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Credit Management 2019

The CICM magazine for consumer and commercial credit professionals

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EXCLUSIVE REPORT<br />

AUTHOR – Markus Kuger<br />

The continued<br />

uncertainty<br />

around Brexit is<br />

likely to be a key<br />

factor influencing<br />

the significant<br />

slowdown in<br />

growth and an<br />

increase in business<br />

failures across the<br />

construction sector.<br />

Financial information shows a significant<br />

decrease in the proportion of assets financed<br />

by debt with specialised construction activities<br />

seeing a significant average reduction of nearly<br />

36.2 percent in debt ratio. There has also been<br />

a marked decrease in current ratio. This is a<br />

liquidity measure indicating more difficulties<br />

to cover the short-term debt with short-term<br />

assets.<br />

PLANNING AHEAD<br />

The continued uncertainty around Brexit<br />

is likely to be a key factor influencing the<br />

significant slowdown in growth and an increase<br />

in business failures across the construction<br />

sector. Dun & Bradstreet’s analysis predicts that<br />

economic performance will worsen if the UK<br />

leaves the EU without a deal so there may be<br />

bumpier roads ahead.<br />

The construction industry is likely to be<br />

monitored closely for early signs of the economic<br />

impact of whatever Brexit scenario plays out in<br />

<strong>2019</strong>. Although there has been a slowdown, it<br />

continues to be a sector that is increasing in size<br />

and constitutes a significant proportion of the<br />

UK’s small and micro businesses.<br />

Dun & Bradstreet’s baseline scenario is for<br />

a delayed, soft Brexit, but things are changing<br />

quickly. The best advice for construction<br />

businesses is to monitor the situation and try<br />

to establish a transparent view of supply chain<br />

and business relationships to enable a quick<br />

assessment of how the latest development will<br />

impact business operations once a decision is<br />

made.<br />

Markus Kuger is Lead Economist at<br />

Dun & Bradstreet.<br />

Markus Kuger<br />

The Recognised Standard / www.cicm.com / March <strong>2019</strong> / PAGE 62

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