Credit Management 2019
The CICM magazine for consumer and commercial credit professionals
The CICM magazine for consumer and commercial credit professionals
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EXCLUSIVE REPORT<br />
AUTHOR – Markus Kuger<br />
The continued<br />
uncertainty<br />
around Brexit is<br />
likely to be a key<br />
factor influencing<br />
the significant<br />
slowdown in<br />
growth and an<br />
increase in business<br />
failures across the<br />
construction sector.<br />
Financial information shows a significant<br />
decrease in the proportion of assets financed<br />
by debt with specialised construction activities<br />
seeing a significant average reduction of nearly<br />
36.2 percent in debt ratio. There has also been<br />
a marked decrease in current ratio. This is a<br />
liquidity measure indicating more difficulties<br />
to cover the short-term debt with short-term<br />
assets.<br />
PLANNING AHEAD<br />
The continued uncertainty around Brexit<br />
is likely to be a key factor influencing the<br />
significant slowdown in growth and an increase<br />
in business failures across the construction<br />
sector. Dun & Bradstreet’s analysis predicts that<br />
economic performance will worsen if the UK<br />
leaves the EU without a deal so there may be<br />
bumpier roads ahead.<br />
The construction industry is likely to be<br />
monitored closely for early signs of the economic<br />
impact of whatever Brexit scenario plays out in<br />
<strong>2019</strong>. Although there has been a slowdown, it<br />
continues to be a sector that is increasing in size<br />
and constitutes a significant proportion of the<br />
UK’s small and micro businesses.<br />
Dun & Bradstreet’s baseline scenario is for<br />
a delayed, soft Brexit, but things are changing<br />
quickly. The best advice for construction<br />
businesses is to monitor the situation and try<br />
to establish a transparent view of supply chain<br />
and business relationships to enable a quick<br />
assessment of how the latest development will<br />
impact business operations once a decision is<br />
made.<br />
Markus Kuger is Lead Economist at<br />
Dun & Bradstreet.<br />
Markus Kuger<br />
The Recognised Standard / www.cicm.com / March <strong>2019</strong> / PAGE 62