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entitlement based scheme, the propensity to<br />

avail by the beneficiary is extremely high and<br />

typically such schemes are expected to result<br />

in a rise in hospitalisation rates in the first<br />

year. This is also corroborated, anecdotally,<br />

in my conversations with the target group<br />

population in multiple states where the pilots<br />

are on. In fact, the states that have emerged<br />

as leaders had a history of well-entrenched<br />

state-sponsored schemes targeting at<br />

least 50% of the target group which got<br />

subsumed under AB. The beneficiary<br />

numbers under AB would have been much<br />

lower without the cannibalisation.<br />

2. Focus on improving the share of<br />

public health facilities: What is surprising<br />

are comments from senior authorities<br />

managing the programme, highlighting the<br />

68% share of private healthcare providers as<br />

a positive aspect, indicative of their adoption<br />

THE PLANNED ECONOMICS OF<br />

THIS SCHEME NECESSITATES<br />

SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVING<br />

THE SHARE OF PUBLIC HEALTH<br />

FACILITIES TO AT LEAST TO 50%<br />

TO MAKE IT SUSTAINABLE<br />

HOSPITALISATION RATES IN 18 PILOT STATES<br />

State<br />

AB Eligible<br />

Population<br />

Hospitalization<br />

rate*<br />

Arunachal Pradesh 381896.1 2.361182% 9,017<br />

Chhattisgarh 17,495,693 3.8% 658,350<br />

Goa 191,181 6.1% 11,735<br />

Haryana 6,473,679 4.7% 302,288<br />

Himachal Pradesh 1,972,401 3.5% 69,961<br />

Jammu & Kashmir 4,079,255 2.8% 112,654<br />

Madhya Pradesh 37,894,393 2.1% 778,202<br />

Number of<br />

hospitalizations<br />

per annum<br />

Maharashtra 41,552,599 4.5% 1,868,024<br />

Manipur 1,434,866 1.0% 13,761<br />

Meghalaya 1,538,761 1.9% 29,334<br />

Mizoram 365,923 2.2% 8,176<br />

Nagaland 869,815 0.5% 4,264<br />

Uttar Pradesh 67,440,610 2.9% 1,930,534<br />

Uttarakhand 3,190,169 1.3% 42,023<br />

West Bengal 57,819,767 2.0% 1,146,539<br />

Chandigarh 142,437 3.7% 5,287<br />

Dadra & Nagar Haveli 145,065 1.6% 2,298<br />

Daman & Diu 58,784 5.3% 3,113<br />

Actual hospitalisation<br />

of the target population<br />

Hospitalisation claims under AB<br />

(annualised based on 2 month data)<br />

AB claims as a % of<br />

actual hospitalisation<br />

243,047,291 2.9% 6,995,559<br />

1,458,000<br />

20.8%<br />

*As per NSSO or RSBY whichever is higher<br />

of scheme. Indeed, support of private<br />

healthcare is crucial for the programme,<br />

but the planned economics of this scheme<br />

necessitates significantly improving the<br />

share of public health facilities to at least<br />

to 50% to make it sustainable. Hence, the<br />

deterioration in the public share to 32% from<br />

34%, which is the current national average,<br />

is not good news.<br />

3. Speed up empanelment of the<br />

tertiary care players: The specialities that<br />

have come up on top are not typically found<br />

to be so in a normal situation, particularly<br />

ophthalmology and obstetrics/gynaecology.<br />

At the same time, cardiac ailments, that<br />

account for 10% of hospitalisations in India,<br />

does not find a mention. This is possibly<br />

owing to insufficient empanelment of highend<br />

tertiary care private hospitals (given<br />

the paucity of sufficient capability in public<br />

health) which needs to be ramped up. The<br />

good news is that oral and maxillofacial<br />

surgery coming on top is perhaps indicative<br />

of accident/trauma care getting the benefit.<br />

In conclusion, it must be emphasized<br />

that what have been commented upon as<br />

areas of improvement are based on the<br />

very limited data that has come into public<br />

view. A more comprehensive view can be<br />

taken after six months of implementation<br />

and when more details are available, but<br />

the government may not have the luxury of<br />

time in this case. With the elections coming<br />

up in six months, it is imperative for the<br />

government to do everything it can to ramp<br />

up effective usage of the scheme as soon as<br />

possible.<br />

The author has long-standing association with<br />

EY India but the views are strictly personal.<br />

<strong>DECEMBER</strong> <strong>2018</strong> / FUTURE MEDICINE / 17

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