deviation higher than its historical average—high enough, BlackRock says, for investors to consider portfolio adjustments. Here’s the good news: Conflict may be tough on your nerves, but it’s seldom the cause of tough times for stocks. Jefrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, recently looked at military actions going back to 1983. He found that even when major attacks occur—think the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq, www.t.me/velarch_official ILLUSTRATION BY NAZARIO GRAZIANO 41 FORTUNE.COM // JULY.1.18
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